Betting Market Analysis for FedEx Open de France

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 4.77% -1.02%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.34% -1.75%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.28% -1.81%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.89% -0.78%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 2.15% -1.16%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 1.61% -1.7%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.83% -1.19%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.89% 0.21%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.58% -0.1%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.64% -1.04%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.51% -0.89%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 1.76% -0.48%
13 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.41% -0.29%
14 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.15% -0.54%
15 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 1.51% 0%
16 GER Yannik Paul 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 1% -0.51%
17 NED Joost Luiten 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 0.97% -0.54%
18 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 45 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 0.71% -0.8%
19 FRA Matthieu Pavon 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 3.83% 2.46%
20 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.45% 0.08%
21 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.28% -0.08%
22 ENG Laurie Canter 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.09% -0.28%
23 ESP Adrian Otaegui 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.06% -0.3%
24 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.24% ≈ 79/1 2.69% 1.45%
25 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% ≈ 79/1 1.21% -0.03%
26 FRA Frederic LaCroix 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.19% 0.05%
27 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.81% 0.77%
28 SWE Jesper Svensson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.61% 0.58%
29 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.38% 0.34%
30 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.07% 0.04%
31 ENG Matthew Jordan 70 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.18% 0.2%
32 FRA Antoine Rozner 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.99% 0.01%
33 FRA Tom Vaillant 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.59% -0.39%
34 ENG Andy Sullivan 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.84% -0.02%
35 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.81% -0.05%
36 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.73% -0.13%
37 FRA Adrien Saddier 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.71% -0.15%
38 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.62% -0.24%
39 FRA Julien Guerrier 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.85% 0.09%
40 GER Marcel Siem 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.1% 0.41%
41 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1% 0.31%
42 ENG Robin Williams 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.88% 0.19%
43 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.72% 0.03%
44 ENG Matthew Baldwin 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.71% 0.02%
45 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.7% 0.01%
46 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.68% -0.01%
47 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.55% -0.13%
48 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.52% -0.17%
49 ENG Andrew Johnston 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.37% -0.32%
50 THA Netipong Sritonginn 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.09% -0.6%
51 USA Sean Crocker 110 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.85% 0.22%
52 FRA Ugo Coussaud 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.82% 0.19%
53 SCO Richie Ramsay 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.68% 0.05%
54 ENG Todd Clements 110 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.68% 0.05%
55 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.67% 0.05%
56 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 1.05% 0.5%
57 ENG Sam Bairstow 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.75% 0.2%
58 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.69% 0.14%
59 ITA Andrea Pavan 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.68% 0.13%
60 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.6% 0.05%
61 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.57% 0.02%
62 ENG Dan Bradbury 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.55% 0%
63 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.48% -0.07%
64 AUS David Micheluzzi 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.71% 0.25%
65 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.44% -0.02%
66 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.39% -0.07%
67 ITA Francesco Molinari 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.31% -0.15%
68 ENG Callum Shinkwin 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.43% ≈ 230/1 0.44% 0.01%
69 FRA David Ravetto 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 1.08% 0.68%
70 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.67% 0.28%
71 SWE Jens Dantorp 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.61% 0.21%
72 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.58% 0.19%
73 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.56% 0.17%
74 FRA Alexander Levy 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.48% 0.09%
75 RSA Thomas Aiken 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.44% 0.05%
76 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.33% -0.07%
77 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.63% 0.28%
78 RSA Casey Jarvis 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.52% 0.18%
79 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.44% 0.09%
80 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.39% 0.05%
81 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 225 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 324/1 0.57% 0.27%
82 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.8% 0.52%
83 ESP Adria Arnaus 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.41% 0.13%
84 SCO David Law 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.4% 0.12%
85 ENG Eddie Pepperell 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 396/1 0.43% 0.17%
86 ENG Marco Penge 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.42% 0.19%
87 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.35% 0.12%
88 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.31% 0.08%
89 RSA Dylan Frittelli 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.53% 0.33%
90 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.47% 0.28%
91 AUT Matthias Schwab 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.36% 0.17%
92 ENG Danny Willett 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 503/1 0.22% 0.03%
93 GER Marcel Schneider 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 575/1 0.43% 0.25%
94 ENG James Morrison 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.39% 0.25%
95 NED Daan Huizing 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.37% 0.23%
96 ENG Dale Whitnell 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.31% 0.17%
97 RSA Justin Walters 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.29% 0.15%
98 RSA MJ Daffue 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.28% 0.14%
99 CHN Wu Ashun 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.27% 0.13%
100 USA James Nicholas 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.21% 0.07%
101 Hugo Le Goff 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0% -0.14%
102 GER Nick Bachem 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.49% 0.37%
103 ESP Manuel Elvira 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.43% 0.31%
104 POR Ricardo Gouveia 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.3% 0.18%
105 KOR Sunghoon Kang 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.17% 0.05%
106 SWE Jonas Blixt 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.14% 0.03%
107 ESP Santiago Tarrio 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.11% -0.01%
108 UKR Lev Grinberg 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0% -0.12%
109 SWE Simon Forsstrom 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1078/1 0.29% 0.19%
110 FRA Clement Sordet 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1078/1 0.21% 0.11%
111 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1078/1 0.19% 0.1%
112 SCO Stephen Gallacher 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1078/1 0.09% 0%
113 USA Jordan Gumberg 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1438/1 0.42% 0.35%
114 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1438/1 0.41% 0.34%
115 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1438/1 0.29% 0.22%
116 FRA Romain Wattel 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1438/1 0.15% 0.08%
117 Oscar Couilleau 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1438/1 0% -0.07%
118 ENG Will Enefer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.24% 0.2%
119 USA Gunner Wiebe 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.23% 0.18%
120 USA Chase Hanna 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.17% 0.12%
121 GER Alexander Knappe 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.12% 0.08%
122 RSA Justin Harding 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.08% 0.04%
123 FRA Gregory Bourdy 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2156/1 0.03% -0.02%
124 FRA Franck Daux 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3594/1 0.06% 0.03%
125 FRA Gregory Havret 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3594/1 0.02% -0.01%
126 ENG Daniel Gavins 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7187/1 0.13% 0.11%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.6% 22.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.6%
3 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 70% 29.3%
4 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70% 29.3%
5 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.4%
6 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 75.5% 33.4%
7 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 33.5%
8 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 33.5%
9 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 51.7% 33.6%
10 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 64% 34.9%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.7% 36.4%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 70.9% 40.6%
13 VBet 6 @ 1/5 57% 40.7%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 41.1%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 41.1%
16 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 41.1%
17 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 41.6%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 41.9%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 60.8% 44.2%
20 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 60.8% 44.2%
21 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 76.7% 45.5%