Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 97.7

Total Profit: -2.4

Farmers Insurance Open

26/01/2017 - 29/01/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 9 10% 8.49% 3.24% -5.25% MC
2 AUS Jason Day 10 9.09% 7.72% 2.55% -5.17% MC
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 13 7.14% 6.07% 2.99% -3.07% T33
4 USA Brooks Koepka 28 3.45% 2.93% 1.81% -1.11% MC
5 USA Brandt Snedeker 28 3.45% 2.93% 1.41% -1.52% T9
6 ENG Justin Rose 29 3.33% 2.83% 2.67% -0.16% T4 (tied w/5) 12.67 +34.5
7 USA Jimmy Walker 31 3.13% 2.65% 1.6% -1.06% MC
8 USA Rickie Fowler 35 2.78% 2.36% 0.94% -1.42% MC
9 USA Gary Woodland 37 2.63% 2.23% 1.4% -0.83% T20
10 USA Tiger Woods 37 2.63% 2.23% 0.82% -1.41% MC
11 USA Phil Mickelson 42 2.33% 1.97% 1.93% -0.04% T14 8.84
12 ENG Paul Casey 48 2.04% 1.73% 1.87% 0.14% T28 7.76
13 USA Charles Howell III 55 1.79% 1.52% 1.18% -0.33% T2
14 SCO Martin Laird 56 1.75% 1.49% 1.16% -0.33% T74
15 USA Brendan Steele 56 1.75% 1.49% 1.01% -0.48% T20
16 ESP Jon Rahm 56 1.75% 1.49% 0.69% -0.8% 1
17 USA Daniel Berger 57 1.72% 1.46% 1.37% -0.09% MC 6.55
18 ITA Francesco Molinari 60 1.64% 1.39% 1.69% 0.3% T14 6.23
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 64 1.54% 1.31% 1.12% -0.18% T49 5.85
20 USA Tony Finau 64 1.54% 1.31% 1.06% -0.25% T4
21 USA Billy Horschel 67 1.47% 1.25% 0.67% -0.58% T64
22 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 1.41% 1.2% 1.3% 0.1% T41 5.35
23 USA Hudson Swafford 70 1.41% 1.2% 0.87% -0.33% MC
24 ARG Emiliano Grillo 71 1.39% 1.18% 1.24% 0.06% T33 5.28
25 AUS Marc Leishman 73 1.35% 1.15% 0.83% -0.32% T20
26 USA Scott Stallings 79 1.25% 1.06% 0.9% -0.16% MC 4.75
27 IRL Shane Lowry 81 1.22% 1.04% 1.14% 0.11% T33 4.64
28 USA Kevin Chappell 84 1.18% 1% 0.88% -0.12% MC 4.47
29 USA Pat Perez 88 1.12% 0.95% 1.12% 0.16% T4 (tied w/5) 4.27 +31.8
30 USA Jamie Lovemark 89 1.11% 0.94% 0.66% -0.29% MC
31 CAN Adam Hadwin 90 1.1% 0.93% 1.15% 0.22% T49 4.18
32 USA Luke List 92 1.08% 0.91% 0.67% -0.24% MC
33 USA Harris English 93 1.06% 0.9% 0.43% -0.48% T14
34 USA Lucas Glover 109 0.91% 0.77% 0.75% -0.02% T33 3.46
35 USA Kevin Streelman 112 0.88% 0.75% 0.74% -0.01% T67 3.37
36 USA Brian Harman 113 0.88% 0.74% 0.99% 0.25% T9 3.34
37 USA Keegan Bradley 115 0.86% 0.73% 0.77% 0.04% T4 (tied w/5) 3.28 +31.5
38 USA Jason Kokrak 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.82% 0.17% MC 2.9
39 USA Charley Hoffman 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.64% 0% T54 2.9
40 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 0.66% 0.56% 1.17% 0.61% T28
41 USA Bud Cauley 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.36% -0.2% MC
42 USA Kyle Stanley 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.75% 0.22% T14
43 USA John Huh 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.74% 0.21% 76
44 USA Patrick Rodgers 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.56% 0.03% T4
45 USA Patton Kizzire 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.45% -0.08% MC
46 NZL Danny Lee 160 0.62% 0.53% 0.42% -0.1% MC
47 USA Harold Varner III 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% MC
48 USA Robert Garrigus 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% MC
49 USA Nick Watney 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.5% 0.03% MC
50 USA Michael Kim 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.49% 0.02% T54
51 USA James Hahn 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.86% 0.42% MC
52 CAN Graham Delaet 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.42% -0.02% T54
53 KOR Meenwhee Kim 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.37% -0.07% MC
54 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.9% 0.48% MC
55 AUS Cameron Smith 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.88% 0.46% T33
56 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.81% 0.39% MC
57 USA Chad Campbell 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% MC
58 AUS Aaron Baddeley 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.7% 0.29% MC
59 USA Roberto Castro 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.52% 0.12% T28
60 USA Stewart Cink 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.93% 0.54% T20
61 ENG Andrew Johnston 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% MC
62 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.99% 0.62% T20
63 COL Camilo Villegas 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% T54
64 USA Robert Streb 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.42% 0.06% T9
65 IRL Seamus Power 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.28% -0.09% MC
66 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.78% 0.44% MC
67 RSA Brandon Stone 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% MC
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.79% 0.47% T54
69 USA Michael Thompson 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T14
70 USA Ollie Schniederjans 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% T9
71 USA Dominic Bozzelli 260 0.38% 0.33% 0.32% 0% MC
72 USA Billy Hurley III 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% T77
73 KOR Seungyul Noh 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% MC
74 SWE Henrik Norlander 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.48% 0.16% MC
75 USA Cameron Tringale 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.32% 0.01% 73
76 USA Blayne Barber 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% MC
