Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 9.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.78% 1.89% -4.89% T6
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.78% 1.78% -5% T11
3 USA Justin Thomas 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.21% 2.08% -4.13% MC
4 ESP Jon Rahm 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.38% 1.61% -2.77% T37
5 USA Dustin Johnson 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 1.84% -1.4% 1
6 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 2.32% -0.55% T20
7 ENG Justin Rose 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 0.97% -1.6% MC
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 0.92% -1.65% T11
9 USA Bubba Watson 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 2.57% 0.38% MC 23.36
10 MEX Abraham Ancer 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 1.95% -0.24% T11
11 USA Collin Morikawa 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 2.42% 0.35% MC 22.07
12 CHI Joaquin Niemann 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 0.79% -1.29% 63
13 USA Patrick Reed 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.94% 0.12% T24
14 ENG Paul Casey 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.9% -0.92% T32
15 NOR Viktor Hovland 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 1.08% -0.54% T11
16 USA Tony Finau 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 2.18% 0.72% MC 15.58
17 USA Gary Woodland 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.95% 0.49% MC 15.58
18 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.89% 0.43% T58 15.58
19 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.84% 0.38% MC
20 ESP Sergio Garcia 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.24% -0.22% T32
21 USA Jordan Spieth 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.69% -0.77% T54
22 USA Brian Harman 60 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0.75% -0.47% MC
23 USA Scottie Scheffler 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.17% 0.06% MC
24 CAN Corey Conners 75 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.98% 0.99% 0.01% MC
25 USA Joel Dahmen 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.39% 0.47% T20
26 USA JT Poston 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 1.27% 0.35% MC
27 ENG Ian Poulter 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.07% 0.15% 64
28 USA Patrick Rodgers 90 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 1.5% 0.68% MC
29 USA Billy Horschel 90 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 1.06% 0.24% MC
30 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.93% 0.11% MC
31 AUS Jason Day 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.56% -0.26% T46
32 RSA Branden Grace 100 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 2.09% 1.35% MC 7.87
33 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.57% 0.83% T46
34 USA Jason Kokrak 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.41% 0.67% MC
35 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.09% 0.35% MC
36 USA Max Homa 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 1.29% 0.69% MC
37 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.92% 0.33% MC
38 USA Kevin Na 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.86% 0.27% 5
39 USA Phil Mickelson 125 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.59% 0% T24
40 USA Ryan Moore 125 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.57% -0.02% MC
41 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% 2
42 USA Bud Cauley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.21% 0.72% WD
43 USA Brandt Snedeker 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.86% 0.37% T41
44 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.81% 0.31% T37
45 USA Harold Varner III 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.65% 0.16% T32
46 IRL Shane Lowry 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.13% T60
47 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.57% 0.08% MC
48 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.52% 0.02% T46
49 USA Russell Henley 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T32
50 USA Lucas Glover 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% T20
51 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.46% -0.04% T46
52 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.86% 0.43% T24
53 MEX Carlos Ortiz 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.52% 0.09% MC
54 USA Matthew Wolff 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% MC
55 USA Charley Hoffman 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.36% -0.06% T41
56 USA Harry Higgs 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.99% 0.62% MC
57 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.89% 0.52% MC
58 AUS Cameron Smith 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% MC
59 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.3% T6
60 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% T41
61 USA Zach Johnson 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.1% T11
62 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
63 USA Luke List 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
64 USA Doc Redman 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.38% 0.01% T11
65 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% MC
66 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.27% -0.1% MC
67 NZL Danny Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.12% MC
68 USA Stewart Cink 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.22% -0.15% MC
69 USA Jim Furyk 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.17% -0.2% T54
70 USA Brendon Todd 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.7% 0.37% T11
71 USA Tyler Duncan 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% T32
72 USA Tom Hoge 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.79% 1.49% T37
73 AUS Cameron Davis 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.88% 0.59% MC
74 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% T37
75 AUS Matt Jones 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.43% MC
76 USA Brice Garnett 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.36% MC
77 RSA Charl Schwartzel 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.36% MC
78 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.32% MC
79 ENG Danny Willett 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.23% MC
80 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
81 ARG Emiliano Grillo 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T60
82 USA Michael Thompson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T46
83 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
84 USA Cameron Tringale 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
85 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% MC
86 USA Keith Mitchell 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.47% 0.23% MC
87 AUT Sepp Straka 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.47% 0.23% MC
88 USA Grayson Murray 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% MC
89 USA Sam Burns 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T24
90 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T6
91 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T3
92 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T60
93 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
94 USA Kyle Stanley 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% T24
95 USA Aaron Wise 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% T46
96 KOR Siwoo Kim 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.18% -0.06% T11
97 USA Talor Gooch 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 1.25% 1.04% MC
98 USA Adam Long 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% T24
99 ENG Luke Donald 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.28% 68
100 USA Kevin Tway 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
101 USA Sahith Theegala 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.1% -0.11% MC
102 USA Lanto Griffin 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.23% 1.05% T24
103 USA Zac Blair 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
104 USA William Gordon 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T3
105 USA Brian Stuard 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T20
106 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% MC
107 USA Kevin Chappell 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T54
108 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T46
109 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.08% MC
110 USA Denny McCarthy 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% WD
111 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.11% -0.08% MC
112 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.83% 0.68% MC
113 USA James Hahn 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.69% 0.55% MC
114 USA Adam Schenk 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
115 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.22% MC
116 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
117 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
118 USA Bo Hoag 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.1% MC
119 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
120 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
121 USA Wesley Bryan 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.04% T24
122 USA David Pastore 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.1% -0.05% MC
123 USA Austin Cook 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.1% -0.05% T54
124 USA Robert Streb 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% -0.15% MC
125 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% -0.15% MC
126 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% -0.15% MC
127 SWE Henrik Norlander 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T41
128 NZL Tim Wilkinson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% -0.12% MC
129 USA Scott Brown 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% 65
130 USA Ted Potter-jr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
131 USA Rob Oppenheim 750 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
132 USA Brian Gay 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
133 USA Robby Shelton 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
134 USA Patton Kizzire 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.08% -0.02% T6
135 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
136 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
137 USA Hank Lebioda 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% T41
138 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
139 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
140 CAN Roger Sloan 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.03% 66
141 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% MC
142 USA Ryan Armour 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.02% T6
143 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% 67
144 ARG Fabian Gomez 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.08% 0.01% MC
145 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% MC
146 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
147 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% MC
148 USA Bo Van Pelt 1500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% MC
149 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
150 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
152 USA Tyler McCumber 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 KOR Sungjae Im 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
155 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Peter Kuest 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.5% 17.4%
2 Skybet 9 @ 1/5 67% 20.5%
3 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.6% 25.3%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.8% 26.5%
5 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 58.7% 27.8%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 66.6% 29.2%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 66.6% 29.2%
8 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 61.3% 35.3%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 35.6%
10 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 37%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 37.2%
12 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 55.1% 38.4%
13 Betway 7 @ 1/5 68.2% 41%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 58.3% 41.3%
15 SportPesa 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 47.1%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 47.1%
17 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 47.1%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 63.1% 48.8%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 63.3% 48.9%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 64.8% 50.3%