Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 49.4

Total Profit: -50.7

Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

24/09/2020 - 27/09/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Will Zalatoris 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.66% 2.33% -3.32% T8
2 USA Mackenzie Hughes 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.33% 6.31% 1.99% 3
3 CAN Corey Conners 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.87% 1.63% -2.24% MC
4 USA Sam Burns 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.5% 3.02% -0.48% T28
5 USA Adam Long 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 3.22% 0.39% 5 12.64 +37.9
6 ARG Emiliano Grillo 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 1.09% -1.45% T21
7 USA Charles Howell III 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.37% 1.94% -0.43% MC
8 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.58% -0.58% T33
9 AUT Sepp Straka 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 2.3% 0.25% T33 9.13
10 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 2.01% -0.03% T52 9.13
11 USA Pat Perez 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.57% -0.47% T21
12 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 0.85% -1.2% T41
13 SWE Henrik Stenson 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 0.58% -1.46% T21
14 SWE Henrik Norlander 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 2.71% 0.91% MC 8.02
15 AUT Matthias Schwab 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.14% -0.66% T56
16 USA Charley Hoffman 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.13% -0.66% T14
17 USA Luke List 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.13% -0.67% T8
18 RSA Branden Grace 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.57% -1.22% MC
19 USA Adam Schenk 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.5% -0.1% T56
20 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.38% -0.07% T11 6.45
21 USA Brian Stuard 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.16% -0.28% T33
22 CHN Zhang Xinjun 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.08% -0.36% T11
23 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.57% -0.87% MC
24 USA Kyle Stanley 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 0.93% -0.38% T28
25 AUS Matt Jones 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 1.22% 0.01% T14 5.39
26 USA Brice Garnett 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0.58% -0.62% T61
27 USA William Gordon 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 2.47% 1.38% MC 4.91
28 USA Keith Mitchell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.75% -0.35% T61
29 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.03% 0.12% MC 4.06
30 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.92% 0.01% T41 4.06
31 USA Bo Hoag 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.7% -0.21% MC
32 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.68% -0.23% MC
33 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.64% -0.27% MC
34 NIR Graeme McDowell 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.54% -0.36% MC
35 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.48% -0.43% MC
36 USA Sam Ryder 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.07% 0.27% T52 3.62
37 USA James Hahn 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.85% 0.04% T6 3.62
38 AUS Cameron Percy 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.73% -0.08% T8 (tied w/3) 3.62 +11.5
39 USA Chris Baker 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.48% 0.76% MC 3.26
40 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.72% -0.01% T41 3.26
41 USA Kevin Chappell 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.67% -0.06% MC 3.26
42 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.51% -0.22% MC
43 USA Rob Oppenheim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.47% -0.26% T33
44 USA Ben Martin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.31% -0.42% T52
45 KOR Tom Kim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.3% -0.43% T33
46 USA Vincent Whaley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.1% 0.52% T28 2.61
47 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.94% 0.36% T56 2.61
48 USA Ryan Armour 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.83% 0.24% MC 2.61
49 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.78% 0.2% T41 2.61
50 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.71% 0.13% T61 2.61
51 USA Mark Anderson 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.49% -0.09% T65 2.61
52 USA Peter Uihlein 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.47% -0.11% MC
53 CAN Roger Sloan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.14% MC
54 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.36% -0.22% T41
55 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.36% -0.23% MC
56 USA Wes Roach 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.35% -0.23% MC
57 USA Akshay Bhatia 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 1.77% 1.28% MC
58 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.88% 0.39% T21
59 USA Chris Stroud 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% MC
60 CAN David Hearn 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.07% T33
61 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
62 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
63 USA Josh Teater 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.02% MC
64 NZL Tim Wilkinson 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.45% -0.04% T61
65 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.41% -0.07% 4
66 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.34% -0.14% T14
67 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.31% -0.18% T6
68 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.31% -0.18% T41
69 SCO Martin Laird 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.28% -0.21% T65
70 USA Chase Seiffert 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 1.11% 0.7% T41
71 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.31% -0.11% T70
72 USA Grayson Murray 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.3% -0.12% MC
73 USA Kevin Tway 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.27% -0.15% T41
74 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.17% 0.8% T41
75 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.14% 0.77% MC
76 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.77% 0.4% 1
77 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% T28
78 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T41
79 USA D.J. Trahan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% T52
80 USA Scott Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% T56
81 USA Ryan Brehm 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.05% T33
82 USA Bill Haas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.04% MC
83 USA Kelly Kraft 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.28% -0.09% T14
84 USA Zac Blair 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T70
85 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% T21
86 MEX Roberto Diaz 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.03% T73
87 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T65
88 USA George McNeill 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.59% 0.34% T41
89 ENG Benjamin Taylor 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% MC
90 USA Tyler McCumber 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.15% 2
91 USA Matt Every 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.14% MC
92 USA Zack Sucher 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
93 USA Johnson Wagner 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
94 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% MC
95 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% T56
96 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
97 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.03% T14
98 USA Alex Smalley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.27% 0.02% T14
99 AUS Rhein Gibson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.59% 0.38% T21
100 USA Robert Streb 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% T21
101 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T11
102 USA Shawn Stefani 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% WD
103 CAN Graham Delaet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
104 IND Arjun Atwal 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.55% 0.36% T70
105 ARG Nelson Ledesma 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% MC
106 USA Gavin Hall 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.08% MC
107 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.08% MC
108 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.49% MC
109 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44% MC
110 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
111 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% WD
112 USA John Merrick 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
113 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T28
114 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
115 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T73
116 SWE Daniel Chopra 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% MC
117 ARG Tommy Cocha 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.14% MC
118 USA Michael Kim 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
119 USA Benjamin Cook 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
120 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T65
121 AUS John Senden 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.51% 0.43% MC
122 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.39% 0.32% MC
123 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
124 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
125 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
126 SWE Richard S. Johnson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
127 ARG Sebastian Saavedra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
128 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
129 DOM Julio Santos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
130 ENG Brian Davis 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% MC
131 USA John Rollins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% MC
132 USA Ted Purdy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
133 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
134 USA Eric Axley 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
135 PAR Carlos Franco 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
136 DOM Hiram Silfa 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
137 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T14
138 DOM Guillermo Pumarol 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
139 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
140 USA Michael Kartrude 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 USA Luke Graboyes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 DOM Juan Jose Guerra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Matthew Oshrine 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 DOM Marcel Olivares 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.4% 15.5%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 27.9%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 29.9%
4 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 31.9%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.7% 32.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 33.4%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 35.2%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 35.8%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 38%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 40.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%