Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Angel Ayora favourite for the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship at 14/1. That is an implied 6.7% before the margin comes out, and 5.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Daniel Hillier next in at 18/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 17.6% of the win chance between them, which leaves 82.4% spread across the other 124 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 93 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 14.0%, or 0.2% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Boyle Sports at 12.4% (6 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -1.7 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Angel Ayora
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 5.8% | 53rd |
| 2 |
Daniel Hillier
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.6% | 12th |
| 3 |
Ding Wenyi
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 83rd |
| 4 |
Julien Guerrier
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 26th |
| 5 |
Andy Sullivan
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 132nd |
| 6 |
Laurie Canter
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 61st |
| 7 |
Antoine Rozner
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 110th |
| 8 |
Oliver Lindell
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 6th |
| 9 |
Martin Couvra
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 25th |
| 10 |
Sergio Garcia
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 13th |
| 11 |
Grant Forrest
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 8th |
| 12 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2nd |
| 13 |
Alejandro Del Rey
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 35th |
| 14 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 97th |
| 15 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 45th |
| 16 |
Dan Bradbury
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 81st |
| 17 |
Joost Luiten
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 28th |
| 18 |
Jorge Campillo
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 32nd |
| 19 |
Marcel Schneider
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 119th |
| 20 |
Ugo Coussaud
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 11th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 finished
Frederik Schott won the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship. The favourite, Angel Ayora, finished 53rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frederik Schott
|
- | - |
| 2 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 3 |
Jonothan Broomhead
|
275/1 | 0.4% |
| 4 |
Joshua Berry
|
2000/1 | 0.0% |
| 5 |
Andrea Pavan
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 6 |
Oliver Lindell
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 7 |
Nathan Kimsey
|
130/1 | 0.8% |
| 8 |
Grant Forrest
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 9 |
Daniel Da Costa Rodrigues
|
350/1 | 0.3% |
| 10 |
Nacho Elvira
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
Our model's numbers for the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boyle Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 25.3% | 12.4% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.2% | 13% |
| 3 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 30.1% | 14.6% |
| 4 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.7% | 17% |
| 5 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.8% | 17% |
| 6 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 33.2% | 17.3% |
| 7 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 33.3% | 17.4% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.1% | 19.4% |
| 9 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.1% | 19.4% |
| 10 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.9% | 20.1% |
| 11 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 35.7% | 21.7% |
| 12 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 35.7% | 21.7% |
| 13 | BresBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 35.7% | 21.7% |
| 14 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.7% | 23% |
| 15 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.8% | 23.2% |
| 16 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 28.8% | 28.8% |
| 17 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 44% | 29.1% |
| 18 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 44% | 29.1% |
| 19 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.5% | 31.5% |
Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026?
Angel Ayora was the outright favourite at 14/1, which is an implied chance of 6.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.8% after. Daniel Hillier was next in the market at 18/1.
Who won the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026?
Frederik Schott won the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026.
When was the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship 2026 played?
The Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship started on Thursday 29 January 2026 and finished on Sunday 1 February 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship field?
140 players were in the field, 129 of them priced by the bookmakers. 93 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 14.0%, against 12.4% at Boyle Sports, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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