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ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

24 Oct 2019 to 27 Oct 2019 Tour PGA Tour Prize fund $9,750,000 Field 78 Odds updated 23 Oct 2019

See what we tipped for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP

The table below shows the whole field with our model's numbers - but the players at the top of the market, and the bets we actually advised, stay locked. Members get the shortlist, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms, in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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profit since 2020, staked at £10 a point
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 at a glance

Favourite
7/1Justin Thomas
Favourite's chance
9.5%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
28.2%combined win chance
Field
7876 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
31.4%vs 23.3% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
36players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Justin Thomas favourite for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP at 7/1. That is an implied 12.5% before the margin comes out, and 9.5% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Rory McIlroy next in at 8/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 28.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 71.8% spread across the other 71 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 36 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 31.4%, or 14.5% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Sportsbook at 23.3% (7 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -8.1 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Justin Thomas 7/1 12.5% 9.5% 17th
2 Northern Ireland Rory McIlroy 8/1 11.1% 8.4% 3rd
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 5.3% 4.0% 2nd
4 USA Xander Schauffele 22/1 4.3% 3.3% 10th
5 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 22nd
6 England Paul Casey 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 17th
7 AUS Adam Scott 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 33rd
8 USA Jordan Spieth 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 66th
9 USA Tony Finau 30/1 3.2% 2.5% 59th
10 USA Patrick Reed 33/1 2.9% 2.2% 17th
11 USA Gary Woodland 33/1 2.9% 2.2% 5th
12 USA Tiger Woods 33/1 2.9% 2.2% 1st
13 NOR Viktor Hovland 33/1 2.9% 2.2% 41st
14 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 75th
15 AUS Jason Day 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 22nd
16 KOR Sungjae Im 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 3rd
17 USA Collin Morikawa 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 22nd
18 AUS Marc Leishman 45/1 2.2% 1.7% 69th
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 45/1 2.2% 1.7% 8th
20 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 46th

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 finished

Tiger Woods won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP, having started the week at 33/1 - an implied 2.9% chance. The favourite, Justin Thomas, finished 17th.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 USA Tiger Woods 33/1 2.9%
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 5.3%
3 Northern Ireland Rory McIlroy 8/1 11.1%
3 KOR Sungjae Im 40/1 2.4%
5 USA Gary Woodland 33/1 2.9%
6 USA Billy Horschel 66/1 1.5%
6 CAN Corey Conners 60/1 1.6%
8 KOR Byeong Hun An 45/1 2.2%
8 USA Charles Howell III 80/1 1.2%
10 USA Ryan Palmer 100/1 1.0%
10 NZL Danny Lee 100/1 1.0%
10 USA Xander Schauffele 22/1 4.3%

Our model's numbers for the full field

Every player we priced for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP, with the model's win probability and the edge against the market. The players at the top of the market are locked, and so are the bets we advised.

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# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 🔒
2 🔒
3 🔒
4 🔒
5 🔒
6 🔒
7 🔒
8 AUS Adam Scott 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 2.11% -0.51%
9 USA Tony Finau 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 2.38% -0.08%
10 USA Gary Woodland 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 2.92% 0.69%
11 NOR Viktor Hovland 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 1.8% -0.43%
12 USA Patrick Reed 33 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 1.57% -0.67%
13 USA Tiger Woods 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 0.7% -1.54%
14 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 2.95% 0.84%
15 USA Collin Morikawa 40 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 1.65% -0.21%
16 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 1.56% -0.3%
17 AUS Jason Day 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 0.97% -0.89%
18 KOR Byeong Hun An 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 60/1 2.06% 0.4%
19 AUS Marc Leishman 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 60/1 1.57% -0.08%
20 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.9% 0.41%
21 Chile Joaquin Niemann 50 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.83% 0.33%
22 CAN Adam Hadwin 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.82% 0.33%
23 Spain Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.39% -0.1%
24 Ireland Shane Lowry 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 2.97% 1.62%
25 USA Kevin Na 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 2.3% 0.94%
26 USA Ryan Moore 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 0.77% -0.59%
27 Spain Sergio Garcia 60 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 1.07% -0.18%
28 CAN Corey Conners 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.95% -0.29%
29 USA Billy Horschel 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 3.08% 1.94%
30 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.74% 0.6%
31 USA Andrew Putnam 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.64% 0.5%
32 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.69% -0.45%
33 USA Kevin Kisner 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 1% -0.07%
34 ENG Ian Poulter 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.83% -0.24%
35 SVK Rory Sabbatini 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 2.18% 1.24%
36 JPN Shugo Imahira 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 2.16% 1.22%
37 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 1.18% 0.24%
38 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 0.91% -0.02%
39 USA Pat Perez 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 0.71% -0.22%
40 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 119/1 0.81% -0.03%
41 South Africa Dylan Frittelli 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.88% 0.12%
42 USA Matthew Wolff 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.87% 0.12%
43 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.77% 0.02%
44 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.73% -0.02%
45 NZL Danny Lee 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.57% -0.19%
46 USA Kevin Streelman 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 1.5% 0.81%
47 MEX Abraham Ancer 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 1.17% 0.48%
48 USA JT Poston 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 1.02% 0.42%
49 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.91% 0.3%
50 USA Harold Varner III 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.79% 0.19%
51 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.59% -0.01%
52 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.38% -0.22%
53 USA Daniel Berger 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.48% -0.06%
54 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 1.23% 0.73%
55 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.81% 0.31%
56 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.73% 0.23%
57 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.68% 0.18%
58 USA Joel Dahmen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.96% 0.49%
59 USA Kevin Tway 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 1.09% 0.66%
60 USA Chan Kim 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.98% 0.54%
61 USA Nate Lashley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.9% 0.47%
62 South Africa Shaun Norris 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 1.01% 0.63%
63 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.71% 0.33%
64 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.66% 0.28%
65 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.5% 0.12%
66 Japan Rikuya Hoshino 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 1.13% 0.83%
67 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.83% 0.53%
68 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.7% 0.39%
69 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.64% 0.33%
70 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 395/1 0.59% 0.34%
71 USA Seungsu Han 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 395/1 0.58% 0.33%
72 USA Max Homa 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 526/1 0.63% 0.44%
73 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 526/1 0.26% 0.07%
74 JPN Tomoharu Otsuki 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.64% 0.49%
75 JPN Jinichiro Kozuma 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.59% 0.43%
76 JPN Yosuke Asaji 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.58% 0.43%
77 KOR Sanghyun Park 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
78 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
Show all 78 players ↓
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Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 47% 23.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 24%
3 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 24.4%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 50.8% 26.5%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 28%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.7% 28.4%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42% 29.5%
8 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 30.5%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 32%
10 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 33%
11 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 49% 33.1%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 49.1% 33.2%
13 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 33.3%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
16 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
17 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 37%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 40%

ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019?

Justin Thomas was the outright favourite at 7/1, which is an implied chance of 12.5% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 9.5% after. Rory McIlroy was next in the market at 8/1.

Who won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019?

Tiger Woods won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019, starting the week at 33/1.

When was the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP 2019 played?

The ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP started on Thursday 24 October 2019 and finished on Sunday 27 October 2019. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP field?

78 players were in the field, 76 of them priced by the bookmakers. 36 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 31.4%, against 23.3% at Betfair Sportsbook, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.

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