Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 224.9

Total Profit: +124.8

The Honda Classic

18/03/2021 - 21/03/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Sungjae Im 11 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.34% 3.09% -3.25% T8
2 ENG Lee Westwood 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.62% 4.2% 0.58% MC
3 CHI Joaquin Niemann 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.62% 2.74% -0.88% T25
4 USA Russell Henley 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 2.67% 0.05% T3 (tied w/5) 10.46 +34.5
5 IRL Shane Lowry 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 2.43% -0.19% T36
6 AUS Adam Scott 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% 1.05% -1.57% T13
7 USA Chris Kirk 33 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 1.7% -0.54% T25
8 USA Talor Gooch 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 1.67% -0.56% T46
9 USA Cameron Tringale 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 2.44% 0.59% T13 7.4
10 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.1% -0.75% T33
11 USA Brendan Steele 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 0.87% -0.99% T3
12 USA Keegan Bradley 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.53% 0.04% T30 5.95
13 USA Doug Ghim 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.18% -0.31% MC
14 USA Wyndham Clark 50 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.91% -0.59% MC
15 USA Rickie Fowler 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.74% -0.75% T65
16 ENG Ian Poulter 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.32% -0.04% MC 5.42
17 ENG Matt Wallace 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.19% -0.17% MC
18 USA JT Poston 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% 1.34% 0.09% MC 4.98
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.25% 0.59% -0.65% MC
20 USA Brandon Wu 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 3.24% 2.11% MC 4.53
21 GER Martin Kaymer 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.22% 0.08% MC 4.53
22 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.06% -0.07% MC
23 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.97% -0.17% T36
24 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.75% -0.39% MC
25 AUS Matt Jones 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.63% 0.56% 1 4.28 +184
26 SWE Alexander Noren 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.92% -0.15% T46
27 CAN Adam Hadwin 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.75% -0.32% T8
28 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.66% -0.41% T36
29 USA Luke List 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.58% -0.49% MC
30 USA Adam Long 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.59% 0.65% MC 3.75
31 USA Patton Kizzire 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.26% 0.32% MC 3.75
32 USA Zach Johnson 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.06% 0.12% T8 (tied w/5) 3.75 +6.4
33 USA Aaron Wise 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.86% -0.08% T13
34 USA Harold Varner III 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.76% -0.18% T19
35 USA Michael Thompson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.69% -0.25% T19
36 USA Richy Werenski 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.67% -0.26% MC
37 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.55% -0.39% T30
38 USA James Hahn 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 2.08% 1.25% WD 3.34
39 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 90 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 1.4% 0.57% MC 3.34
40 USA Phil Mickelson 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.39% -0.45% T25
41 USA Ryan Moore 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.35% -0.49% MC
42 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.15% 0.4% MC 3.01
43 USA Maverick McNealy 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.12% 0.36% MC 3.01
44 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.02% 0.27% MC 3.01
45 USA Tom Hoge 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.85% 0.09% MC 3.01
46 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.8% 0.05% T60 3.01
47 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.71% -0.05% T36
48 USA Lucas Glover 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.55% -0.21% T19
49 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.3% -0.45% T53
50 CAN Nick Taylor 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.85% 0.17% MC 2.74
51 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.52% -0.17% MC
52 USA Chez Reavie 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.41% -0.28% MC
53 AUS Lucas Herbert 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.93% 0.32% T46 2.41
54 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.87% 0.26% T33 2.41
55 USA John Huh 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.81% 0.21% T19 2.41
56 USA Jim Furyk 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.8% 0.19% MC 2.41
57 USA William Gordon 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.11% T36 2.41
58 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% T46 2.41
59 AUS Cameron Percy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% MC 2.41
60 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.46% -0.15% T53
61 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.44% -0.16% MC
62 USA Wesley Bryan 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.42% -0.18% MC
63 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.34% -0.26% T36
64 USA Peter Malnati 140 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.54% 0.72% 0.18% MC
65 USA Bo Hoag 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.98% 0.48% MC
66 USA Steve Stricker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.36% T13
67 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.72% 0.22% T36
68 USA Denny McCarthy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.48% -0.03% T3
69 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.46% -0.05% T36
70 USA Harry Higgs 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.14% T19
71 USA Bronson Burgoon 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.16% T67
72 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.75% 0.32% T3
73 USA Ted Potter-jr 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.58% 0.14% 64
74 USA Robby Shelton 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.53% 0.09% MC
75 USA Stewart Cink 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.48% 0.05% T19
76 USA Grayson Murray 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.47% 0.04% MC
77 USA Scott Stallings 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.42% -0.02% MC
78 USA Jason Dufner 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.34% -0.09% T53
79 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.31% -0.13% MC
80 USA J.B. Holmes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.15% -0.28% T46
81 USA Andrew Landry 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.98% 0.6% MC
82 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.89% 0.51% MC
83 USA Tyler McCumber 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T33
84 USA Brice Garnett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T25
85 CAN Roger Sloan 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% T25
86 SWE Henrik Stenson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% MC
87 USA Ryan Armour 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T58
88 USA Pat Perez 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T46
89 USA Brian Stuard 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0.02% MC
90 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0.01% MC
91 USA Rob Oppenheim 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% MC
92 USA Scott Brown 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.33% -0.04% MC
93 NIR Graeme McDowell 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% MC
94 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.27% -0.11% MC
95 USA Austin Cook 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% MC
96 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.33% MC
97 PUR Rafael Campos 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.15% MC
98 USA Tyler Duncan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% MC
99 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
100 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.07% MC
101 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.34% 0.04% T8
102 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T3
103 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% MC
104 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.21% -0.09% T13
105 USA Robert Streb 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.82% 0.57% T13
106 USA Brian Gay 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.67% 0.42% T46
107 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% MC
108 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.04% T60
109 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% WD
110 USA Scott Harrington 350 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.26% 0.05% T53
111 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% T58
112 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
113 USA Hank Lebioda 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
114 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T36
115 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
116 USA Jim Herman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T53
117 COL Camilo Villegas 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T8
118 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
119 USA Michael Kim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
120 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
121 CHN Zhang Xinjun 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
122 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
123 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.01% MC
124 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
125 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.02% MC
126 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
127 USA Vincent Whaley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.29% T36
128 USA William McGirt 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.15% 0.03% T60
129 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
130 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% MC
131 USA Chase Koepka 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% T30
132 USA Alan Morin 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% MC
133 USA Kamaiu Johnson 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.11% MC
134 USA Erik Compton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
136 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 COL Marcelo Rozo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 AUS Rhein Gibson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
141 USA Brandon Hagy 0% 0% 0% 0% 2
142 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Zach Zaback 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% T65

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54.5% 19.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 55.6% 20.4%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.8% 22.9%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.1% 23.9%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.1% 23.9%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 86.2% 25.3%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 64.3% 27.2%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 33.6%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.2% 34.8%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.7% 35.2%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.7% 35.2%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.7%
13 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.6%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.7%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 46.9%