77 USA Richy Werenski 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T20
78 USA Brian Stuard 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% T77
79 AUS Rod Pampling 300 0.33% 0.28% 1.08% 0.8% MC
80 AUS John Senden 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.58% 0.3% T64
81 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% T41
82 USA Bryson DeChambeau 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
83 USA Johnson Wagner 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% T54
84 USA Ben Crane 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
85 USA Jon Curran 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.12% T74
86 USA Bryce Molder 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% T41
87 RSA Retief Goosen 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.36% 0.07% MC
88 USA Wesley Bryan 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
89 USA Zac Blair 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% T41
90 USA John Peterson 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
91 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.61% 0.4% MC
92 USA Kelly Kraft 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T28
93 GER Alex Cejka 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
94 NZL Tim Wilkinson 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T41
95 USA Kyle Reifers 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T39
96 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T64
97 USA Andres Gonzales 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% MC
98 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% T67
99 USA Morgan Hoffmann 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T77
100 USA Trey Mullinax 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.11% T49
101 SVK Rory Sabbatini 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% T14
102 CAN Nick Taylor 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T54
103 USA Martin Flores 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T28
104 USA Boo Weekley 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.23% 0.01% MC
105 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.22% 0.01% T20
106 USA Troy Merritt 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
107 USA Spencer Levin 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% MC
108 USA Brett Stegmaier 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% MC
109 USA Steve Marino 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% MC
110 USA Andrew Loupe 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% MC
111 USA Will Mackenzie 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% MC
112 USA Brandon Hagy 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% MC
113 USA Ryan Brehm 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% T41
114 CAN Brad Fritsch 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.15% -0.02% T67
115 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.61% 0.47% MC
116 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% MC
117 USA Hunter Mahan 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% T67
118 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% T20
119 USA Tag Ridings 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
120 USA Chad Collins 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
121 NZL Steven Alker 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
122 AUS Cameron Percy 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T71
123 USA Steve Wheatcroft 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
124 AUS Stuart Appleby 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
125 USA Max Homa 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
126 USA Kevin Tway 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% T41
127 USA Ryan Armour 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% T39
128 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
129 USA Jonathan Randolph 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.16% 0.05% T54
130 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.27% MC
131 ARG Julian Etulain 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% 63
132 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
133 COL Sebastian Munoz 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.05% T54
134 AUS Brett Drewitt 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
135 KOR Todd Baek 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
136 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 1.29% 0% MC
137 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 1.08% 0% WD
138 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 0.87% 0% T33
139 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.74% 0% MC
140 USA Aaron Wise 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T71
141 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
142 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T2
143 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.43% 0% T9
144 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
145 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
146 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
147 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0.34% 0% T49
148 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.25% 0% T41
149 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
150 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
151 USA Mark Anderson 0% 0% 0.17% 0% T49
152 GER Max Rottluff 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...