Betting Market Analysis for Charles Schwab Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 4/1 7.89% -13.02%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 1.35% -2.03%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 1.03% -2.36%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.2% -0.89%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.08% -0.66%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.55% 0.1%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.65% -0.33%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.81% 0.08%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 1.68% -0.05%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.49% -0.05%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.16% -0.39%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 71/1 1.85% 0.45%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 78/1 1.77% 0.5%
14 USA Davis Riley 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.23% -0.04%
15 USA Davis Thompson 55 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 1.22% -0.05%
16 USA Keith Mitchell 55 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 0.86% -0.41%
17 ENG Harry Hall 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% ≈ 78/1 0.82% -0.45%
18 USA Benjamin Griffin 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 1.23% 0.06%
19 USA Michael Kim 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% ≈ 85/1 1.22% 0.05%
20 USA Andrew Novak 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 1.48% 0.42%
21 USA Lucas Glover 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 1.41% 0.35%
22 USA Samuel Stevens 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 1.09% 0.03%
23 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 0.93% -0.13%
24 USA Will Zalatoris 66 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% ≈ 93/1 0.71% -0.35%
25 USA Akshay Bhatia 70 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.6% 0.6%
26 USA Mackenzie Hughes 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.29% 0.29%
27 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.06% 0.06%
28 USA Alex Smalley 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.7% -0.3%
29 USA Jacob Bridgeman 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.09% 0.21%
30 USA Ryan Gerard 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 1.01% 0.13%
31 USA Taylor Moore 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 0.84% -0.04%
32 KOR Woohyun Kim 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% ≈ 113/1 0.07% -0.81%
33 USA Matt McCarty 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 1.17% 0.39%
34 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 1.3% 0.6%
35 USA Bud Cauley 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.67% -0.03%
36 USA Kurt Kitayama 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.62% -0.09%
37 IRL Seamus Power 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.61% -0.09%
38 USA Pierceson Coody 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.47% -0.24%
39 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.45% -0.25%
40 USA Max Greyserman 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 1.31% 0.67%
41 ENG Matt Wallace 110 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.89% 0.25%
42 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.78% 0.14%
43 USA Gary Woodland 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.66% 0.02%
44 USA Rickie Fowler 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.55% -0.09%
45 ARG Emiliano Grillo 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.48% -0.16%
46 AUS Kevin Yuan 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 155/1 0.1% -0.55%
47 USA Patrick Rodgers 120 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.59% ≈ 169/1 0.91% 0.32%
48 COL Nicolas Echavarria 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 1.26% 0.69%
49 USA Eric Cole 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 1.1% 0.53%
50 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 1.08% 0.52%
51 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 0.83% 0.27%
52 FRA Victor Perez 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 0.71% 0.15%
53 SWE Henrik Norlander 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 0.48% -0.08%
54 USA Zach Johnson 125 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 176/1 0.36% -0.2%
55 USA Austin Eckroat 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 183/1 1.06% 0.52%
56 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.54% ≈ 183/1 0.98% 0.44%
57 USA Joe Highsmith 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 1.13% 0.66%
58 USA Max McGreevy 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.9% 0.43%
59 USA Jake Knappe 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.8% 0.33%
60 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.74% 0.27%
61 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.69% 0.22%
62 USA Lee Hodges 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.68% 0.21%
63 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.54% 0.06%
64 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.52% 0.05%
65 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 211/1 0.45% -0.02%
66 USA Doug Ghim 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.68% 0.24%
67 USA Matt Kuchar 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.51% 0.07%
68 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 1.02% 0.62%
69 ARG Alejandro Tosti 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 0.59% 0.19%
70 USA Vincent Whaley 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 0.58% 0.17%
71 USA Chandler Phillips 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 0.52% 0.12%
72 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 246/1 0.52% 0.11%
73 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.79% 0.43%
74 USA Justin Lower 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.74% 0.38%
75 SWE Jesper Svensson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.65% 0.3%
76 USA Steven Fisk 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.5% 0.14%
77 USA Isaiah Salinda 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.48% 0.12%
