Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 9.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 85.4

Total Profit: -14.7

Wells Fargo Championship

04/05/2017 - 07/05/2017

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 4 20% 16.03% 4.2% -11.82% T2
2 ESP Jon Rahm 12 7.69% 6.16% 2.37% -3.79% 4
3 AUS Adam Scott 19 5% 4.01% 1.97% -2.04% T36
4 ENG Paul Casey 22 4.35% 3.48% 1.24% -2.24% T12
5 USA Kevin Kisner 25 3.85% 3.08% 2.18% -0.9% MC
6 USA Phil Mickelson 27 3.57% 2.86% 2.83% -0.03% T18
7 USA Webb Simpson 30 3.23% 2.58% 1.12% -1.47% MC
8 USA Daniel Berger 36 2.7% 2.17% 1.61% -0.55% T36 21.84
9 USA Bill Haas 37 2.63% 2.11% 1.79% -0.32% MC 21.27
10 USA Wesley Bryan 38 2.56% 2.05% 1% -1.06% MC
11 USA Patrick Reed 41 2.38% 1.91% 0.97% -0.94% T12
12 ITA Francesco Molinari 44 2.22% 1.78% 2.31% 0.53% T24 17.96
13 USA William McGirt 47 2.08% 1.67% 1.15% -0.52% MC
14 ARG Emiliano Grillo 69 1.43% 1.14% 0.94% -0.2% T42
15 USA Pat Perez 71 1.39% 1.11% 2.02% 0.9% T2 (tied w/2) 11.23 +85.4
16 USA Hudson Swafford 72 1.37% 1.1% 0.89% -0.2% T49
17 SWE Alexander Noren 73 1.35% 1.08% 1.19% 0.1% T31
18 USA Zach Johnson 80 1.23% 0.99% 1.54% 0.55% T18 9.98
19 SCO Martin Laird 81 1.22% 0.98% 1.31% 0.33% T42
20 NIR Graeme McDowell 82 1.2% 0.97% 1.36% 0.39% T18
21 USA Lucas Glover 82 1.2% 0.97% 0.94% -0.03% T52
22 KOR Byeong Hun An 84 1.18% 0.94% 1.45% 0.51% T8 9.51
23 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 84 1.18% 0.94% 1.02% 0.07% MC
24 USA Luke List 84 1.18% 0.94% 0.81% -0.13% T52
25 USA Kevin Na 85 1.16% 0.93% 1.23% 0.29% MC
26 USA Kevin Tway 86 1.15% 0.92% 0.62% -0.3% T5
27 USA Brian Harman 87 1.14% 0.91% 0.86% -0.05% 1
28 IRL Shane Lowry 89 1.11% 0.89% 1% 0.11% T24
29 USA Jim Furyk 93 1.06% 0.85% 0.92% 0.06% MC
30 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 97 1.02% 0.82% 1.59% 0.78% T24 8.25
31 USA Nick Watney 102 0.97% 0.78% 0.77% 0% T59
32 USA Stewart Cink 114 0.87% 0.7% 1.08% 0.39% MC
33 USA Kevin Streelman 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.86% 0.2% MC
34 USA Brian Gay 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.78% 0.12% T52
35 USA Harold Varner III 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.64% -0.03% MC
36 USA Patton Kizzire 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.45% -0.21% T66
37 USA Scott Brown 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.44% -0.22% MC
38 USA Harris English 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.41% -0.25% MC
39 USA Chris Kirk 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.68% 0.07% T71
40 USA Bryson DeChambeau 150 0.66% 0.53% 1.09% 0.56% MC
41 AUS Matt Jones 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.85% 0.32% T66
42 COL Camilo Villegas 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.79% 0.25% MC
43 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.64% 0.11% MC
44 SWE David Lingmerth 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.47% -0.06% T18
45 CAN Nick Taylor 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.57% 0.08% T8
46 USA Jason Kokrak 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.39% -0.11% T66
47 USA James Hahn 180 0.55% 0.44% 1.37% 0.93% T59
48 USA Michael Thompson 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.58% 0.14% MC
49 SWE Carl Pettersson 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.53% 0.08% MC
50 USA Robby Shelton 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.49% 0.04% T52
51 USA Chad Campbell 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.71% 0.3% MC
52 ENG Andrew Johnston 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.42% 0% MC
53 USA Brandon Hagy 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.39% -0.03% T18
54 USA Billy Hurley III 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.71% 0.31% T8
55 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.23% MC
56 USA Zac Blair 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% T12
57 CAN David Hearn 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.46% 0.08% MC
58 USA Robert Streb 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% T24
59 RSA Retief Goosen 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.5% 0.14% T49
60 USA Dominic Bozzelli 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% MC
61 USA Sam Saunders 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.47% 0.1% MC
62 USA Chris Stroud 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.4% 0.03% MC
63 USA Vaughn Taylor 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.39% 0.03% T12
64 USA Chez Reavie 230 0.43% 0.35% 1.1% 0.76% T42
65 KOR Seungyul Noh 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.48% 0.13% T5
66 USA Smylie Kaufman 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% T5
67 USA John Peterson 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% T36
68 NZL Tim Wilkinson 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.52% 0.2% MC
69 USA Johnson Wagner 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.25% -0.07% MC
70 USA Ryan Blaum 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.48% 0.18% T66
71 AUS Cameron Percy 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.42% 0.11% MC
72 USA Roberto Castro 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% MC
73 USA Cameron Tringale 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% MC
74 USA Mackenzie Hughes 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.98% 0.68% T31
75 GER Alex Cejka 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% WD
76 USA Morgan Hoffmann 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.53% 0.24% T12
