The table below shows the whole field with our model's numbers - but the players at the top of the market, and the bets we actually advised, stay locked. Members get the shortlist, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms, in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
The bookmakers made Garrick Higgo favourite for the Canary Islands Championship at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 5.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Dean Burmester next in at 18/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 19.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 81.0% spread across the other 121 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 82 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 32.1%, or 16.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 26.6% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -5.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Garrick Higgo
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1st |
| 2 |
Dean Burmester
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4th |
| 3 |
Justin Harding
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 38th |
| 4 |
Laurie Canter
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 40th |
| 5 |
Kalle Samooja
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 9th |
| 6 |
Adria Arnaus
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4th |
| 7 |
Victor Dubuisson
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 61st |
| 8 |
Guido Migliozzi
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 98th |
| 9 |
Sean Crocker
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 117th |
| 10 |
Sami Valimaki
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 27th |
| 11 |
Calum Hill
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 12th |
| 12 |
Adrian Meronk
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 88th |
| 13 |
Connor Syme
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 12th |
| 14 |
Chris Paisley
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 109th |
| 15 |
Pep Angles Ros
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 70th |
| 16 |
Johannes Veerman
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 45th |
| 17 |
Romain Langasque
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 66th |
| 18 |
Eddie Pepperell
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 12th |
| 19 |
Paul Waring
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 85th |
| 20 |
Masahiro Kawamura
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 23rd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
Garrick Higgo won the Canary Islands Championship, having started the week at 12/1 - an implied 7.7% chance. The favourite delivered, which happens far less often than most punters assume - see how often do favourites win golf events.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Garrick Higgo
|
12/1 | 7.7% |
| 2 |
Maverick Antcliff
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 3 |
Tapio Pulkkanen
|
400/1 | 0.2% |
| 4 |
Andrew Johnston
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 4 |
Dean Burmester
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 4 |
Niall Kearney
|
200/1 | 0.5% |
| 4 |
Adria Arnaus
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 4 |
Nicolai Hojgaard
|
- | - |
| 9 |
Sebastian Heisele
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 9 |
Kalle Samooja
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 9 |
Alejandro Del Rey
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
Every player we priced for the Canary Islands Championship, with the model's win probability and the edge against the market. The players at the top of the market are locked, and so are the bets we advised.
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 2 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 3 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 4 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 5 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 6 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 7 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 8 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 9 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 10 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 11 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 12 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 13 | 🔒 | |||||||
| 14 |
|
Chris Paisley | 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.47% ≈ 67/1 | 1.55% | 0.08% | |
| 15 |
|
Johannes Veerman | 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.47% ≈ 67/1 | 1.49% | 0.02% | |
| 16 |
|
Pep Angles Ros | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.47% ≈ 67/1 | 1.25% | -0.22% | |
| 17 |
|
Romain Langasque | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.47% ≈ 67/1 | 0.68% | -0.79% | |
| 18 |
|
Adrian Otaegui | 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.34% ≈ 74/1 | 0.72% | -0.62% | |
| 19 |
|
Paul Waring | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.34% ≈ 74/1 | 0.61% | -0.72% | |
| 20 |
|
Masahiro Kawamura | 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.34% ≈ 74/1 | 0.48% | -0.85% | |
| 21 |
|
Eddie Pepperell | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.34% ≈ 74/1 | 0.36% | -0.98% | |
| 22 |
|
Nino Bertasio | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.23% ≈ 81/1 | 1.19% | -0.03% | |
| 23 |
|
Michael Lorenzo-Vera | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.23% ≈ 81/1 | 0.98% | -0.25% | |
| 24 |
|
Scott Hend | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.23% ≈ 81/1 | 0.76% | -0.47% | |
| 25 |
|
Louis de Jager | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.23% ≈ 81/1 | 0.76% | -0.47% | |
| 26 |
|
Andrew Johnston | 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.23% ≈ 81/1 | 0.45% | -0.78% | |
| 27 |
|
Wu Ashun | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.12% ≈ 89/1 | 1.71% | 0.59% | |
| 28 |
|
Fabrizio Zanotti | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.12% ≈ 89/1 | 1.31% | 0.19% | |
| 29 |
|
