Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 44.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 79.0

Total Profit: -21.2

THE PLAYERS Championship

11/03/2021 - 14/03/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 12 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.14% 2.14% -3.01% T48
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.46% 2.21% -2.25% T3
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 5.88% 3.93% 1.88% -2.05% MC
4 ESP Jon Rahm 16 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 3.93% 1.54% -2.4% T9
5 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.18% 2.4% -0.78% MC
6 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.18% 1.52% -1.66% T41
7 USA Justin Thomas 20 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.18% 1.24% -1.94% 1
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.91% 2.26% -0.65% MC
9 USA Webb Simpson 22 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.91% 1.8% -1.11% MC
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.57% 1.69% -0.88% MC
11 USA Tony Finau 28 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.31% 2.18% -0.13% MC
12 USA Jordan Spieth 30 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.16% 0.86% -1.3% T48
13 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 33 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.97% 2.16% 0.2% MC 8.72
14 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 33 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.97% 1.04% -0.93% MC
15 USA Patrick Reed 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.86% 1.78% -0.08% T22
16 USA Daniel Berger 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.86% 1.58% -0.28% T9
17 AUS Jason Day 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.63% 0.77% -0.86% T35
18 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 45 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% 1.47% 0.02% T9 (tied w/8) 6.44 +8.1
19 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% 1.13% -0.32% MC
20 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% 0.75% -0.71% MC
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% 1.68% 0.37% T29 5.81
22 AUS Cameron Smith 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% 1.54% 0.23% T17 5.81
23 KOR Sungjae Im 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% 1.08% -0.23% T17
24 ENG Paul Casey 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.19% 1.4% 0.21% T5 (tied w/2) 5.29 +31.7
25 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 1.35% 0.35% T41 4.43
26 USA Will Zalatoris 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 1.22% 0.22% 21 4.43
27 AUS Adam Scott 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 0.72% -0.28% T48
28 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.6% 0.65% T41 4.18
29 USA Jason Kokrak 70 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.47% 0.52% T9 (tied w/8) 4.18 +7.8
30 ENG Lee Westwood 70 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.4% 0.46% 2 4.18 +31.4
31 USA Billy Horschel 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.39% 0.45% T58 4.18
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% 1.37% 0.43% T22 4.18
33 CAN Corey Conners 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 0.81% -0.02% 7
34 ESP Sergio Garcia 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 1.49% 0.75% T9 3.26
35 USA Kevin Na 90 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 1.3% 0.56% WD 3.26
36 USA Russell Henley 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 1.36% 0.69% MC 2.94
37 USA Max Homa 100 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.93% 0.26% MC 2.94
38 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.43% 0.89% T17 2.36
39 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.26% 0.73% MC 2.36
40 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.98% 0.45% T35 2.36
41 USA Cameron Tringale 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.94% 0.41% MC 2.36
42 USA Chris Kirk 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.93% 0.4% T48 2.36
43 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.86% 0.33% MC 2.36
44 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.82% 0.29% MC 2.36
45 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.69% 0.16% T9 2.36
46 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.66% 0.13% MC 2.36
47 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.65% 0.12% MC 2.36
48 AUS Marc Leishman 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% MC 2.36
49 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% MC
50 USA Sam Burns 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.45% -0.08% MC
51 USA Rickie Fowler 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.37% -0.16% MC
52 USA Talor Gooch 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.64% 0.19% T5
53 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.58% 0.14% MC
54 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.52% 0.07% MC
55 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.44% 0% T29
56 USA Matt Kuchar 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.27% -0.17% MC
57 SCO Robert MacIntyre 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 1.13% 0.75% MC
58 USA Brendon Todd 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T35
59 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% MC
60 USA Brian Harman 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T3
61 USA Charley Hoffman 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.55% 0.17% T17
62 USA Kevin Streelman 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% MC
63 KOR Byeong Hun An 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.28% -0.1% MC
64 IRL Shane Lowry 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.87% 0.54% 8
65 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.8% 0.47% MC
66 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.78% 0.45% MC
67 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.75% 0.42% MC
68 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.67% 0.34% T9
69 USA Zach Johnson 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.64% 0.31% T41
70 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.59% 0.25% T55
71 USA Richy Werenski 200 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% MC
72 USA Doug Ghim 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% T29
73 SWE Alexander Noren 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.42% 0.09% MC
74 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.39% 0.05% T41
75 USA Maverick McNealy 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.38% 0.05% MC
76 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% T61
77 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.34% 0% MC
78 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% T61
79 USA Luke List 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.26% -0.07% MC
