Betting Market Analysis for Hainan Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.23% -2.16%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 0.16% -5.23%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 0.61% -4.15%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 1.61% -2.65%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.35% -1.17%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 1.55% -1.96%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.11% -0.68%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.28% -1.34%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2.63% 0.25%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.7% -0.55%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 2.23% 0.47%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 0.52% -1.24%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 2.04% 0.45%
14 NZL Daniel Hillier 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% ≈ 62/1 2.04% 0.45%
15 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% ≈ 62/1 1.9% 0.31%
16 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% ≈ 62/1 1.45% -0.13%
17 ENG Marco Penge 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% ≈ 62/1 0.9% -0.69%
18 GER Marcel Schneider 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 0.95% -0.49%
19 SCO Calum Hill 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.82% 0.61%
20 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.32% 0.11%
21 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.14% -0.06%
22 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.05% -0.16%
23 RSA Casey Jarvis 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.02% -0.19%
24 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 66 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 0.85% -0.35%
25 NZL Kazuma Kobori 66 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 0.75% -0.46%
26 USA Brandon Wu 70 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.86% -0.28%
27 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.4% 0.4%
28 ENG Andy Sullivan 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.38% 0.38%
29 KOR Minkyu Kim 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.23% 0.23%
30 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.11% 0.12%
31 SWE Marcus Kinhult 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.09% 0.09%
32 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 1% 0%
33 POR Ricardo Gouveia 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.93% -0.07%
34 HKG Taichi Kho 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.55% -0.45%
35 SWE Niklas Lemke 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.54% -0.46%
36 Martin Couvra 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.04% 0.15%
37 FIN Oliver Lindell 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.96% 0.07%
38 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 90 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.91% 0.02%
39 ESP Nacho Elvira 100 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.46% 0.66%
40 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.11% 0.31%
41 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.09% 0.29%
42 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 1.06% 0.26%
43 FRA Tom Vaillant 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.88% 0.08%
44 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.86% 0.06%
45 ENG Callum Tarren 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.6% -0.2%
46 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% ≈ 124/1 0.52% -0.28%
47 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.15% 0.43%
48 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 1.5% 0.86%
49 AUS Elvis Smylie 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 1.15% 0.51%
50 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 1.13% 0.49%
51 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.97% 0.33%
52 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.67% 0.03%
53 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 1.1% 0.56%
54 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 1.04% 0.51%
55 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 1.01% 0.48%
56 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.88% 0.35%
57 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.88% 0.35%
58 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.69% 0.15%
59 GER Jannik De Bruyn 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.59% 0.05%
60 ITA Gregorio De Leo 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% ≈ 186/1 0.51% -0.02%
61 ENG Robin Williams 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 1.3% 0.84%
62 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 1.09% 0.63%
63 Joshua Berry 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.91% 0.46%
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.78% 0.32%
65 USA Jordan Gumberg 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.71% 0.25%
66 ESP Manuel Elvira 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.67% 0.21%
67 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.66% 0.2%
68 DEN Hamish Brown 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 247/1 1.05% 0.65%
69 IRL Conor Purcell 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 247/1 0.97% 0.57%
70 FRA Benjamin Hebert 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 247/1 0.7% 0.3%
71 ENG Jack Senior 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 247/1 0.65% 0.25%
72 ENG Ben Schmidt 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% ≈ 247/1 0.51% 0.11%
73 RSA Dylan Naidoo 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 1.25% 0.93%
74 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.96% 0.64%
75 RSA Deon Germishuys 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.93% 0.61%
76 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.87% 0.55%
77 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.58% 0.26%
78 ESP Albert Boneta 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.21% -0.11%
79 CHN Zhou Yanhan 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 309/1 0.2% -0.12%
80 ENG Ross Fisher 275 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 340/1 0.54% 0.24%
