Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 41.0

Total Profit: -59.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 FRA Antoine Rozner 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.82% 5.68% 1.86% MC
2 AUT Matthias Schwab 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.82% 1.9% -1.92% T33
3 RSA Garrick Higgo 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 2.1% -1.36% T8
4 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 1.27% -1.53% WD
5 DEN Joachim B Hansen 28 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.34% -1.16% T22
6 USA Kurt Kitayama 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 3.33% 0.99% MC 10.26
7 GER Maximilian Kieffer 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 1.8% -0.54% MC
8 RSA Justin Harding 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 1.19% -1.15% T12
9 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 33 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.14% 1.64% -0.5% T12
10 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.14% 1.55% -0.58% MC
11 FRA Victor Dubuisson 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.14% 0.88% -1.25% MC
12 ENG Laurie Canter 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.02% 1.75% -0.27% T48
13 USA John Catlin 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.44% -0.33% 5
14 WAL Jamie Donaldson 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.33% -0.44% T12
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 40 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% 1.17% -0.6% T22
16 ITA Guido Migliozzi 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% 1.06% -0.71% T33
17 DEN Jeff Winther 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.58% 1.73% 0.15% MC 6.92
18 ENG Marcus Armitage 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 1.13% -0.3% MC
19 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.12% -0.31% MC
20 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.06% -0.36% T18
21 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 1% -0.42% 1
22 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 0.96% -0.47% MC
23 FIN Kalle Samooja 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 0.73% -0.7% T3
24 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 0.72% -0.7% MC
25 USA Johannes Veerman 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 0.94% -0.36% MC
26 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 0.4% -0.9% MC
27 SCO Connor Syme 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.19% 1.32% 0.13% MC 5.22
28 ESP Adria Arnaus 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.34% 0.26% T8 4.75
29 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.04% -0.04% T56 4.75
30 ENG Callum Shinkwin 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.03% -0.06% T63 4.75
31 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.53% -0.55% T60
32 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.98% 0.08% T22 3.93
33 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.96% 0.06% T48 3.93
34 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.8% -0.09% T28 3.93
35 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.66% -0.23% T12 3.93
36 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.22% -0.67% T42
37 ENG David Horsey 90 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 1.06% 0.27% MC 3.5
38 ESP Pep Angles Ros 90 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.99% 0.19% T33 3.5
39 RSA Justin Walters 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.75% -0.05% T48 3.5
40 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% -0.3% T33
41 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.49% 0.78% MC 3.15
42 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 1.26% 0.54% T3 (tied w/2) 3.15 +41
43 ITA Nino Bertasio 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.8% 0.08% T22 3.15
44 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.64% -0.08% T56 3.15
45 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.58% -0.14% MC 3.15
46 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.45% -0.27% T28 3.15
47 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.45% -0.27% T63 3.15
48 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.38% -0.34% T42
49 ENG Eddie Pepperell 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.28% -0.44% T33
50 SCO Richie Ramsay 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.28% -0.37% T22
51 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.6% 0.02% T28 2.53
52 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.51% -0.07% T12 2.53
53 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.48% -0.1% MC 2.53
54 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.43% -0.14% T56 2.53
55 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.41% -0.17% T12 2.53
56 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.38% -0.19% T63 2.53
57 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.26% -0.32% T42
58 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.21% -0.37% MC
59 FRA Alexander Levy 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1.03% 0.51% T42
60 ENG Garrick Porteous 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.67% 0.15% MC
61 GER Marcel Schneider 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.58% 0.07% T33
62 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.38% -0.14% MC
63 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.73% 0.24% T54
64 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.62% 0.14% T8
65 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T48
66 ENG James Morrison 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.78% 0.33% T48
67 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.39% -0.06% MC
68 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 1.9% 1.48% MC
69 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.88% 0.47% MC
70 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.62% 0.21% MC
71 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% T56
72 AUS Scott Hend 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.43% 0.01% T8
73 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.42% 0% T42
74 USA Julian Suri 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.54% 1.18% T60
75 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 1% 0.64% 2
76 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.77% 0.41% T33
77 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.71% 0.35% MC
78 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.71% 0.34% MC
79 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% MC
80 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% MC
81 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% T33
82 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% T18
83 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.21% -0.15% MC
84 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% MC
85 CZE Ondrej Lieser 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.26% -0.07% MC
86 IRL Niall Kearney 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.78% 0.49% T60
87 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% T42
88 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% MC
89 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% MC
90 NED Lars Van Meijel 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.55% 0.27% T72
91 SWE Rikard Karlberg 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
92 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% WD
93 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
94 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
95 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T69
96 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
97 USA Sihwan Kim 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T18
98 ENG Toby Tree 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.24% -0.03% T69
99 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.88% 0.64% T54
100 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.09% MC
101 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.08% MC
102 ENG Matt Ford 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.26% 0.01% T69
103 ESP Eduard Rousaud 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% T18
104 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.31% MC
105 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T75
106 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.22% MC
107 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T6
108 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.1% MC
109 ENG David Coupland 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.08% MC
110 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% T63
111 FRA Gregory Havret 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
112 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.12% MC
113 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% MC
114 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% T22
115 USA Berry Henson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
116 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% T75
117 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.24% T28
118 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% MC
119 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
120 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% MC
121 SWE Peter Hanson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
122 ESP Scott Fernandez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
123 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
124 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
125 FRA Joel Stalter 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
126 SCO Liam Johnston 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
127 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T28
128 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
129 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
130 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T33
131 SCO David Law 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
132 SCO Euan Walker 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
133 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.16% MC
134 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
135 NIR Tom McKibbin 750 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
136 ENG Oliver Fisher 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.13% MC
137 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T72
138 RSA Haydn Porteous 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T63
139 ENG Steven Tiley 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
140 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.58% 0.51% T6
141 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
142 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.2% MC
143 USA Samuel Del Val 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
144 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
145 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.15% T63
146 IMN Tom Gandy 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.27% 0.21% MC
147 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
148 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 74
149 ESP Luis Claverie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Tyler Koivisto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 ESP Alvaro Hernandez Cabezuela(Am 0% 0% 0% 0% T48

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57% 31.3%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57% 31.3%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 31.5%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.9%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.2% 33.8%
7 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.3%
8 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.6% 36.3%
9 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.4%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.5%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.5%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.7%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 42.9%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 67% 52.1%