78 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 282/1 0.44% 0.09%
79 USA Charley Hoffman 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.6% 0.29%
80 USA Ricky Castillo 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.4% 0.08%
81 USA Joseph Bramlett 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.32% 0.01%
82 USA Patrick Fishburn 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.68% 0.4%
83 USA Chan Kim 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.56% 0.28%
84 USA Carson Young 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.5% 0.22%
85 JPN Takumi Kanaya 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.49% 0.2%
86 USA Chad Ramey 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.35% 0.07%
87 USA Blades Brown 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 352/1 0.1% -0.19%
88 CAN Benjamin Silverman 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% ≈ 387/1 0.35% 0.09%
89 USA Brian Campbell 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 422/1 0.75% 0.51%
90 Karl Vilips 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 422/1 0.52% 0.28%
91 USA Quade Cummins 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 422/1 0.33% 0.09%
92 USA Adam Schenk 350 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 493/1 0.55% 0.35%
93 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 493/1 0.49% 0.28%
94 USA Kevin Roy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 493/1 0.44% 0.24%
95 USA Trey Mullinax 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 493/1 0.18% -0.02%
96 USA Webb Simpson 375 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.27% 0.19% ≈ 528/1 0.15% -0.04%
97 USA Ben Kohles 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.16% ≈ 633/1 0.46% 0.3%
98 USA Brice Garnett 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.16% ≈ 633/1 0.36% 0.2%
99 USA Dylan Wu 475 (Betfair : 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.32% 0.17%
100 USA Harry Higgs 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.54% 0.4%
101 USA Hayden Springer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.45% 0.31%
102 USA Danny Walker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.43% 0.29%
103 USA Luke List 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.42% 0.28%
104 USA Greyson Sigg 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.42% 0.28%
105 USA David Lipsky 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.41% 0.26%
106 USA Nate Lashley 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.39% 0.25%
107 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.36% 0.22%
108 USA William Mouw 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.36% 0.22%
109 GER Jeremy Paul 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.33% 0.19%
110 USA Lanto Griffin 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.28% 0.13%
111 USA Robby Shelton 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.27% 0.13%
112 USA Hayden Buckley 500 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.21% 0.07%
113 USA Nick Hardy 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 703/1 0.2% 0.05%
114 USA William Gordon 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 844/1 0.26% 0.15%
115 ENG Danny Willett 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 844/1 0.18% 0.07%
116 USA Patton Kizzire 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1055/1 0.54% 0.44%
117 USA Taylor Dickson 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1055/1 0.38% 0.28%
118 USA Brandt Snedeker 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1055/1 0.16% 0.07%
119 USA Jackson Suber 800 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.33% 0.24%
120 USA Zac Blair 800 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1125/1 0.29% 0.2%
121 USA Frankie Capan 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1407/1 0.44% 0.37%
122 USA Kevin Kisner 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1407/1 0.04% -0.03%
123 USA Will Chandler 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1758/1 0.24% 0.18%
124 USA Peter Malnati 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2110/1 0.41% 0.37%
125 PUR Rafael Campos 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2110/1 0.4% 0.35%
126 USA John Pak 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2110/1 0.25% 0.21%
127 COL Camilo Villegas 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2813/1 0.3% 0.26%
128 USA Ryan Palmer 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.02% ≈ 4219/1 0.09% 0.07%
129 USA Michael Block 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7031/1 0.04% 0.03%
130 USA Corey Pavin 5000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7031/1 0% -0.01%
131 USA Olin Browne 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 7031/1 0% -0.01%
132 RSA David Frost 7500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.01% 0.01% ≈ 10547/1 0% -0.01%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 83.6% 23.7%
2 Coral 10 @ 1/5 83.6% 23.7%
3 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 29.1%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 29.7%
5 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.8%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 30.1%
8 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 44.5% 30.5%
9 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 30.5%
10 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 31.4%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 32.3%
12 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 32.3%
13 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 32.3%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.2% 32.9%
15 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 98.8% 33.8%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 34.7%
17 VBet 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 36%
18 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.6%
19 Betfair Sportsbook 1 @ 1/1 45.1% 45.1%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 62.3% 46.5%
21 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 50.9% 50.9%
22 PricedUp 1 @ 1/1 62.3% 62.3%