Betting Market Analysis for The Genesis Invitational

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 6.73% -9.98%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 9/1 4.6% -5.05%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 2.81% -1.45%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 2.92% -0.89%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.77% -1.68%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.31% -0.48%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 2.03% -0.09%
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 33 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% ≈ 46/1 1.55% -0.58%
9 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% ≈ 46/1 1.23% -0.9%
10 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.01% ≈ 49/1 1.84% -0.17%
11 SCO Robert MacIntyre 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 56/1 2.02% 0.26%
12 IRL Shane Lowry 40 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 56/1 1.81% 0.05%
13 CAN Taylor Pendrith 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 56/1 1.34% -0.43%
14 USA Sam Burns 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.43% -0.15%
15 AUS Jason Day 45 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.19% -0.39%
16 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.81% -0.76%
17 KOR Woohyun Kim 45 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 0.07% -1.5%
18 AUT Sepp Straka 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.97% 0.55%
19 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.33% -0.09%
20 USA Tony Finau 50 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 1.29% -0.13%
21 USA Will Zalatoris 50 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% ≈ 69/1 0.76% -0.66%
22 BEL Thomas Detry 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 76/1 1.73% 0.44%
23 NOR Viktor Hovland 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 76/1 1.7% 0.4%
24 USA Keegan Bradley 60 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.76% 0.57%
25 USA Russell Henley 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.57% 0.38%
26 USA Cameron Young 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.16% -0.03%
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 60 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.12% -0.07%
28 USA JT Poston 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.33% 0.25%
29 USA Harris English 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.26% 0.25%
30 USA Wyndham Clark 80 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 2.18% 1.28%
31 AUS Adam Scott 80 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.57% 0.67%
32 USA Akshay Bhatia 80 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.45% 0.56%
33 KOR Byeong Hun An 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.35% 0.45%
34 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1% 0.11%
35 USA J.J Spaun 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.85% -0.04%
36 USA Sahith Theegala 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 1.86% 1.06%
37 USA Max Greyserman 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 1.32% 0.52%
38 CAN Corey Conners 90 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 1.11% 0.31%
39 USA Daniel Berger 90 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% ≈ 125/1 0.82% 0.02%
40 AUS Cameron Davis 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 139/1 1.26% 0.54%
41 USA Davis Thompson 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 139/1 1.16% 0.45%
42 USA Denny McCarthy 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 1.07% 0.42%
43 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% ≈ 152/1 1.06% 0.4%
44 USA Michael Kim 120 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.81% 0.21%
45 USA Billy Horschel 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.85% 1.28%
46 USA Austin Eckroat 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.31% 0.73%
47 GER Stephan Jaeger 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.23% 0.66%
48 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.19% 0.62%
49 ENG Justin Rose 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 1.18% 0.61%
50 USA Chris Kirk 125 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.89% 0.32%
51 USA Andrew Novak 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.85% 0.28%
52 USA Gary Woodland 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 173/1 0.4% -0.18%
53 ENG Aaron Rai 140 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 194/1 1.58% 1.06%
54 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 1.46% 0.99%
55 USA Lucas Glover 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 1.3% 0.83%
56 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 1.02% 0.54%
57 USA Benjamin Griffin 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 1.01% 0.53%
58 USA Max Homa 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.96% 0.48%
59 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.68% 0.2%
60 USA Tiger Woods 150 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 208/1 0.04% -0.44%
61 USA Brian Harman 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 1.36% 0.95%
62 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.98% 0.57%
63 USA Rickie Fowler 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 242/1 0.68% 0.26%
64 USA Nick Dunlap 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 1.1% 0.74%
65 USA Eric Cole 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 1.09% 0.73%
66 CAN Adam Hadwin 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.93% 0.57%
67 IRL Seamus Power 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 277/1 0.59% 0.23%
68 AUS Kevin Yuan 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 346/1 0.1% -0.19%
69 COL Nicolas Echavarria 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 1.25% 1.01%
70 USA Mark Hubbard 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.7% 0.46%
71 USA Jake Knappe 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 415/1 0.66% 0.42%
72 FRA Matthieu Pavon 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 484/1 1.31% 1.1%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 39.1% 21.9%
2 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 39.1% 21.9%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 39.6% 22.4%
4 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 23.1%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 23.2%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 25.7%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 25.7%
8 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 55.6% 27.2%
9 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 28%
10 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 28%
11 VBet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 29.6%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 31.2%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 31.2%
14 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 31.2%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.9% 31.6%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 32.5%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 32.8%
18 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 32.8%
19 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 33.1%
20 BoyleSports 10 @ 1/5 104.9% 35%
21 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55% 37.9%
22 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 69.5% 51%