Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 113.7

Total Profit: +13.6

Vic Open

07/02/2019 - 10/02/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Jason Scrivener 14 6.67% 5.3% 1.81% -3.48% T5
2 NZL Ryan Fox 16 5.88% 4.67% 1.75% -2.92% MC
3 AUS Lucas Herbert 18 5.26% 4.18% 2.05% -2.13% MC
4 THA Jazz Janewattananond 22 4.35% 3.45% 1.52% -1.93% T27
5 ENG Aaron Rai 25 3.85% 3.05% 1.2% -1.86% T17
6 RSA Justin Harding 28 3.45% 2.74% 2.68% -0.05% 4 12.11 +40
7 ESP Adrian Otaegui 33 2.94% 2.34% 1.34% -1% MC
8 AUS Scott Hend 35 2.78% 2.21% 1.51% -0.69% MC
9 ENG Oliver Wilson 40 2.44% 1.94% 1.39% -0.55% MC
10 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 2.44% 1.94% 1.09% -0.84% MC
11 AUS Jake McLeod 40 2.44% 1.94% 0.86% -1.08% MC
12 USA Sihwan Kim 45 2.17% 1.73% 0.93% -0.8% MC
13 AUS Matthew Millar 50 1.96% 1.56% 1.35% -0.21% MC 6.89
14 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 50 1.96% 1.56% 1.31% -0.24% MC
15 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 50 1.96% 1.56% 1.06% -0.5% MC
16 AUS Dimi Papadatos 50 1.96% 1.56% 0.6% -0.96% MC
17 AUS Wade Ormsby 60 1.64% 1.3% 0.66% -0.64% T2
18 ENG Callum Shinkwin 64 1.54% 1.22% 0.68% -0.54% T10
19 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 66 1.49% 1.19% 1.57% 0.38% T8 5.24
20 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 1.49% 1.19% 1.46% 0.27% MC 5.24
21 RSA Thomas Aiken 66 1.49% 1.19% 1.34% 0.15% T24 5.24
22 JPN Yuta Ikeda 66 1.49% 1.19% 1.09% -0.1% MC 5.24
23 ZIM Scott Vincent 66 1.49% 1.19% 1.08% -0.11% MC 5.24
24 AUS Brad Kennedy 66 1.49% 1.19% 0.99% -0.2% T2 (tied w/2) 5.24 +37.2
25 AUS Ben Eccles 66 1.49% 1.19% 0.81% -0.37% MC
26 IRL Paul Dunne 69 1.43% 1.13% 0.85% -0.28% T17
27 AUS Marcus Fraser 80 1.23% 0.98% 1.08% 0.1% T17 4.34
28 AUS Adam Bland 80 1.23% 0.98% 0.73% -0.25% MC
29 KOR Jeunghun Wang 80 1.23% 0.98% 0.69% -0.29% MC
30 AUS Matthew Griffin 80 1.23% 0.98% 0.65% -0.33% T33
31 AUS Andrew Dodt 80 1.23% 0.98% 0.54% -0.44% MC
32 POR Ricardo Gouveia 80 1.23% 0.98% 0.51% -0.47% MC
33 USA Harrison Endycott 90 1.1% 0.87% 0.66% -0.21% MC 3.86
34 SCO Robert MacIntyre 100 0.99% 0.79% 1.11% 0.32% MC 3.48
35 FIN Kim Koivu 100 0.99% 0.79% 1.05% 0.26% MC 3.48
36 SCO David Drysdale 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.97% 0.18% T5 (tied w/3) 3.48 +36.5
37 AUS David Micheluzzi 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.75% -0.03% T30 3.48
38 AUS Sam Brazel 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.66% -0.13% MC 3.48
39 AUS Nick Cullen 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.6% -0.18% T24 3.48
40 AUS Jarryd Felton 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.57% -0.22% T12 3.48
41 AUS Anthony Quayle 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.54% -0.24% MC
42 AUS Michael Sim 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.54% -0.25% MC
43 AUS Jake Higginbottom 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.5% -0.28% MC
44 AUS Jordan Zunic 100 0.99% 0.79% 0.41% -0.38% MC
45 SWE Niklas Lemke 110 0.9% 0.72% 1% 0.28% MC 3.17
46 AUS Stephen Leaney 125 0.79% 0.63% 0.72% 0.09% MC 2.79
47 ITA Matteo Manassero 125 0.79% 0.63% 0.71% 0.08% MC 2.79
48 AUS Blake Windred 125 0.79% 0.63% 0.69% 0.06% T12 2.79
49 ENG Richard McEvoy 125 0.79% 0.63% 0.57% -0.06% MC 2.79
50 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 0.79% 0.63% 0.57% -0.06% T12 2.79
51 SCO Grant Forrest 150 0.66% 0.53% 1.09% 0.57% T22
52 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.98% 0.46% 35
53 FRA Clement Sordet 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.86% 0.33% T8
54 WAL Stuart Manley 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.79% 0.26% MC
55 NZL Gareth Paddison 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.69% 0.16% MC
56 ENG Ben Evans 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% MC
57 ENG James Morrison 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% MC
58 ENG Tom Murray 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.6% 0.07% MC
59 AUS Terry Pilkadaris 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.58% 0.05% T24
60 AUS Deyen Lawson 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.55% 0.02% MC
61 CAN Austin Connelly 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.52% 0% MC
62 ENG Matthew Nixon 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.48% -0.05% T30
63 AUS Steven Jeffress 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.47% -0.05% T30
64 ENG Max Orrin 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.45% -0.08% MC
65 AUS Cameron John 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.43% -0.09% MC
66 IRL Gavin Moynihan 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.38% -0.15% T27
67 AUS Maxwell McCardle 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.3% -0.22% MC
68 FRA Gregory Bourdy 160 0.62% 0.49% 1.16% 0.66% MC
69 KOR Hyowon Park 175 0.57% 0.45% 0.91% 0.46% MC
70 AUS Richard Green 175 0.57% 0.45% 0.48% 0.03% MC
71 AUS Travis Smyth 175 0.57% 0.45% 0.45% 0% MC
72 AUS Simon Hawkes 175 0.57% 0.45% 0.39% -0.06% MC
73 AUS Peter Senior 200 0.5% 0.4% 1.14% 0.74% MC
74 AUS Robert Allenby 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.81% 0.42% MC
75 SCO Michael Hendry 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.41% MC
76 SCO Liam Johnston 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.66% 0.27% MC
77 AUS Blake Proverbs 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.53% 0.14% MC
