Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 36.9

Total Profit: -63.3

John Deere Classic

13/07/2017 - 16/07/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Daniel Berger 15 6.25% 5.12% 1.99% -3.13% T5
2 USA Brian Harman 19 5% 4.1% 2.93% -1.17% T10
3 USA Kevin Kisner 22 4.35% 3.56% 1.75% -1.81% T44
4 NZL Danny Lee 22 4.35% 3.56% 1.68% -1.88% WD
5 USA Charley Hoffman 23 4.17% 3.41% 2.32% -1.1% T39
6 USA Kyle Stanley 24 4% 3.28% 2.32% -0.96% T55
7 USA Steve Stricker 27 3.57% 2.93% 2.42% -0.51% T5
8 USA Zach Johnson 27 3.57% 2.93% 0.83% -2.09% T5
9 USA Ryan Moore 35 2.78% 2.28% 1.75% -0.52% MC
10 USA Jamie Lovemark 35 2.78% 2.28% 1.02% -1.25% T25
11 USA Charles Howell III 42 2.33% 1.9% 1.52% -0.38% T19
12 USA Daniel Summerhays 43 2.27% 1.86% 0.94% -0.92% T12
13 USA Kevin Streelman 45 2.17% 1.78% 1.54% -0.24% T44 7.74
14 USA Kevin Na 46 2.13% 1.74% 1.2% -0.54% MC
15 USA Bud Cauley 49 2% 1.64% 0.97% -0.66% T12
16 USA Bubba Watson 54 1.82% 1.49% 1.24% -0.25% T44 6.47
17 USA Bryson DeChambeau 54 1.82% 1.49% 1.21% -0.28% 1
18 USA Chez Reavie 57 1.72% 1.41% 0.91% -0.51% T39
19 USA Ben Martin 57 1.72% 1.41% 0.89% -0.52% T39
20 USA Wesley Bryan 58 1.69% 1.39% 1.13% -0.26% T3
21 USA Johnson Wagner 59 1.67% 1.37% 0.81% -0.56% MC
22 USA Chad Campbell 60 1.64% 1.34% 1.2% -0.14% T12 5.84
23 USA Robert Streb 60 1.64% 1.34% 0.86% -0.48% T74
24 USA William McGirt 61 1.61% 1.32% 1.08% -0.24% T71 5.74
25 CAN David Hearn 63 1.56% 1.28% 0.56% -0.72% MC
26 CAN Nick Taylor 66 1.49% 1.22% 1.22% -0.01% MC 5.32
27 USA Kelly Kraft 72 1.37% 1.12% 1% -0.12% T64 4.88
28 AUS Curtis Luck 79 1.25% 1.02% 0.81% -0.21% MC 4.45
29 AUS Matt Jones 80 1.23% 1.01% 0.77% -0.24% MC 4.4
30 USA Ryan Palmer 83 1.19% 0.98% 0.56% -0.42% MC
31 USA Nick Watney 84 1.18% 0.96% 0.85% -0.11% MC 4.19
32 USA Kevin Tway 87 1.14% 0.93% 1.4% 0.47% T12 4.05
33 USA Scott Brown 89 1.11% 0.91% 0.69% -0.22% T25 3.96
34 USA Lucas Glover 90 1.1% 0.9% 1.15% 0.25% T25 3.92
35 USA Morgan Hoffmann 91 1.09% 0.89% 1.11% 0.22% T12 3.87
36 USA Ollie Schniederjans 93 1.06% 0.87% 0.71% -0.16% T39 3.79
37 USA Chesson Hadley 116 0.85% 0.7% 0.4% -0.3% T25
38 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 120 0.83% 0.68% 1.11% 0.43% MC 2.95
39 USA Chris Kirk 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.88% 0.2% T60 2.95
40 ARG Andres Romero 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.86% 0.19% T25 2.95
41 USA Patrick Rodgers 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.85% 0.17% 2 2.95 +36.9
42 USA Smylie Kaufman 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.8% 0.12% MC 2.95
43 USA Michael Kim 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.72% 0.04% T71 2.95
44 USA Chris Stroud 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.56% -0.12% T19 2.95
45 USA Harold Varner III 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.81% 0.19% MC 2.72
46 USA Trey Mullinax 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.73% 0.1% T19 2.72
47 USA J.J Spaun 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.63% 0% MC 2.72
48 USA Luke List 130 0.76% 0.63% 0.61% -0.02% T68 2.72
49 USA Scott Stallings 150 0.66% 0.54% 1.17% 0.62% T5
50 USA Ricky Barnes 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.77% 0.23% T55
51 USA Boo Weekley 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.69% 0.14% T60
52 USA Cameron Tringale 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.66% 0.12% T50
53 USA Brandon Hagy 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.64% 0.1% T50
54 USA Jonathan Randolph 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.63% 0.09% T68
55 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.58% 0.04% MC
56 USA Brian Gay 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.82% 0.31% MC
57 USA Spencer Levin 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% MC
58 USA Hunter Mahan 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.57% 0.06% MC
59 GER Alex Cejka 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.52% 0.01% MC
60 USA Vaughn Taylor 180 0.55% 0.45% 1.14% 0.69% T19
61 USA Roberto Castro 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.74% 0.29% MC
62 USA Billy Hurley III 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.72% 0.27% T68
63 USA Ryan Blaum 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.61% 0.16% T77
64 USA John Huh 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.69% 0.26% MC
65 USA Robert Garrigus 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% DQ
66 USA Troy Merritt 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.44% 0.04% T60
67 SVK Rory Sabbatini 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.87% 0.48% T19
68 IRL Seamus Power 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.48% 0.09% T25
69 USA Shawn Stefani 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.42% 0.03% T44
70 USA Zac Blair 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% MC
71 USA Ben Crane 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.61% 0.24% T25
72 USA Davis Love III 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.5% 0.13% T77
73 USA Peter Malnati 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.5% 0.13% T44
74 USA Will Wilcox 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
75 USA Brian Stuard 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.71% 0.36% MC
76 COL Camilo Villegas 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.54% 0.19% T19