80 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.23% -0.1% T67
81 USA Gary Woodland 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.16% -0.17% MC
82 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.55% 0.29% MC
83 USA JT Poston 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.47% 0.21% T22
84 USA Cameron Champ 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
85 USA Patton Kizzire 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.32% 0.06% T35
86 USA Charles Howell III 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.3% 0.04% T9
87 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.18% -0.09% MC
88 SWE Henrik Stenson 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.17% -0.1% MC
89 USA Phil Mickelson 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.13% -0.14% T35
90 USA Ryan Moore 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.1% -0.16% T35
91 USA James Hahn 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.74% 0.51% T41
92 SCO Martin Laird 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% T69
93 CAN Nick Taylor 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% T48
94 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% T67
95 CAN Adam Hadwin 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% T29
96 USA Aaron Wise 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T65
97 USA Kyle Stanley 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% MC
98 ENG Tom Lewis 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% MC
99 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% T65
100 USA Lucas Glover 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.23% 0% T48
101 USA Joel Dahmen 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.22% 0% MC
102 USA Adam Long 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.3% T22
103 USA Peter Malnati 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% MC
104 USA Tom Hoge 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T22
105 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% 71
106 AUT Sepp Straka 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
107 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% T41
108 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.28% 0.08% T48
109 RSA Dylan Frittelli 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% T22
110 USA Brandt Snedeker 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% MC
111 USA Scott Piercy 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% T69
112 RSA Charl Schwartzel 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% MC
113 USA Doc Redman 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.12% -0.07% MC
114 USA Keith Mitchell 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.12% -0.07% MC
115 USA Denny McCarthy 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T55
116 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.13% MC
117 USA Stewart Cink 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.13% MC
118 USA Scott Stallings 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
119 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.2% 0.03% T29
120 USA Pat Perez 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.16% -0.01% MC
121 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.41% 0.27% MC
122 USA Bo Hoag 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
123 USA Brice Garnett 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% MC
124 TPE C.T. Pan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% MC
125 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
126 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.22% 0.08% MC
127 USA Adam Schenk 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.2% 0.07% MC
128 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% MC
129 USA Jason Dufner 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.17% 0.03% MC
130 NIR Graeme McDowell 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.16% 0.03% MC
131 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% T58
132 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
133 USA Sam Ryder 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
134 NZL Danny Lee 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
135 USA Robert Streb 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.52% 0.41% MC
136 USA Brian Gay 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% MC
137 USA Austin Cook 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.37% 0.25% MC
138 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
139 USA Scott Brown 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% T61
140 IND Anirban Lahiri 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.21% 0.09% MC
141 USA Harry Higgs 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% T29
142 KOR Sunghoon Kang 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.12% 0.01% MC
143 USA Beau Hossler 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% 0.1% -0.01% MC
144 USA Ryan Armour 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T55
145 USA Tyler McCumber 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T22
146 USA Jim Herman 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
147 CHN Zhang Xinjun 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
148 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.11% MC
149 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.07% T61
150 USA Jerry Kelly 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.06% -0.01% MC
151 USA Steve Stricker 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Kramer Hickok 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
154 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 44.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 10 @ 1/5 68.7% 13.7%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 70.5% 14.9%
3 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 70.7% 15%
4 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 49.5% 15.8%
5 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 75% 17.9%
6 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 64.8% 18.6%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 80.1% 21.3%
8 VBet 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 26.1%
9 Betway 8 @ 1/5 70.3% 32%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.8%
11 Redzone 7 @ 1/5 67.5% 40.3%
12 SportPesa 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
13 10Bet 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
14 Sport Nation 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
15 Mansion Bet 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
16 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 70.8% 43.1%
17 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 74.1% 45.9%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 66% 48.1%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 72.9% 57.6%