Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 77.4

Total Profit: -22.7

CareerBuilder Challenge

19/01/2017 - 22/01/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Reed 18 5.26% 4.4% 2.42% -1.98% T12
2 USA Bill Haas 21 4.55% 3.8% 1.13% -2.67% T17
3 USA Zach Johnson 26 3.7% 3.1% 1.45% -1.65% MC
4 USA Phil Mickelson 27 3.57% 2.99% 1.71% -1.27% T21
5 ENG Paul Casey 30 3.23% 2.7% 3.44% 0.74% T58 11.87
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 30 3.23% 2.7% 1.91% -0.78% T12
7 ARG Emiliano Grillo 30 3.23% 2.7% 1.89% -0.81% MC
8 ESP Jon Rahm 30 3.23% 2.7% 0.84% -1.86% T34
9 USA Jamie Lovemark 31 3.13% 2.61% 1.22% -1.4% MC
10 USA Charles Howell III 35 2.78% 2.32% 1.31% -1.02% T12
11 USA Kevin Kisner 36 2.7% 2.26% 1.6% -0.66% T25
12 USA Brendan Steele 38 2.56% 2.14% 1.39% -0.75% T6
13 USA Jason Dufner 41 2.38% 1.99% 1% -0.99% T25
14 USA Russell Henley 45 2.17% 1.82% 1.45% -0.37% MC
15 USA Kevin Na 49 2% 1.67% 1.68% 0.01% T70 7.36
16 USA Luke List 51 1.92% 1.61% 0.76% -0.84% T41
17 USA Ryan Palmer 55 1.79% 1.49% 0.95% -0.54% MC
18 USA Webb Simpson 57 1.72% 1.44% 1.21% -0.23% T66 6.35
19 USA Scott Piercy 57 1.72% 1.44% 1.14% -0.31% T41
20 USA Chris Kirk 58 1.69% 1.42% 1.12% -0.3% T21
21 USA Charley Hoffman 58 1.69% 1.42% 1.1% -0.32% MC
22 SCO Martin Laird 63 1.56% 1.31% 0.66% -0.65% T9
23 USA Chez Reavie 64 1.54% 1.29% 1.68% 0.39% T12 5.66
24 USA Hudson Swafford 65 1.52% 1.27% 0.57% -0.7% 1
25 USA Kevin Streelman 67 1.47% 1.23% 0.9% -0.33% MC
26 SWE David Lingmerth 67 1.47% 1.23% 0.78% -0.45% T34
27 USA Lucas Glover 69 1.43% 1.19% 0.84% -0.36% T41
28 CAN Adam Hadwin 72 1.37% 1.15% 1.08% -0.06% 2 5.04 +38.8
29 USA William McGirt 72 1.37% 1.15% 0.98% -0.17% MC 5.04
30 USA Brian Harman 84 1.18% 0.98% 1.14% 0.16% T3 (tied w/2) 4.33 +38.5
31 USA Keegan Bradley 86 1.15% 0.96% 0.98% 0.02% T25 4.23
32 USA John Huh 99 1% 0.84% 0.79% -0.04% MC 3.68
33 AUS Cameron Smith 101 0.98% 0.82% 0.89% 0.07% MC 3.61
34 USA Roberto Castro 106 0.93% 0.78% 0.94% 0.16% T50 3.44
35 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 108 0.92% 0.77% 0.81% 0.04% MC 3.38
36 USA Harold Varner III 110 0.9% 0.75% 0.52% -0.23% MC 3.32
37 IND Anirban Lahiri 111 0.89% 0.75% 0.77% 0.03% T25 3.29
38 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 120 0.83% 0.69% 1.65% 0.96% T34 3.04
39 USA Stewart Cink 120 0.83% 0.69% 1.07% 0.37% MC 3.04
40 AUS Aaron Baddeley 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.86% 0.17% T75 3.04
41 RSA Brandon Stone 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.77% 0.08% MC 3.04
42 CAN Graham Delaet 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.75% 0.06% MC 3.04
43 USA Blayne Barber 120 0.83% 0.69% 0.63% -0.06% MC 3.04
44 USA Patton Kizzire 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.74% 0.1% T50 2.81
45 USA Robert Garrigus 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.66% 0.02% T17 2.81
46 USA Shawn Stefani 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.57% -0.07% T41 2.81
47 USA Cameron Tringale 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.5% -0.14% MC 2.81
48 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.29% 0.73% T50
49 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 150 0.66% 0.55% 1.09% 0.54% T25
50 USA Michael Thompson 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.94% 0.39% MC
51 NZL Danny Lee 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% T41
52 USA Brian Stuard 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.66% 0.11% MC
53 USA Michael Kim 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.45% -0.1% T21
54 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.41% -0.15% T58
55 USA Daniel Summerhays 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.39% -0.17% MC
56 ARG Fabian Gomez 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.66% 0.14% MC
57 SWE Henrik Norlander 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.6% 0.08% T50
58 USA Ben Martin 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.59% 0.08% MC
59 GER Alex Cejka 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.57% 0.05% MC
60 COL Camilo Villegas 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.48% -0.04% MC
61 KOR Meenwhee Kim 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.47% -0.05% T17
62 USA Smylie Kaufman 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.34% -0.18% T72
63 USA Bryson DeChambeau 180 0.55% 0.46% 0.92% 0.46% MC
64 USA Johnson Wagner 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.9% 0.46% MC
65 USA Jerry Kelly 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.79% 0.35% MC
66 USA Brian Gay 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.68% 0.24% MC
67 USA Bryce Molder 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.37% -0.07% T50
68 USA Wesley Bryan 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.35% -0.08% MC
69 KOR Seungyul Noh 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.48% 0.07% MC
70 USA Chad Campbell 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.47% 0.05% T6
71 USA Nick Watney 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% MC
72 AUS John Senden 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.79% 0.39% MC
73 USA Vaughn Taylor 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.78% 0.38% T41
74 USA Ben Crane 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.61% 0.24% MC
75 USA Brett Stegmaier 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% MC
76 USA Ryan Blaum 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% T25
77 USA Martin Flores 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% MC
