Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 106.7

Total Profit: +6.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 6 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 14.29% 9.9% 3.15% -6.75% 1
2 USA Webb Simpson 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.33% 3.68% -1.65% T8
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.08% 2.97% -1.11% T4
4 USA Patrick Reed 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.08% 2.54% -1.54% MC
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.65% 1.96% -1.69% T21
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.3% 1.67% -1.63% T12
7 KOR Sungjae Im 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.01% 2.23% -0.79% T53
8 USA Tony Finau 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.04% 3.07% 1.03% T53 9.22
9 USA Rickie Fowler 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.04% 0.46% -1.58% T12
10 USA Kevin Na 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.93% 1.49% -0.44% WD
11 USA Scottie Scheffler 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.93% 0.86% -1.06% MC
12 USA JT Poston 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 1.33% -0.36% MC
13 USA Brandt Snedeker 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 1.2% -0.49% MC
14 USA Doc Redman 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.69% 0.72% -0.97% T21
15 USA Bubba Watson 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 2.87% 1.51% MC 6.15
16 AUS Jason Day 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 0.72% -0.64% MC
17 USA Kurt Kitayama 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.3% 0.07% MC 5.6
18 SVK Rory Sabbatini 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 1.08% -0.15% MC 5.6
19 RSA Erik van Rooyen 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 1.78% 0.64% MC 5.14
20 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 1.6% 0.46% MC 5.14
21 USA Brendon Todd 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 1.04% -0.1% T57 5.14
22 USA Harold Varner III 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 0.8% -0.34% T30
23 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 1.48% 0.45% T4 (tied w/4) 4.68 +33.2
24 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 0.88% -0.15% MC 4.68
25 USA Lucas Glover 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 0.66% -0.37% T21
26 USA Brian Harman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 0.64% -0.39% MC
27 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 0.58% -0.46% T57
28 SWE Alexander Noren 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.5% -0.47% MC
29 RSA Branden Grace 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 2.87% 2.01% MC 3.87
30 USA William Gordon 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.24% 0.39% MC 3.87
31 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.68% -0.18% 3 3.87 +32.9
32 USA Maverick McNealy 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 1.34% 0.57% T8 (tied w/4) 3.45 +8.2
33 USA Patrick Rodgers 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 1.02% 0.25% T45 3.45
34 USA Scott Stallings 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 0.84% 0.08% T39 3.45
35 USA Lanto Griffin 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 1.32% 0.63% T21 3.11
36 USA Brian Stuard 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 1.22% 0.53% T30 3.11
37 USA Tyler Duncan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.37% -0.31% T53
38 USA Keegan Bradley 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.7% 0.07% T45 2.83
39 USA Kyle Stanley 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.46% -0.17% MC 2.83
40 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.15% -0.47% T21
41 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.68% 1.13% MC 2.49
42 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.09% 0.54% T12 2.49
43 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% T64 2.49
44 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.57% 0.02% MC 2.49
45 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% MC 2.49
46 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.44% -0.11% 2 2.49 +32.4
47 USA Wes Roach 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.37% -0.18% MC
48 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.85% 0.4% 70
49 USA Sam Burns 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.84% 0.38% T30
50 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.69% 0.23% MC
51 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.53% 0.08% T4
52 USA Ben Martin 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.52% 0.06% MC
53 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% MC
54 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.46% 0% MC
55 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.45% -0.01% MC
56 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.44% -0.02% T8
57 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.42% -0.04% WD
58 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.42% -0.04% MC
59 USA Jason Dufner 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.4% -0.06% MC
60 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.38% -0.08% T12
61 USA Luke List 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.37% -0.09% T21
62 ENG Danny Willett 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.35% -0.1% T4
63 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.35% -0.11% T39
64 KOR Seungyul Noh 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.58% 0.19% T57
65 ENG Matt Wallace 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.42% 0.03% T12
66 SCO Russell Knox 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.39% 0% MC
67 USA Pat Perez 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.36% -0.04% T45
68 USA Talor Gooch 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 1.7% 1.35% WD
69 AUS Cameron Davis 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.79% 0.44% MC
70 USA Wesley Bryan 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% T21
71 USA Sam Ryder 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.65% 0.3% MC
72 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% MC
73 USA Cameron Tringale 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.61% 0.27% T30
74 USA Jimmy Walker 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.42% 0.07% MC
75 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.38% 0.03% T21
76 USA Kevin Chappell 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.35% 0.01% T62
77 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% MC
78 USA Adam Schenk 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.9% 0.62% T30
79 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.58% 0.3% MC
80 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.25% T30