78 AUS Darren Beck 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.47% 0.08% MC
79 KOR Jinho Choi 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% MC
80 AUS Aaron Pike 250 0.4% 0.32% 1.22% 0.9% MC
81 AUS Scott Strange 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% MC
82 NZL Mark Brown 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.56% 0.24% MC
83 AUS Nick Flanagan 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% T10
84 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.45% 0.14% MC
85 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.44% 0.12% MC
86 AUS Damien Jordan 275 0.36% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
87 AUS Ashley Hall 275 0.36% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
88 AUS Josh Younger 275 0.36% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
89 AUS David Bransdon 275 0.36% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% T5
90 AUS Daniel Nisbet 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% T33
91 AUS Matthew Stieger 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.4% T17
92 SCO David Law 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.4% 1
93 POR Pedro Figueiredo 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.62% 0.36% MC
94 AUS Daniel Gale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.56% 0.29% MC
95 AUS Michael Wright 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% MC
96 AUS Jason Norris 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.27% T22
97 SCO Connor Syme 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% MC
98 AUS Daniel Fox 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
99 SWE Anton Karlsson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T12
100 AUS Christopher Wood 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
101 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
102 AUS Cory Crawford 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.25% -0.02% MC
103 NZL Ben Campbell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.23% -0.03% MC
104 CHI Hugo Leon 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.87% 0.64% MC
105 GER Max Schmitt 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.84% 0.61% MC
106 NIR Michael Hoey 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.74% 0.52% T17
107 AUS Maverick Antcliff 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.39% 0.16% MC
108 NZL Ryan Chisnall 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.11% MC
109 ESP David Borda Antonana 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% MC
110 AUS James Nitties 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.86% 0.66% MC
111 AUS Peter Lonard 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.54% 0.34% MC
112 AUS Peter Fowler 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% MC
113 NZL Harry Bateman 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
114 AUS Peter Cooke 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
115 AUS Callan O'Reilly 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
116 AUS Andrew Martin 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% MC
117 NZL Michael Long 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% MC
118 AUS James Marchesani 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
119 AUS Jack Wilson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.63% 0.47% MC
120 AUS Nick O'Hern 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% MC
121 ITA Guido Migliozzi 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.55% 0.39% MC
122 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.37% MC
123 AUS Brady Watt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.24% MC
124 AUS Tim Stewart 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
125 AUS Dylan Perry 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% MC
126 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
127 AUS Kade McBride 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
128 AUS Andrew Evans 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
129 NOR Espen Kofstad 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
130 AUS Ryan Lynch 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.05% MC
131 SWE Per Langfors 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% MC
132 AUS Andrew Kelly 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
133 ENG Scott Gregory 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.15% -0.01% MC
134 NZL David Smail 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.66% 0.53% MC
135 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
136 AUS Taylor MacDonald 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% MC
137 AUS Aaron Townsend 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.6% 0.49% T12
138 AUS Adam Burdett 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.25% MC
139 ENG Daniel Gavins 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% T27
140 USA Shawn Stefani 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.49% MC
141 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 1.49% 0% MC
142 AUS Matt Jager 0% 0% 0.54% 0% MC
143 AUS Zach Murray 0% 0% 0.4% 0% DQ
144 BRA Rafael Becker 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
145 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0.31% 0% MC
146 USA Jake Knappe 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...