Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 28.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 300.3

Total Profit: +200.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 IRL Shane Lowry 9 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.56% 4.35% -4.21% T9
2 IRL Seamus Power 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.71% 3.63% -2.07% T30
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.5% 3.84% -0.67% T37
4 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.08% 3.8% -0.27% MC
5 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.72% 2.16% -1.56% 2
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.95% 2.18% -0.77% T24 12.62
7 ENG Aaron Rai 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.76% 1.36% -1.4% T9
8 POL Adrian Meronk 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 2.1% -0.28% 1 10.17 +223.7
9 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 1.74% -0.63% T46 10.17
10 AUS Lucas Herbert 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.38% 1.44% -0.94% T9
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 1.04% -1.05% MC
12 AUS Minwoo Lee 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.09% 0.85% -1.24% T58
13 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 46 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.13% 1.82% 0.75% -1.08% MC
14 FRA Romain Langasque 53 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.85% 1.58% 0.64% -0.95% T30
15 SCO Robert MacIntyre 58 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.69% 1.45% 0.86% -0.59% T13 3.11
16 RSA Oliver Bekker 60 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.4% 1.49% 0.09% T16 6
17 BEL Thomas Detry 63 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.56% 1.34% 0.47% -0.87% T58
18 USA Troy Merritt 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.12% -0.15% MC 5.47
19 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.84% -0.44% T37 5.47
20 ITA Guido Migliozzi 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.79% -0.42% MC 5.16
21 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.45% -0.76% T4 (tied w/3) 5.16 +38.7
22 AUS Jason Scrivener 73 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.35% 1.16% 0.64% -0.51% MC 2.48
23 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.11% 0.06% T58 4.52
24 RSA Dean Burmester 82 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.2% 1.03% 0.6% -0.43% MC 2.21
25 ITA Edoardo Molinari 87 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.14% 0.97% 0.96% -0.01% T24 2.08
26 USA Johannes Veerman 87 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.14% 0.97% 0.52% -0.46% T24 2.08
27 USA Kurt Kitayama 92 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.08% 0.92% 1.45% 0.53% MC 1.97
28 FIN Mikko Korhonen 97 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.02% 0.87% 1% 0.13% T37 1.87
29 JPN Kazuki Higa 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.79% 1.26% 0.47% 78 1.7
30 USA John Catlin 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.79% 0.36% -0.43% T4 1.7
31 FRA Antoine Rozner 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.73% 0.79% 0.06% T13 1.56
32 SWE Alexander Bjork 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.73% 0.59% -0.14% T20 1.56
33 RSA Thriston Lawrence 125 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.73% 0.05% 3 2.91 +37.8
34 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.57% -0.11% T30 2.91
35 GER Yannik Paul 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.52% -0.16% T58 2.91
36 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.23% -0.45% MC 2.91
37 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.67% 0.85% 0.18% T74 1.45
38 IRL Padraig Harrington 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.62% 1.04% 0.42% T30
39 ENG Marcus Armitage 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.62% 0.41% -0.21% T37
40 AUT Lukas Nemecz 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.58% 1.07% 0.49% MC
41 GER Marcel Schneider 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.81% 0.23% T20
42 SCO Ewen Ferguson 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.89% 0.32% MC
43 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.76% 0.19% T30
44 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.67% 0.1% T46
45 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.38% -0.19% T16
46 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.29% -0.27% MC
47 FIN Kalle Samooja 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 1.36% 0.85% MC
48 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.74% 0.23% 8
49 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.46% -0.05% MC
50 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.49% 1.14% 0.66% T46
51 GER Hurly Long 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.93% 0.44% T37
52 RSA Justin Walters 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% T20
53 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% MC
54 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.41% -0.07% MC
55 ESP Santiago Tarrio 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.18% -0.31%
56 FRA Matthieu Pavon 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.87% 0.41% T67
57 SCO Scott Jamieson 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.75% 0.29% MC
58 ESP Jorge Campillo 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.71% 0.25% 7
59 RSA George Coetzee 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.37% -0.1% MC
60 ARG Daniel Vancsik 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.18% -0.28%
61 FRA Julien Brun 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.54% 0.11% T30
62 USA Sean Crocker 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.32% -0.12% T46
63 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T24
64 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.38% -0.04% MC
65 CHN Wu Ashun 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 1.06% 0.65% MC
66 ENG Ross Fisher 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% MC
67 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.36% -0.03% MC
68 ITA Francesco Laporta 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.91% 0.53% MC
69 FRA Frederic LaCroix 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.56% 0.19% T37
70 SCO Connor Syme 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.46% 0.09% MC
71 IRL Niall Kearney 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.44% 0.08% T58
72 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.63% 0.29% T37
73 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T9
74 SCO David Law 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.35% 0% T4
75 NED Daan Huizing 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.34% 0% MC
76 FRA Victor Dubuisson 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.95% 0.61% WD
77 THA Jazz Janewattananond 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% MC
78 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% MC
79 FRA Julien Guerrier 264 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.65% 0.32% T46
80 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.65% 0.33% T58
81 ENG Callum Shinkwin 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% T24
