Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 23.8

Total Profit: -76.3

Wyndham Championship

04/08/2022 - 07/08/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Sungjae Im 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.53% 2.49% -3.05% T2
2 IRL Shane Lowry 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.53% 2.19% -3.34% T83
3 USA Will Zalatoris 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.37% 3.49% -0.88% T21
4 USA Billy Horschel 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.61% 2.38% -1.23% T27
5 USA Webb Simpson 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.61% 0.6% -3.01% WD
6 USA Russell Henley 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.19% 1.44% -1.75% T5
7 KOR Siwoo Kim 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.19% 1.27% -1.92% WD
8 CAN Corey Conners 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.86% 1.63% -1.24% T21
9 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.44% 2.5% 0.06% T8 (tied w/5) 10.76 +8.2
10 KOR Tom Kim 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 1.69% -0.61% 1
11 USA Brian Harman 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 1.41% -0.89% T71
12 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 1.12% -1.18% MC
13 USA Aaron Wise 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 2.02% -0.01% T13 8.92
14 USA Harold Varner III 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 1.87% -0.16% MC 8.92
15 USA Kevin Kisner 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.02% 1.45% -0.58% WD
16 AUS Adam Scott 44 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.1/1) 2.22% 1.84% 2.25% 0.41% T76 8.13
17 USA JT Poston 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.63% 1.47% -0.16% T21
18 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.36% -0.27% T13
19 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.15% -0.48% T47
20 USA Davis Riley 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.48% 2.49% 1.01% T13 6.53
21 USA Adam Long 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 0.91% -0.45% WD
22 AUS Jason Day 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 0.41% -0.95% WD
23 COL Sebastian Munoz 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.99% 0.76% MC 5.46
24 USA Scott Stallings 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.31% 0.07% T13 5.46
25 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.15% -0.09% MC 5.46
26 CAN Adam Svensson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.12% -0.12% T78 5.46
27 USA Mark Hubbard 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.88% -0.35% T61
28 ENG Justin Rose 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.2% 0.54% -0.66% T54
29 USA Cameron Champ 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 0.85% -0.32% MC
30 USA Keith Mitchell 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.12% 1.67% 0.55% T54 4.95
31 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.47% 0.45% T61 4.52
32 USA Alex Smalley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.75% -0.27% T13
33 SCO Martin Laird 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.62% -0.29% T47
34 USA J.J Spaun 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.31% 0.49% MC 3.62
35 USA Chez Reavie 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.15% 0.33% T47 3.62
36 USA Brendon Todd 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% T36 3.62
37 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.51% -0.31% T71
38 ENG Callum Tarren 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.69% 0.83% 0.14% T27 3.03
39 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.07% 0.42% T36 2.91
40 USA Doug Ghim 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.94% 0.28% MC 2.91
41 USA Taylor Moore 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.81% 0.15% T5 (tied w/3) 2.91 +15.6
42 USA Joel Dahmen 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.62% -0.04% T81 2.91
43 USA Harris English 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.39% -0.27% MC
44 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.8% 0.25% T8
45 SCO Russell Knox 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.77% 0.22% T21
46 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.67% 0.12% T27
47 USA Rickie Fowler 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% MC
48 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.51% -0.04% MC
49 USA David Lipsky 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.43% -0.12% T27
50 USA Michael Thompson 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% MC
51 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.45% 0.46% 0.02%
52 GER Stephan Jaeger 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.42% 0.64% 0.21% T13
53 USA Lucas Glover 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.76% 0.34% T54
54 USA John Huh 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% T2
55 USA Hayden Buckley 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% WD
56 USA Brice Garnett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.36% -0.06% MC
57 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.34% -0.07% T61
58 SVK Rory Sabbatini 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.21% -0.2% T61
59 USA Stewart Cink 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.4% 1.06% 0.66% T27
60 USA Chesson Hadley 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T8
61 ENG Matt Wallace 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.87% 0.5% MC
62 ENG Danny Willett 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.7% 0.33% MC
63 USA Patrick Rodgers 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.69% 0.33% T36
64 USA Nick Hardy 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.51% 0.15% MC
65 USA Brandon Wu 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% T8
66 USA Greyson Sigg 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.42% 0.08% MC
67 AUT Sepp Straka 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% 1.03% 0.72% MC
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% MC
69 USA Charley Hoffman 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% T68
70 USA Lee Hodges 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.56% 0.26% T47
71 USA Austin Smotherman 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% MC
72 USA Vincent Whaley 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% MC
73 USA Ryan Armour 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.31% 0.04%
74 USA Hank Lebioda 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
75 USA James Hahn 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.7% 0.45% T47
76 USA Patton Kizzire 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.7% 0.45% MC
77 CAN Nick Taylor 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.66% 0.42% T81
78 USA Scott Piercy 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.81% 0.58% T27
79 USA Adam Schenk 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.66% 0.43% MC
80 AUT Matthias Schwab 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% MC
81 USA Zach Johnson 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.19% -0.03% T36