78 USA Andrew Loupe 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.28% -0.09% MC
79 USA Derek Fathauer 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.54% 0.17% MC
80 USA Kelly Kraft 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.5% 0.14% MC
81 USA John Peterson 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.45% 0.08% T58
82 USA Trey Mullinax 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.33% -0.03% T50
83 USA Bud Cauley 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% T3
84 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.85% 0.51% MC
85 IRL Seamus Power 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.33% 0% T21
86 USA Colt Knost 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% MC
87 USA Ricky Barnes 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33% MC
88 USA Scott Brown 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T58
89 SVK Rory Sabbatini 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.39% 0.09% T72
90 CAN David Hearn 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% T58
91 USA Zac Blair 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% T34
92 SWE Jonas Blixt 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% MC
93 USA Ryan Brehm 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% T75
94 USA Andres Gonzales 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T41
95 USA Jason Bohn 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
96 NZL Tim Wilkinson 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T25
97 CAN Nick Taylor 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% T34
98 USA Scott Stallings 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% 8
99 USA Troy Merritt 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% MC
100 AUS Cameron Percy 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
101 USA Peter Malnati 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.46% 0.19% 77
102 USA Mark Wilson 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.43% 0.16% MC
103 USA Kyle Reifers 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
104 USA Boo Weekley 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
105 USA Spencer Levin 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
106 USA Will Mackenzie 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.24% -0.03% MC
107 USA Jon Curran 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.23% -0.04% T41
108 USA Sam Saunders 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.21% -0.06% MC
109 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% MC
110 USA Brandon Hagy 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T58
111 USA Richy Werenski 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% T9
112 USA Steve Marino 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
113 USA Kevin Tway 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.23% 0.02% MC
114 USA Hunter Mahan 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
115 ARG Angel Cabrera 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
116 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% T66
117 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% MC
118 USA Tag Ridings 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% 74
119 USA Jonathan Randolph 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
120 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% MC
121 USA Mark Hubbard 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.03% MC
122 USA Joel Dahmen 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.03% MC
123 AUS Brett Drewitt 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% MC
124 CAN Brad Fritsch 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% MC
125 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.33% 0.2% T70
126 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T50
127 NZL Steven Alker 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T25
128 USA Chad Collins 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% MC
129 USA Dominic Bozzelli 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% 5
130 ARG Julian Etulain 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% MC
131 USA Bob Estes 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
132 USA Ken Duke 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% T41
133 USA Charlie Beljan 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
134 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.19% MC
135 USA Mark Anderson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
136 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T58
137 COL Sebastian Munoz 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
138 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.78% 0% T9
139 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.87% 0% MC
140 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
141 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
142 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T12
143 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.44% 0% T34
144 ENG Greg Owen 0% 0% 0.43% 0% T17
145 USA Aaron Wise 0% 0% 0.42% 0% T34
146 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T50
147 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.36% 0% T66
148 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
149 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
150 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
151 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.22% 0% T25

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...