John Deere Classic 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the John Deere Classic
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
John Deere Classic 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Benjamin Griffin favourite for the John Deere Classic at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 5.0% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Chris Gotterup next in at 14/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 18.5% of the win chance between them, which leaves 81.5% spread across the other 135 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 97 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 32.0%, or 10.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Ladbrokes at 24.7% (10 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -7.3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
John Deere Classic 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benjamin Griffin
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.0% | 21st |
| 2 |
Chris Gotterup
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1st |
| 3 |
Keegan Bradley
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.1% | 26th |
| 4 |
Keith Mitchell
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.1% | 51st |
| 5 |
Jackson Koivun(Am)
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 2.8% | 125th |
| 6 |
Jordan Spieth
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 58th |
| 7 |
Woohyun Kim
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.5% | - |
| 8 |
JT Poston
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 51st |
| 9 |
Eric Cole
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 39th |
| 10 |
Jacob Bridgeman
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 26th |
| 11 |
Pierceson Coody
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 39th |
| 12 |
Michael Thorbjornsen
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 85th |
| 13 |
Rickie Fowler
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 15th |
| 14 |
Michael Brennan
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.1% | 33rd |
| 15 |
Matt Wallace
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 33rd |
| 16 |
Doug Ghim
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 6th |
| 17 |
Ryo Hisatsune
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 9th |
| 18 |
Michael Kim
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 108th |
| 19 |
Andrew Novak
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 120th |
| 20 |
Davis Thompson
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 26th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the John Deere Classic 2026 finished
Chris Gotterup won the John Deere Classic, having started the week at 14/1 - an implied 6.7% chance. The favourite, Benjamin Griffin, finished 21st.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chris Gotterup
|
14/1 | 6.7% |
| 2 |
Max Homa
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 3 |
Lucas Glover
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 3 |
Ben Kohles
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 3 |
Lee Hodges
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 6 |
Doug Ghim
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
| 6 |
McClure Meissner
|
- | - |
| 6 |
Jackson Suber
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 9 |
Zach Johnson
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Zac Blair
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Ryo Hisatsune
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
Our model's numbers for the John Deere Classic
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | 10 @ 1/5 | 88.7% | 24.7% |
| 2 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 88.7% | 24.7% |
| 3 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/4 | 60% | 27.1% |
| 4 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/4 | 60% | 27.1% |
| 5 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 45% | 27.8% |
| 6 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 45% | 27.8% |
| 7 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 96.1% | 29.6% |
| 8 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.6% | 30.9% |
| 9 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.2% | 31.5% |
| 10 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.5% | 36.9% |
| 11 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.5% | 36.9% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.3% | 40.4% |
| 13 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.3% | 40.4% |
| 14 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.4% | 40.4% |
| 15 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 62.5% | 43.2% |
| 16 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 62.5% | 43.2% |
| 17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.2% | 43.9% |
| 18 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 44.2% | 44.2% |
| 19 | QuinnBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 47.9% | 47.9% |
| 20 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.6% | 49.7% |
| 21 | BetTom | 5 @ 1/4 | 72.4% | 52% |
| 22 | BetGoodwin | 5 @ 1/4 | 75.4% | 54.7% |
| 23 | BetAhoy | 5 @ 1/4 | 78.4% | 57.3% |
John Deere Classic 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the John Deere Classic 2026?
Benjamin Griffin was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.0% after. Chris Gotterup was next in the market at 14/1.
Who won the John Deere Classic 2026?
Chris Gotterup won the John Deere Classic 2026, starting the week at 14/1.
When was the John Deere Classic 2026 played?
The John Deere Classic started on Thursday 2 July 2026 and finished on Sunday 5 July 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the John Deere Classic field?
150 players were in the field, 140 of them priced by the bookmakers. 97 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the John Deere Classic?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 32.0%, against 24.7% at Ladbrokes, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get John Deere Classic betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its John Deere Classic picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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