Betting Market Analysis for SA Open Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 21 hours ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 8/1 4.97% -5.85%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 3.4% -3.77%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 3.27% -2.8%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 2.58% -2.68%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 3.95% -0.7%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.96% -1.69%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.31% -0.41%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.68% -1.04%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 0.97% -1.36%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 0.95% -1.37%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 2.62% 0.43%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.61% -0.59%
13 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 35 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.19% ≈ 45/1 0.54% -1.65%
14 RSA Zander Lombard 40 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% ≈ 51/1 1.06% -0.86%
15 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 45 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% ≈ 57/1 2.76% 1.04%
16 ARG Daniel Vancsik 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% ≈ 57/1 0.43% -1.29%
17 RSA Bryce Easton 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 1.36% -0.19%
18 RSA Jaco Ahlers 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 0.84% -0.71%
19 RSA Louis de Jager 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 0.62% -0.92%
20 RSA Darren Fichardt 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.92% -0.49%
21 RSA Oliver Bekker 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.48% -0.93%
22 RSA Neil Schietekat 55 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.46% -0.95%
23 RSA Thriston Lawrence 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% ≈ 76/1 2.47% 1.18%
24 RSA Ockie Strydom 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.52% 0.35%
25 NOR Espen Kofstad 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.48% -0.56%
26 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.66% 0.68%
27 RSA Luke Brown 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.52% 0.55%
28 RSA Richard Sterne 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 0.48% -0.49%
29 RSA Thomas Aiken 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.57% -0.21%
30 RSA Anton Haig 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 127/1 0.43% -0.35%
31 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.48% -0.16%
32 SCO David Drysdale 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.78% 0.15%
33 WAL Rhys Enoch 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.5% -0.12%
34 RSA Jbe Kruger 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.48% -0.15%
35 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.48% -0.15%
36 RSA Jacques Blaauw 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.48% -0.15%
37 RSA Lyle Rowe 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.48% -0.15%
38 NED Daan Huizing 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.43% -0.2%
39 BRA Adilson da Silva 140 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% ≈ 178/1 0.42% -0.14%
40 NED Lars Van Meijel 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.77% 0.24%
41 GRE Peter Karmis 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.43% -0.09%
42 RSA Riekus Nortje 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.43% -0.09%
43 RSA Tristen Strydom 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.43% -0.09%
44 RSA MJ Viljoen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 203/1 1.52% 1.03%
45 RSA Martin Vorster 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 203/1 0.48% -0.01%
46 RSA Keenan Davidse 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 222/1 0.48% 0.03%
47 RSA Keagan Thomas 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 222/1 0.43% -0.02%
48 RSA Alex Haindl 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.48% 0.09%
49 RSA Michael Palmer 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.48% 0.09%
50 RSA Deon Germishuys 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.48% 0.09%
51 RSA Martin Rohwer 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.46% 0.06%
52 RSA Anthony Michael 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.43% 0.04%
53 RSA Christiaan Maas 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 254/1 0.43% 0.04%
54 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 1.52% 1.18%
55 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 3.61% 3.29%
56 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.93% 0.61%
57 RSA Pieter Moolman 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.48% 0.17%
58 RSA Ruan Korb 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.48% 0.17%
59 RSA Louis Albertse 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.48% 0.17%
60 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.48% 0.17%
61 RSA Albert Venter 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.43% 0.11%
62 RSA Christiaan Burke 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.43% 0.11%
63 RSA Casey Jarvis 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 317/1 0.43% 0.11%
64 RSA Hennie Otto 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
65 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
66 RSA Jean Hugo 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
67 ENG Steve Surry 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
68 RSA Daniel Greene 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
69 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
70 RSA Luke Jerling 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
71 RSA CJ du Plessis 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
72 RSA Jovan Rebula 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
73 RSA Estiaan Conradie 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.48% 0.26%
74 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.46% 0.24%
75 RSA Ruan Conradie 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.46% 0.23%
76 RSA Jared Harvey 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.43% 0.2%
77 SCO Doug McGuigan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.43% 0.2%
78 RSA Dylan Mostert 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 444/1 0.43% 0.2%
79 RSA Jake Roos 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.48% 0.32%
80 RSA Christiaan Basson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.48% 0.32%
81 POR Stephen Ferreira 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.48% 0.32%
82 RSA Jacques de Villiers 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.48% 0.32%
83 RSA Rupert Kaminski 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.48% 0.32%
84 RSA Michael Hollick 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.43% 0.27%
85 RSA Kyle Barker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.43% 0.27%
86 RSA Jordan Duminy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.43% 0.27%
87 RSA Hayden Griffiths 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 634/1 0.43% 0.27%
88 RSA Merrick Bremner 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 760/1 0.48% 0.35%
89 RSA James Kingston 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 760/1 0.48% 0.35%
90 RSA Richard Joubert 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 760/1 0.43% 0.3%
91 RSA Jake Redman 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 950/1 0.48% 0.37%
92 RSA Dylan Naidoo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 950/1 0.48% 0.37%
93 RSA Andrew Curlewis 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 950/1 0.43% 0.32%
94 RSA Wynand Dingle 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 950/1 0.43% 0.32%
95 RSA Ruan de Smidt 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
96 RSA Callum Mowat 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
97 RSA James Kamte 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
98 RSA Dwayne Basson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
99 RSA Jason Smith 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
100 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
101 RSA Nikhil Rama 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.48% 0.4%
102 RSA PH McIntyre 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.43% 0.35%
103 RSA Paul Boshoff 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.43% 0.35%
104 RSA Matthew Spacey 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.43% 0.35%
105 RSA Clinton Grobler 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.43% 0.35%
106 RSA Kieron Van Wyk 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1267/1 0.43% 0.35%
107 RSA Jacquin Hess 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.48% 0.43%
108 RSA Divan Van Den Heever 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
109 RSA Cameron Moralee 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
110 ITA Philip Geerts 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
111 RSA Desne van den Bergh 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
112 RSA Jason Roets 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
113 RSA Yubin Jung 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
114 ZIM Mohammad Rauf Mandhu 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1901/1 0.43% 0.38%
115 RSA JJ Senekal 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.48% 0.44%
116 USA Chris Cannon 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.48% 0.44%
117 RSA Combrinck Smit 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
118 RSA Aubrey Beckley 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
119 RSA Clayton Mansfield 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
120 RSA Teaghan Gauche 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
121 RSA Coert Groenewald 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
122 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2534/1 0.43% 0.39%
123 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3167/1 0.48% 0.45%
124 RSA Wallie Coetsee 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3167/1 0.43% 0.4%
125 RSA Allister de Kock 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3167/1 0.43% 0.4%
126 RSA Adriel Poonan 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3167/1 0.43% 0.4%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 43.1% 18.4%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 45.9% 20.7%
3 VBet 5 @ 1/4 38.7% 22.5%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 22.7%
5 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.2% 28.9%
6 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 32.5%
7 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33.4%
8 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 34%
9 Betway 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 36.2%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39.5%
11 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 1599.2% 1599.2%