Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 39.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 47.0

Total Profit: -53.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NOR Viktor Hovland 6 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.24% 5.65% -4.6% 1
2 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 7 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 12.5% 8.96% 7.04% -1.92% T42
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 12 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.51% 2.27% -3.24% T17
4 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.12% 1.62% -1.49% T5
5 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.47% 2.16% -0.32% T55 10.87
6 AUT Matthias Schwab 28 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.47% 1.53% -0.94% T29
7 ENG Sam Horsfield 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.47% 1.26% -1.21% T5
8 GER Martin Kaymer 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.47% 0.94% -1.54% 2
9 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.11% 1.21% -0.9% T29
10 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% 1.53% -0.22% T14 7.69
11 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% 1.36% -0.39% T70
12 USA Kurt Kitayama 45 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.56% 1.47% -0.09% MC 6.86
13 ENG Andy Sullivan 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.56% 1.24% -0.32% T5
14 SWE Alexander Bjork 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.56% 1.13% -0.43% MC
15 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 45 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.56% 0.67% -0.88% T62
16 SCO Calum Hill 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.28% 1.2% -0.08% T17 5.63
17 DEN Joachim B Hansen 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% 0.53% -0.75% MC
18 ITA Edoardo Molinari 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% 0.76% -0.42% MC
19 ENG Eddie Pepperell 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% 0.46% -0.71% MC
20 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.24% 0.17% MC 4.71
21 IRL Padraig Harrington 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.09% 0.02% MC 4.71
22 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.08% 0.01% T5 (tied w/7) 4.71 +14.3
23 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.07% 0.46% -0.61% T14
24 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.24% -0.83% MC
25 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.17% -0.9% T29
26 USA John Catlin 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% 0.96% -0.05% MC 4.44
27 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.5% 0.62% T17 3.9
28 JPN Takumi Kanaya 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.7% -0.19% T17 3.9
29 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.63% -0.26% T29 3.9
30 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.37% -0.51% T17
31 THA Jazz Janewattananond 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.46% -0.33% T37
32 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% 1.33% 0.62% MC 3.13
33 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.03% 0.32% MC 3.13
34 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.78% 0.07% MC 3.13
35 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.7% -0.01% MC 3.13
36 ENG David Horsey 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% 0.66% -0.05% T52 3.13
37 NED Wil Besseling 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.65% -0.06% T52 3.13
38 AUS Maverick Antcliff 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.96% 0.39% T60 2.51
39 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.95% 0.38% T55 2.51
40 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.87% 0.3% MC 2.51
41 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.79% 0.22% MC 2.51
42 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.78% 0.21% T29 2.51
43 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.43% -0.13% 4 2.51 +32.6
44 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Mansion Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.35% -0.22% MC 2.51
45 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.27% -0.29% MC 2.51
46 ENG James Morrison 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.39% -0.12% T42
47 ENG Ashley Chesters 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.34% -0.17% MC
48 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 2.01% 1.53% T17
49 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.67% 1.19% T5
50 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.36% 0.88% T42
51 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.02% 0.55% T55
52 RSA Shaun Norris 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 1.01% 0.53% T5
53 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.84% 0.36% T42
54 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.64% 0.16% T42
55 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.6% 0.13% T26
56 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.58% 0.11% MC
57 AUS Minwoo Lee 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.57% 0.1% T42
58 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.45% -0.02% T60
59 AUS Elvis Smylie 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.21% -0.27% MC
60 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.45% 0.04% T76
61 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% 3
62 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.27% 0.92% MC
63 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.79% 0.43% T62
64 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% T55
65 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.24% T17
66 NZL Josh Geary 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.58% 0.22% T29
67 ENG Jack Senior 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.22% MC
68 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% T62
69 GER Sebastian Heisele 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.56% 0.21% WD
70 USA Julian Suri 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.48% 0.12% MC
71 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% MC
72 USA Johannes Veerman 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.07% MC
73 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.01% T68
74 RSA JC Ritchie 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.21% -0.14% T37
75 GER Alex Cejka 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.21% -0.15% MC
76 SCO Ewen Ferguson 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.19% -0.17% MC
77 SWE Niklas Lemke 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.69% 0.38% MC
78 ENG Matthew Jordan 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.23% -0.08% T17
79 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.67% 0.38% T62
80 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.33% MC
81 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.29% T42
82 ENG Richard Mansell 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% T37
83 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.18% WD
84 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% T42
85 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.37% 0.09% MC
86 SCO Stephen Gallacher 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
87 GER Bernd Ritthammer 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
88 CAN Aaron Cockerill 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% MC
89 SCO David Law 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% T62
90 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
91 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.27% 0.04% MC
92 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
93 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 1.14% 0.93% T76
94 ENG Daniel Gavins 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.99% 0.78% T42
95 IRL Niall Kearney 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.57% 0.36% T12
96 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% T42
97 GER Matthias Schmid 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T14
98 ENG Garrick Porteous 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T29
99 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
100 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
101 MAS Gavin Green 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.13% MC
102 SWE Rikard Karlberg 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
103 USA Sihwan Kim 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% T37
104 RSA Haydn Porteous 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.05% WD
105 ITA Francesco Laporta 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.04% MC
106 RSA Thomas Aiken 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.2% 0% MC
107 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% MC
108 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T37
109 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% T62
110 ENG Matthew Baldwin 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T26
111 CHI Hugo Leon 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
112 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.63% 0.49% 75
113 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
114 ARG Andres Romero 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.26% T26
115 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
116 ESP Nacho Elvira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.2% T55
117 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
118 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
119 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
120 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
121 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
122 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T72
123 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.07% MC
124 CZE Ondrej Lieser 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
125 ITA Andrea Pavan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.05% DQ
126 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.55% 0.43% MC
127 ENG Ben Evans 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.14% MC
128 RSA Bryce Easton 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
129 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
130 FRA Joel Stalter 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
131 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% T52
132 FRA Robin Roussel 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% T29
133 NED Lars Van Meijel 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.18% MC
134 GER Thomas Rosenmuller 750 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
135 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% MC
136 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
137 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% T70
138 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% 74
139 FRA Adrien Saddier 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% T17
140 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
141 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% MC
142 SCO Daniel Young 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
143 SWE Peter Hanson 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.15% MC
144 GER Benedict Staben 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
145 GER Philipp Mejow 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% T72
146 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
147 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.09% MC
148 ENG Graeme Storm 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.19% MC
149 CZE Simon Zach 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% MC
150 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
151 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS Deyen Lawson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SWE Vincent Norrman 0% 0% 0% 0% T5
155 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
156 USA Zachary Bauchou 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 39.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 21.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 32.8%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 33%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 62.4% 36.3%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.1% 38.5%
5 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.5% 39%
6 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 57% 40.2%
7 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 68.7% 41.6%
8 Betway 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.5%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.5%
10 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 60.7% 43.6%
11 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 45%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 60.5% 46.5%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 47.4%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 67.5% 52.9%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 69.8% 55.1%