Betting Market Analysis for Workday Charity Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 2.84% 0.89%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.68% -3.16%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 129/1 2.58% 1.81%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 2.43% 0.72%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.39% -2.28%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.28% -1.41%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.2% 0.13%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 86/1 1.8% 0.65%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 157/1 1.77% 1.14%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 1.73% -2.95%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 250/1 1.62% 1.22%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.6% -0.12%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 1.55% 0.57%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.38% -0.34%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 1.34% -0.04%
16 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% ≈ 36/1 1.32% -1.38%
17 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 1.31% 0.75%
18 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 1.29% 0.94%
19 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.19% 0.33%
20 USA J.B. Holmes 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 1.12% 0.77%
21 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 1.11% 0.56%
22 USA Brooks Koepka 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% ≈ 20/1 1.11% -3.57%
23 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 1.1% 0.05%
24 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 1.1% 0.54%
25 USA Talor Gooch 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 428/1 1.08% 0.85%
26 USA Scott Stallings 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 1.03% 0.39%
27 USA Brandt Snedeker 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 143/1 1.02% 0.32%
28 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.13% ≈ 23/1 1% -3.12%
29 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.96% 0.68%
30 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.95% 0.49%
31 USA Bud Cauley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.94% 0.47%
32 ENG Ian Poulter 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 143/1 0.93% 0.24%
33 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.93% 0.07%
34 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.93% 0.46%
35 USA Sam Burns 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 250/1 0.92% 0.52%
36 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.85% 0.5%
37 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 0.85% -0.4%
38 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 250/1 0.85% 0.45%
39 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.84% 0.38%
40 KOR Byeong Hun An 70 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.83% -0.16%
41 USA Charley Hoffman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.83% 0.48%
42 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.83% 0.36%
43 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.82% 0.48%
44 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.8% 0.46%
45 USA Cameron Champ 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 0.8% -0.25%
46 USA Russell Henley 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.79% 0.02%
47 USA Brendan Steele 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.75% 0.19%
48 USA Billy Horschel 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.71% -0.06%
49 USA Ryan Armour 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.71% -0.06%
50 USA Michael Thompson 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.68% 0.22%
51 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 0.68% -0.84%
52 USA Luke List 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.64% 0.18%
53 AUS Jason Day 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.64% -0.34%
54 USA Cameron Tringale 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 250/1 0.64% 0.24%
55 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.64% 0.44%
56 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.62% 0.07%
57 AUS Cameron Davis 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.62% 0.42%
58 USA Adam Long 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.62% 0.27%
59 USA Matthew Wolff 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 95/1 0.61% -0.44%
60 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.59% 0.25%
61 AUS Matt Jones 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 428/1 0.56% 0.33%
62 USA Rickie Fowler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 0.55% -1.71%
63 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.55% -0.01%
64 ENG Justin Rose 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% ≈ 36/1 0.55% -2.15%
65 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.54% -0.02%
66 USA Brian Stuard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.54% 0.08%
67 RSA Charl Schwartzel 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.54% 0.26%
68 USA Scottie Scheffler 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.54% -0.45%
69 USA James Hahn 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.53% 0.36%
70 USA Pat Perez 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.53% 0.18%
71 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.52% -0.04%
72 USA Adam Schenk 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.51% 0.24%
73 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.51% 0.23%
74 USA Jason Kokrak 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.5% -0.14%
75 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 143/1 0.49% -0.2%
76 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.49% 0.14%
77 IRL Shane Lowry 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.48% -0.29%
78 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.47% 0.01%
79 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 428/1 0.46% 0.23%
80 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.46% -0.41%
81 NZL Tim Wilkinson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.45% 0.33%
82 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.45% 0.1%
83 USA Jonathan Byrd 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.44% 0.24%
84 USA Zac Blair 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.44% 0.26%
85 CAN Corey Conners 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.44% -0.55%
86 MEX Carlos Ortiz 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.43% 0.15%
87 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.43% 0.15%
88 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 0.43% -1.1%
89 USA Kyle Stanley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.4% -0.06%
90 USA Patton Kizzire 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.4% 0.2%
91 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.4% 0.05%
92 USA Keith Mitchell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.38% 0.18%
93 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.38% -0.08%
94 KOR Seungyul Noh 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.37% 0.09%
95 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.36% 0.22%
96 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.35% 0.16%
97 USA Jimmy Walker 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.35% 0.15%
98 KOR Siwoo Kim 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.35% 0%
99 USA Charles Howell III 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 250/1 0.35% -0.05%
100 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 286/1 0.34% -0.01%
101 USA Grayson Murray 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.34% 0.2%
102 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.34% 0.19%
103 USA Jason Dufner 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 214/1 0.33% -0.13%
104 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 428/1 0.33% 0.1%
105 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.32% 0.18%
106 AUS Aaron Baddeley 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.32% 0.18%
107 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 179/1 0.31% -0.25%
108 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.31% 0.17%
109 CHN Zhang Xinjun 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.3% 0.16%
110 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.3% 0.18%
111 USA Nate Lashley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 428/1 0.29% 0.06%
112 USA Andrew Putnam 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.29% 0.09%
113 USA Aaron Wise 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.29% 0.01%
114 USA Austin Cook 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.29% 0.11%
115 SCO Russell Knox 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.29% 0.01%
116 USA Hank Lebioda 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.28% 0.17%
117 USA Chesson Hadley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.28% 0%
118 USA Peter Malnati 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.26% 0.12%
119 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.26% 0.12%
120 USA Denny McCarthy 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.26% 0.12%
121 USA Nick Watney 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.25% 0.11%
122 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.25% 0.11%
123 USA Jim Furyk 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 250/1 0.24% -0.16%
124 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 571/1 0.24% 0.07%
125 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.24% 0.1%
126 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.23% 0.09%
127 USA Jim Herman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.22% 0.11%
128 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 0.22% 0.12%
129 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.21% -0.42%
130 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.21% 0.07%
131 USA Chase Seiffert 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.21% 0.07%
132 USA Mark Anderson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.2% 0.09%
133 USA Rob Oppenheim 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 0.19% 0.1%
134 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.19% 0.12%
135 CAN Roger Sloan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.18% 0.06%
136 USA Brandon Wu 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 357/1 0.18% -0.1%
137 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 0.18% 0.13%
138 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.18% 0.06%
139 USA Brian Gay 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.16% 0.02%
140 USA Stewart Cink 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.15% 0.01%
141 TPE C.T. Pan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 499/1 0.15% -0.05%
142 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.14% 0.07%
143 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.14% 0.07%
144 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 0.12% 0.07%
145 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.12% 0.05%
146 USA Donnie Trosper 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 0.11% 0.07%
147 USA Robert Streb 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.11% 0%
148 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.11% -0.03%
149 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.11% 0.04%
150 RSA MJ Daffue 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 0.11% 0.06%
151 USA Jerry Kelly 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.1% 0.03%
152 USA Chase Koepka 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 0.1% 0.03%
153 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.1% -0.02%
154 USA Bo Hoag 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 856/1 0.1% -0.02%
155 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 0.09% 0%
156 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 713/1 0.09% -0.05%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 18.1%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25.1%
4 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 60.6% 29.2%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.3%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 37.2%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.7%
10 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 66.8% 39.7%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.7%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 40.2%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.3% 40.3%
17 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.3%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 45.1%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60% 45.8%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.4% 47.1%