Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 65.4

Total Profit: -34.7

Deutsche Bank Championship

02/09/2016 - 05/09/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Jason Day 6 14.29% 9.9% 4.18% -5.72% T15
2 USA Dustin Johnson 10 9.09% 6.3% 3.26% -3.04% T8
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 7.69% 5.33% 2.25% -3.08% 1
4 USA Jordan Spieth 12 7.69% 5.33% 2.15% -3.18% T21
5 SWE Henrik Stenson 15 6.25% 4.33% 1.9% -2.43% T41
6 AUS Adam Scott 20 4.76% 3.3% 1.56% -1.74% 4
7 ENG Justin Rose 25 3.85% 2.66% 2.68% 0.02% T57
8 USA Patrick Reed 25 3.85% 2.66% 2.02% -0.64% T5
9 USA Rickie Fowler 25 3.85% 2.66% 1.96% -0.71% T46
10 ESP Sergio Garcia 30 3.23% 2.23% 1.99% -0.24% T24
11 USA Phil Mickelson 30 3.23% 2.23% 1.83% -0.41% MC
12 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 30 3.23% 2.23% 1.71% -0.52% T15
13 USA Bubba Watson 30 3.23% 2.23% 1.47% -0.76% MC
14 USA Matt Kuchar 40 2.44% 1.69% 2.03% 0.34% T46 7.61
15 USA Brooks Koepka 40 2.44% 1.69% 2.01% 0.32% T57 7.61
16 ARG Emiliano Grillo 40 2.44% 1.69% 1.37% -0.32% T33
17 USA Jim Furyk 40 2.44% 1.69% 1.15% -0.54% T57
18 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 40 2.44% 1.69% 1.09% -0.6% T8
19 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.91% 0.55% T46 6.12
20 USA Billy Horschel 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.83% 0.47% MC 6.12
21 RSA Branden Grace 50 1.96% 1.36% 1.6% 0.24% T41 6.12
22 SCO Russell Knox 60 1.64% 1.14% 1.39% 0.26% T15 5.11
23 USA Gary Woodland 60 1.64% 1.14% 1.25% 0.11% T15
24 USA Charley Hoffman 60 1.64% 1.14% 1.23% 0.09% MC
25 USA Ryan Moore 60 1.64% 1.14% 1.15% 0.02% T8
26 USA Justin Thomas 60 1.64% 1.14% 1.12% -0.02% MC
27 USA Jimmy Walker 80 1.23% 0.86% 2.35% 1.49% 3 3.85 +32.7
28 USA Zach Johnson 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.64% 0.78% T57 3.85
29 USA Daniel Berger 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.46% 0.6% T41 3.85
30 RSA Charl Schwartzel 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.27% 0.42% 70 3.85
31 ENG Paul Casey 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.14% 0.28% 2 3.85 +32.7
32 USA Sean O'Hair 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.06% 0.2% T53 3.85
33 USA Jason Dufner 80 1.23% 0.86% 1.04% 0.18% T33
34 USA Kevin Kisner 80 1.23% 0.86% 0.8% -0.06% T46
35 USA Steve Stricker 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.31% 0.63% T24 3.09
36 USA William McGirt 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.29% 0.61% MC 3.09
37 USA Kevin Chappell 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.2% 0.51% T8 3.09
38 USA J.B. Holmes 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.09% 0.4% T33 3.09
39 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.05% 0.37% T33 3.09
40 USA Scott Piercy 100 0.99% 0.69% 1.03% 0.35% T53 3.09
41 KOR Siwoo Kim 100 0.99% 0.69% 1% 0.31% T15 3.09
42 USA Bill Haas 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.94% 0.25% T67 3.09
43 ENG Luke Donald 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.93% 0.25% T65 3.09
44 USA Tony Finau 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.92% 0.23% T24 3.09
45 USA Webb Simpson 100 0.99% 0.69% 0.8% 0.11% MC
46 USA Russell Henley 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.9% 0.35% MC 2.48
47 USA Ryan Palmer 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.85% 0.3% T24 2.48
48 AUS Marc Leishman 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% T46 2.48
49 USA Johnson Wagner 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.74% 0.19% T63
50 USA Brendan Steele 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.68% 0.13% 72
51 USA Harris English 125 0.79% 0.55% 0.53% -0.02% T41
52 SCO Martin Laird 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.91% 0.45% MC
53 USA Chris Kirk 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.86% 0.4% T33
54 SWE David Lingmerth 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.81% 0.35% T63
55 AUS John Senden 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.76% 0.3% MC
56 NZL Danny Lee 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.74% 0.28% MC
57 USA Jason Kokrak 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.73% 0.27% T8
58 USA Daniel Summerhays 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.64% 0.18% MC
59 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.51% 0.05% T46
60 USA Jamie Lovemark 150 0.66% 0.46% 0.44% -0.01% 71
61 USA Jerry Kelly 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.77% 0.42% MC
62 USA Brian Harman 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.71% 0.37% T24
63 USA Kevin Streelman 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.67% 0.33% T57
64 USA Chez Reavie 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% MC
65 USA Charles Howell III 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.62% 0.27% T24
66 USA Hudson Swafford 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.52% 0.17% T15
67 USA Scott Brown 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.65% 0.37% T33
68 USA Roberto Castro 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.58% 0.31% T24
69 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T67
70 CAN Adam Hadwin 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% T46
71 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.49% 0.22% MC
72 CAN David Hearn 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T8
73 USA Patton Kizzire 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
74 USA Smylie Kaufman 250 0.4% 0.28% 0.29% 0.02% T24
75 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.77% 0.54% T21
76 USA Jim Herman 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.59% 0.36% T33
77 USA Kyle Reifers 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.59% 0.36% T41
78 USA Harold Varner III 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.56% 0.33% T33
79 USA Chad Campbell 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% T21
80 USA James Hahn 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.45% 0.22% T5
81 USA Jon Curran 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% T67
82 FIJ Vijay Singh 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.2% MC
83 USA Colt Knost 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% MC
84 USA John Huh 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.39% 0.16% T65
85 USA Bryce Molder 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% T53
86 USA Derek Fathauer 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
87 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.11% MC
88 USA Jason Bohn 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.16% -0.07% MC
89 USA Ben Martin 368 0.27% 0.19% 0.82% 0.63% MC
90 NIR Graeme McDowell 420 0.24% 0.16% 0.76% 0.59% MC
91 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% T24
92 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.28% T5
93 USA Ricky Barnes 520 0.19% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% T53
94 USA Billy Hurley III 608 0.16% 0.11% 0.49% 0.38% T8
95 KOR K.J. Choi 664 0.15% 0.1% 0.42% 0.31% MC
96 USA Spencer Levin 724 0.14% 0.1% 0.56% 0.47% T57

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...