82 USA Peter Malnati 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.72% 0.51% T27
83 USA Robert Streb 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.24% T36
84 NZL Danny Lee 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.69% 0.48%
85 USA Justin Lower 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T36
86 USA Doc Redman 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% T21
87 USA Sam Ryder 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.75% 0.58% T61
88 USA Ryan Moore 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T21
89 USA Chad Ramey 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
90 USA Harry Higgs 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.47% 0.3% T36
91 USA Kramer Hickok 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.4% 0.24% T71
92 RSA Garrick Higgo 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.39% 0.23% MC
93 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T13
94 USA Kevin Tway 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.09% T27
95 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% MC
96 USA Kelly Kraft 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.41% 0.26% T54
97 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T78
98 USA Joseph Bramlett 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T68
99 USA Chase Seiffert 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% MC
100 USA Austin Cook 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% MC
101 USA Andrew Novak 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.18% MC
102 USA Ben Martin 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.16% 0.03% MC
103 CAN Roger Sloan 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% MC
104 USA Scott Brown 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.15% 0.02% T36
105 USA Brian Stuard 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% T27
106 SWE Henrik Norlander 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% T47
107 USA Max McGreevy 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% T5
108 USA Wesley Bryan 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
109 USA Joshua Creel 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% MC
110 USA Bo Van Pelt 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% MC
111 USA Cole Hammer 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.12% 0.01% MC
112 USA Andrew Landry 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0% MC
113 USA Jim Herman 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
114 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 763 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% T36
115 AUS Cameron Percy 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.21% T8
116 USA Brandon Hagy 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% WD
117 KOR Seungyul Noh 940 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09%
118 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.66% 0.58% MC
119 ENG Luke Donald 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.36% T54
120 COL Camilo Villegas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.32% MC
121 USA Scott Gutschewski 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.31% MC
122 USA Bill Haas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.28% MC
123 USA Ben Kohles 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% T54
124 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% T13
125 USA William McGirt 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% MC
126 USA Seth Reeves 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% MC
127 AUS Aaron Baddeley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
128 USA Kevin Chappell 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
129 USA Jonathan Byrd 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% T71
130 FRA Paul Barjon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
131 USA Bo Hoag 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T47
132 USA Jason Dufner 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% T83
133 USA Dylan Wu 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
134 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
135 USA Chris Stroud 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T61
136 USA Benjamin Griffin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% 4
137 USA Vaughn Taylor 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.06% T36
138 USA Trent Phillips 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.03% MC
139 USA Jared Wolfe 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.49% 75
140 USA Jim Knous 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
141 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.19% WD
142 USA Curtis Thompson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
143 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.15% T68
144 USA Tommy Gainey 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
145 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.06% MC
146 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
147 ENG David Skinns 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% 0% 80
148 AUS Brett Drewitt 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.13% 0.07% T61
149 USA Davis Love III 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
150 SWE Jonas Blixt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 SWE David Lingmerth 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Robert Garrigus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
154 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Michael DeMorat 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 GER Yannik Paul 0% 0% 0% 0% T36
158 USA Thomas Gibson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
160 USA Blake McShea 0% 0% 0% 0% T76

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 42.4% 8.4%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.1% 10.1%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19.1%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.4% 21.2%
5 Betway 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 21.3%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 59.3% 21.4%
7 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 64% 25%
8 Coral 8 @ 1/5 64% 25%
9 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 52.9% 26.1%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43% 26.2%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 43% 26.2%
12 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 92.8% 27.7%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 71.2% 30.5%
14 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 71.2% 30.5%
15 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 32.6%
16 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.7% 33.1%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51% 33.3%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51% 33.3%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 35.9%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.6% 38.2%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54% 38.4%
22 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 62.1% 45.8%
23 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 62.2% 45.8%