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Workday Charity Open 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

9 Jul 2020 to 12 Jul 2020 Tour PGA Tour Prize fund $6,200,000 Field 157 Odds updated 8 Jul 2020

See what we tipped for the Workday Charity Open

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
return on investment

Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Workday Charity Open 2020 at a glance

Favourite
11/1Justin Thomas
Favourite's chance
5.9%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
24.0%combined win chance
Field
157155 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
40.1%vs 18.1% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
120players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Justin Thomas favourite for the Workday Charity Open at 11/1. That is an implied 8.3% before the margin comes out, and 5.9% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Brooks Koepka next in at 14/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 24.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 76.0% spread across the other 150 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 120 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 40.1%, or 12.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is William Hill at 18.1% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -22 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Workday Charity Open 2020 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Justin Thomas 11/1 8.3% 5.9% 2nd
2 USA Brooks Koepka 14/1 6.7% 4.7% 76th
3 ESP Jon Rahm 14/1 6.7% 4.7% 27th
4 USA Patrick Cantlay 14/1 6.7% 4.7% 7th
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 5.9% 4.1% 22nd
6 USA Xander Schauffele 18/1 5.3% 3.7% 14th
7 ENG Justin Rose 25/1 3.8% 2.7% 143rd
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 25/1 3.8% 2.7% 3rd
9 USA Rickie Fowler 30/1 3.2% 2.3% 22nd
10 USA Collin Morikawa 33/1 2.9% 2.1% 1st
11 USA Patrick Reed 35/1 2.8% 2.0% 39th
12 USA Matt Kuchar 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 39th
13 AUS Marc Leishman 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 126th
14 KOR Sungjae Im 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 63rd
15 USA Jordan Spieth 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 84th
16 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 31st
17 USA Gary Woodland 50/1 2.0% 1.4% 5th
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 55/1 1.8% 1.3% 35th
19 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60/1 1.6% 1.2% 27th
20 USA Kevin Streelman 66/1 1.5% 1.0% 7th

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the Workday Charity Open 2020 finished

Collin Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open, having started the week at 33/1 - an implied 2.9% chance. The favourite, Justin Thomas, finished 2nd.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 USA Collin Morikawa 33/1 2.9%
2 USA Justin Thomas 11/1 8.3%
3 NOR Viktor Hovland 25/1 3.8%
4 USA Chase Seiffert 500/1 0.2%
5 ENG Ian Poulter 100/1 1.0%
5 USA Gary Woodland 50/1 2.0%
7 AUS Jason Day 70/1 1.4%
7 USA Billy Horschel 90/1 1.1%
7 USA Russell Henley 90/1 1.1%
7 USA Kevin Streelman 66/1 1.5%
7 USA Charley Hoffman 200/1 0.5%
7 USA Patrick Cantlay 14/1 6.7%
7 USA Sam Ryder 250/1 0.4%

Our model's numbers for the Workday Charity Open

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Justin Thomas 11 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 8.33% 5.85% ≈ 16/1 2.69% -3.17% Free
2 ESP Jon Rahm 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% ≈ 20/1 2.4% -2.29% Free
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% ≈ 20/1 1.73% -2.95% Free
4 USA Brooks Koepka 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% ≈ 20/1 🔒
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.13% ≈ 23/1 🔒
6 USA Xander Schauffele 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.7% ≈ 26/1 🔒
7 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% ≈ 36/1 🔒
8 ENG Justin Rose 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% ≈ 36/1 🔒
9 USA Rickie Fowler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.27% ≈ 43/1 🔒
10 USA Collin Morikawa 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% ≈ 47/1 🔒
11 USA Patrick Reed 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.95% ≈ 50/1 🔒
12 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 🔒
13 USA Matt Kuchar 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 🔒
14 AUS Marc Leishman 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% ≈ 57/1 🔒
15 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 🔒
16 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 🔒
17 USA Gary Woodland 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% ≈ 72/1 🔒
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 🔒
19 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% ≈ 86/1 🔒
20 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 137 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 18.1%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25.1%
4 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 60.6% 29.2%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.3%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 37.2%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.7%
10 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 66.8% 39.7%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.7%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 40.2%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.3% 40.3%
17 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.3%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 45.1%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60% 45.8%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.4% 47.1%

Workday Charity Open 2020 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the Workday Charity Open 2020?

Justin Thomas was the outright favourite at 11/1, which is an implied chance of 8.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.9% after. Brooks Koepka was next in the market at 14/1.

Who won the Workday Charity Open 2020?

Collin Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open 2020, starting the week at 33/1.

When was the Workday Charity Open 2020 played?

The Workday Charity Open started on Thursday 9 July 2020 and finished on Sunday 12 July 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the Workday Charity Open field?

157 players were in the field, 155 of them priced by the bookmakers. 120 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Workday Charity Open?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 40.1%, against 18.1% at William Hill, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Workday Charity Open betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Workday Charity Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

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Workday Charity Open: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock free for 30 days →