Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100

Shell Houston Open

30/03/2017 - 02/04/2017

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 6 14.29% 10.48% 3.27% -7.21% MC
2 ESP Jon Rahm 10 9.09% 6.67% 2.49% -4.18% T10
3 SWE Henrik Stenson 12 7.69% 5.64% 2.95% -2.69% MC
4 USA Rickie Fowler 15 6.25% 4.59% 2.66% -1.93% T3
5 ENG Justin Rose 15 6.25% 4.59% 2.04% -2.55% T15
6 USA Phil Mickelson 20 4.76% 3.49% 2.37% -1.12% T55
7 AUS Adam Scott 25 3.85% 2.82% 1.86% -0.97% MC
8 USA Matt Kuchar 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.69% -0.68% MC 26.74
9 USA Daniel Berger 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.63% -0.74% 5
10 USA Russell Henley 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.27% -1.1% 1
11 USA Patrick Reed 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.06% -1.3% MC
12 USA Tony Finau 30 3.23% 2.37% 1.05% -1.32% T34
13 USA J.B. Holmes 30 3.23% 2.37% 0.94% -1.43% MC
14 USA Billy Horschel 40 2.44% 1.79% 0.99% -0.8% T55
15 USA Jimmy Walker 50 1.96% 1.44% 1.5% 0.06% T71 16.26
16 USA Charles Howell III 50 1.96% 1.44% 1.47% 0.03% T39 16.26
17 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 1.96% 1.44% 1.41% -0.03% MC
18 USA Charley Hoffman 50 1.96% 1.44% 1.07% -0.37% T23
19 USA Patrick Cantlay 50 1.96% 1.44% 0.74% -0.7% T39
20 USA Lucas Glover 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.96% 0.75% MC 13.59
21 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.46% 0.25% T15 13.59
22 ENG Lee Westwood 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.4% 0.2% MC 13.59
23 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.27% 0.07% T23
24 USA Keegan Bradley 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.14% -0.06% T15
25 USA Jason Dufner 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.1% -0.1% T12
26 USA Bryson DeChambeau 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.71% -0.49% T44
27 USA Jim Herman 80 1.23% 0.91% 1.01% 0.1% MC
28 USA Peter Uihlein 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.91% 0.01% T23
29 USA Nick Watney 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.88% -0.03% MC
30 USA Jamie Lovemark 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.78% -0.13% T71
31 USA Ollie Schniederjans 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.65% -0.26% MC
32 USA Luke List 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.64% -0.27% T3
33 USA Ryan Palmer 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.31% -0.6% MC
34 USA Jason Kokrak 87 1.14% 0.83% 0.56% -0.28% T71
35 AUS Cameron Smith 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.17% 0.44% MC
36 USA Kyle Stanley 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.12% 0.39% T8
37 USA Hudson Swafford 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.06% 0.34% 6
38 USA Brian Harman 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.75% 0.02% MC
39 USA J.J Spaun 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.69% -0.04% T44
40 USA Kevin Chappell 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.62% -0.1% T44
41 USA JT Poston 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.56% -0.16% T55
42 ENG Luke Donald 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.43% -0.3% T69
43 USA Cameron Tringale 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.38% -0.34% T78
44 USA Sean O'Hair 125 0.79% 0.58% 1.18% 0.59% T49
45 USA Harold Varner III 125 0.79% 0.58% 1.1% 0.52% T23
46 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.88% 0.3% T15
47 USA Harris English 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.72% 0.14% T61
48 ENG Andrew Johnston 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.43% -0.16% MC
49 USA Johnson Wagner 130 0.76% 0.56% 0.43% -0.13% T49
50 ENG Chris Wood 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.12% 0.64% T49
51 NZL Danny Lee 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.5% 0.02% T20
52 USA Tom Hoge 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.24% -0.22% T65
53 USA James Hahn 190 0.52% 0.38% 0.87% 0.49% T49
54 AUS Matt Jones 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% T49
55 USA Michael Kim 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T12
56 USA John Huh 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T39
57 USA Stewart Cink 224 0.44% 0.33% 1% 0.68% T23
58 USA Chris Stroud 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.59% 0.27% MC
59 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.02% T55
60 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
61 USA Kevin Streelman 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T49
62 USA Chez Reavie 300 0.33% 0.24% 1.26% 1.01% MC
63 USA Michael Thompson 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.79% 0.55% T12
64 KOR Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.23% MC
65 USA Zac Blair 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% T8
66 USA Kyle Reifers 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% T61
67 ARG Angel Cabrera 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.37% 0.13% T34
68 USA Steve Marino 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.04% MC
69 USA Vaughn Taylor 328 0.3% 0.22% 0.52% 0.3% T23
70 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 364 0.27% 0.2% 1.21% 1.01% T23
