Betting Market Analysis for Charles Schwab Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 hours ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 5.41% -1.14%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 4.46% -1.59%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 1.79% -2.83%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 1.74% -2.89%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 3.84% 0.09%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 3.82% 0.07%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.3% -0.41%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.2% -0.34%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1% -1.32%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.5% -0.69%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.35% -0.83%
12 USA Talor Gooch 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.19% ≈ 45/1 1.29% -0.89%
13 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 1.99% 0.07%
14 USA Tony Finau 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 1.13% -0.78%
15 USA Jason Kokrak 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 1.09% -0.82%
16 MEX Abraham Ancer 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 1.07% -0.84%
17 USA Webb Simpson 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% ≈ 51/1 0.75% -1.17%
18 USA Davis Riley 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.59% 0.05%
19 USA Gary Woodland 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.11% -0.43%
20 USA Harold Varner III 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.03% -0.52%
21 USA Kevin Na 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 1.46% 0.17%
22 USA Chris Kirk 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 1.21% -0.08%
23 COL Sebastian Munoz 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 0.89% -0.4%
24 AUT Sepp Straka 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.58% 0.41%
25 USA Brian Harman 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.24% 0.07%
26 ENG Justin Rose 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.23% 0.06%
27 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 0.88% -0.29%
28 USA Tom Hoge 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.59% 0.48%
29 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.23% 0.26%
30 USA Bubba Watson 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.58% -0.39%
31 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.4% -0.57%
32 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.74% 0.96%
33 USA Kevin Kisner 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.47% 0.69%
34 USA Patrick Reed 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.44% 0.66%
35 USA Troy Merritt 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.06% 0.28%
36 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.74% -0.04%
37 USA Bryson DeChambeau 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.42% -0.36%
38 TPE C.T. Pan 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.87% 0.15%
39 USA Cameron Tringale 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.84% 0.11%
40 USA Rickie Fowler 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.44% -0.23%
41 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 1.06% 0.43%
42 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.89% 0.26%
43 USA Adam Long 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 159/1 0.59% -0.03%
44 AUS Lucas Herbert 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 1.4% 0.87%
45 ENG Ian Poulter 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.56% 0.02%
46 AUS Cameron Davis 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.81% 0.29%
47 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.76% 0.24%
48 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.72% 0.2%
49 SCO Russell Knox 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.46% -0.06%
50 USA Doug Ghim 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.53% 0.08%
51 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.51% 0.07%
52 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.51% 0.06%
53 USA David Lipsky 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.45% 0%
54 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.35% -0.1%
55 USA J.J Spaun 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.98% 0.57%
56 USA Sahith Theegala 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.86% 0.47%
57 USA Austin Smotherman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.68% 0.29%
58 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.68% 0.28%
59 USA Nate Lashley 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.61% 0.22%
60 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.6% 0.21%
61 USA Kevin Streelman 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.56% 0.17%
62 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.46% 0.07%
63 ENG Aaron Rai 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.43% 0.03%
64 USA Lucas Glover 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 1.05% 0.66%
65 RSA Dylan Frittelli 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.64% 0.25%
66 USA Brendon Todd 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.49% 0.11%
67 USA James Hahn 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.44% 0.06%
68 SVK Rory Sabbatini 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.44% 0.12%
69 ARG Emiliano Grillo 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.32% ≈ 310/1 0.38% 0.06%
70 AUS Matt Jones 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 1.02% 0.71%
71 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.96% 0.64%
72 USA Kurt Kitayama 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.7% 0.38%
73 USA Brandon Wu 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.57% 0.25%
74 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.48% 0.17%
75 USA Chad Ramey 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.35% 0.03%
76 AUS Minwoo Lee 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.32% 0.01%
77 USA Alex Smalley 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.26% -0.05%
78 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 318/1 0.21% -0.1%
79 USA Peter Malnati 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.31% ≈ 323/1 0.68% 0.37%
80 USA Pat Perez 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.31% ≈ 323/1 0.55% 0.24%
81 AUT Matthias Schwab 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.31% ≈ 323/1 0.41% 0.1%
82 GER Stephan Jaeger 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.31% ≈ 323/1 0.39% 0.08%
83 USA Chez Reavie 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.27% ≈ 373/1 0.47% 0.2%
84 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 382/1 0.43% 0.17%
85 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 382/1 0.41% 0.15%
86 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 382/1 0.35% 0.09%
87 USA Doc Redman 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 382/1 0.33% 0.07%
88 USA Vincent Whaley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 382/1 0.3% 0.04%
89 USA Taylor Moore 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.42% 0.17%
90 USA Charley Hoffman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 445/1 0.1% -0.12%
91 USA Wyndham Clark 352 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 448/1 0.28% 0.05%
92 ENG Richard Bland 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 509/1 0.59% 0.4%
93 CAN Adam Svensson 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 509/1 0.58% 0.38%
94 FRA Paul Barjon 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 509/1 0.29% 0.09%
95 USA Robert Streb 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.19% ≈ 534/1 0.41% 0.23%
96 USA Sam Ryder 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.18% ≈ 560/1 0.46% 0.28%
97 USA Zach Johnson 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.18% ≈ 560/1 0.33% 0.15%
98 USA Kramer Hickok 479 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.16% ≈ 609/1 0.36% 0.2%
99 USA Harry Higgs 479 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.16% ≈ 609/1 0.26% 0.1%
100 USA Brandt Snedeker 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.46% 0.3%
101 USA Adam Schenk 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 622/1 0.4% 0.24%
102 USA Michael Thompson 499 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 635/1 0.48% 0.33%
103 USA Ty Strafaci 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 636/1 0.1% -0.05%
104 USA Trey Mullinax 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.15% ≈ 684/1 0.49% 0.34%
105 RSA Garrick Higgo 577 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.35% 0.21%
106 USA Tyler Duncan 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 746/1 0.44% 0.3%
107 USA Lee Hodges 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 746/1 0.43% 0.29%
108 ENG Luke Donald 685 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.11% ≈ 871/1 0.36% 0.24%
109 USA Hayden Buckley 734 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.11% ≈ 933/1 0.15% 0.04%
110 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.41% 0.33%
111 USA Bill Haas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.39% 0.31%
112 USA Kevin Tway 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.24% 0.15%
113 COL Camilo Villegas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.21% 0.13%
114 USA Max McGreevy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.21% 0.13%
115 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1245/1 0.1% 0.02%
116 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1272/1 0.3% 0.23%
117 USA John Pak 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1272/1 0.3% 0.22%
118 USA Erik Compton 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1272/1 0.11% 0.03%
119 USA James Piot 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1907/1 0.11% 0.06%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 13.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.4% 14.2%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.5% 16.7%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 20.2% 20.2%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.4% 21.1%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.6% 21.3%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 22.2%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 88.8% 24.9%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 26.5%
9 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 26.5%
10 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 29.7%
11 Coral 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 29.7%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.7% 31.5%
13 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 60.8% 41.7%