Renato Paratore | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.12% ≈ 89/1 | 0.61% | -0.5% | |
| 30 |
|
Richie Ramsay | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.12% ≈ 89/1 | 0.48% | -0.63% | |
| 31 |
|
Matthew Jordan | 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.12% ≈ 89/1 | 0.47% | -0.65% | |
| 32 |
|
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 3.09% | 2.04% | |
| 33 |
|
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.08% | 0.02% | |
| 34 |
|
Alejandro Canizares | 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.76% | -0.29% | |
| 35 |
|
Marcel Schneider | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 1% | 0.08% | |
| 36 |
|
Darius Van Driel | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 0.85% | -0.07% | |
| 37 |
|
Matthieu Pavon | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 0.79% | -0.13% | |
| 38 |
|
Maverick Antcliff | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 0.71% | -0.21% | |
| 39 |
|
Justin Walters | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 0.64% | -0.29% | |
| 40 |
|
Gavin Green | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.92% ≈ 107/1 | 0.4% | -0.52% | |
| 41 |
|
David Horsey | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.82% ≈ 121/1 | 1.3% | 0.48% | |
| 42 |
|
Alexander Levy | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.82% ≈ 121/1 | 1.18% | 0.35% | |
| 43 |
|
Joakim Lagergren | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.82% ≈ 121/1 | 0.87% | 0.05% | |
| 44 |
|
Jack Senior | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.82% ≈ 121/1 | 0.69% | -0.13% | |
| 45 |
|
Richard Bland | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.74% ≈ 134/1 | 2.91% | 2.17% | |
| 46 |
|
Grant Forrest | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.74% ≈ 134/1 | 0.66% | -0.08% | |
| 47 |
|
Aaron Cockerill | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.74% ≈ 134/1 | 0.6% | -0.14% | |
| 48 |
|
Richard Mansell | 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.74% ≈ 134/1 | 0.33% | -0.41% | |
| 49 |
|
Pedro Oriol | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.67% ≈ 147/1 | 1.61% | 0.93% | |
| 50 |
|
Garrick Porteous | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.67% ≈ 147/1 | 0.66% | -0.01% | |
| 51 |
|
Dale Whitnell | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.67% ≈ 147/1 | 0.65% | -0.02% | |
| 52 |
|
Sihwan Kim | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.67% ≈ 147/1 | 0.4% | -0.27% | |
| 53 |
|
Paul Peterson | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.67% ≈ 147/1 | 0.3% | -0.37% | |
| 54 |
|
Matthew Southgate | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.93% | 0.34% | |
| 55 |
|
Francesco Laporta | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.82% | 0.23% | |
| 56 |
|
Julien Guerrier | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.56% | -0.03% | |
| 57 |
|
Sebastian Soderberg | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.55% | -0.05% | |
| 58 |
|
Zander Lombard | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.43% | -0.16% | |
| 59 |
|
Jorge Campillo | 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.37% | -0.23% | |
| 60 |
|
Sebastian Heisele | 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.59% ≈ 168/1 | 0.35% | -0.24% | |
| 61 |
|
Austin Bautista | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.53% ≈ 188/1 | 1.75% | 1.22% | |
| 62 |
|
Alejandro Del Rey | 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 1.53% | 1.04% | |
| 63 |
|
Clement Sordet | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 64 |
|
Julian Suri | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 0.6% | 0.11% | |
| 65 |
|
Jonathan Caldwell | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 0.48% | -0.01% | |
| 66 |
|
Eduard Rousaud | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 0.4% | -0.1% | |
| 67 |
|
Alejandro Tosti | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.5% ≈ 201/1 | 0.3% | -0.19% | |
| 68 |
|
Lars Van Meijel | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 234/1 | 0.87% | 0.44% | |
| 69 |
|
Bernd Ritthammer | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 234/1 | 0.81% | 0.38% | |
| 70 |
|
Robin Sciot-Siegrist | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 234/1 | 0.54% | 0.11% | |
| 71 |
|
Shubhankar Sharma | 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 234/1 | 0.51% | 0.08% | |
| 72 |
|
Rhys Enoch | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.42% ≈ 234/1 | 0.33% | -0.09% | |
| 73 |
|
Kristoffer Broberg | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 1% | 0.62% | |
| 74 |
|
Richard McEvoy | 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.89% | 0.52% | |
| 75 |
|
Nacho Elvira | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.74% | 0.37% | |
| 76 |
|
Niall Kearney | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.5% | 0.13% | |
| 77 |
|
Edoardo Molinari | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.47% | 0.1% | |
| 78 |
|
Toby Tree | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.46% | 0.09% | |
| 79 |
|
Cormac Sharvin | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.44% | 0.07% | |
| 80 |
|
Alfredo Garcia-Heredia | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.34% | -0.03% | |
| 81 |
|
Matt Ford | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.33% | -0.04% | |
| 82 |
|
Ondrej Lieser | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.37% ≈ 268/1 | 0.33% | -0.04% | |
| 83 |
|
Eduardo De la Riva | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.33% ≈ 301/1 | 0.33% | 0% | |
| 84 |
|
Max Schmitt | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.3% ≈ 335/1 | 0.62% | 0.32% | |
| 85 |
|
Oliver Wilson | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.3% ≈ 335/1 | 0.47% | 0.17% | |
| 86 |
|
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.3% ≈ 335/1 | 0.33% | 0.04% | |
| 87 |
|
Ricardo Santos | 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.3% ≈ 335/1 | 0.33% | 0.04% | |
| 88 |
|
Gaganjeet Bhullar | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 1.04% | 0.79% | |
| 89 |
|
