Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

The Honda Classic

24/02/2022 - 27/02/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Sungjae Im 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.76% 3.73% -3.02% MC
2 USA Daniel Berger 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.17% 1.99% -3.18% 4
3 CHI Joaquin Niemann 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.18% 2.59% -1.59% MC
4 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.18% 1.84% -2.35% T30
5 USA Brooks Koepka 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.18% 0.99% -3.19% T16
6 USA Billy Horschel 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.82% 3.22% -0.6% T16
7 SWE Alexander Noren 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.83% 1.38% -1.46% T5
8 IRL Shane Lowry 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.58% 1.63% -0.95% 2
9 USA Keith Mitchell 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.58% 1.56% -1.02% T9
10 USA Brian Harman 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.44% 0.9% -1.54% MC
11 USA Matthew Wolff 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.14% 1.28% -0.86% MC
12 USA Aaron Wise 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.91% 1.11% -0.8% MC
13 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 45 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.91% 0.93% -0.97% T42
14 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 1.68% -0.04% T25 7.6
15 USA Mackenzie Hughes 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 1.45% -0.27% T48 7.6
16 AUS Matt Jones 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 1.23% -0.49% MC
17 USA Cameron Young 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.57% 2.2% 0.63% T16 6.92
18 USA Denny McCarthy 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.57% 1.1% -0.47% T30
19 USA Taylor Moore 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.44% 1.24% -0.2% MC 6.35
20 USA Ryan Palmer 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% 1.03% -0.41% T70
21 SCO Russell Knox 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 1.73% 0.42% T55 5.78
22 USA Chris Kirk 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.74% -0.57% T7
23 USA Gary Woodland 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 0.44% -0.87% T5
24 TPE C.T. Pan 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.24% 1.11% -0.12% T16 5.46
25 USA Rickie Fowler 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.24% 0.85% -0.39% T42
26 USA Patrick Reed 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.16% 1.59% 0.44% MC 5.1
27 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.08% 2.43% 1.35% MC 4.78
28 USA Charles Howell III 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.1% 0.02% MC 4.78
29 USA Michael Thompson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.08% 0.98% -0.1% MC 4.78
30 USA Lucas Glover 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.98% 0.97% -0.01% T30 4.31
31 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.97% 1.06% 0.1% T66 4.26
32 ENG Ian Poulter 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.84% 0.75% -0.09% T30 3.69
33 CAN Adam Svensson 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.79% 0.76% -0.03% T9 3.49
34 ENG Lee Westwood 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.77% 0.5% -0.27% T42 3.4
35 AUS Lucas Herbert 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.73% 1.15% 0.43% MC 3.2
36 RSA Garrick Higgo 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.73% 0.68% -0.05% T66 3.2
37 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.06% 0.36% MC 3.08
38 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.75% 0.05% T64 3.08
39 CAN Taylor Pendrith 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.72% 0.02% T25 3.08
40 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.62% -0.07% T16 3.08
41 USA Alex Smalley 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.6% -0.1% T55 3.08
42 USA Sam Ryder 140 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.62% 0.85% 0.22% T9
43 USA Brendan Steele 140 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.62% 0.37% -0.25% MC
44 USA Hudson Swafford 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 1.49% 0.91% MC
45 USA Brendon Todd 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.84% 0.3% T48
46 AUT Sepp Straka 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.72% 0.2% 1
47 USA Hayden Buckley 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.96% 0.46% MC
48 USA Vincent Whaley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.79% 0.29% MC
49 USA Greyson Sigg 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.49% 1.09% 0.6% MC
50 RSA Dylan Frittelli 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.84% 0.4% T16
51 USA Austin Smotherman 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.61% 0.18% MC
52 USA Doug Ghim 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.58% 0.15% MC
53 USA JT Poston 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.57% 0.13% T42
54 USA John Huh 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.42% 0.32% -0.1% T9
55 USA Harry Higgs 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.81% 0.41% MC
56 USA Zach Johnson 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% MC
57 USA Matthew NeSmith 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% T25
58 CAN Nick Taylor 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.39% 1.04% 0.65% T16
59 USA Davis Riley 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% T42
60 USA Kramer Hickok 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.6% 0.22% MC
61 COL Camilo Villegas 227 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.3/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.3% -0.09% MC
62 SVK Rory Sabbatini 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% T48
63 GER Martin Kaymer 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.95% 0.6% MC
64 USA J.J Spaun 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.89% 0.53% T30
65 AUT Matthias Schwab 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% T7
66 ENG Danny Willett 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.69% 0.34% T48
67 USA Chad Ramey 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
68 USA David Lipsky 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% T55
69 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.41% 0.06% MC
70 USA Mark Hubbard 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% 15
71 USA Beau Hossler 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.33% 1.34% 1.01% T16
72 USA Robert Streb 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.32% 0.49% 0.17% T72
73 USA Doc Redman 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.49% 0.17% MC
