Betting Market Analysis for Bermuda Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 5.44% -0.22%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 2.47% -2.53%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 3.17% -0.87%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.94% -0.8%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.51% 0.01%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.04% -1.45%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2% -0.36%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.51% -0.85%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.21% 0.14%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 1.19% -0.88%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 0.74% -1.33%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 0.82% -1.02%
13 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.62% -0.04%
14 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.35% -0.31%
15 USA Denny McCarthy 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 0.84% -0.83%
16 USA Joseph Bramlett 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 0.74% -0.93%
17 USA Sahith Theegala 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 0.69% -0.98%
18 BEL Thomas Detry 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 1.28% -0.24%
19 GER Stephan Jaeger 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.52% ≈ 65/1 0.63% -0.88%
20 USA Ryan Armour 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1.08% -0.31%
21 CAN Nick Taylor 60 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 0.53% -0.87%
22 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 3.42% 2.15%
23 USA David Lipsky 66 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.65% 0.39%
24 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.64% 0.38%
25 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.59% 0.32%
26 USA Nick Watney 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.17% -0.1%
27 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 0.85% -0.42%
28 RSA Garrick Higgo 70 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.41% 1.2% ≈ 83/1 1.58% 0.38%
29 USA Jason Dufner 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% ≈ 83/1 1.09% -0.11%
30 RSA Dylan Frittelli 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.2% ≈ 83/1 0.98% -0.21%
31 USA Scott Stallings 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.37% 0.25%
32 USA Mark Hubbard 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.09% -0.03%
33 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.3% 0.25%
34 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.21% 0.16%
35 USA Lee Hodges 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.14% 0.09%
36 USA Brian Stuard 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.13% 0.08%
37 USA Nick Hardy 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.81% -0.24%
38 USA Peter Uihlein 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.23% -0.72%
39 USA Kramer Hickok 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.7% 0.86%
40 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.07% 0.23%
41 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.05% 0.21%
42 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.76% -0.08%
43 USA Austin Cook 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.76% -0.08%
44 IND Anirban Lahiri 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.65% -0.19%
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.64% -0.2%
46 USA Davis Riley 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.29% -0.55%
47 USA Brian Gay 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.29% -0.56%
48 CAN Adam Svensson 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.28% -0.56%
49 ENG Harry Hall 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.81% ≈ 123/1 2.09% 1.28%
50 USA Brandon Hagy 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 1.24% 0.56%
51 USA Bo Hoag 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0.96% 0.27%
52 AUS Cameron Percy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.71% 0.04%
53 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.49% -0.19%
54 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.44% -0.24%
55 USA Austin Eckroat 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.88% 0.24%
56 COL Camilo Villegas 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.81% 0.21%
57 AUT Sepp Straka 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.78% 0.18%
58 USA Peter Malnati 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.73% 0.14%
59 USA Seth Reeves 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.6% 0.01%
60 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.77% 0.2%
61 FRA Paul Barjon 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.65% 0.08%
62 RSA Dawie van der Walt 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.64% 0.08%
63 NZL Danny Lee 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.51% -0.05%
64 USA Max McGreevy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.31% -0.26%
65 USA Andrew Novak 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.31% -0.26%
66 USA Brandon Wu 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.28% -0.28%
67 CAN David Hearn 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.49% -0.07%
68 ENG Luke Donald 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.75% 0.27%
69 CAN Michael Gligic 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.25% -0.23%
70 USA John Pak 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.23% -0.25%
71 USA Dylan Wu 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.83% 0.38%
72 USA Justin Lower 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 236/1 0.26% -0.16%
73 USA Chase Seiffert 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.61% 0.22%
74 USA Austin Smotherman 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.36% ≈ 279/1 0.26% -0.09%
75 SWE Ludvig Aberg 246 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.24% -0.1%
76 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 1.07% 0.73%
77 ENG Callum Tarren 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% ≈ 295/1 0.31% -0.03%
78 ENG David Skinns 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.31% 0.01%
79 USA Ben Kohles 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.31% 0.01%
80 USA Patrick Flavin 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.24% -0.06%
81 USA Scott Gutschewski 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.31% 0.02%
82 USA Scott Brown 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 353/1 0.59% 0.31%
83 USA Ben Martin 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 353/1 0.55% 0.27%
84 KOR Seungyul Noh 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 353/1 0.28% 0%
85 USA Jim Knous 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 1.7% 1.42%
86 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 1.28% 1.04%
87 USA Ted Potter-jr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.5% 0.26%
88 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.39% 0.18%
89 AUS Brett Drewitt 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.31% 0.09%
90 USA Erik Barnes 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 471/1 0.24% 0.03%
91 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 589/1 0.64% 0.47%
92 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 589/1 0.26% 0.09%
93 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 589/1 0.24% 0.07%
94 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 589/1 0.24% 0.07%
95 ARG Fabian Gomez 512 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% ≈ 603/1 0.43% 0.26%
96 KOR Sangmoon Bae 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% ≈ 615/1 0.18% 0.01%
97 USA Johnson Wagner 579 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% ≈ 682/1 0.58% 0.44%
98 USA Curtis Thompson 664 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% ≈ 782/1 0.53% 0.4%
99 USA Michael Kim 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.72% 0.63%
100 USA Ben Crane 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.39% 0.3%
101 AUS Greg Chalmers 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.3% 0.22%
102 IND Arjun Atwal 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.25% 0.16%
103 USA Tommy Gainey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.24% 0.15%
104 USA Kyle Wilshire 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% ≈ 1118/1 0.24% 0.15%
105 USA John Rollins 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.41% 0.32%
106 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.3% 0.22%
107 AUS John Senden 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.28% 0.2%
108 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
109 USA Heath Slocum 1000 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
110 USA John Merrick 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
111 USA Michael Bradley 1000 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
112 USA Michael Sims 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
113 USA Jordan Gumberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1178/1 0.24% 0.16%
114 USA Kevin Stadler 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.35% 0.29%
115 USA Matt Every 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.27% 0.2%
116 USA Greg Koch 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.25% 0.18%
117 USA Jay McLuen 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.24% 0.17%
118 SWE Daniel Chopra 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.24% 0.17%
119 BER Camiko Smith 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.24% 0.17%
120 USA Parker McLachlin 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.24% 0.17%
121 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1472/1 0.2% 0.13%
122 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1767/1 0.3% 0.24%
123 USA Ted Purdy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1767/1 0.24% 0.19%
124 CAN Matt Hill 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1767/1 0.24% 0.18%
125 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1767/1 0.24% 0.18%
126 USA Jason Bohn 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1767/1 0.22% 0.17%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 39.3% 5.9%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.5% 9.5%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 24.5% 9.7%
4 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 80.5% 19.3%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 19.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 19.8%
7 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 34.6% 20.7%
8 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 34.6% 20.7%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 47.3% 21.3%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 47.3% 21.3%
11 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 22%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 22.8%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 24%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.5%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.5%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 25.7%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 26.3%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 31.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34%