77 USA Bryce Molder 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.75% 0.42% MC
78 USA Joel Dahmen 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.59% 0.27% MC
79 USA Kyle Reifers 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% T74
80 USA Dominic Bozzelli 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.56% 0.24% T25
81 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.68% 0.37% T39
82 USA Ryan Brehm 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% MC
83 USA Steve Wheatcroft 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
84 USA Jonathan Byrd 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T5
85 USA D.A. Points 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.83% 0.55% MC
86 USA Patton Kizzire 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T25
87 USA Tom Hoge 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% MC
88 USA Brett Stegmaier 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% 81
89 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
90 USA Andres Gonzales 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
91 USA Martin Flores 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.17% T64
92 ARG Julian Etulain 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% MC
93 USA Andrew Loupe 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% 80
94 USA Sam Saunders 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% T25
95 AUS Cameron Percy 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% T12
96 KOR K.J. Choi 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% T25
97 USA Derek Fathauer 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% T50
98 USA Mark Hubbard 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.25% -0.03% MC
99 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.24% -0.04% MC
100 ENG Greg Owen 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05% MC
101 USA Eric Axley 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.15% -0.12% MC
102 AUS Greg Chalmers 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.34% T25
103 USA Matt Every 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
104 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
105 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.2% MC
106 SWE Carl Pettersson 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% WD
107 ARG Angel Cabrera 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% WD
108 USA John Merrick 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% 73
109 CAN Brad Fritsch 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.09% MC
110 USA Jason Bohn 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% MC
111 KOR Y.E. Yang 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% T64
112 USA Mark Anderson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.25% T50
113 USA Bob Estes 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
114 USA John Rollins 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
115 USA Ken Duke 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
116 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.17% MC
117 USA Tag Ridings 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.11% T74
118 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
119 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.05% T50
120 USA Bill Lunde 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.04% MC
121 AUS Stuart Appleby 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.43% 0.3% T25
122 USA Chad Collins 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
123 USA Richy Werenski 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T25
124 USA Brendon Todd 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.17% MC
125 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.15% T55
126 USA Mark Wilson 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.14% MC
127 AUS Brett Drewitt 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
128 NZL Steven Alker 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
129 AUS Steven Bowditch 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
130 KOR Charlie Wi 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
131 USA Max Homa 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
132 USA Troy Matteson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% T60
133 USA Tim Herron 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
134 USA Dicky Pride 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.23% MC
135 USA Shane Bertsch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
136 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.03% 0% T77
137 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.84% 0% MC
138 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.59% 0% T64
139 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T10
140 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
141 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
142 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.28% 0% T3
143 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.27% 0% T12
144 ENG Sam Horsfield 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T55
145 USA Dylan Meyer 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
146 USA Wyndham Clark 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC
147 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.17% 0% T44

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...