74 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.61% 0.31% MC
75 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T55
76 USA Trey Mullinax 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.36% 0.06% T30
77 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.34% 0.05%
78 USA Nick Hardy 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.27% -0.02% MC
79 USA Brandon Hagy 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.19% -0.1% MC
80 USA Peter Uihlein 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.18% -0.11% T55
81 IRL Padraig Harrington 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 1.24% 0.95% MC
82 USA Lee Hodges 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 1.26% 0.98% T9
83 USA Adam Schenk 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
84 USA Ryan Armour 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.56% 0.3% MC
85 USA Hank Lebioda 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
86 USA Kevin Tway 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.75% 0.5% MC
87 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.67% 0.42% MC
88 USA Nate Lashley 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% MC
89 GER Stephan Jaeger 379 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.44% 0.21% T48
90 SWE Henrik Stenson 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.93% 0.71% MC
91 RSA Charl Schwartzel 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% MC
92 IND Anirban Lahiri 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% MC
93 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 417 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.3/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.76% 0.55% MC
94 USA Dylan Wu 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% T30
95 USA Kyle Stanley 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
96 USA Brian Stuard 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.2% 0.02% T9
97 USA Bronson Burgoon 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% T66
98 FRA Paul Barjon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.81% 0.64% MC
99 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% MC
100 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.33% 0.15% MC
101 USA Ben Kohles 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% MC
102 USA Jim Herman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.15% -0.03% MC
103 USA Nick Watney 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.61% 0.44% T30
104 USA Brice Garnett 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
105 USA Andrew Novak 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
106 USA Jimmy Walker 588 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
107 USA Tyler McCumber 598 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
108 USA Jim Knous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
109 USA Jason Dufner 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
110 USA Wesley Bryan 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
111 USA Bill Haas 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% T25
112 KOR Seungyul Noh 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.16% 0.03% MC
113 USA Austin Cook 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% T72
114 USA Grayson Murray 712 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.17% 0.04% MC
115 USA Brandon Wu 740 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.6/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
116 USA Seth Reeves 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% MC
117 USA Justin Lower 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.27% 0.16% T64
118 USA Kurt Kitayama 759 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% 3
119 USA Kelly Kraft 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.24% MC
120 USA Curtis Thompson 769 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% T55
121 CAN Michael Gligic 778 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.19% MC
122 USA Brian Gay 788 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T42
123 USA Max McGreevy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
124 ENG David Skinns 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
125 USA Joshua Creel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% T70
126 USA William McGirt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T66
127 RSA Dawie van der Walt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
128 USA Chase Koepka 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.18% 0.08% MC
129 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T55
130 ENG Callum Tarren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T30
131 USA Erik Compton 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
132 USA Jared Wolfe 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
133 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% T48
134 USA Kyle Westmoreland 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
135 USA Alan Morin 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.16% 0.14% MC
136 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
138 ARG Fabian Gomez 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 USA Vaughn Taylor 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
140 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
141 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
142 USA Chase Seiffert 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
143 USA Samuel Stevens 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
144 USA Andrew Kozan 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
145 ARG Martin Contini 0% 0% 0% 0% T16

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.9% 13.9%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 50.7% 14.7%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.3% 17.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.6% 20.7%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.6% 20.7%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.2%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.2%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 33.4%
9 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.2%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.4%
11 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.4%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 35.7%
13 Mansion Bet 1 @ 1/1 46.5% 45.8%
14 William Hill 1 @ 1/1 50% 48.8%
15 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 49.4% 48.9%
16 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 53.2% 52.3%
17 Skybet 1 @ 1/1 56.1% 54.4%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 75.8% 55%
19 Betway 1 @ 1/1 58.9% 57.8%
20 Ladbrokes 1 @ 1/1 67.5% 66%
21 Coral 1 @ 1/1 67.5% 66%
22 Boyle Sports 1 @ 1/1 91.6% 89%