Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 41.0

Total Profit: -59.2

Tenerife Open

29/04/2021 - 02/05/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 FRA Antoine Rozner 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.92% 5.76% 1.84% MC
2 AUT Matthias Schwab 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.92% 1.93% -1.99% T33
3 RSA Garrick Higgo 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.55% 2.13% -1.42% T8
4 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 1.28% -1.58% WD
5 USA Kurt Kitayama 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 3.38% 0.98% MC 10.26
6 GER Maximilian Kieffer 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 1.83% -0.58% MC
7 RSA Justin Harding 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 1.21% -1.2% T12
8 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 33 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 1.66% -0.53% T12
9 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 1.57% -0.62% MC
10 FRA Victor Dubuisson 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 0.89% -1.3% MC
11 ENG Laurie Canter 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.07% 1.77% -0.3% T48
12 USA John Catlin 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.46% -0.35% 5
13 WAL Jamie Donaldson 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.35% -0.47% T12
14 FIN Sami Valimaki 40 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.82% 1.19% -0.63% T22
15 ITA Guido Migliozzi 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.82% 1.07% -0.74% T33
16 DEN Jeff Winther 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.62% 1.76% 0.14% MC 6.92
17 ENG Marcus Armitage 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 1.14% -0.32% MC
18 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.13% -0.33% MC
19 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.08% -0.38% T18
20 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 1.02% -0.44% 1
21 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 0.97% -0.49% MC
22 FIN Kalle Samooja 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.74% -0.73% T3
23 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.73% -0.73% MC
24 USA Johannes Veerman 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0.95% -0.38% MC
25 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0.4% -0.93% MC
26 SCO Connor Syme 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 1.34% 0.12% MC 5.22
27 ESP Adria Arnaus 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 1.36% 0.25% T8 4.75
28 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.05% -0.06% T56 4.75
29 ENG Callum Shinkwin 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 1.04% -0.07% T63 4.75
30 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.54% -0.57% T60
31 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.99% 0.07% T22 3.93
32 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.97% 0.05% T48 3.93
33 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.82% -0.1% T28 3.93
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.67% -0.25% T12 3.93
35 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.23% -0.69% T42
36 ENG David Horsey 90 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.08% 0.26% MC 3.5
37 ESP Pep Angles Ros 90 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1% 0.18% T33 3.5
38 RSA Justin Walters 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.76% -0.06% T48 3.5
39 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.51% -0.31% T33
40 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.51% 0.78% MC 3.15
41 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.28% 0.54% T3 (tied w/2) 3.15 +41
42 ITA Nino Bertasio 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.81% 0.08% T22 3.15
43 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.65% -0.09% T56 3.15
44 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.58% -0.15% MC 3.15
45 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.45% -0.29% T28 3.15
46 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.45% -0.29% T63 3.15
47 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.39% -0.35% T42
48 ENG Eddie Pepperell 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.29% -0.45% T33
49 SCO Richie Ramsay 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.28% -0.39% T22
50 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.61% 0.01% T28 2.53
51 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.52% -0.07% T12 2.53
52 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% MC 2.53
53 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% T56 2.53
54 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.42% -0.17% T12 2.53
55 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.39% -0.2% T63 2.53
56 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.26% -0.33% T42
57 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.21% -0.38% MC
58 FRA Alexander Levy 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 1.04% 0.51% T42
59 ENG Garrick Porteous 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.68% 0.15% MC
60 GER Marcel Schneider 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.59% 0.06% T33
61 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.39% -0.14% MC
62 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.24% T54
63 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.14% T8
64 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.45% -0.05% T48
65 ENG James Morrison 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.79% 0.33% T48
66 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% MC
67 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 1.92% 1.5% MC
68 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.89% 0.47% MC
69 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.63% 0.2% MC
70 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.6% 0.17% T56
71 AUS Scott Hend 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.43% 0.01% T8
72 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.42% 0% T42
73 USA Julian Suri 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.56% 1.19% T60
74 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.01% 0.64% 2
75 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% T33
76 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.72% 0.35% MC
77 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% MC
78 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.61% 0.24% MC
79 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% MC
80 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% T33
81 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% T18
82 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.22% -0.15% MC
83 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.44% 0.11% MC
84 CZE Ondrej Lieser 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.26% -0.07% MC
85 IRL Niall Kearney 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.79% 0.5% T60
86 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.75% 0.45% T42
87 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.44% MC
88 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% MC
89 NED Lars Van Meijel 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.27% T72
90 SWE Rikard Karlberg 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.09% MC
91 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% WD
92 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% MC
93 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% MC
94 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.01% T69
95 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% MC
96 USA Sihwan Kim 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% T18
97 ENG Toby Tree 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.24% -0.03% T69
98 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.89% 0.65% T54
99 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
100 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
101 ENG Matt Ford 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T69
102 ESP Eduard Rousaud 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T18
103 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
104 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T75
105 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
106 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T6
107 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
108 ENG David Coupland 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% MC
109 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T63
110 FRA Gregory Havret 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
111 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
112 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.12% MC
113 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T22
114 USA Berry Henson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
115 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T75
116 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.25% T28
117 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
118 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
119 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
120 SWE Peter Hanson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
121 ESP Scott Fernandez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
122 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
123 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
124 FRA Joel Stalter 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% MC
125 SCO Liam Johnston 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
126 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.15% T28
127 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% MC
128 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% MC
129 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% T33
130 SCO David Law 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
131 SCO Euan Walker 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
132 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
133 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
134 NIR Tom McKibbin 750 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
135 ENG Oliver Fisher 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
136 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.13% T72
137 RSA Haydn Porteous 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T63
138 ENG Steven Tiley 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.27% 0.17% MC
139 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.59% 0.51% T6
140 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.28% MC
141 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
142 USA Samuel Del Val 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
143 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.18% MC
144 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.15% T63
145 IMN Tom Gandy 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.28% 0.22% MC
146 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
147 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 74
148 ESP Luis Claverie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Tyler Koivisto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 ESP Alvaro Hernandez Cabezuela(Am 0% 0% 0% 0% T48

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57% 31.3%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57% 31.3%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 31.5%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.9%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.2% 33.8%
7 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.3%
8 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.6% 36.3%
9 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.4%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.5%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.5%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.7%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 42.9%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 67% 52.1%