Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 56.6

Total Profit: -43.5

The RSM Classic

19/11/2020 - 22/11/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Webb Simpson 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.71% 3.35% -3.36% T37
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.88% 3.68% -0.2% T23
3 KOR Sungjae Im 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.51% 1.35% -2.16% MC
4 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.21% 1.14% -2.06% T37
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 2.44% -0.1% MC
6 USA Russell Henley 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 2.29% -0.25% T30
7 USA Harris English 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.38% 2.28% -0.1% T6
8 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 2.17% 0% MC 9.12
9 AUS Jason Day 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.33% -0.84% T12
10 CHI Joaquin Niemann 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% 2.17% 0.12% T44 8.61
11 IRL Shane Lowry 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% 0.96% -1.09% T50
12 USA Jason Kokrak 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.77% -0.03% MC 7.56
13 ENG Justin Rose 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.56% -0.24% MC
14 USA Kevin Kisner 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.49% -0.31% 2
15 CAN Corey Conners 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.43% -0.37% T10
16 USA Brian Harman 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.3% -0.3% MC
17 ENG Ian Poulter 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% 2.21% 0.89% T50 5.54
18 USA Talor Gooch 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 1.21% 0% MC 5.08
19 USA Doc Redman 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0.96% -0.25% MC
20 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 2.27% 1.17% MC 4.63
21 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.84% 0.74% MC 4.63
22 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.85% -0.25% T30
23 TPE C.T. Pan 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.63% -0.47% MC
24 USA Zach Johnson 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 1.35% 0.31% T6 (tied w/4) 4.37 +24.6
25 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.26% 0.35% T37 3.83
26 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.16% 0.25% T37 3.83
27 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.01% 0.1% T18 3.83
28 ENG Lee Westwood 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.79% -0.12% MC
29 USA Denny McCarthy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.7% -0.21% MC
30 USA Austin Cook 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.51% -0.4% MC
31 AUT Sepp Straka 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.75% -0.06% T44
32 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.43% 0.7% MC 3.07
33 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.18% 0.45% T50 3.07
34 USA JT Poston 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.12% 0.39% MC 3.07
35 USA Chez Reavie 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.1% 0.37% MC 3.07
36 USA Harold Varner III 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.85% 0.12% MC 3.07
37 USA Stewart Cink 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.75% 0.02% MC 3.07
38 USA Maverick McNealy 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.7% -0.03% MC 3.07
39 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.66% -0.07% T37
40 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.56% -0.17% MC
41 USA Aaron Wise 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.44% -0.29% MC
42 AUS Cameron Davis 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.42% -0.31% MC
43 SCO Russell Knox 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.39% -0.34% MC
44 CAN Adam Hadwin 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.75% 0.09% MC 2.8
45 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.28% 0.7% T54 2.46
46 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.68% 0.1% MC 2.46
47 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.67% 0.08% T4 (tied w/2) 2.46 +32
48 USA Peter Malnati 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.65% 0.06% T48 2.46
49 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.57% -0.02% T15 2.46
50 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.55% -0.03% T23 2.46
51 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.06% T23
52 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% T15
53 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.47% -0.12% T18
54 USA Brandt Snedeker 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% MC
55 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.34% -0.25% T18
56 SWE Henrik Stenson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.17% -0.41% T23
57 USA William Gordon 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.38% -0.14% MC
58 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 2.35% 1.86% MC
59 USA Adam Long 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.95% 0.46% T30
60 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.89% 0.4% T63
61 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.85% 0.36% MC
62 USA James Hahn 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.22% MC
63 USA Cameron Tringale 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% 3
64 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.67% 0.18% T10
65 AUS Matt Jones 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% T44
66 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.65% 0.16% MC
67 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T48
68 USA Luke List 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.6% 0.12% MC
69 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.03% MC
70 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
71 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% T59
72 USA Doug Ghim 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.35% -0.14% T18
73 USA Chris Kirk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.33% -0.16% T18
74 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.74% 0.32% MC
75 USA Brendan Steele 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.63% 0.21% MC
76 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.62% 0.21% T12
77 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.59% 0.17% T23
78 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.37% -0.05% T54
79 CAN Nick Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.37% -0.05% MC
80 USA John Huh 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.76% 0.39% T12
81 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% T23
82 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% MC
83 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.63% 0.26% MC
84 USA Troy Merritt 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% MC
85 USA Tom Hoge 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.11% MC
86 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.1% T50
87 USA Tyler McCumber 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
88 CAN David Hearn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.02% MC
89 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% MC
90 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.22% -0.14% MC
91 RSA Branden Grace 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.12% -0.24% T30
92 USA Pat Perez 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.38% 0.05% MC
93 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% MC
94 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.18% MC
95 CHN Zhang Xinjun 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% MC
96 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
97 USA Hank Lebioda 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.11% MC
98 AUS Cameron Percy 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
99 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% 0% MC
100 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.28% -0.01% MC
101 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.28% -0.02% MC
102 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% 65
103 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.15% -0.14% T37
104 USA Kyle Stanley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.15% -0.15% T6
105 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.14% -0.15% T44
106 USA D.J. Trahan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.1% -0.2% MC
107 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.24% MC
108 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.17% T4
109 USA Chase Seiffert 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.37% 0.12% MC
110 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.1% T37
111 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T23
112 USA J.J Spaun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% T59
113 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% T59
114 USA Nick Watney 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.03% MC
115 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.11% -0.14% T30
116 USA Davis Thompson 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.1% -0.15% MC
117 USA Scott Brown 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% MC
118 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% 0% 1
119 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.06% T57
120 ENG Luke Donald 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.11% -0.1% MC
121 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% MC
122 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
123 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% T59
124 USA Jim Herman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.87% 0.72% T30
125 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
126 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.1% MC
127 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
128 COL Camilo Villegas 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% T6
129 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.05% MC
130 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
131 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T57
132 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% T15
133 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% MC
134 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.02% MC
135 USA Sam Ryder 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.38% 0.25% MC
136 USA Chris Baker 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.34% 0.21% MC
137 USA Bo Hoag 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% T30
138 USA Ted Potter-jr 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% -0.01% MC
139 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% WD
140 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
141 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.03% MC
142 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.01% MC
143 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.04% MC
144 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% MC
145 USA Kevin Stadler 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% DQ
146 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 AUS Rhein Gibson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Josh Teater 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
150 USA Michael Hebert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
152 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Joey Garber 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Brandon Crick 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Vincent Whaley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Anthony Cordes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.3% 19.3%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.6% 19.5%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 26.4%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 26.4%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53.3% 28.3%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31.7%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 32%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.8% 32%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.4%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59% 44.9%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59% 44.9%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 47.3%