Betting Market Analysis for Hero World Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 3/1 19.16% -4.27%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 3.46% -4.74%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 12/1 6.32% -1.14%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 4.32% -1.99%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 4.31% -1.16%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 3.69% -1.78%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 4.09% -0.73%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 3.98% -0.84%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 0.2% -3.7%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 6.62% 3.47%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 5.38% 2.22%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 5.18% 2.02%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 3.8% 0.65%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.94% -0.21%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 4.45% 1.8%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 4.05% 1.64%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 3.18% 0.77%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 4.69% 2.41%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 3.5% 1.5%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 2.83% 1.05%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 122/1 3.84% 3.03%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 13.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 AK Bets 4 @ 1/5 15.7% 18.3%
2 BoyleSports 5 @ 1/5 34.1% 23.8%
3 Bet365 4 @ 1/5 22.3% 25%
4 Skybet 4 @ 1/5 23.1% 25.8%
5 Paddy Power 4 @ 1/5 24.8% 27.5%
6 Betfred 4 @ 1/5 24.9% 27.6%
7 VBet 4 @ 1/5 25.1% 27.8%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 4 @ 1/5 25.3% 28%
9 Betway 4 @ 1/5 25.3% 28.1%
10 William Hill 4 @ 1/5 25.7% 28.5%
11 888Sport 4 @ 1/5 25.7% 28.5%
12 PricedUp 4 @ 1/5 26.2% 29%
13 Star Sports 4 @ 1/5 26.8% 29.6%
14 Ladbrokes 4 @ 1/5 26.8% 29.6%
15 Coral 4 @ 1/5 26.8% 29.6%
16 10Bet 4 @ 1/5 26.9% 29.6%
17 BetVictor 4 @ 1/5 26.9% 29.7%
18 Spreadex 4 @ 1/5 27.3% 30%
19 Sporting Index 4 @ 1/5 27.3% 30%
20 Unibet 4 @ 1/5 29.9% 32.8%
21 LiveScore Bet 4 @ 1/5 29.9% 32.8%
22 BetMGM UK 4 @ 1/5 29.9% 32.8%