Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Charles Schwab Challenge
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Rory McIlroy favourite for the Charles Schwab Challenge at 9/1. That is an implied 10.0% before the margin comes out, and 7.2% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Jon Rahm next in at 11/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 22.5% of the win chance between them, which leaves 77.5% spread across the other 138 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 108 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 35.2%, or 4.2% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is William Hill at 14.2% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -21.1 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rory McIlroy
|
9/1 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 32nd |
| 2 |
Jon Rahm
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 6.0% | 90th |
| 3 |
Justin Thomas
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.8% | 10th |
| 4 |
Patrick Reed
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 7th |
| 5 |
Webb Simpson
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 104th |
| 6 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3rd |
| 7 |
Xander Schauffele
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3rd |
| 8 |
Dustin Johnson
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 107th |
| 9 |
Brooks Koepka
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 32nd |
| 10 |
Rickie Fowler
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 108th |
| 11 |
Tony Finau
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 23rd |
| 12 |
Jordan Spieth
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 10th |
| 13 |
Marc Leishman
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 96th |
| 14 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 55th |
| 15 |
Collin Morikawa
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2nd |
| 16 |
Justin Rose
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3rd |
| 17 |
Matt Kuchar
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 74th |
| 18 |
Jason Day
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 103rd |
| 19 |
Kevin Na
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 69th |
| 20 |
Gary Woodland
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 9th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 finished
Daniel Berger won the Charles Schwab Challenge, having started the week at 66/1 - an implied 1.5% chance. The favourite, Rory McIlroy, finished 32nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Daniel Berger
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 2 |
Collin Morikawa
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 3 |
Justin Rose
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 3 |
Jason Kokrak
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 3 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 3 |
Xander Schauffele
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 7 |
Bubba Watson
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 7 |
Patrick Reed
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 9 |
Gary Woodland
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 10 |
Jordan Spieth
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 10 |
Justin Thomas
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 10 |
Sungjae Im
|
- | - |
| 10 |
JT Poston
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Our model's numbers for the Charles Schwab Challenge
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Hill | 8 @ 1/5 | 47.5% | 14.2% |
| 2 | Skybet | 9 @ 1/5 | 63.7% | 18.1% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 6 @ 1/4 | 46.9% | 18.3% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 10 @ 1/5 | 82.8% | 23.3% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 63.8% | 26.8% |
| 6 | Betfred | 7 @ 1/5 | 52.1% | 27.3% |
| 7 | Sportingbet | 6 @ 1/4 | 61.1% | 29.7% |
| 8 | GentingBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.6% | 32.8% |
| 9 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 78.1% | 38% |
| 10 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 54.9% | 38.2% |
| 11 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 65.9% | 39% |
| 12 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.5% | 39.6% |
| 13 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.5% | 42.7% |
| 14 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 70.7% | 43% |
| 15 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.1% | 43.2% |
| 16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.2% | 46.1% |
| 17 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 66% | 51.3% |
| 18 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 110.1% | 93.6% |
| 19 | Sport Nation | 6 @ 1/5 | 1395.6% | 1316.1% |
Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020?
Rory McIlroy was the outright favourite at 9/1, which is an implied chance of 10.0% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.2% after. Jon Rahm was next in the market at 11/1.
Who won the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020?
Daniel Berger won the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020, starting the week at 66/1.
When was the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 played?
The Charles Schwab Challenge started on Thursday 11 June 2020 and finished on Sunday 14 June 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Charles Schwab Challenge field?
148 players were in the field, 143 of them priced by the bookmakers. 108 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Charles Schwab Challenge?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 35.2%, against 14.2% at William Hill, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Charles Schwab Challenge betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Charles Schwab Challenge picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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