71 USA Robert Garrigus 376 0.27% 0.19% 0.44% 0.24% T20
72 KOR Sunghoon Kang 384 0.26% 0.19% 0.47% 0.27% 2
73 USA Scott Brown 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.67% 0.49% T71
74 GER Alex Cejka 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.59% 0.4% DQ
75 SWE David Lingmerth 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.31% MC
76 USA Chad Campbell 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% T34
77 USA Morgan Hoffmann 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.23% T39
78 USA Sam Saunders 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.22% T20
79 USA Roberto Castro 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% MC
80 AUS Aaron Baddeley 420 0.24% 0.17% 0.73% 0.55% T15
81 USA Ryan Blaum 424 0.24% 0.17% 0.5% 0.33% T34
82 PUR Rafael Campos 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.21% 7
83 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.19% MC
84 USA Spencer Levin 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T23
85 USA Matt Every 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.05% T65
86 USA Martin Flores 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.46% 0.34% MC
87 USA Patton Kizzire 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.41% 0.29% MC
88 USA Ricky Barnes 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T71
89 USA Shawn Stefani 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% MC
90 USA Andrew Loupe 712 0.14% 0.1% 0.62% 0.51% T10
91 USA Troy Merritt 720 0.14% 0.1% 0.57% 0.47% T55
92 CAN Nick Taylor 724 0.14% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T44
93 USA Mackenzie Hughes 750 0.13% 0.1% 1.09% 1% T23
94 USA Hunter Mahan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
95 USA Davis Love III 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.45% 0.35% T61
96 USA Bud Cauley 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
97 USA Blayne Barber 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.25% T44
98 USA Ben Crane 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.21% 68
99 USA Trey Mullinax 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.19% MC
100 USA Derek Fathauer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T71
101 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.05% MC
102 USA Mark Hubbard 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.04% MC
103 USA Bryce Molder 752 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.22% T69
104 USA Scott Stallings 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.81% 0.73% MC
105 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.76% 0.69% MC
106 USA Kelly Kraft 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.62% 0.55% MC
107 ARG Fabian Gomez 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.53% 0.46% MC
108 KOR Seungyul Noh 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.52% 0.45% T78
109 USA Ben Martin 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.51% 0.43% MC
110 RSA Retief Goosen 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.42% MC
111 AUS John Senden 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.47% 0.4% MC
112 USA Ken Duke 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.37% MC
113 USA Smylie Kaufman 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.36% MC
114 USA Peter Malnati 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.43% 0.35% MC
115 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.42% 0.35% MC
116 AUS Stuart Appleby 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.42% 0.35% MC
117 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.34% MC
118 USA Cody Gribble 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% T65
119 USA Chad Collins 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.38% 0.31% MC
120 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% MC
121 USA Richy Werenski 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% 81
122 USA Robert Streb 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% T34
123 USA Boo Weekley 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
124 USA Jason Bohn 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.25% MC
125 USA Brett Stegmaier 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.24% MC
126 USA Mark Anderson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.21% MC
127 USA Bill Lunde 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.17% MC
128 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T71
129 USA Jason Gore 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
130 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
131 USA Bob Estes 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% MC
132 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.52% 0% MC
133 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.52% 0% WD
134 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.52% 0% T61
135 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
136 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.37% 0% T23
137 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T55
138 USA Andres Gonzales 0% 0% 0.32% 0% T23
139 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T39

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...