Betting Market Analysis for Valero Texas Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 3.36% -2.21%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.46% -2.36%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 1.81% -3.01%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 1.85% -1.95%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 3.25% -0.19%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.03% -1.12%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 0.92% -2.23%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.4% -1.38%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.15% -1.19%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.18% -0.95%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 2.09% 0.08%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.53% -0.48%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 1.14% -0.62%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 0.07% -1.69%
15 USA Maverick McNealy 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 2.02% 0.44%
16 USA Benjamin Griffin 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.42% -0.16%
17 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.79% -0.79%
18 USA Bud Cauley 45 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.67% -0.9%
19 USA Sam Burns 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.49% 0.07%
20 USA JT Poston 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.48% 0.06%
21 USA Samuel Stevens 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.08% -0.34%
22 USA Keith Mitchell 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 0.82% -0.6%
23 USA Lee Hodges 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 76/1 0.93% -0.36%
24 ENG Harry Hall 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 76/1 0.9% -0.39%
25 USA Andrew Novak 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.05% -0.14%
26 USA Jake Knappe 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.03% -0.16%
27 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.11% 0.03%
28 NZL Ryan Fox 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.87% -0.22%
29 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.75% -0.33%
30 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.71% -0.37%
31 USA Ryan Gerard 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.65% -0.43%
32 ENG Justin Rose 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.37% 0.35%
33 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.03% 0.01%
34 USA Charley Hoffman 75 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.75% -0.2%
35 USA Tom Hoge 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.4% 0.51%
36 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.98% 0.08%
37 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.73% -0.16%
38 USA Brian Harman 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 1.41% 0.61%
39 FRA Victor Perez 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.91% 0.11%
40 USA Eric Cole 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 139/1 1.27% 0.55%
41 USA Cameron Young 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 139/1 1.18% 0.46%
42 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 139/1 0.61% -0.11%
43 USA Beau Hossler 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 0.95% 0.3%
44 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 110 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 0.92% 0.26%
45 IRL Seamus Power 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 0.76% 0.11%
46 USA Andrew Putnam 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 0.64% -0.01%
47 USA Max McGreevy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.09% 0.51%
48 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1% 0.43%
49 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.97% 0.4%
50 SWE Jesper Svensson 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.83% 0.26%
51 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.83% 0.25%
52 FIN Sami Valimaki 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.77% 0.2%
53 USA Sam Ryder 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.62% 0.05%
54 USA Isaiah Salinda 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.59% 0.02%
55 USA Joel Dahmen 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.58% 0%
56 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.89% 0.41%
57 ARG Alejandro Tosti 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.58% 0.1%
58 USA Chan Kim 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.58% 0.1%
59 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.39% -0.09%
60 USA Max Homa 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.94% 0.53%
61 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.93% 0.52%
62 USA Patrick Fishburn 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.78% 0.37%
63 ARG Emiliano Grillo 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.65% 0.24%
64 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.59% 0.18%
65 USA Greyson Sigg 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.55% 0.14%
66 SWE Henrik Norlander 175 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.51% 0.1%
67 USA Ricky Castillo 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.38% -0.03%
68 USA Trey Mullinax 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.2% -0.21%
69 USA Justin Lower 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.94% 0.58%
70 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.64% 0.28%
71 USA Steven Fisk 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.58% 0.22%
72 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.55% 0.19%
73 FRA Antoine Rozner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.66% 0.37%
74 USA Chandler Phillips 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.59% 0.3%
75 CAN Adam Svensson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.59% 0.3%
76 JPN Takumi Kanaya 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.54% 0.25%
77 USA Danny Walker 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.47% 0.18%
78 USA Jackson Suber 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.43% 0.15%
79 USA Quade Cummins 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.38% 0.09%
80 GER Jeremy Paul 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.32% 0.03%
81 USA Preston Summerhays 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0% -0.29%
82 USA Benjamin James 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0% -0.29%
83 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.78% 0.54%
84 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.73% 0.48%
85 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.66% 0.42%
86 USA Carson Young 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.61% 0.37%
87 USA Kevin Roy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.48% 0.24%
88 USA Zach Johnson 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.22% -0.02%
89 USA Ben Martin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.2% -0.04%
90 USA Webb Simpson 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.19% -0.05%
91 USA Chad Ramey 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 484/1 0.32% 0.11%
92 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.66% 0.48%
93 USA Luke List 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.6% 0.42%
94 USA Ben Kohles 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.59% 0.41%
95 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.51% 0.33%
96 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.45% 0.27%
97 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.44% 0.26%
98 USA Nate Lashley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.43% 0.25%
99 USA Lanto Griffin 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.34% 0.16%
100 USA Nick Hardy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 553/1 0.27% 0.09%
101 RSA Thriston Lawrence 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 1.14% 1%
102 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.46% 0.31%
103 SWE Tim Widing 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.46% 0.31%
104 USA William Mouw 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.42% 0.28%
105 SCO Martin Laird 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.28% 0.14%
106 USA Noah Goodwin 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.26% 0.11%
107 USA Brandt Snedeker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.21% 0.06%
108 USA Norman Xiong 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 691/1 0.19% 0.05%
109 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 830/1 0.53% 0.41%
110 USA Frankie Capan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.59% 0.49%
111 USA David Lipsky 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.54% 0.44%
112 USA Paul Peterson 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.43% 0.33%
113 GER Thomas Rosenmuller 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.41% 0.31%
114 USA John Pak 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.31% 0.21%
115 IRL Padraig Harrington 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.16% 0.06%
116 USA Matthew Riedel 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1037/1 0.14% 0.04%
117 ENG Paul Waring 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.71% 0.64%
118 USA Peter Malnati 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.57% 0.5%
119 USA Harry Higgs 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.48% 0.41%
120 USA Taylor Dickson 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.46% 0.38%
121 COL Camilo Villegas 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.39% 0.32%
122 ENG David Skinns 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.33% 0.25%
123 USA Hayden Buckley 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.22% 0.15%
124 USA Trevor Cone 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.22% 0.14%
125 ITA Francesco Molinari 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.12% 0.05%
126 USA Blaine Hale, Jr. 1000 (VBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1382/1 0.07% 0%
127 USA Will Chandler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2073/1 0.26% 0.22%
128 USA Mason Andersen 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2073/1 0.25% 0.2%
129 JPN Kaito Onishi 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2073/1 0.24% 0.2%
130 AUS Aaron Baddeley 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2073/1 0.22% 0.17%
131 USA Jimmy Walker 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2073/1 0.1% 0.06%
132 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2764/1 0.36% 0.32%
133 USA Braden Thornberry 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2764/1 0.26% 0.22%
134 USA Ryan Palmer 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2764/1 0.14% 0.1%
135 USA Kevin Kisner 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2764/1 0.05% 0.02%
136 USA Anders Albertson 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2764/1 0.04% 0.01%
137 PUR Rafael Campos 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3455/1 0.48% 0.45%
138 USA Philip Knowles 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3455/1 0.1% 0.08%
139 USA Bronson Burgoon 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3455/1 0.05% 0.02%
140 USA Jared Jones 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3455/1 0% -0.03%
141 USA Vince Covello 3000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4146/1 0.01% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 48.7% 13.4%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 16.1%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 16.1%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 56.8% 19.5%
5 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 57.6% 20.1%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41% 24.3%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.6% 25.4%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 64.6% 25.4%
9 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 46.4% 29.1%
10 VBet 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 29.5%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 29.9%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46% 31.2%
13 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 46% 31.2%
14 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 33.6%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.7% 36.7%
16 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 39% 37.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
18 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
19 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 47% 47%