Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 76.4

Total Profit: -23.7

John Deere Classic

08/07/2021 - 11/07/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Daniel Berger 11 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 6.14% 2.63% -3.52% T34
2 USA Brian Harman 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.92% 3.34% -1.58% MC
3 KOR Sungjae Im 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.34% 2.29% -2.04% T47
4 USA Russell Henley 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.51% 1.25% -2.26% T11
5 USA Kevin Streelman 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.84% 2.14% -0.7% MC
6 AUS Cameron Davis 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 1.89% -0.65% T55
7 KOR Siwoo Kim 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 2.04% -0.13% WD
8 SWE Alexander Noren 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 1.65% -0.52% MC
9 IRL Seamus Power 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.19% -0.98% T8
10 USA Patton Kizzire 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.82% 0.02% T11 7.51
11 USA Kevin Na 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.68% -0.12% T2 (tied w/2) 7.51 +33.8
12 USA Troy Merritt 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.6% -0.2% MC
13 USA Maverick McNealy 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.51% -0.09% T18 6.7
14 USA Aaron Wise 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.13% -0.48% T69
15 USA Doug Ghim 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.18% -0.27% T18
16 USA Lucas Glover 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.17% -0.28% 1
17 USA Steve Stricker 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.05% -0.4% T41
18 USA Doc Redman 50 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.45% 0.85% -0.6% MC
19 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 1.4% 0.08% T11 5.5
20 USA Kyle Stanley 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% 1.11% -0.21% T41
21 USA Zach Johnson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 0.98% -0.33% T34
22 USA Hank Lebioda 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.1% -0.11% T8 5.05
23 USA Harold Varner III 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.33% 0.23% T11 4.6
24 USA Richy Werenski 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.28% 0.18% MC 4.6
25 USA Chez Reavie 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.85% -0.25% T18
26 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.75% -0.35% T23
27 COL Sebastian Munoz 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.7% -0.4% T4
28 USA Beau Hossler 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.7% -0.4% MC
29 USA Ryan Moore 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.59% -0.51% T2
30 USA Kramer Hickok 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.33% 0.42% WD 3.81
31 AUT Sepp Straka 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.03% 0.12% MC 3.81
32 USA Pat Perez 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.93% 0.02% MC 3.81
33 USA JT Poston 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.85% -0.06% MC 3.81
34 ENG Tom Lewis 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.72% -0.19% T55
35 USA Scott Stallings 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.71% -0.2% T55
36 USA Patrick Rodgers 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.66% -0.25% T23
37 USA Keith Mitchell 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.66% -0.15% MC
38 RSA Dylan Frittelli 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.64% -0.17% MC
39 TPE C.T. Pan 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.93% 0.2% MC 3.05
40 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.87% 0.14% T28 3.05
41 USA Luke List 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.67% -0.06% T4 (tied w/4) 3.05 +32
42 CAN Roger Sloan 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.58% -0.15% 71
43 USA Andrew Putnam 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 1.75% 1.17% MC 2.45
44 USA Brandon Hagy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 1.45% 0.87% T18 2.45
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.01% 0.43% T50 2.45
46 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.94% 0.36% MC 2.45
47 USA Chesson Hadley 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% T34 2.45
48 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.75% 0.17% T8 (tied w/3) 2.45 +10.6
49 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.75% 0.16% T41 2.45
50 USA Bo Hoag 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.74% 0.15% T47 2.45
51 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.72% 0.13% MC 2.45
52 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.71% 0.13% T41 2.45
53 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.7% 0.11% T28 2.45
54 USA Robert Streb 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.61% 0.02% MC 2.45
55 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.55% -0.04% MC 2.45
56 USA Tyler Duncan 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% MC 2.45
57 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.38% -0.2% T69
58 USA Denny McCarthy 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.73% 0.2% MC
59 USA Vaughn Taylor 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.92% 0.44% T34
60 USA Hudson Swafford 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.41% MC
61 USA Jim Herman 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.41% T28
62 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.88% 0.39% T58
63 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.82% 0.33% T23
64 USA Vincent Whaley 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.77% 0.29% MC
65 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.75% 0.26% MC
66 USA Adam Long 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% T23
67 SCO Martin Laird 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.73% 0.25% T28
68 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.71% 0.22% MC
69 USA Ben Martin 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.65% 0.17% MC
70 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.14% MC
71 NZL Danny Lee 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% WD
72 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% MC
73 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.41% -0.08% T11
74 USA John Huh 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.33% -0.16% T50
75 USA Adam Schenk 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% T4
76 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.89% 0.52% T64
77 USA Bronson Burgoon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.35% MC
78 AUS Cameron Percy 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.3% T11
79 COL Camilo Villegas 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% T41
80 USA William Gordon 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.13% T28
81 USA Mark Anderson 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
82 USA Jason Dufner 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% T18
83 USA Andrew Landry 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% T64
84 USA Sean O'Hair 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% T11
85 USA Wes Roach 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.29% -0.07% T50
86 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.28% -0.09% T23
87 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.67% 0.37% T28
88 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
89 ARG Fabian Gomez 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% WD
90 USA Bill Haas 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% MC
91 USA Scott Brown 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T4
92 USA Austin Cook 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
93 USA Josh Teater 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.03% MC
94 USA Robby Shelton 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.55% 0.3% MC
95 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% T58
96 USA Peter Malnati 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% T58
97 USA J.B. Holmes 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.16% WD
98 USA Chris Baker 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.09% MC
99 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% MC
100 USA Ted Potter-jr 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% 72
101 ARG Andres Romero 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
102 USA Michael Gellerman 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.14% -0.07% T34
103 USA Bo Van Pelt 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 1.48% 1.3% MC
104 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.35% 0.17% MC
105 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% MC
106 USA Johnson Wagner 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% MC
107 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
108 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.19% 0% MC
109 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.14% -0.04% MC
110 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% MC
111 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.37% MC
112 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.37% MC
113 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.28% T34
114 CAN David Hearn 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T50
115 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
116 USA Brian Gay 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.22% T64
117 USA Grayson Murray 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% WD
118 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.19% T41
119 USA Ryan Brehm 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
120 ENG Benjamin Taylor 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
121 USA Nick Watney 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T50
122 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
123 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T58
124 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
125 USA Shawn Stefani 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% 0% T62
126 USA Ricky Barnes 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% 0% MC
127 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% 0% MC
128 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% MC
129 USA Willie Mack III 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% T64
130 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% 68
131 USA George McNeill 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% MC
132 USA Dominic Bozzelli 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% MC
133 USA Michael Kim 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
134 USA Kevin Stadler 750 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
135 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.22% MC
136 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
137 USA Matt Every 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.11% MC
138 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
139 AUS John Senden 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% T62
140 USA Mark Wilson 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% MC
141 USA Chad Proehl 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% MC
142 USA Harrison Frazar 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
143 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 IND Arjun Atwal 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 BRA Lucas Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
148 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Alex Smalley 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
150 USA Eric Cole 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Luke Kluver 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Luke Gannon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA David Perkins 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Michael Feagles 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Alex Schaake 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Tripp Kinney 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.7% 23.6%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.7% 23.6%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.7% 26.3%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54% 28.9%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 57.3% 31.7%
6 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 57.4% 31.8%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.4% 32.6%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 36.7%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.6%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 39%
11 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.4%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.7% 42.9%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 61.7% 44.2%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 61.7% 44.2%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 61.7% 44.2%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 62.4% 44.8%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.6%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 66.4% 51.6%