Betting Market Analysis for Charles Schwab Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 5.41% -0.79%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 4.46% -1.75%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 1.74% -4.47%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 1.79% -2.45%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3.84% -0.01%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3.82% -0.03%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.3% -0.48%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 2.2% -0.41%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1% -1.38%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 1.5% -0.74%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 1.29% -0.95%
12 MEX Abraham Ancer 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% ≈ 44/1 1.07% -1.17%
13 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 1.99% 0.02%
14 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 1.35% -0.62%
15 USA Tony Finau 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 1.13% -0.83%
16 USA Jason Kokrak 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 1.09% -0.87%
17 USA Webb Simpson 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 0.75% -1.22%
18 USA Davis Riley 45 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 1.59% -0.16%
19 USA Chris Kirk 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 1.21% -0.55%
20 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 1.11% -0.64%
21 USA Kevin Na 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% ≈ 62/1 1.46% -0.12%
22 USA Harold Varner III 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% ≈ 62/1 1.03% -0.56%
23 COL Sebastian Munoz 55 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 0.89% -0.55%
24 AUT Sepp Straka 66 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.58% 0.38%
25 USA Brian Harman 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.24% 0.04%
26 ENG Justin Rose 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 1.23% 0.03%
27 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% ≈ 82/1 0.88% -0.32%
28 USA Tom Hoge 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.59% 0.45%
29 USA Bubba Watson 80 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.58% -0.41%
30 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 1.47% 0.58%
31 USA Troy Merritt 90 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 1.06% 0.18%
32 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.74% 0.94%
33 USA Patrick Reed 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.44% 0.64%
34 USA Ryan Palmer 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.68% ≈ 145/1 0.4% -0.28%
35 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 1.06% 0.42%
36 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 1.23% 0.59%
37 TPE C.T. Pan 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.87% 0.24%
38 USA Bryson DeChambeau 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.59% ≈ 169/1 0.42% -0.17%
39 AUS Lucas Herbert 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 186/1 1.4% 0.87%
40 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 186/1 0.72% 0.19%
41 USA Brendon Todd 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% ≈ 186/1 0.49% -0.04%
42 USA Cameron Tringale 156 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.64% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 0.84% 0.32%
43 RSA Erik van Rooyen 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.74% 0.26%
44 USA Rickie Fowler 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.44% -0.04%
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.51% 0.05%
46 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 217/1 0.35% -0.11%
47 USA Patton Kizzire 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.76% 0.32%
48 USA Adam Long 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.59% 0.16%
49 AUS Cameron Davis 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.81% 0.4%
50 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.68% 0.27%
51 USA Nate Lashley 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.61% 0.21%
52 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.6% 0.2%
53 ENG Aaron Rai 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.43% 0.02%
54 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.39% -0.01%
55 USA Denny McCarthy 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.89% 0.5%
56 USA Doug Ghim 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.53% 0.14%
57 USA Joel Dahmen 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.51% 0.12%
58 USA Lucas Glover 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 1.05% 0.67%
59 SCO Russell Knox 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.46% 0.09%
60 USA J.J Spaun 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.98% 0.62%
61 ENG Ian Poulter 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.56% 0.2%
62 RSA Dylan Frittelli 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.64% 0.29%
63 USA Kevin Streelman 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.34% ≈ 290/1 0.56% 0.22%
64 USA David Lipsky 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.33% ≈ 303/1 0.45% 0.12%
65 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.96% 0.64%
66 USA Kurt Kitayama 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.7% 0.37%
67 USA Brandon Wu 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.57% 0.24%
68 AUS Minwoo Lee 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.32% 0%
69 USA Alex Smalley 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.26% -0.06%
70 USA Sahith Theegala 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.86% 0.57%
71 USA James Hahn 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.44% 0.15%
72 ARG Emiliano Grillo 283 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.38% 0.1%
73 AUS Matt Jones 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 1.02% 0.75%
74 USA Austin Smotherman 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.27% ≈ 363/1 0.68% 0.41%
75 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 372/1 0.43% 0.17%
76 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 372/1 0.35% 0.08%
77 USA Patrick Rodgers 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.46% 0.19%
78 SVK Rory Sabbatini 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 376/1 0.44% 0.18%
79 USA Peter Malnati 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.68% 0.42%
80 AUT Matthias Schwab 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.26% ≈ 388/1 0.41% 0.15%
81 USA Pat Perez 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.25% ≈ 399/1 0.55% 0.3%
82 USA Andrew Putnam 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.24% ≈ 412/1 0.41% 0.17%
83 USA Vincent Whaley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 434/1 0.3% 0.07%
84 USA Charley Hoffman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 434/1 0.1% -0.13%
85 NZL Danny Lee 352 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 436/1 0.21% -0.02%
86 USA Doc Redman 362 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.33% 0.11%
87 USA Chez Reavie 381 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.21% ≈ 472/1 0.47% 0.25%
88 ENG Richard Bland 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.59% 0.39%
89 CAN Adam Svensson 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.58% 0.38%
90 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.44% 0.24%
91 USA Taylor Moore 411 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.2% ≈ 510/1 0.42% 0.23%
92 CAN Nick Taylor 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.19% ≈ 521/1 0.48% 0.29%
93 USA Wyndham Clark 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.19% ≈ 521/1 0.28% 0.09%
94 USA Zach Johnson 430 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.33% 0.14%
95 USA Kramer Hickok 450 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.18% ≈ 558/1 0.36% 0.18%
96 USA Chad Ramey 450 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.18% ≈ 558/1 0.35% 0.17%
97 USA Robert Streb 460 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.18% ≈ 570/1 0.41% 0.24%
98 USA Sam Ryder 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 606/1 0.46% 0.29%
99 RSA Garrick Higgo 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 606/1 0.35% 0.19%
100 USA Harry Higgs 499 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 619/1 0.26% 0.1%
101 USA Ty Strafaci 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 620/1 0.1% -0.06%
102 USA Brandt Snedeker 509 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.46% 0.3%
103 USA Adam Schenk 509 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.4% 0.24%
104 FRA Paul Barjon 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 728/1 0.29% 0.15%
105 USA Trey Mullinax 607 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.13% ≈ 752/1 0.49% 0.36%
106 USA Michael Thompson 607 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.13% ≈ 752/1 0.48% 0.35%
107 USA Lee Hodges 714 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.11% ≈ 885/1 0.43% 0.31%
108 ENG Luke Donald 714 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.11% ≈ 885/1 0.36% 0.25%
109 USA Hayden Buckley 734 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.11% ≈ 910/1 0.15% 0.04%
110 USA Nick Watney 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.41% 0.3%
111 USA Bill Haas 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.39% 0.28%
112 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.3% 0.2%
113 USA John Pak 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.3% 0.19%
114 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.24% 0.13%
115 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.21% 0.11%
116 USA Max McGreevy 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.21% 0.1%
117 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 930/1 0.1% -0.01%
118 USA James Piot 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1859/1 0.11% 0.06%
119 USA Erik Compton 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1859/1 0.11% 0.05%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.5% 10.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 14.6%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 15.9%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.1% 16.5%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.3% 17.4%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 81.2% 19.8%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37.5% 21.1%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60% 21.6%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 21.8%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 61.2% 22.6%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 25.8%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.7% 26%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.7% 26%
14 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.1%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 33.5%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 34.6%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56% 37.4%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 38.8%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 62.6% 43.3%