Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 295.9

Total Profit: +195.8

Irish Open

30/06/2022 - 03/07/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 IRL Shane Lowry 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.58% 4.37% -4.22% T9
2 IRL Seamus Power 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.72% 3.64% -2.08% T30
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.52% 3.85% -0.67% T37
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.09% 3.81% -0.27% MC
5 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.73% 2.16% -1.57% 2
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.96% 2.19% -0.77% T24
7 ENG Aaron Rai 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.77% 1.37% -1.4% T9
8 POL Adrian Meronk 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 2.1% -0.28% 1 10.62 +233.6
9 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 1.75% -0.64% T46
10 AUS Lucas Herbert 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 1.44% -0.94% T9
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 1.04% -1.05% MC
12 AUS Minwoo Lee 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 0.85% -1.24% T58
13 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.13% 1.83% 0.75% -1.08% MC
14 FRA Romain Langasque 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.59% 0.64% -0.95% T30
15 SCO Robert MacIntyre 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.46% 0.86% -0.59% T13 6.48
16 RSA Oliver Bekker 60 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 1.5% 0.09% T16 6.27
17 BEL Thomas Detry 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.34% 0.47% -0.87% T58
18 USA Troy Merritt 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.13% -0.16% MC 5.71
19 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.84% -0.44% T37 5.71
20 ITA Guido Migliozzi 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.79% -0.42% MC 5.39
21 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.45% -0.76% T4
22 AUS Jason Scrivener 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.16% 0.64% -0.52% MC 5.17
23 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.12% 0.06% T58 4.72
24 RSA Dean Burmester 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.03% 0.6% -0.43% MC 4.61
25 ITA Edoardo Molinari 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.98% 0.97% -0.01% T24 4.35
26 USA Johannes Veerman 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.98% 0.52% -0.46% T24 4.35
27 USA Kurt Kitayama 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.92% 1.46% 0.53% MC 4.11
28 FIN Mikko Korhonen 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.88% 1.01% 0.13% T37 3.9
29 JPN Kazuki Higa 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.79% 1.26% 0.47% 78 3.54
30 USA John Catlin 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.79% 0.36% -0.44% T4 (tied w/3) 3.54 +22.8
31 FRA Antoine Rozner 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.73% 0.79% 0.06% T13 3.24
32 SWE Alexander Bjork 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.73% 0.59% -0.14% T20 3.24
33 RSA Thriston Lawrence 125 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.73% 0.05% 3 3.04 +39.5
34 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.57% -0.11% T30 3.04
35 GER Yannik Paul 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.52% -0.16% T58 3.04
36 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.23% -0.45% MC 3.04
37 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.86% 0.18% T74 3.01
38 IRL Padraig Harrington 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.63% 1.04% 0.42% T30
39 ENG Marcus Armitage 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.63% 0.41% -0.21% T37
40 AUT Lukas Nemecz 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 1.07% 0.49% MC
41 GER Marcel Schneider 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.82% 0.23% T20
42 SCO Ewen Ferguson 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.89% 0.33% MC
43 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.76% 0.19% T30
44 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.67% 0.1% T46
45 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.38% -0.19% T16
46 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.29% -0.28% MC
47 FIN Kalle Samooja 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 1.36% 0.85% MC
48 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.74% 0.23% 8
49 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% MC
50 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 1.15% 0.66% T46
51 GER Hurly Long 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.93% 0.45% T37
52 RSA Justin Walters 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% T20
53 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% MC
54 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.41% -0.07% MC
55 ESP Santiago Tarrio 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.18% -0.31%
56 FRA Matthieu Pavon 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.88% 0.41% T67
57 SCO Scott Jamieson 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.75% 0.29% MC
58 ESP Jorge Campillo 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.71% 0.25% 7
59 RSA George Coetzee 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.37% -0.1% MC
60 ARG Daniel Vancsik 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.18% -0.28%
61 FRA Julien Brun 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.54% 0.11% T30
62 USA Sean Crocker 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.32% -0.12% T46
63 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T24
64 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.38% -0.04% MC
65 CHN Wu Ashun 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% MC
66 ENG Ross Fisher 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% MC
67 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.37% -0.03% MC
68 ITA Francesco Laporta 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.92% 0.54% MC
69 FRA Frederic LaCroix 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.56% 0.19% T37
70 SCO Connor Syme 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.46% 0.1% MC
71 IRL Niall Kearney 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.44% 0.08% T58
72 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.63% 0.29% T37
73 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.46% 0.11% T9
74 SCO David Law 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.35% 0% T4
75 NED Daan Huizing 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.34% 0% MC
76 FRA Victor Dubuisson 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.95% 0.61% WD
77 THA Jazz Janewattananond 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.51% 0.18% MC
78 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% MC
79 FRA Julien Guerrier 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.65% 0.33% T46
80 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.65% 0.33% T58
81 ENG Callum Shinkwin 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% T24
82 ENG Paul Waring 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
83 SCO Grant Forrest 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