82 ENG Paul Waring 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.36% 0.05% MC
83 DEN Joachim B Hansen 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
84 SCO Grant Forrest 283 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
85 ENG Matthew Jordan 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% T24
86 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
87 RSA Zander Lombard 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.19% -0.08% T76
88 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.76% 0.49% MC
89 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T46
90 ENG David Horsey 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.51% 0.24% MC
91 USA Chase Hanna 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
92 IND Shubhankar Sharma 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% MC
93 DEN Jeff Winther 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
94 ESP Nacho Elvira 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.36% 0.11% MC
95 ENG Andy Sullivan 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T76
96 ENG James Morrison 342 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% T13
97 ENG Robert Rock 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% MC
98 ENG Ashley Chesters 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.36% 0.11% MC
99 SWE Marcus Kinhult 352 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% MC
100 GER Marcel Siem 381 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.54% 0.32% T37
101 ENG Daniel Gavins 381 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.43% 0.2% WD
102 SWE Joakim Lagergren 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% T46
103 ENG Matthew Southgate 469 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.18% 1.05% 0.87% T16
104 ITA Nino Bertasio 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.55% 0.37% T46
105 ENG Oliver Wilson 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.43% 0.25% T70
106 POR Ricardo Gouveia 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.4% 0.23% T70
107 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T46
108 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
109 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.2% 0.03% MC
110 RSA Richard Sterne 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.2% 0.02% MC
111 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.17% 0% MC
112 SCO Craig Howie 509 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
113 WAL Jamie Donaldson 518 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% T20
114 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.78% 0.63% 73
115 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 558 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T37
116 AUS Maverick Antcliff 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T67
117 WAL Oliver Farr 607 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% T46
118 MAS Gavin Green 616 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% MC
119 GER Sebastian Heisele 695 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.53% 0.4% MC
120 SCO Marc Warren 734 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.17% 0.06% T74
121 SCO Stephen Gallacher 803 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T58
122 SWE Rikard Karlberg 803 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% T70
123 USA Julian Suri 920 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
124 ESP Alejandro Canizares 920 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.06% MC
125 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 930 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
126 ENG Chris Wood 969 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
127 POR Ricardo Santos 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
128 AUS Zach Murray 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
129 ITA Andrea Pavan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
130 ENG Andrew Wilson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
131 ESP Alvaro Quiros 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T67
132 AUS Scott Hend 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.2% T58
133 CHI Hugo Leon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.11% T46
134 ITA Renato Paratore 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T58
135 SCO David Drysdale 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.08% MC
136 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.33% T46
137 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% MC
138 ENG Jack Singh Brar 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% WD
139 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
140 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17%
141 IRL Mark Power 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
142 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
143 FRA Robin Roussel 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
144 IRL David Higgins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
145 ENG Chris Paisley 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
146 DEN Thomas Bjorn 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25%
147 SCO Greig Hutcheon 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
148 FRA Joel Stalter 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.14% MC
149 RSA Haydn Porteous 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
150 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.17% MC
151 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.15% MC
152 ENG Oliver Fisher 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
155 SWE Niklas Lemke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 IRL Paul Dunne 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 CAN Aaron Cockerill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 NIR Colm Campbell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
160 IRL John Murphy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12% 12%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.7% 17.9%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 22.6%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.8%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.2%
6 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 62.2% 23.7%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 63.9% 24.9%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.5%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.5%
10 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54.6% 27.6%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.9%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.9%
13 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 28.9%
14 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 69.8% 29.5%
15 Coral 8 @ 1/5 69.8% 29.5%
16 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54% 35.8%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.5% 37.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.8%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.3% 40.7%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59% 42.9%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 65.7% 49%