Betting Market Analysis for European Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.54% -2.12%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 2.01% -1.32%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 1.43% -1.91%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.41% -1.24%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 0.99% -1.66%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.62% -0.86%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.18% -1.08%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.17% -1.09%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.39% -0.74%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.36% -0.77%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.27% -0.86%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.17% -0.96%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.02% -1.12%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 52/1 1.29% -0.58%
15 ESP Adrian Otaegui 40 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% ≈ 52/1 1.28% -0.59%
16 SCO Connor Syme 40 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% ≈ 52/1 0.75% -1.13%
17 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% ≈ 52/1 0.2% -1.67%
18 RSA Zander Lombard 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.43% -0.24%
19 RSA Thriston Lawrence 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.27% -0.4%
20 SWE Jesper Svensson 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.27% -0.4%
21 ITA Guido Migliozzi 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.11% -0.56%
22 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 1.39% -0.12%
23 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 1% -0.51%
24 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 0.96% -0.55%
25 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.79% 0.64%
26 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.32% 0.18%
27 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 1.11% -0.04%
28 SCO Calum Hill 66 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.82% -0.32%
29 THA Netipong Sritonginn 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 0.19% -0.95%
30 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.08% ≈ 91/1 1.59% 0.51%
31 ENG Danny Willett 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 1.3% 0.35%
32 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 80 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.75% -0.2%
33 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 104/1 0.59% -0.35%
34 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 1.14% 0.38%
35 ESP Manuel Elvira 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.99% 0.23%
36 NZL Daniel Hillier 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.77% 0.01%
37 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.75% -0.01%
38 GER Marcel Schneider 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.54% -0.22%
39 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.38% -0.38%
40 ENG Dan Bradbury 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.26% -0.5%
41 RSA Brandon Stone 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.76% 0.07%
42 USA Sean Crocker 110 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.57% -0.12%
43 ENG Daniel A Brown 120 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.92% 0.29%
44 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.42% 0.81%
45 SUI Joel Girrbach 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.17% 0.56%
46 NED Darius Van Driel 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.16% 0.55%
47 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.04% 0.43%
48 AUT Matthias Schwab 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 1.03% 0.43%
49 MAS Gavin Green 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.68% 0.07%
50 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (AK Bets: 5 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.66% 0.05%
51 WAL Jamie Donaldson 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.62% 0.01%
52 IND Shubhankar Sharma 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.6% -0.01%
53 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.58% -0.03%
54 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.56% -0.04%
55 GER Marcel Siem 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.54% -0.07%
56 FRA Adrien Saddier 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.47% -0.14%
57 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.38% -0.23%
58 NED Daan Huizing 130 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.57% -0.01%
59 FRA Ugo Coussaud 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.19% 0.68%
60 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.02% 0.51%
61 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.97% 0.46%
62 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.55% 0.04%
63 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.53% 0.02%
64 ENG Andrew Wilson 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.52% 0.01%
65 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.47% -0.03%
66 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.46% -0.05%
67 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.43% -0.07%
68 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.42% -0.09%
69 SCO David Law 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.34% -0.17%
70 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.22% -0.29%
71 RSA Louis de Jager 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.68% 0.24%
72 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.54% 0.1%
73 AUS David Micheluzzi 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.54% 0.1%
74 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.49% 0.05%
75 FIN Mikko Korhonen 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.22% -0.22%
76 ESP Santiago Tarrio 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.19% -0.24%
77 ENG Robin Williams 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 1.05% 0.67%
78 RSA Casey Jarvis 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.8% 0.41%
79 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.67% 0.28%
80 ENG Marco Penge 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.63% 0.25%
81 FRA David Ravetto 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.62% 0.23%
82 ENG Todd Clements 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.61% 0.22%
83 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.59% 0.21%
