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Dubai Desert Classic

16th Jan 2025 — 19th Jan 2025 Updated · Official results ↗
Total Staked
100.0
Total Won
257.2
Total Profit
+157.2
Predictions
# Player Odds Pos Pos Int Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 3.33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 4 4
2 ESP Jon Rahm 5.5 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 78
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 8.5 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 1 1
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 21 21
5 NOR Viktor Hovland 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) › MC 107
6 AUS Adam Scott 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 37 41
7 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 20 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 14 29
8 SCO Robert MacIntyre 22 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › 17 20
9 USA Akshay Bhatia 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 37 36
10 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) › 31 34
11 RSA Dean Burmester 30 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › MC 110
12 ENG Matt Wallace 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 45 48
13 AUS Minwoo Lee 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) › 17 19
14 USA Patrick Reed 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 10 13
15 BEL Thomas Pieters 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › MC 65
16 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard Tip 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 65 66 14.29
17 ENG Jordan L Smith Tip 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › 65 67 14.29
18 NIR Tom McKibbin 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 6 6
19 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 4 5
20 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 37 43
21 NZL Ryan Fox Win 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 10 10 14.29 +107.2
22 DEN Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen Tip 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 10 12 14.29
23 RSA Thriston Lawrence Tip 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 91 14.29
24 ENG John Parry Tip 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › MC 84 14.29
25 ENG Laurie Canter Win 80 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) › 3 3 14.29 +150
26 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › 27 28
27 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 45 45
28 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › MC 98
29 POL Adrian Meronk 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 92
30 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 106
31 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 102
32 ENG Paul Waring 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 97
33 RSA Shaun Norris 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 6 7
34 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 58 64
35 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 16 15
36 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 21 22
37 ITA Guido Migliozzi 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 8 9
38 UAE Adrian Otaegui 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 58 60
39 THA Netipong Sritonginn 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) ›
40 NED Joost Luiten 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 27 46
41 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 31 32
42 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 45 49
43 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › 31 35
44 SWE Marcus Kinhult 175 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 96
45 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 117
46 NZL Daniel Hillier 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 2 2
47 ENG Richard Mansell 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › 58 59
48 FRA Frederic LaCroix 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 100
49 ENG Nathan Kimsey 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 109
50 FRA Ugo Coussaud 225 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 74 74
51 AUS Elvis Smylie 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 58 63
52 SCO Calum Hill 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 17 18
53 RSA Casey Jarvis 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 37 39
54 ENG Sam Bairstow 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) › 77 77
55 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › MC 86
56 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 99
57 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 77 79
58 MAS Gavin Green 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 82
59 IRL Padraig Harrington 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 83
60 ENG Callum Shinkwin 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 95
61 IND Shubhankar Sharma 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 118
62 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 21 25
63 ENG Dan Bradbury 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 52 52
64 GER Yannik Paul 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 111
65 SWE Alexander Bjork 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 27 27
66 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 68 70
67 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 120
68 ITA Andrea Pavan 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 85
69 FRA Tom Vaillant 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 52 56
70 USA Sean Crocker 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 89
71 AUS David Micheluzzi 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 8 8
72 USA Ryggs Johnston 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 108
73 USA Preston Summerhays 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › 37 42
74 SCO Grant Forrest 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 79 93
75 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 21 23
76 ENG Todd Clements 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 37 37
77 SCO Connor Syme 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 27 16
78 GER Marcel Schneider 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 52 55
79 AUS Jason Scrivener 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › 21 26
80 SCO Richie Ramsay 400 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 45 94
81 CHN Wu Ashun 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 104
82 CAN Aaron Cockerill 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 122
83 GER Maximilian Kieffer 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 45 44
84 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 90
85 ENG Daniel A Brown 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 80
86 ESP Nacho Elvira 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 58 57
87 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › 31 61
88 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 30
89 ENG Andrew Wilson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 125
90 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 31 33
91 ENG Marcus Armitage 600 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › 31 31
92 NED Darius Van Driel 600 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 103
93 RSA Robin Williams 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 45 50
94 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 600 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 124
95 AUT Matthias Schwab 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 101
96 USA Jimmy Walker 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 123
97 GER Marcel Siem 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 58 62
98 ENG Matthew Baldwin 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 105
99 GER Jannik De Bruyn 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 74 75
100 ENG Dale Whitnell 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 121
101 RSA Louis de Jager 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 52 53
102 ENG Luke Donald 750 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › MC 113
103 FRA Adam Bresnu(Am) 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) › 68 68
104 ESP Manuel Elvira 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 114
105 FRA David Ravetto 1000 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) › 45 47
106 SWE Jens Dantorp 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 65 112
107 POR Ricardo Gouveia 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 14 14
108 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) › 72 72
109 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 58 58
110 RSA Thomas Aiken 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 87
111 ENG Ross Fisher 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) › MC 115
112 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 68 71
113 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 52 51
114 IND Veer Ahlawat 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 119
115 RSA Dylan Frittelli 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 10 11
116 SUI Joel Girrbach 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 37 38
117 SWE Simon Forsstrom 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 116
118 RSA George Coetzee 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 88
119 RSA Darren Fichardt 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › MC 81
120 USA Jordan Gumberg 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › 17 17
121 RSA Ockie Strydom 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) › WD 126
122 ENG Daniel Gavins 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 74 76
123 GER Alexander Knappe 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) › 37 40
124 CHN Hao Tong Li › 52 54
125 JPN Toru Nakajima › 21 24
126 ENG Joseph Dean › 68 69
127 David Ford › 72 73
Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.2%

True overround of best available: 14.2%

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 83.4% 23.3%
2 Coral 10 @ 1/5 83.4% 23.3%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 28.6%
4 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 30.4%
5 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 31.7%
6 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 31.7%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 32.4%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.6% 33.3%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34%
10 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 35.9%
11 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.6%
12 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.6%
13 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 77.4% 36.6%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53% 37.9%
15 LiveScore Bet 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 41.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.5%
17 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.5%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 43%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 63% 46.9%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 67.4% 50.9%
21 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 67.4% 50.9%