U.S. OPEN 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the U.S. OPEN
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
U.S. OPEN 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the U.S. OPEN at 6.5/1. That is an implied 13.3% before the margin comes out, and 9.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Rory McIlroy next in at 10/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 26.4% of the win chance between them, which leaves 73.6% spread across the other 128 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 98 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 37.7%, or 22.9% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is BetMGM UK at 43.2% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth 5.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
U.S. OPEN 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
6.5/1 | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4th |
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.2% | 32nd |
| 3 |
Jon Rahm
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 88th |
| 4 |
Cameron Young
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 43rd |
| 5 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 17th |
| 6 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 75th |
| 7 |
Xander Schauffele
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.0% | 11th |
| 8 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 11th |
| 9 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 22nd |
| 10 |
Brooks Koepka
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 135th |
| 11 |
Justin Rose
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 11th |
| 12 |
Justin Thomas
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 17th |
| 13 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 7th |
| 14 |
Collin Morikawa
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 17th |
| 15 |
Patrick Reed
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 96th |
| 16 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 65th |
| 17 |
Russell Henley
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 65th |
| 18 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 107th |
| 19 |
Sam Burns
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2nd |
| 20 |
Viktor Hovland
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 76th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the U.S. OPEN 2026 finished
Wyndham Clark won the U.S. OPEN, having started the week at 66/1 - an implied 1.5% chance. The favourite, Scottie Scheffler, finished 4th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wyndham Clark
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 2 |
Sam Burns
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 3 |
Tom Kim
|
- | - |
| 4 |
Keith Mitchell
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 4 |
JT Poston
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 4 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
6.5/1 | 13.3% |
| 7 |
Gary Woodland
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 7 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 7 |
Joaquin Niemann
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 7 |
Samuel Stevens
|
200/1 | 0.5% |
Our model's numbers for the U.S. OPEN
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetMGM UK | 5 @ 1/4 | 62.2% | 43.2% |
| 2 | Virgin Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 62.2% | 43.2% |
| 3 | Boyle Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 59.9% | 43.7% |
| 4 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 64.5% | 45.3% |
| 5 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 72.6% | 52.5% |
| 6 | BresBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 71.2% | 53.9% |
| 7 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 75.2% | 54.7% |
| 8 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 75.2% | 54.7% |
| 9 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 79.8% | 58.8% |
| 10 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 83.8% | 62.4% |
| 11 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 83.8% | 62.4% |
| 12 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 62.5% | 62.5% |
| 13 | PricedUp | 1 @ 1/1 | 71.5% | 71.5% |
U.S. OPEN 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the U.S. OPEN 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 6.5/1, which is an implied chance of 13.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 9.1% after. Rory McIlroy was next in the market at 10/1.
Who won the U.S. OPEN 2026?
Wyndham Clark won the U.S. OPEN 2026, starting the week at 66/1.
When was the U.S. OPEN 2026 played?
The U.S. OPEN started on Thursday 18 June 2026 and finished on Sunday 21 June 2026. It is a Majors event.
How big was the U.S. OPEN field?
186 players were in the field, 133 of them priced by the bookmakers. 98 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the U.S. OPEN?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 37.7%, against 43.2% at BetMGM UK, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get U.S. OPEN betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its U.S. OPEN picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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