77 ARG Angel Cabrera 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
78 USA Andres Gonzales 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
79 AUS Curtis Luck 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T52
80 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.37% 0.08% T42
81 USA Kyle Reifers 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.27% -0.02% T42
82 USA Bryce Molder 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T36
83 USA Martin Flores 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.45% 0.17% T76
84 USA Shawn Stefani 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.4% 0.12% T63
85 IRL Seamus Power 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% T49
86 ARG Julian Etulain 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.19% -0.1% T36
87 SVK Rory Sabbatini 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% WD
88 USA Scott Stallings 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
89 USA Ricky Barnes 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% T63
90 COL Sebastian Munoz 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.27% 0% MC
91 USA Troy Merritt 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.25% -0.03% MC
92 USA Trey Mullinax 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.26% MC
93 USA Mark Wilson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.26% MC
94 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.48% 0.22% 75
95 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% MC
96 USA Jonathan Randolph 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.18% T8
97 USA Ben Martin 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% T18
98 KOR Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
99 USA Boo Weekley 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.3% 0.04% MC
100 USA Will Wilcox 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% WD
101 USA Will Mackenzie 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% MC
102 USA Ryan Brehm 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.27% 0.01% MC
103 USA Derek Ernst 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.21% -0.06% MC
104 USA Bob Estes 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
105 USA Tom Hoge 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
106 RSA Ernie Els 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% WD
107 USA Tag Ridings 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T42
108 USA Jason Bohn 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T76
109 AUS Stuart Appleby 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% MC
110 USA Chesson Hadley 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
111 USA Richy Werenski 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
112 USA Spencer Levin 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% T31
113 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% MC
114 USA Ryan Armour 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% T59
115 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% MC
116 USA Steve Wheatcroft 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
117 ENG Greg Owen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% T76
118 CAN Brad Fritsch 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% T71
119 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
120 USA Davis Love III 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% MC
121 USA Mark Anderson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T24
122 USA Hunter Mahan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% T52
123 USA Ken Duke 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% 74
124 FIJ Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
125 USA Chad Collins 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% T31
126 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
127 USA Brett Stegmaier 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
128 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.33% 0.2% MC
129 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.07% 73
130 NZL Steven Alker 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% T76
131 USA Brendon Todd 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
132 USA Max Homa 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
133 USA Mark Hubbard 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% MC
134 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
135 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
136 USA Joel Dahmen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
137 AUS Brett Drewitt 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% T31
138 USA Shane Bertsch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
139 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.39% 0% T36
140 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 1.07% 0% T12
141 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.85% 0% T66
142 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.77% 0% MC
143 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.77% 0% T24
144 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.68% 0% T42
145 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T63
146 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.33% 0% T24
147 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
148 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
149 USA Chase Koepka 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
150 USA Justin Lower 0% 0% 0.09% 0% T59
151 USA Carter Jenkins 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...