Betting Tips for The ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 20 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 3.65% -5.85%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 3.28% 0.36%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 87/1 3.08% 1.94%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 2.97% 1.62%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 2.95% 0.83%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 2.92% 0.69%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 2.51% -0.11%
8 USA Tony Finau 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 2.38% -0.08%
9 USA Kevin Na 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 2.3% 0.94%
10 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4% ≈ 24/1 2.19% -1.82%
11 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.45% ≈ 11/1 2.18% -6.27%
12 SVK Rory Sabbatini 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 2.18% 1.24%
13 JPN Shugo Imahira 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 2.16% 1.22%
14 AUS Adam Scott 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 2.11% -0.51%
15 KOR Byeong Hun An 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 60/1 2.05% 0.4%
16 USA Xander Schauffele 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.31% ≈ 29/1 2.02% -1.29%
17 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% ≈ 33/1 1.96% -0.96%
18 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.9% 0.4%
19 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.83% 0.34%
20 CAN Adam Hadwin 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.82% 0.33%
21 NOR Viktor Hovland 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 1.8% -0.44%
22 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.74% 0.6%
23 USA Collin Morikawa 40 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 1.65% -0.21%
24 USA Andrew Putnam 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 1.64% 0.5%
25 AUS Marc Leishman 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% ≈ 60/1 1.57% -0.08%
26 USA Patrick Reed 33 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 1.57% -0.67%
27 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 1.56% -0.3%
28 USA Kevin Streelman 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 1.5% 0.81%
29 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 1.39% -0.1%
30 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 1.23% 0.73%
31 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 1.18% 0.24%
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 1.17% 0.49%
33 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 1.13% 0.83%
34 USA Kevin Tway 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 1.09% 0.66%
35 ESP Sergio Garcia 60 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 1.07% -0.18%
36 USA JT Poston 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 1.02% 0.42%
37 RSA Shaun Norris 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 1.01% 0.63%
38 USA Kevin Kisner 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 1% -0.08%
39 USA Chan Kim 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.98% 0.54%
40 AUS Jason Day 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 0.97% -0.88%
41 USA Joel Dahmen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.96% 0.49%
42 CAN Corey Conners 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.96% -0.29%
43 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 0.91% -0.02%
44 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.91% 0.3%
45 USA Nate Lashley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.9% 0.47%
46 RSA Dylan Frittelli 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.88% 0.12%
47 USA Matthew Wolff 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.87% 0.12%
48 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.83% 0.53%
49 ENG Ian Poulter 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.83% -0.24%
50 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.81% 0.31%
51 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 119/1 0.81% -0.03%
52 USA Harold Varner III 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.79% 0.19%
53 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.77% 0.02%
54 USA Ryan Moore 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 0.76% -0.59%
55 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.73% 0.23%
56 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.73% -0.02%
57 USA Pat Perez 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 106/1 0.72% -0.22%
58 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.71% 0.33%
59 USA Tiger Woods 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 0.7% -1.54%
60 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.7% 0.39%
61 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 0.69% -0.45%
62 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 198/1 0.68% 0.18%
63 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.66% 0.28%
64 JPN Tomoharu Otsuki 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.64% 0.49%
65 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 329/1 0.64% 0.33%
66 USA Max Homa 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 526/1 0.63% 0.44%
67 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.59% -0.01%
68 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 395/1 0.59% 0.34%
69 JPN Jinichiro Kozuma 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.58% 0.43%
70 USA Seungsu Han 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 395/1 0.58% 0.33%
71 JPN Yosuke Asaji 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 658/1 0.58% 0.43%
72 NZL Danny Lee 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 132/1 0.57% -0.19%
73 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 263/1 0.5% 0.12%
74 USA Daniel Berger 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.48% -0.06%
75 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 165/1 0.38% -0.22%
76 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 526/1 0.26% 0.07%
77 KOR Sanghyun Park 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
78 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 47% 23.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 24%
3 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 24.4%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 50.8% 26.5%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 28%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.7% 28.4%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42% 29.5%
8 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 30.5%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 32%
10 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 33%
11 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 49% 33.1%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 49.1% 33.2%
13 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 33.3%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
16 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
17 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 37%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 40%