Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 39.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 33.0

Total Profit: -67.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 5 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 16.67% 11.13% 5.86% -5.27% MC
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 5 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 16.67% 11.13% 3.21% -7.91% 3
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.14% 3.36% -1.77% 1
4 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.45% 2.25% -2.2% MC
5 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.45% 1.66% -2.79% T7
6 GER Martin Kaymer 25 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.57% 1.27% -1.3% MC
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 30 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.15% 2.13% -0.02% T16 9.44
8 ENG Matt Wallace 30 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.15% 1.89% -0.26% T7 (tied w/4) 9.44 +33
9 ENG Justin Rose 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.15% 1.54% -0.61% T57
10 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.96% 2.26% 0.29% T12 8.61
11 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.96% 2.1% 0.14% T25 8.61
12 IRL Shane Lowry 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.96% 1.61% -0.35% MC
13 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.96% 1.12% -0.84% T62
14 FRA Victor Perez 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.85% 1.56% -0.29% T46
15 ENG Ian Poulter 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.63% 2.03% 0.41% MC 7.14
16 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.63% 1.34% -0.29% T25
17 BEL Thomas Pieters 40 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.63% 0.8% -0.83% T41
18 FIN Sami Valimaki 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.19% 2.39% 1.2% MC 5.23
19 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1% 1.06% 0.07% MC 4.37
20 BEL Thomas Detry 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 0.96% -0.04% MC 4.37
21 NED Joost Luiten 66 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 0.95% -0.05% T35 4.37
22 SWE Henrik Stenson 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 0.71% -0.29% T46
23 AUT Matthias Schwab 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 0.66% -0.34% T25
24 RSA Wilco Nienaber 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.3% 0.48% MC 3.61
25 ENG Laurie Canter 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.1% 0.27% MC 3.61
26 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 1.03% 0.21% T12 3.61
27 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.43% -0.39% 4
28 ENG Danny Willett 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.82% 0.4% -0.43% T16
29 FRA Antoine Rozner 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 1.21% 0.48% T16 3.22
30 AUS Lucas Herbert 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 0.85% 0.11% T25 3.22
31 RSA Dean Burmester 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 0.74% 0.01% MC 3.22
32 ENG Ross Fisher 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% 0.46% -0.27% MC
33 FRA Romain Langasque 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.84% 0.18% T16 2.9
34 ENG Jordan L Smith 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% 0.63% -0.03% T52 2.9
35 ESP Adrian Otaegui 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.6% 0.93% 0.33% MC 2.64
36 USA Sean Crocker 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.6% 0.64% 0.04% MC 2.64
37 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 2.18% 1.65% T25 2.33
38 WAL Jamie Donaldson 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.79% 0.26% MC 2.33
39 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.63% 0.1% MC 2.33
40 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.24% 0.8% T54
41 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.15% 0.71% MC
42 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.14% 0.69% MC
43 FRA Victor Dubuisson 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.09% 0.64% T25
44 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 1.03% 0.59% T57
45 RSA Garrick Higgo 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.94% 0.5% MC
46 RSA Justin Harding 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.93% 0.49% T62
47 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.82% 0.38% T35
48 IRL Padraig Harrington 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.81% 0.37% T62
49 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.81% 0.37% WD
50 NZL Ryan Fox 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.44% 0.74% 0.29% MC
51 SCO Calum Hill 150 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.7% 0.26% T46
52 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T16
53 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.51% 0.07% MC
54 ENG Paul Waring 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.51% 0.06% MC
55 USA Kurt Kitayama 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.39% -0.05% T35
56 USA David Lipsky 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% 0.15% -0.3% T5
57 RSA George Coetzee 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.41% 1.2% 0.79% 11
58 AUS Jason Scrivener 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% 2
59 FIN Mikko Korhonen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% 15
60 FIN Kalle Samooja 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 1.05% 0.72% MC
61 SWE Marcus Kinhult 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% 0.72% 0.39% MC
62 ESP Jorge Campillo 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.7% 0.37% MC
63 THA Jazz Janewattananond 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.64% 0.3% T25
64 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.63% 0.3% T25
65 ENG Robert Rock 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% T57
66 ENG David Horsey 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% MC
67 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T7
68 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.56% 0.23% T46
69 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.53% 0.2% MC
70 ENG James Morrison 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.52% 0.19% T46
71 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.47% 0.14% MC
72 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.47% 0.13% MC
73 SWE Alexander Bjork 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% T46
74 AUS Minwoo Lee 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.4% 0.06% MC
75 ITA Guido Migliozzi 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% 0.36% 0.02% MC
76 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.32% -0.01% MC
77 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.15% -0.18% T25
78 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.84% 0.57% MC
79 ENG Chris Paisley 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.83% 0.56% T7
80 SCO Marc Warren 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.73% 0.47% T5
81 USA John Catlin 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.71% 0.45% MC
82 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% 66
83 ENG Matthew Southgate 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T41
84 NIR Graeme McDowell 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% MC
85 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.43% 0.17% T16
86 USA Julian Suri 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
87 SCO Richie Ramsay 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
88 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% MC
89 IND Shubhankar Sharma 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% MC
90 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% T12
91 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% T16
92 RSA Zander Lombard 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.26% 0.04% MC
93 FRA Julien Guerrier 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% T52
94 SCO Grant Forrest 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% T54
95 GER Maximilian Kieffer 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
96 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% 0.14% -0.05% T62
97 ENG Ashley Chesters 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.2% 0.03% MC
98 FRA Matthieu Pavon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% MC
99 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.61% 0.48% T35
100 DEN Jeff Winther 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.49% 0.35% 61
101 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.38% 0.24% T57
102 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
103 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.37% 0.23% MC
104 CHN Wu Ashun 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
105 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.34% 0.2% MC
106 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.33% 0.19% MC
107 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T54
108 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% T41
109 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% MC
110 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% MC
111 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
112 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T41
113 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
114 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
115 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.2% 0.06% T16
116 RSA Thomas Aiken 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% MC
117 ITA Nino Bertasio 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.15% 0.01% T35
118 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.15% 0.01% MC
119 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
120 ENG Chris Wood 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.13% 0% MC
121 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% WD
122 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
123 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.08% T16
124 ENG David Howell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
125 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% 0.23% 0.19% MC
126 UAE Ahmed Skaik 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.16% 0.14% MC
127 MAR Ahmed Marjane 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.15% 0.13% MC
128 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
130 ENG Richard Bland 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
131 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
132 IND Arjun Gupta 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 39.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 86.4% 26.5%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63.2% 27.2%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.2% 27.2%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 29.1%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 58.2% 33%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.1% 33.3%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 35.8%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 40.7%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 68.5% 41.7%
10 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 43.7%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 62.1% 45.2%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 60% 46.2%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 60.7% 46.8%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 61% 47.1%
15 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 64.9% 47.5%
16 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 64.9% 47.5%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 64.9% 47.5%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 64.9% 47.5%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 68.6% 54.2%