Betting Market Analysis for Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 6.23% 1.94%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 3.18% 0.38%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 2.98% -0.49%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 2.67% 0.89%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 91/1 2.44% 1.35%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 2.3% -3.31%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.27% 0.24%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.99% -0.04%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.92% -0.43%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 206/1 1.75% 1.27%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 1.61% -2.23%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.56% -0.58%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.55% -0.47%
14 USA Adam Schenk 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% ≈ 62/1 1.48% -0.1%
15 USA Chris Baker 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 1.47% 0.74%
16 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 1.36% -0.07%
17 AUS Matt Jones 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% ≈ 83/1 1.2% 0.01%
18 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 1.15% 0.79%
19 USA Brian Stuard 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 1.15% -0.28%
20 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 1.13% 0.76%
21 AUT Matthias Schwab 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% ≈ 55/1 1.12% -0.66%
22 USA Charley Hoffman 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% ≈ 55/1 1.12% -0.66%
23 USA Luke List 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% ≈ 55/1 1.11% -0.67%
24 USA Chase Seiffert 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 240/1 1.1% 0.69%
25 USA Vincent Whaley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 1.09% 0.51%
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.52% ≈ 39/1 1.07% -1.44%
27 CHN Zhang Xinjun 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 1.07% -0.36%
28 USA Sam Ryder 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.06% 0.26%
29 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.02% 0.12%
30 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.93% 0.35%
31 USA Kyle Stanley 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.92% -0.38%
32 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.91% 0.01%
33 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.87% 0.39%
34 USA James Hahn 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.84% 0.04%
35 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.03% ≈ 48/1 0.84% -1.19%
36 USA Ryan Armour 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.82% 0.24%
37 USA Chris Stroud 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.79% 0.31%
38 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.77% 0.19%
39 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.76% 0.39%
40 USA Keith Mitchell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.74% -0.35%
41 AUS Cameron Percy 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.72% -0.08%
42 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.71% -0.01%
43 USA Bronson Burgoon 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.71% 0.13%
44 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.7% 0.12%
45 USA Bo Hoag 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.69% -0.21%
46 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.67% -0.23%
47 USA Kevin Chappell 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.66% -0.06%
48 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.65% 0.29%
49 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.63% -0.27%
50 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.63% 0.48%
51 USA George McNeill 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.58% 0.34%
52 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.58% 0.43%
53 AUS Rhein Gibson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 480/1 0.58% 0.37%
54 USA Brice Garnett 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% ≈ 83/1 0.57% -0.62%
55 SWE Henrik Stenson 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.03% ≈ 48/1 0.57% -1.45%
56 RSA Branden Grace 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% ≈ 55/1 0.57% -1.21%
57 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 0.57% -0.86%
58 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.56% 0.2%
59 USA Zac Blair 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.56% 0.24%
60 CAN David Hearn 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.55% 0.06%
61 IND Arjun Atwal 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 549/1 0.54% 0.36%
62 NIR Graeme McDowell 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.54% -0.36%
63 USA Robert Streb 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 480/1 0.53% 0.33%
64 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.53% 0.05%
65 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.53% 0.05%
66 AUS John Senden 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.5% 0.43%
67 USA Josh Teater 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.5% 0.02%
68 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.5% -0.22%
69 USA D.J. Trahan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.5% 0.14%
70 ARG Nelson Ledesma 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 549/1 0.49% 0.31%
71 USA Mark Anderson 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.48% -0.1%
72 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.48% -0.42%
73 USA Peter Uihlein 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.47% -0.11%
74 USA Rob Oppenheim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.47% -0.26%
75 ENG Benjamin Taylor 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.46% 0.22%
76 NZL Tim Wilkinson 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.44% -0.04%
77 CAN Roger Sloan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.44% -0.14%
78 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 343/1 0.44% 0.15%
79 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 480/1 0.43% 0.22%
80 USA Scott Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.41% 0.05%
81 USA Ryan Brehm 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.41% 0.05%
82 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.41% -0.08%
83 USA Tyler McCumber 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.39% 0.15%
84 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.38% 0.31%
85 USA Michael Kim 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1029/1 0.38% 0.29%
86 USA Matt Every 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.38% 0.14%
87 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.36% -0.22%
88 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.35% -0.23%
89 USA Shawn Stefani 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 480/1 0.35% 0.14%
90 USA Zack Sucher 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.35% 0.11%
91 USA Johnson Wagner 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.35% 0.11%
92 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.35% 0.11%
93 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.35% 0.11%
94 USA Wes Roach 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.35% -0.23%
95 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.34% -0.14%
96 USA Bill Haas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.32% -0.04%
97 USA Ben Martin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.31% -0.41%
98 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 240/1 0.3% -0.11%
99 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.3% -0.18%
100 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.3% -0.18%
101 USA Grayson Murray 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 240/1 0.3% -0.12%
102 KOR Joohyung Kim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 137/1 0.3% -0.42%
103 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.3% 0.06%
104 USA Eric Axley 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2742/1 0.28% 0.24%
105 ENG Brian Davis 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2057/1 0.28% 0.23%
106 USA John Rollins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2057/1 0.28% 0.23%
107 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.28% 0.21%
108 COL Alvaro Jose Arizabaleta 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.28% 0.2%
109 USA D.A. Points 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.27% 0.13%
110 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.27% 0.13%
111 CAN Graham Delaet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 480/1 0.27% 0.07%
112 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.27% 0.03%
113 USA Kelly Kraft 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.27% -0.09%
114 SCO Martin Laird 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.27% -0.21%
115 USA Benjamin Cook 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1029/1 0.27% 0.17%
116 USA Kevin Tway 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 240/1 0.27% -0.15%
117 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.27% 0.19%
118 USA Ted Purdy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2057/1 0.26% 0.22%
119 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.26% 0.19%
120 SWE Daniel Chopra 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 823/1 0.26% 0.14%
121 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.26% 0.12%
122 USA John Merrick 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.26% 0.12%
123 PAR Carlos Franco 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3428/1 0.26% 0.23%
124 DOM Hiram Silfa 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3428/1 0.26% 0.23%
125 SWE Richard S. Johnson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.26% 0.19%
126 ARG Sebastian Saavedra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.26% 0.19%
127 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.26% 0.19%
128 DOM Julio Santos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1371/1 0.26% 0.19%
129 ARG Tommy Cocha 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 823/1 0.26% 0.14%
130 USA Gavin Hall 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 549/1 0.26% 0.08%
131 USA Alex Smalley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.26% 0.02%
132 MEX Roberto Diaz 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 343/1 0.26% -0.03%
133 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 549/1 0.26% 0.08%
134 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2057/1 0.26% 0.21%
135 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.26% 0.11%
136 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.26% 0.11%
137 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 686/1 0.26% 0.11%
138 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 343/1 0.26% -0.03%
139 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1029/1 0.25% 0.15%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.4% 15.5%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 27.9%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 29.9%
4 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 31.9%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.7% 32.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 33.4%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 35.2%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 35.8%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 38%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 40.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%