Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 244.8

Total Profit: +144.7

Maybank Championship

21/03/2019 - 24/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.32% 1.63% -2.69% T41
2 ESP Jorge Campillo 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.49% 0.95% -2.55% T20
3 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.19% 1.27% -1.92% T36
4 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 22 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.19% 1.11% -2.08% T7
5 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.82% 1.08% -1.74% T48
6 BEL Thomas Detry 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.53% 1.15% -1.38% T55
7 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 1.41% -0.74% MC
8 SWE Alexander Bjork 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.3% -0.86% MC
9 AUS Jason Scrivener 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 1.28% -0.88% MC
10 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.25% -0.79% T7
11 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 40 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.29% -0.5% MC
12 THA Jazz Janewattananond 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.12% -0.67% 3
13 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 0.9% -0.89% T48
14 USA David Lipsky 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 0.84% -0.95% T13
15 ENG Andy Sullivan 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.3% -0.29% T7
16 USA Kurt Kitayama 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 0.77% -0.83% T41
17 IND Shubhankar Sharma 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 0.74% -0.85% T30
18 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.42% -0.02% T13 6.2
19 ENG Chris Paisley 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.17% -0.26% T57
20 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.16% -0.28% MC
21 RSA George Coetzee 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.81% -0.63% T48
22 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.71% -0.73% T36
23 GER Maximilian Kieffer 50 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.68% -0.75% T5
24 ESP Adrian Otaegui 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 1.46% 0.15% MC 5.65
25 RSA Erik van Rooyen 55 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 1.18% -0.13% T15 5.65
26 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.79% -0.52% MC
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.2% 0.69% -0.51% T57
28 AUS Wade Ormsby 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.16% 0.06% MC 4.72
29 USA Julian Suri 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.65% -0.45% T20
30 MAS Gavin Green 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.52% -0.45% T30
31 ITA Andrea Pavan 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.28% 0.38% T60 3.91
32 RSA Ernie Els 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.18% 0.28% T7 (tied w/6) 3.91 +5.5
33 AUS Lucas Herbert 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.14% 0.23% T25 3.91
34 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.02% 0.12% T66 3.91
35 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.69% -0.21% MC
36 RSA Louis de Jager 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.65% -0.25% T20
37 ENG Chris Wood 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.84% 0.04% MC 3.48
38 AUT Matthias Schwab 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.74% -0.07% T30 3.48
39 ESP Nacho Elvira 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.77% 0.05% 2 3.13 +40.7
40 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.71% -0.01% MC 3.13
41 THA Prom Meesawat 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.45% -0.28% T48
42 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.5% 0.84% MC 2.85
43 JPN Yuta Ikeda 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 1.19% 0.53% MC 2.85
44 IRL Padraig Harrington 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.88% 0.22% T30 2.85
45 ENG Ashley Chesters 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.61% -0.05% MC 2.85
46 AUS Jake McLeod 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.38% 0.8% MC 2.51
47 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.17% 0.59% T15 2.51
48 THA Thongchai Jaidee 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.1% 0.52% T25 2.51
49 ENG Robert Rock 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.94% 0.36% T55 2.51
50 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.94% 0.36% MC 2.51
51 SWE Marcus Kinhult 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.84% 0.26% MC 2.51
52 RSA Darren Fichardt 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.84% 0.26% T7 2.51
53 THA Poom Saksansin 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.82% 0.24% T60 2.51
54 AUS Marcus Fraser 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.82% 0.24% T48 2.51
55 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.81% 0.22% T66 2.51
56 AUS Scott Hend 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.79% 0.21% 1 2.51 +198.6
57 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% MC 2.51
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% T20 2.51
59 KOR Sanghyun Park 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.56% -0.02% MC 2.51
60 JPN Hideto Tanihara 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.56% -0.03% MC 2.51
61 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% T7
62 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.75% 0.27% T41
63 USA Paul Peterson 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% T30
64 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.71% 0.22% T41
65 AUS Zach Murray 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.59% 0.1% T41
66 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.09% T15
67 RSA Shaun Norris 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.57% 0.08% T30
68 IND Shiv Kapur 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.53% 0.05% MC
69 ZIM Scott Vincent 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.46% -0.03% T60
70 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.39% -0.1% MC
71 THA Panuphol Pittayarat 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.37% -0.12% MC
72 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.34% -0.15% T5
73 DEN Thomas Bjorn 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 1.02% 0.6% MC
74 USA Johannes Veerman 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.82% 0.41% 4
75 USA John Catlin 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.08% MC
76 JPN Yuki Inamori 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.77% 0.4% MC
77 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.72% 0.36% T60
78 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.31% MC
79 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% MC
80 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% T48
81 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.63% 0.27% MC
82 KOR Jeunghun Wang 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.16% MC
83 THA Prayad Marksaeng 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.12% MC
84 PHI Miguel Tabuena 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
85 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.36% 0% T70
86 KOR Yikeun Chang 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.3% -0.07% MC
87 RSA Keith Horne 225 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.32% 0.35% 0.03% 73
88 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% T36
89 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.67% 0.38% MC
90 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
91 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% MC
92 PHI Angelo Que 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.52% 0.23% T25
93 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T70
94 USA Berry Henson 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
95 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
96 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% MC
97 THA Chapchai Nirat 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% MC
98 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.75% 0.48% MC
99 JPN Daisuke Kataoka 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.3% 0.04% MC
100 THA Danthai Boonma 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% MC
101 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.91% 0.67% T25
102 AUS Daniel Nisbet 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.67% 0.43% WD
103 IND Chikkarangappa S 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.35% T20
104 RSA Jbe Kruger 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.32% MC
105 AUS Sam Brazel 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% MC
106 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.66% 0.45% MC
107 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.62% 0.41% T66
108 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.61% 0.4% 72
109 KOR Hyunwoo Ryu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.59% 0.38% T41
110 USA Micah Shin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% 74
111 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T36
112 IND Khalin Joshi 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
113 MAS Ben Leong 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
114 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% MC
115 TPE Lin Wen-Tang 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.65% 0.47% T60
116 NZL Ben Campbell 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% MC
117 BAN Siddikur Rahman 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.43% 0.25% T15
118 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.95% 0.8% MC
119 ENG David Howell 500 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.69% 0.54% MC
120 AUS Jason Norris 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
121 KOR Rahil Gangjee 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.28% MC
122 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
123 AUS Terry Pilkadaris 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T25
124 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.2% MC
125 THA Rattanon Wannasrichan 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
126 THA Tirawat Kaewsiribandit 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
127 CAN Richard T Lee 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
128 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.14% T66
129 AUS Jake Higginbottom 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
130 IND Viraj Madappa 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T48
131 USA Jarin Todd 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.11% T60
132 JPN Shinichi Mizuno 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.09% MC
133 AUS Travis Smyth 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
134 SGP Johnson Poh 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
135 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
136 MAS Nicholas Fung 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T15
137 TPE Chan Shih-chang 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.29% MC
138 MAS Danny Chia 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
139 THA Natipong Srithong 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% MC
140 KOR Minchel Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.08% T57
141 AUS Todd Sinnott 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% WD
142 INA Danny Masrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.15% T36
143 BRA Adilson da Silva 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.76% 0.71% MC
144 MAS Wilson Choo 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
145 MAS Arie Ahmad Irawan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
146 MAS R. Nachimuthu 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
147 MAS Sukree Othman 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
148 MAS Shariffudin Ariffin 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
149 MAS Amir Nazrin 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
150 MAS Kemarol Baharin 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% MC
151 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.37% 0% T41
152 TPE Lu Wei-chih 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...