84 ENG Matthew Jordan 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% T24
85 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.34% 0.06% MC
86 RSA Zander Lombard 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.19% -0.08% T76
87 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.76% 0.49% MC
88 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.51% 0.25% T46
89 ENG David Horsey 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% MC
90 USA Chase Hanna 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.46% 0.2% MC
91 IND Shubhankar Sharma 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% MC
92 DEN Jeff Winther 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
93 ESP Nacho Elvira 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.36% 0.11% MC
94 ENG Andy Sullivan 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T76
95 ENG James Morrison 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% T13
96 ENG Robert Rock 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.16% MC
97 ENG Ashley Chesters 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.36% 0.11% MC
98 SWE Marcus Kinhult 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% MC
99 GER Marcel Siem 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.55% 0.32% T37
100 ENG Daniel Gavins 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.43% 0.2% WD
101 SWE Joakim Lagergren 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.52% 0.31% T46
102 ENG Matthew Southgate 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 1.06% 0.87% T16
103 ITA Nino Bertasio 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.55% 0.37% T46
104 ENG Oliver Wilson 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.43% 0.25% T70
105 POR Ricardo Gouveia 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.4% 0.23% T70
106 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T46
107 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
108 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.2% 0.03% MC
109 RSA Richard Sterne 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.2% 0.02% MC
110 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% MC
111 SCO Craig Howie 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
112 WAL Jamie Donaldson 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.35% 0.19% T20
113 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.79% 0.63% 73
114 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T37
115 AUS Maverick Antcliff 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T67
116 WAL Oliver Farr 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% T46
117 MAS Gavin Green 616 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.9/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% MC
118 GER Sebastian Heisele 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.53% 0.4% MC
119 SCO Marc Warren 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.17% 0.06% T74
120 SCO Stephen Gallacher 803 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.9/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T58
121 SWE Rikard Karlberg 803 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.9/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% T70
122 USA Julian Suri 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
123 ESP Alejandro Canizares 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.06% MC
124 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 930 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 101.2/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
125 ENG Chris Wood 969 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 104.2/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
126 POR Ricardo Santos 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.49% 0.41% MC
127 AUS Zach Murray 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
128 ITA Andrea Pavan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
129 ENG Andrew Wilson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.25% MC
130 ESP Alvaro Quiros 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T67
131 AUS Scott Hend 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T58
132 CHI Hugo Leon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.11% T46
133 ITA Renato Paratore 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T58
134 SCO David Drysdale 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
135 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% T46
136 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% MC
137 ENG Jack Singh Brar 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% WD
138 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
139 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17%
140 IRL Mark Power 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
141 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
142 FRA Robin Roussel 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
143 IRL David Higgins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
144 ENG Chris Paisley 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
145 DEN Thomas Bjorn 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25%
146 SCO Greig Hutcheon 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
147 FRA Joel Stalter 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
148 RSA Haydn Porteous 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
149 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
150 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.15% MC
151 ENG Oliver Fisher 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
154 SWE Niklas Lemke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 IRL Paul Dunne 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 CAN Aaron Cockerill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 NIR Colm Campbell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
159 IRL John Murphy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12% 12%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.7% 17.9%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 22.6%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.8%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.2%
6 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 62.2% 23.7%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 63.9% 24.9%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.5%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.5%
10 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54.6% 27.6%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.9%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.9%
13 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 28.9%
14 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 69.8% 29.5%
15 Coral 8 @ 1/5 69.8% 29.5%
16 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54% 35.8%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.5% 37.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.8%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.3% 40.7%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59% 42.9%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 65.7% 49%