Betting Market Analysis for Palmetto Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 5 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 2.92% -6.52%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 2.51% -1.47%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 2.41% -0.5%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 2.37% -2.66%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 2.35% -0.25%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.06% -1.53%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 2.01% 0.17%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 1.9% -7.54%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 1.84% 0.36%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.79% -0.05%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 1.72% 0.78%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.64% -0.21%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 1.63% 0.15%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 1.38% -0.26%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 1.38% -0.27%
16 ENG Danny Willett 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 88/1 1.29% 0.16%
17 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% ≈ 67/1 1.2% -0.28%
18 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 1.16% 0.91%
19 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 1.15% 0.55%
20 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 88/1 1.15% 0.02%
21 USA Bo Hoag 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 1.15% 0.4%
22 USA Pat Perez 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 1.09% 0.16%
23 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 1.09% 0.59%
24 USA Richy Werenski 125 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 1.07% 0.47%
25 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 1.05% 0.67%
26 USA JT Poston 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 1.04% 0.29%
27 USA David Lipsky 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 1.03% 0.43%
28 USA Kevin Kisner 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% ≈ 67/1 1% -0.48%
29 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.98% 0.24%
30 USA Scott Stallings 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 0.97% -0.09%
31 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.96% 0.58%
32 TPE C.T. Pan 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 0.95% -0.12%
33 USA Ben Martin 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.89% 0.14%
34 COL Camilo Villegas 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.88% 0.28%
35 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.87% 0.37%
36 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 0.87% -0.06%
37 SCO Martin Laird 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 0.87% -0.06%
38 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 106/1 0.86% -0.08%
39 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.85% 0.47%
40 USA Tyler McCumber 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 232/1 0.85% 0.42%
41 PUR Rafael Campos 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.85% 0.6%
42 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.81% 0.43%
43 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.81% 0.06%
44 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.79% 0.04%
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.79% 0.04%
46 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.79% 0.41%
47 USA Adam Schenk 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.75% 0.25%
48 ENG Tom Lewis 100 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.72% -0.03%
49 KOR Byeong Hun An 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.71% 0.11%
50 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.7% 0.2%
51 USA Vaughn Taylor 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.7% 0.16%
52 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.69% 0.19%
53 USA Bronson Burgoon 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.69% 0.09%
54 USA Peter Malnati 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.68% 0.43%
55 USA James Hahn 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.67% 0.17%
56 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.65% -0.1%
57 USA Brian Stuard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.64% 0.14%
58 USA Hudson Swafford 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.63% 0.44%
59 USA Brian Gay 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.62% 0.43%
60 USA Scott Brown 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.62% 0.37%
61 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.62% 0.37%
62 USA Doc Redman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 88/1 0.61% -0.52%
63 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.59% 0.34%
64 USA Nate Lashley 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.59% -0.01%
65 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.59% 0.43%
66 USA Ted Potter-jr 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 464/1 0.56% 0.35%
67 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.55% 0.36%
68 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.55% 0.17%
69 USA Robby Shelton 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 232/1 0.54% 0.11%
70 KOR Sunghoon Kang 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 232/1 0.54% 0.11%
71 USA Wes Roach 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 464/1 0.53% 0.32%
72 USA William Gordon 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.52% 0.27%
73 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 331/1 0.51% 0.21%
74 USA Scott Piercy 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.51% -0.09%
75 USA Jason Dufner 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.51% 0.01%
76 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 331/1 0.51% 0.2%
77 USA Chesson Hadley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 464/1 0.5% 0.29%
78 AUS Cameron Percy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.47% 0.09%
79 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% ≈ 133/1 0.46% -0.28%
80 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.46% 0.21%
81 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.45% -0.05%
82 USA Ryan Brehm 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.44% 0.25%
83 CAN David Hearn 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.44% 0.25%
84 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.43% 0.28%
85 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.43% 0.24%
86 USA Josh Teater 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.43% 0.18%
87 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.42% -0.08%
88 USA Kevin Chappell 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.41% 0.04%
89 USA Kevin Tway 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.39% 0.2%
90 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.38% 0.13%
91 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.37% 0%
92 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.36% 0.11%
93 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 331/1 0.36% 0.06%
94 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 331/1 0.35% 0.05%
95 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.35% 0.2%
96 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 464/1 0.34% 0.13%
97 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.34% 0.18%
98 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 265/1 0.34% -0.04%
99 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.33% 0.26%
100 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.33% 0.18%
101 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.32% 0.17%
102 RSA Wilco Nienaber 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.31% -0.19%
103 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.31% 0.16%
104 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.31% 0.16%
105 USA Johnson Wagner 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.3% 0.12%
106 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.3% 0.23%
107 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.3% 0.05%
108 USA John Huh 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 232/1 0.3% -0.13%
109 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.29% 0.04%
110 USA Roberto Castro 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.29% 0.14%
111 USA Austin Cook 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.28% 0.09%
112 USA Bill Haas 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 795/1 0.28% 0.15%
113 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.27% 0.2%
114 USA Dominic Bozzelli 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.27% 0.2%
115 USA Shawn Stefani 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.27% 0.12%
116 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.27% 0.12%
117 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.27% 0.12%
118 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.27% 0.12%
119 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.27% 0.12%
120 USA Hunter Mahan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 993/1 0.26% 0.16%
121 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.25% 0.17%
122 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.24% 0.09%
123 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1986/1 0.24% 0.19%
124 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.24% -0.27%
125 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.23% 0.08%
126 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.23% 0.15%
127 USA George McNeill 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.21% 0.14%
128 USA Nick Watney 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1060/1 0.21% 0.12%
129 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.21% 0.13%
130 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.2% 0.13%
131 USA John Rollins 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1986/1 0.2% 0.15%
132 SWE Carl Pettersson 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.2% 0.13%
133 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.2% 0.13%
134 IND Arjun Atwal 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1060/1 0.2% 0.11%
135 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.19% 0.11%
136 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.19% 0.11%
137 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 662/1 0.19% 0.04%
138 USA Jim Knous 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.18% 0.1%
139 USA J.B. Holmes 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 398/1 0.18% -0.07%
140 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1986/1 0.17% 0.12%
141 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.17% 0.1%
142 USA Cole Hammer 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 331/1 0.17% -0.13%
143 USA Harrison Frazar 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1986/1 0.17% 0.12%
144 USA Kelly Mitchum 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1986/1 0.17% 0.12%
145 USA Tain Lee 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.17% 0.09%
146 USA Cody Blick 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.17% 0.09%
147 USA John Pak 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.17% -0.33%
148 USA Davis Thompson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.17% -0.43%
149 USA Chris Baker 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.16% 0.09%
150 ENG Benjamin Taylor 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1324/1 0.16% 0.09%
151 USA Michael Gellerman 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 993/1 0.16% 0.06%
152 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.16% -0.03%
153 USA Bryson Nimmer 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 530/1 0.15% -0.04%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 43.2% 11%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.8% 19.4%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 20.1%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 20.2%
5 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
8 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.1% 21.5%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 86.1% 25.7%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 42.7% 27.3%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.9%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53% 28.3%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 30%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49% 33.1%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 36.2%
16 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.6%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 39%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.9%