Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 90.3

Total Profit: -9.8

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

08/10/2020 - 11/10/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 7 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.06% 4.95% -4.11% T8
2 USA Webb Simpson 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.58% 3.24% -2.33% T13
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.26% 1.39% -2.88% T8
4 USA Collin Morikawa 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.81% 2.78% -1.04% MC
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.45% 2.68% -0.77% MC
6 USA Matthew Wolff 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 2.77% -0.01% T2
7 USA Harris English 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 2.49% -0.29% MC
8 USA Scottie Scheffler 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.86% -0.64% MC
9 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 2.49% 0.36% T19 9.42
10 AUS Jason Day 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 1.61% -0.52% MC
11 USA Rickie Fowler 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 0.57% -1.56% MC
12 ENG Paul Casey 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.01% 1.97% -0.04% MC
13 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.01% 0.88% -1.13% T13
14 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.32% -0.45% T43
15 USA Zach Johnson 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.46% 0.04% T19 6.28
16 USA Russell Henley 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.46% 0.03% T27 6.28
17 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.23% -0.2% T13
18 USA Jason Kokrak 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.22% -0.2% MC
19 USA Will Zalatoris 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 2.63% 1.44% T5 (tied w/3) 5.25 +34.1
20 MEX Abraham Ancer 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 2.44% 1.25% 4 5.25 +34.1
21 USA Kevin Na 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.33% 0.25% T43 4.78
22 AUS Cameron Davis 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.55% -0.53% T52
23 USA Doc Redman 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.56% 0.54% MC 4.51
24 USA Cameron Champ 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.13% 0.11% MC 4.51
25 USA Brian Harman 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.1% 0.08% T13 4.51
26 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.9% -0.12% MC
27 USA JT Poston 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.26% 0.37% T27 3.96
28 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.1% 0.21% T8 3.96
29 USA Charley Hoffman 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.73% -0.16% MC
30 USA Denny McCarthy 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.63% -0.27% 57
31 AUS Cameron Smith 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 0.59% -0.31% T24
32 USA Aaron Wise 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.36% -0.53% MC
33 USA Matt Kuchar 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.52% -0.28% T34
34 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 1.59% 0.88% T34 3.17
35 USA Keegan Bradley 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.26% 0.55% MC 3.17
36 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.11% 0.4% MC 3.17
37 USA Lanto Griffin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.95% 0.23% MC 3.17
38 USA Sam Burns 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.71% -0.01% T34
39 USA Brendan Steele 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.99% 0.33% MC 2.89
40 USA Maverick McNealy 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.82% 0.17% MC 2.89
41 USA Harold Varner III 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.58% -0.08% T13
42 USA Luke List 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 0.56% -0.09% MC
43 USA Stewart Cink 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.12% 0.55% T64 2.55
44 USA Harry Higgs 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.94% 0.36% MC 2.55
45 USA Joel Dahmen 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.87% 0.29% T58 2.55
46 USA James Hahn 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.83% 0.25% T5 (tied w/3) 2.55 +22.1
47 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.8% 0.22% T34 2.55
48 SWE Henrik Norlander 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.78% 0.2% T58 2.55
49 USA Chez Reavie 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% 63 2.55
50 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.68% 0.11% T34 2.55
51 KOR Byeong Hun An 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.67% 0.1% MC 2.55
52 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.56% -0.01% T34
53 USA Brandt Snedeker 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 0.42% -0.1% T43
54 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.04% 0.56% MC
55 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% T52
56 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.73% 0.25% MC
57 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% MC
58 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% T43
59 USA Pat Perez 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% MC
60 USA Adam Schenk 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.47% -0.01% T27
61 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% MC
62 ITA Francesco Molinari 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.12% -0.36% MC
63 USA Charles Howell III 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 1.03% 0.58% T34
64 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.65% 0.24% T43
65 USA Brian Stuard 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.14% MC
66 USA Cameron Tringale 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.53% 0.11% T19
67 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% MC
68 USA Tyler McCumber 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% MC
69 USA Talor Gooch 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.33% -0.08% MC
70 MEX Carlos Ortiz 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.28% -0.14% MC
71 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% MC
72 USA Max Homa 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.63% 0.27% MC
73 USA Peter Malnati 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.62% 0.26% T5
74 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% MC
75 USA Tom Hoge 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% T24
76 USA Beau Hossler 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% T34
77 NZL Danny Lee 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% MC
78 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% T8
79 USA Kyle Stanley 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.28% -0.08% MC
80 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% MC
81 USA Scott Stallings 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.64% 0.32% MC
82 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.83% 0.54% MC
83 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% MC
84 AUS Matt Jones 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% T52
85 RSA MJ Daffue 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
86 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.37% 0.09% MC
87 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
88 USA Scott Piercy 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.18% -0.11% T19
89 SCO Martin Laird 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.21% -0.05% 1
90 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.72% 0.48% T43
91 USA Jason Dufner 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% MC
92 TPE C.T. Pan 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% T52
93 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
94 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% 51
95 USA J.B. Holmes 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.12% -0.13% MC
96 USA Robby Shelton 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.3% T34
97 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.3% T52
98 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
99 USA Ryan Armour 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.25% MC
100 USA Andrew Landry 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% T27
101 USA William Gordon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.21% MC
102 USA Sean O'Hair 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
103 USA Patton Kizzire 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.12% T24
104 USA Keith Mitchell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% MC
105 COL Camilo Villegas 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
106 USA Scott Harrington 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
107 USA Nick Watney 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.05% MC
108 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% MC
109 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T58
110 USA Wyndham Clark 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.19% 0.01% T13
111 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.19% 0.01% MC
112 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.14% -0.04% MC
113 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.22% MC
114 USA Austin Cook 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T2
115 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% -0.01% MC
116 USA Andrew Putnam 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% -0.01% T58
117 USA John Huh 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.03% T19
118 USA Brian Gay 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
119 ENG Luke Donald 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% 66
120 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.16% T27
121 USA Scott Brown 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
122 USA Jamie Lovemark 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.03% MC
123 CAN Graham Delaet 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.03% MC
124 USA Zac Blair 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.11% MC
125 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
126 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
127 USA D.A. Points 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% MC
128 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
129 USA Hunter Mahan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% T58
130 USA Spencer Levin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
131 USA Bo Van Pelt 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
132 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% MC
133 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
134 AUS Craig Hocknull 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.09% MC
135 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
136 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 USA Rob Oppenheim 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
138 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
139 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T8
140 USA Joseph Bramlett 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
141 USA Chase Seiffert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA George Markham 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
143 USA Parker Coody 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Matt Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.4% 17.3%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58% 22.5%
3 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 59.5% 23.7%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 24.2%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.6% 24.5%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 31%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 33.5%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.2% 35.1%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 37%
10 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 52.2% 38.8%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.6%
12 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 41.4%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.8%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.8%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.8%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.8%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57% 43.2%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.8% 46.6%