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Hero Indian Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

26 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 Tour DP World Tour Prize fund USD 2,550,000 Field 144 Odds updated 26 Mar 2026

See what we tipped for the Hero Indian Open

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Hero Indian Open 2026 at a glance

Favourite
8/1Akshay Bhatia
Favourite's chance
9.4%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
22.2%combined win chance
Field
144129 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
12.7%vs 16% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
93players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Akshay Bhatia favourite for the Hero Indian Open at 8/1. That is an implied 11.1% before the margin comes out, and 9.4% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Casey Jarvis next in at 18/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 22.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 77.8% spread across the other 124 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 93 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 12.7%, or 4.0% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 16% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth 3.3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Hero Indian Open 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Akshay Bhatia 8/1 11.1% 9.4% 69th
2 RSA Casey Jarvis 18/1 5.3% 4.4% 15th
3 ENG Dan Bradbury 28/1 3.4% 2.9% 60th
4 ENG Nathan Kimsey 30/1 3.2% 2.7% 107th
5 RSA Thriston Lawrence 30/1 3.2% 2.7% 40th
6 FIN Oliver Lindell 33/1 2.9% 2.5% 14th
7 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 33/1 2.9% 2.5% 2nd
8 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 33/1 2.9% 2.5% 1st
9 AUS Elvis Smylie 35/1 2.8% 2.3% 110th
10 ITA Francesco Laporta 40/1 2.4% 2.1% 84th
11 FRA Martin Couvra 40/1 2.4% 2.1% 20th
12 NED Joost Luiten 45/1 2.2% 1.8% 79th
13 UAE Adrian Otaegui 45/1 2.2% 1.8% 63rd
14 ENG Matthew Jordan 45/1 2.2% 1.8% 30th
15 ENG Marcus Armitage 50/1 2.0% 1.7% 115th
16 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50/1 2.0% 1.7% 8th
17 FRA Frederic LaCroix 50/1 2.0% 1.7% 42nd
18 ENG Andy Sullivan 55/1 1.8% 1.5% 4th
19 FRA Julien Guerrier 55/1 1.8% 1.5% 26th
20 Sweden Mikael Lindberg 55/1 1.8% 1.5% -

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the Hero Indian Open 2026 finished

Alex Fitzpatrick won the Hero Indian Open, having started the week at 33/1 - an implied 2.9% chance. The favourite, Akshay Bhatia, finished 69th.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 33/1 2.9%
2 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 33/1 2.9%
3 FRA Ugo Coussaud 80/1 1.2%
4 ENG Andy Sullivan 55/1 1.8%
5 RSA MJ Daffue 225/1 0.4%
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 60/1 1.6%
7 SCO Calum Hill 60/1 1.6%
8 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50/1 2.0%
9 ITA Matteo Manassero 66/1 1.5%
10 SCO David Law 200/1 0.5%

Our model's numbers for the Hero Indian Open

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Akshay Bhatia 8 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 11.11% 9.38% ≈ 10/1 4% -5.38% Free
2 RSA Casey Jarvis 18 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.45% ≈ 21/1 1% -3.45% Free
3 ENG Dan Bradbury 28 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.91% ≈ 33/1 1% -1.91% Free
4 RSA Thriston Lawrence 30 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.72% ≈ 36/1 🔒
5 ENG Nathan Kimsey 30 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.72% ≈ 36/1 🔒
6 FIN Oliver Lindell 33 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.48% ≈ 39/1 🔒
7 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 33 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.48% ≈ 39/1 🔒
8 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 33 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.48% ≈ 39/1 🔒
9 AUS Elvis Smylie 35 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.35% ≈ 42/1 🔒
10 FRA Martin Couvra 40 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.06% ≈ 48/1 🔒
11 ITA Francesco Laporta 40 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.06% ≈ 48/1 🔒
12 NED Joost Luiten 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.84% ≈ 53/1 🔒
13 UAE Adrian Otaegui 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.84% ≈ 53/1 🔒
14 ENG Matthew Jordan 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.84% ≈ 53/1 🔒
15 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 🔒
16 ENG Marcus Armitage 50 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 🔒
17 FRA Frederic LaCroix 50 (BetMGM UK: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 🔒
18 ENG Andy Sullivan 55 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 🔒
19 FRA Julien Guerrier 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 🔒
20 Sweden Mikael Lindberg 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 124 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 31.5% 16%
2 PricedUp 5 @ 1/4 36.4% 20.3%
3 Boyle Sports 5 @ 1/4 36.7% 20.5%
4 BresBet 5 @ 1/4 36.8% 20.6%
5 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 46.5% 20.8%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 46.5% 20.8%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 21%
8 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 36% 22.1%
9 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 36% 22.1%
10 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 36.4% 22.5%
11 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 39% 22.6%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 37.9% 23.8%
13 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 37.9% 23.8%
14 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 38.7% 24.5%
15 Betway 6 @ 1/5 44.1% 29.4%
16 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 30.1%
17 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 30.1%
18 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.4%
19 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 40.4% 40.4%

Hero Indian Open 2026 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the Hero Indian Open 2026?

Akshay Bhatia was the outright favourite at 8/1, which is an implied chance of 11.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 9.4% after. Casey Jarvis was next in the market at 18/1.

Who won the Hero Indian Open 2026?

Alex Fitzpatrick won the Hero Indian Open 2026, starting the week at 33/1.

When was the Hero Indian Open 2026 played?

The Hero Indian Open started on Thursday 26 March 2026 and finished on Sunday 29 March 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.

How big was the Hero Indian Open field?

144 players were in the field, 129 of them priced by the bookmakers. 93 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Hero Indian Open?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 12.7%, against 16% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Hero Indian Open betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Hero Indian Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

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