David Coupland | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 0.37% | 0.12% | |
| 90 |
|
Shiv Kapur | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 0.35% | 0.1% | |
| 91 |
|
Scott Fernandez | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 0.34% | 0.09% | |
| 92 |
|
Berry Henson | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 0.33% | 0.09% | |
| 93 |
|
Jake McLeod | 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 402/1 | 0.33% | 0.09% | |
| 94 |
|
S.S.P. Chawrasia | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 468/1 | 0.74% | 0.53% | |
| 95 |
|
Robin Roussel | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.21% ≈ 468/1 | 0.35% | 0.14% | |
| 96 |
|
Tapio Pulkkanen | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 535/1 | 0.62% | 0.43% | |
| 97 |
|
Benjamin Henry Poke | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 535/1 | 0.33% | 0.15% | |
| 98 |
|
Gregory Bourdy | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 535/1 | 0.3% | 0.12% | |
| 99 |
|
Scott Gregory | 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 535/1 | 0.3% | 0.12% | |
| 100 |
|
Haydn Porteous | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.42% | 0.27% | |
| 101 |
|
Joel Stalter | 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.38% | 0.23% | |
| 102 |
|
Alvaro Quiros | 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.37% | 0.22% | |
| 103 |
|
Ivan Cantero Gutierrez | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.34% | 0.19% | |
| 104 |
|
Ajeetesh Sandhu | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.33% | 0.19% | |
| 105 |
|
Paul Dunne | 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.31% | 0.16% | |
| 106 |
|
Jacobo Pastor Lopez | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.3% | 0.15% | |
| 107 |
|
Oliver Fisher | 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 669/1 | 0.28% | 0.13% | |
| 108 |
|
Andrea Pavan | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 803/1 | 0.31% | 0.19% | |
| 109 |
|
Suradit Yongcharoenchai | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.34% | 0.24% | |
| 110 |
|
Raphael Jacquelin | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.33% | 0.24% | |
| 111 |
|
Steven Tiley | 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.33% | 0.23% | |
| 112 |
|
Tom McKibbin | 750 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.33% | 0.23% | |
| 113 |
|
Alvaro Hernandez Cabezuela(Am | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.33% | 0.23% | |
| 114 |
|
Oscar Sanchez | 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.32% | 0.22% | |
| 115 |
|
David Borda Antonana | 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 116 |
|
Samuel Del Val | 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.12% | 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 | 0.34% | 0.25% | |
| 117 |
|
Carlos Pigem | 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.12% | 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 | 0.3% | 0.21% | |
| 118 |
|
Pedro Figueiredo | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.56% | 0.49% | |
| 119 |
|
Janne Kaske | 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.38% | 0.31% | |
| 120 |
|
David Howell | 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.37% | 0.29% | |
| 121 |
|
Sam Broadhurst | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.37% | 0.29% | |
| 122 |
|
Thomas Plumb | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.35% | 0.28% | |
| 123 |
|
Borja Virto Astudillo | 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.34% | 0.27% | |
| 124 |
|
Tom Gandy | 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.33% | 0.26% | |
| 125 |
|
Tyler Koivisto | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 | 0.33% | 0.26% | |
| 126 |
|
Carl Suneson | 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2007/1 | 0.32% | 0.27% | |
| 127 |
|
Carlos Aguilar | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 128 |
|
John Ellis | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 129 |
|
Yikeun Chang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 130 |
|
Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 131 |
|
Luis Claverie | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 42% | 26.6% |
| 2 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.9% | 31.3% |
| 3 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.9% | 31.3% |
| 4 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.9% | 32.7% |
| 5 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.3% | 34% |
| 6 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.5% | 35% |
| 7 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.5% | 35% |
| 8 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.5% | 35% |
| 9 | Mansion Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.5% | 35% |
| 10 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.9% | 36.3% |
| 11 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.7% | 36.4% |
| 12 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.6% | 38.2% |
| 13 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 52% | 38.5% |
| 14 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.9% | 39.3% |
| 15 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.1% | 39.5% |
| 16 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.6% | 40.9% |
| 17 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.7% | 40.9% |
| 18 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 68.6% | 41.2% |
Garrick Higgo was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.8% after. Dean Burmester was next in the market at 18/1.
Garrick Higgo won the Canary Islands Championship 2021, starting the week at 12/1.
The Canary Islands Championship started on Thursday 6 May 2021 and finished on Sunday 9 May 2021. It is a DP World Tour event.
131 players were in the field, 126 of them priced by the bookmakers. 82 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 32.1%, against 26.6% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
GolfForecast publishes its Canary Islands Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. £1 covers your first 30 days.
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