81 FRA Clement Sordet 275 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 340/1 0.28% -0.02%
82 CHN Zihao Jin 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 371/1 0.45% 0.18%
83 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 371/1 0.23% -0.04%
84 USA Davis Bryant 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 371/1 0.18% -0.09%
85 RSA Justin Harding 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% ≈ 371/1 0.18% -0.09%
86 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 433/1 0.3% 0.07%
87 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 494/1 1.06% 0.86%
88 FRA Alexander Levy 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 494/1 0.55% 0.35%
89 ESP Santiago Tarrio 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 494/1 0.19% -0.01%
90 PHI Lloyd Jefferson Go 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.34% 0.16%
91 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.83% 0.67%
92 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.78% 0.62%
93 ENG Matthew Baldwin 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.76% 0.6%
94 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.61% 0.44%
95 SWE Mikael Lindberg 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.5% 0.33%
96 AUT Matthias Schwab 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.43% 0.26%
97 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.39% 0.22%
98 NED Wil Besseling 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.28% 0.12%
99 SVK Tadeas Tetak 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.24% 0.07%
100 AUS Daniel Gale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.23% 0.07%
101 AUS Brett Coletta 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.18% 0.02%
102 GER Alexander Knappe 500 (QuinnBet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.16% 0%
103 USA Corey Shaun 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.15% -0.02%
104 CHN Xiao Bowen 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 618/1 0.03% -0.13%
105 FRA Pierre Pineau 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 742/1 0.47% 0.34%
106 ENG Sam Hutsby 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 742/1 0.36% 0.22%
107 RSA Ockie Strydom 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 742/1 0.33% 0.2%
108 FRA Jean Bekirian 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 742/1 0.16% 0.03%
109 SWE Bjorn Akesson 750 (Star Sports: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 927/1 0.51% 0.4%
110 RSA Louis Albertse 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 927/1 0.41% 0.3%
111 ENG James Morrison 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 927/1 0.41% 0.3%
112 Alexander George Frances 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 927/1 0.26% 0.16%
113 HKG Shun Yat Hak 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1236/1 0.16% 0.08%
114 USA Ian Schneider 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1236/1 0% -0.08%
115 Bastien Amat 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1236/1 0% -0.08%
116 CHN Tang Haizhao 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1236/1 0% -0.08%
117 TPE Lawrence Ting 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1236/1 0% -0.08%
118 Jake Vincent 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1854/1 0% -0.05%
119 CHN Luo Xuewen 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3089/1 0.21% 0.18%
120 AUS Junseok Lee 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3089/1 0.15% 0.12%
121 CHN Chen Yilong 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3089/1 0.04% 0.01%
122 CHN Li Linqiang 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3089/1 0.03% 0%
123 CHN Chen Zihao 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3707/1 0.11% 0.08%
124 CHN Jin Cheng 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3707/1 0.04% 0.01%
125 SGP Gregory Foo 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3707/1 0.04% 0.01%
126 TPE K.P. Lin 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3707/1 0.04% 0.01%
127 USA Sydney Chung 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0.07% 0.05%
128 CHN Liu Enhua 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0.07% 0.05%
129 JPN Shinichi Mizuno 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0.05% 0.03%
130 CHN Cao Tommy Senshou 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0.04% 0.02%
131 TPE Liu Yu-jui 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
132 JPN Takuki Hayashi 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
133 CZE Gordan Brixi 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
134 AUS George Worrall 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
135 CHN Tong Yang 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
136 TPE Yi-tseng Huang 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
137 CHN Fan Jicheng 4000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 4943/1 0% -0.02%
138 CHN Wu Hongfu 5000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6179/1 0.09% 0.07%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 25.3%
2 Coral 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 25.3%
3 VBet 6 @ 1/5 41% 26.8%
4 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 41.2% 26.9%
5 PricedUp 6 @ 1/5 41.2% 26.9%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 41.9% 27.6%
7 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 42.1% 27.8%
8 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 42.1% 27.8%
9 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.1% 28.7%
10 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 43.1% 28.7%
11 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 43.1% 28.7%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 29%
13 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 69.3% 29.2%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 31%
15 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 31%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 33.2%
17 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.7% 33.7%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 55% 39.4%
19 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 49.8% 49.8%