Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 261.5

Total Profit: +161.4

Charles Schwab Challenge

26/05/2022 - 29/05/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.21% 5.41% -0.79% 2
2 USA Justin Thomas 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.21% 4.46% -1.75% MC
3 USA Jordan Spieth 12 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.21% 1.74% -4.47% T7
4 USA Collin Morikawa 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.25% 1.79% -2.45% T40
5 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.84% 3.84% -0.01% T21
6 USA Will Zalatoris 20 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.84% 3.82% -0.03% MC
7 USA Max Homa 28 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.78% 2.3% -0.48% T23 11.79
8 USA Sam Burns 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.6% 2.2% -0.41% 1 11.03 +209.6
9 KOR Sungjae Im 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.37% 1% -1.38% T15
10 USA Daniel Berger 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% 1.5% -0.74% T23
11 USA Talor Gooch 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% 1.29% -0.95% T27
12 MEX Abraham Ancer 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% 1.07% -1.17% MC
13 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.99% 0.02% MC 8.34
14 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% 1.35% -0.62% T35
15 USA Tony Finau 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% 1.13% -0.83% T4
16 USA Jason Kokrak 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.09% -0.87% 67
17 USA Webb Simpson 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.97% 0.75% -1.22% T27
18 USA Davis Riley 45 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% 1.59% -0.16% T4 (tied w/3) 7.44 +37.2
19 USA Chris Kirk 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% 1.21% -0.55% T15
20 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% 1.11% -0.64% MC
21 USA Kevin Na 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.46% -0.12% T7 (tied w/5) 6.71 +14.8
22 USA Harold Varner III 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.03% -0.56% T27
23 COL Sebastian Munoz 55 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 0.89% -0.55% T48
24 AUT Sepp Straka 66 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 1.58% 0.38% 5.11
25 USA Brian Harman 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.24% 0.04% MC 5.11
26 ENG Justin Rose 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.23% 0.03% MC 5.11
27 USA Maverick McNealy 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.88% -0.32% MC 5.11
28 USA Tom Hoge 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.14% 1.59% 0.45% MC 4.82
29 USA Bubba Watson 80 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.58% -0.41% 4.23
30 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 1.47% 0.58% MC 3.76
31 USA Troy Merritt 90 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 1.06% 0.18% T57 3.76
32 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1.74% 0.94% MC 3.39
33 USA Patrick Reed 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 1.44% 0.64% T7 3.39
34 USA Ryan Palmer 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.68% 0.4% -0.28% T40 2.9
35 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.06% 0.42% MC 2.72
36 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.64% 1.23% 0.59% T15 2.7
37 TPE C.T. Pan 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.64% 0.87% 0.24% T52 2.7
38 USA Bryson DeChambeau 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.42% -0.17%
39 AUS Lucas Herbert 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.4% 0.87% T48
40 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.72% 0.19%
41 USA Brendon Todd 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.49% -0.04% 3
42 USA Cameron Tringale 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.51% 0.84% 0.32% MC
43 RSA Erik van Rooyen 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% MC
44 USA Rickie Fowler 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T57
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.51% 0.05% T57
46 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.35% -0.11% T52
47 USA Patton Kizzire 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.43% 0.76% 0.32% MC
48 USA Adam Long 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% T35
49 AUS Cameron Davis 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.41% 0.81% 0.4% T7
50 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.68% 0.27% MC
51 USA Nate Lashley 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% MC
52 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% T4
53 ENG Aaron Rai 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.43% 0.02% 68
54 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% MC
55 USA Denny McCarthy 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.89% 0.5% T27
56 USA Doug Ghim 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.53% 0.14% MC
57 USA Joel Dahmen 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% T63
58 USA Lucas Glover 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 1.05% 0.67% T40
59 SCO Russell Knox 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% T15
60 USA J.J Spaun 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.98% 0.62% WD
61 ENG Ian Poulter 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.56% 0.2% T40
62 RSA Dylan Frittelli 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.64% 0.29% T35
63 USA Kevin Streelman 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% MC
64 USA David Lipsky 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% T48
65 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.96% 0.64% T21
66 USA Kurt Kitayama 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.7% 0.37% T40
67 USA Brandon Wu 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.57% 0.24% MC
68 AUS Minwoo Lee 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.32% 0% MC
69 USA Alex Smalley 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.06% T27
70 USA Sahith Theegala 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.86% 0.57% T57
71 USA James Hahn 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% MC
72 ARG Emiliano Grillo 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T63
73 AUS Matt Jones 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.27% 1.02% 0.75% T12
74 USA Austin Smotherman 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.27% 0.68% 0.41% T63
75 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.17% MC
76 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% MC
77 USA Patrick Rodgers 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% T35
78 SVK Rory Sabbatini 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.18% T52
79 USA Peter Malnati 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.68% 0.42% MC
80 AUT Matthias Schwab 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T57
81 USA Pat Perez 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.55% 0.3% T12
82 USA Andrew Putnam 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T15
83 USA Vincent Whaley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% MC
84 USA Charley Hoffman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.1% -0.13% 66
85 NZL Danny Lee 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% T23
86 USA Doc Redman 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% MC
87 USA Chez Reavie 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.47% 0.25% T27
88 ENG Richard Bland 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.59% 0.39% MC
89 CAN Adam Svensson 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.58% 0.38% T40
90 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T15
91 USA Taylor Moore 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.42% 0.23% MC
92 CAN Nick Taylor 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.48% 0.29% T48
93 USA Wyndham Clark 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
94 USA Zach Johnson 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T23
95 USA Kramer Hickok 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% MC
96 USA Chad Ramey 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% T27
97 USA Robert Streb 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.41% 0.24% MC
98 USA Sam Ryder 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.29% MC
99 RSA Garrick Higgo 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
100 USA Harry Higgs 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% 69
101 USA Ty Strafaci 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.1% -0.06% MC
102 USA Brandt Snedeker 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% T57
103 USA Adam Schenk 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% MC
104 FRA Paul Barjon 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
105 USA Trey Mullinax 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.49% 0.36% MC
106 USA Michael Thompson 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.48% 0.35% T40
107 USA Lee Hodges 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.43% 0.31% T35
108 ENG Luke Donald 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T40
109 USA Hayden Buckley 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% MC
110 USA Nick Watney 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% MC
111 USA Bill Haas 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% T27
112 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.2% T52
113 USA John Pak 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
114 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
115 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.11% MC
116 USA Max McGreevy 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% T52
117 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.1% -0.01% MC
118 USA James Piot 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
119 USA Erik Compton 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.05% MC
120 USA Jason Dufner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
121 USA Scott Piercy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 USA John Huh 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
123 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
124 USA Greyson Sigg 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.5% 10.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 14.6%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 15.9%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.1% 16.5%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.3% 17.4%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 81.2% 19.8%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37.5% 21.1%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60% 21.6%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 21.8%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 61.2% 22.6%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 25.8%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.7% 26%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.7% 26%
14 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.1%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 33.5%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 34.6%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56% 37.4%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 38.8%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 62.6% 43.3%