84 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.54% 0.15%
85 GER Nick Bachem 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.52% 0.14%
86 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.48% 0.1%
87 FRA Tom Vaillant 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.47% 0.09%
88 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 0.42% 0.04%
89 SWE Simon Forsstrom 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 293/1 0.69% 0.35%
90 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 293/1 0.68% 0.34%
91 RSA Darren Fichardt 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 293/1 0.32% -0.02%
92 Sam Jones 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.62% 0.32%
93 RSA Dylan Frittelli 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.6% 0.3%
94 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.6% 0.3%
95 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.49% 0.19%
96 ESP Adria Arnaus 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.47% 0.16%
97 ENG Andrew Johnston 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.16% -0.14%
98 FRA Clement Sordet 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 358/1 0.33% 0.05%
99 USA James Nicholas 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 391/1 0.65% 0.39%
100 ENG Dale Whitnell 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 391/1 0.56% 0.31%
101 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.6% 0.38%
102 ENG Tom Lewis 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.49% 0.27%
103 ITA Renato Paratore 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.48% 0.26%
104 USA Nicolo Galletti 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.42% 0.2%
105 ITA Filippo Celli 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.42% 0.2%
106 SWE Jens Dantorp 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.37% 0.15%
107 GER Hurly Long 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 521/1 0.52% 0.33%
108 IND Veer Ahlawat 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.17% ≈ 586/1 2.22% 2.05%
109 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.66% 0.51%
110 RSA Pieter Moolman 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.59% 0.43%
111 DEN Sebastian Friedrichsen 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.52% 0.37%
112 Matthis Besard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.49% 0.34%
113 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.49% 0.34%
114 GER Jannik De Bruyn 500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.47% 0.32%
115 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.4% 0.25%
116 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 651/1 0.23% 0.08%
117 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 782/1 0.71% 0.59%
118 ENG Oliver Wilson 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 782/1 0.58% 0.45%
119 USA Jordan Gumberg 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.61% 0.51%
120 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.45% 0.35%
121 AUS Haydn Barron 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.45% 0.34%
122 WAL Rhys Enoch 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.41% 0.3%
123 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.4% 0.3%
124 USA Chase Hanna 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.39% 0.29%
125 GER Marc Hammer 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 977/1 0.2% 0.1%
126 ENG Will Enefer 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.59% 0.51%
127 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.5% 0.43%
128 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.4% 0.33%
129 FIN Lauri Ruuska 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.4% 0.32%
130 USA Gunner Wiebe 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.31% 0.23%
131 ENG Frank Kennedy 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.27% 0.19%
132 SWE Adam Blomme 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.24% 0.17%
133 GER Anton Albers 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.19% 0.12%
134 SUI Benjamin Rusch 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1303/1 0.18% 0.1%
135 WAL Stuart Manley 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1954/1 0.37% 0.32%
136 Joshua Berry 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1954/1 0.27% 0.22%
137 CZE Filip Mruzek 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1954/1 0.19% 0.14%
138 Tiger Christensen 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1954/1 0.19% 0.14%
139 ENG Richard McEvoy 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2605/1 0.2% 0.16%
140 Tim Tillmanns 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2605/1 0.19% 0.16%
141 SWE Jonas Blixt 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2605/1 0.17% 0.13%
142 DEN Soren Broholt Lind 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3256/1 0.42% 0.39%
143 IND Om Prakash Chouhan 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3256/1 0.21% 0.18%
144 UGA Ronald Rugumayo 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6511/1 0.19% 0.18%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 26.6%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 27.2%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 27.8%
4 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 55% 27.8%
5 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 68.5% 28.4%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.5% 29.9%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.9% 30.3%
8 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 45.5% 30.8%
9 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 45.5% 30.8%
10 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 59% 31.1%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59% 31.1%
12 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 49% 31.5%
13 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 47.7% 32.7%
14 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.7%
15 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.7%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37%
17 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.8%
18 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 37.9%
19 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 39.6% 37.9%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 39.6%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 39.6%
22 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 39.6%