81 USA Josh Teater 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.39% 0.12% T62
82 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T12
83 USA Brandon Hagy 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T39
84 USA Troy Merritt 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.35% 0.08% T8
85 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.22% -0.05% MC
86 USA Shawn Stefani 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 1.22% 0.99% MC
87 USA James Hahn 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.55% 0.32% MC
88 USA Zac Blair 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% T57
89 ENG Luke Donald 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.24% T53
90 USA Bronson Burgoon 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% MC
91 USA Chase Seiffert 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
92 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.37% 0.14% MC
93 USA Steve Stricker 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.11% 67
94 USA Bill Haas 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
95 USA Jamie Lovemark 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
96 USA Grayson Murray 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.04% MC
97 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.04% T30
98 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
99 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% T21
100 USA Austin Cook 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.19% -0.04% T39
101 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.13% -0.1% MC
102 USA Sahith Theegala 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.13% -0.1% MC
103 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.12% -0.11% MC
104 USA Roberto Castro 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
105 USA Scott Brown 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.74% 0.56% MC
106 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T45
107 USA Hank Lebioda 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% MC
108 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.22% MC
109 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.21% 66
110 USA Tyler McCumber 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.35% 0.18% MC
111 USA J.J Spaun 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% T30
112 USA Chris Baker 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.08% T45
113 USA Brian Gay 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.23% 0.05% MC
114 USA Robert Streb 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.15% -0.02% MC
115 USA Chandler Phillips 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.13% -0.05% MC
116 USA Ryan Blaum 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.12% -0.05% MC
117 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.68% 0.54% MC
118 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.58% 0.44% MC
119 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% T64
120 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.5% 0.36% T68
121 CHN Zhang Xinjun 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.46% 0.32% MC
122 USA Robby Shelton 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
123 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
124 USA Bo Hoag 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
125 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
126 USA Doug Ghim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
127 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
128 AUS Rhein Gibson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% T45
129 CAN David Hearn 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
130 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% T30
131 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% T12
132 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% T57
133 USA George McNeill 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% T39
134 CAN Roger Sloan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.07% -0.07% MC
135 IRL Seamus Power 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% T12
136 USA Matt Every 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
137 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.08% MC
138 USA Rob Oppenheim 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
139 USA Scott Harrington 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T39
140 USA Michael Gellerman 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% T45
141 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
142 ARG Nelson Ledesma 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
143 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
144 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
145 AUS John Senden 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
146 USA Peter Kuest 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
147 USA Dominic Bozzelli 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
148 IND Arjun Atwal 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% T45
149 USA Ricky Barnes 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
150 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
151 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
152 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
153 USA Bo Van Pelt 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% T68
154 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Cameron Champ 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
156 USA James Nicholas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Donnie Trosper 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.6% 17.6%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 24.5%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.6% 29.1%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 67.8% 30.3%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 69.6% 31.6%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 69.6% 31.6%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 59.1% 33.4%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 33.6%
9 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 51% 34.8%
10 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 36%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 36.4%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.8% 40%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 55.4% 41.8%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56% 42.3%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 43.4%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 61.8% 47.6%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 64.7% 50.3%
18 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 104.5% 85%
19 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 881.6% 814%
20 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 1026.4% 949.8%