Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 48.2

Total Profit: -51.9

Wells Fargo Championship

02/05/2019 - 05/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 6 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.48% 4.89% -5.59% T8
2 AUS Jason Day 11 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.11% 2.33% -3.78% T24
3 USA Rickie Fowler 12 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.64% 1.79% -3.85% T4
4 ENG Justin Rose 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.89% 3.04% -1.85% 3
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.49% 2.22% -1.27% T31
6 USA Webb Simpson 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.49% 1.69% -1.8% T18
7 USA Tony Finau 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.49% 1.55% -1.94% T60
8 USA Phil Mickelson 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.82% 2.07% -0.75% MC
9 ESP Sergio Garcia 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.82% 1.92% -0.9% T4
10 ENG Paul Casey 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.53% 2.18% -0.35% T4
11 USA Gary Woodland 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 1.52% -0.64% WD
12 SWE Henrik Stenson 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.73% -0.3% T28 9.18
13 USA Jason Kokrak 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.35% -0.69% 69
14 USA Lucas Glover 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 1.31% -0.28% T31 7.19
15 USA Patrick Reed 50 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.9% 0.47% T28 6.48
16 USA Charles Howell III 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.55% 0.11% MC 6.48
17 USA Aaron Wise 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.87% -0.57% T18
18 USA Keegan Bradley 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.36% 0.27% MC 4.94
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.31% 0.22% WD 4.94
20 KOR Sungjae Im 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.96% -0.13% T31 4.94
21 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.9% -0.01% T8 4.08
22 USA J.B. Holmes 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.82% -0.08% WD 4.08
23 USA Luke List 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.65% -0.26% T65 4.08
24 USA Zach Johnson 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.21% 0.41% MC 3.64
25 USA Keith Mitchell 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.95% 0.15% T8 (tied w/5) 3.64 +6.9
26 USA Daniel Berger 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.92% 0.11% T54 3.64
27 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 1.11% 0.38% T45 3.28
28 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.07% 0.34% 2 3.28 +34.4
29 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.89% 0.16% T18 3.28
30 USA Sam Burns 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.78% 0.05% WD 3.28
31 CAN Adam Hadwin 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.78% 0.05% T38 3.28
32 KOR Sunghoon Kang 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.72% -0.01% MC 3.28
33 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.96% 0.38% MC 2.63
34 USA JT Poston 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.87% 0.29% MC 2.63
35 USA Chez Reavie 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.84% 0.25% T18 2.63
36 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% T8 (tied w/5) 2.63 +6.8
37 USA Trey Mullinax 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.53% -0.05% T50 2.63
38 USA Russell Henley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.41% MC
39 NZL Danny Lee 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.84% 0.36% MC
40 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.78% 0.29% T60
41 AUS Matt Jones 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.75% 0.26% T38
42 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% MC
43 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% T24
44 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.52% 0.03% T28
45 USA Pat Perez 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.02% T8
46 USA Nick Watney 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.43% -0.06% T31
47 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.41% -0.08% T31
48 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.37% -0.12% MC
49 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.32% -0.17% T38
50 CAN Nick Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.62% 0.21% T54
51 USA Brian Harman 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.58% 0.16% T24
52 USA Denny McCarthy 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% MC
53 USA Wyndham Clark 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% MC
54 USA Cameron Champ 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.44% 0.02% MC
55 USA Roberto Castro 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.43% 0.02% MC
56 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.82% 0.45% MC
57 USA Scott Brown 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
58 USA Bud Cauley 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.65% 0.29% T24
59 USA Chris Stroud 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.64% 0.27% MC
60 USA Peter Uihlein 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.64% 0.27% MC
61 USA Jimmy Walker 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% T45
62 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% T54
63 USA Matt Every 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% MC
64 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% MC
65 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% 73
66 USA Jonathan Byrd 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.78% 0.49% MC
67 CAN David Hearn 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.52% 0.23% MC
68 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.2% MC
69 USA Adam Schenk 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.15% T13
70 USA Bill Haas 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% T50
71 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.08% T60
72 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.06% T13
73 USA Johnson Wagner 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% MC
74 ENG Danny Willett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.9% 0.65% MC
75 RSA Ernie Els 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.77% 0.52% MC
76 USA Kelly Kraft 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% MC
77 SWE Jonas Blixt 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.43% MC
78 USA Peter Malnati 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% MC
79 USA Scott Langley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.55% 0.31% MC
80 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% MC
81 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.19% T45
82 USA Shawn Stefani 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.15% T13
83 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.15% MC
84 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T13
85 USA Chip McDaniel 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.07% MC
86 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T50
87 USA Robert Streb 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.26% 0.01% MC
88 USA Brandon Harkins 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% T65
89 USA Harris English 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.6% 0.4% T54
90 USA Cameron Tringale 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
91 AUS Curtis Luck 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
92 USA Adam Long 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.65% 0.47% T45
93 USA Hudson Swafford 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.6% 0.42% MC
94 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.54% 0.36% T38
95 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% 72
96 USA Jason Dufner 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% T4
97 USA Sam Saunders 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% MC
98 USA Billy Hurley III 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
99 AUT Sepp Straka 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
100 AUS Cameron Davis 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.18% -0.01% MC
101 USA Ben Crane 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.36% MC
102 USA Max Homa 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% 1
103 USA Nate Lashley 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T45
104 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
105 AUS John Senden 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% T54
106 USA Anders Albertson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
107 CAN Roger Sloan 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
108 ARG Julian Etulain 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.26% 68
109 IRL Padraig Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
110 COL Sebastian Munoz 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T38
111 USA Brady Schnell 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.18% MC
112 USA Martin Piller 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
113 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
114 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% MC
115 USA Brice Garnett 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T60
116 USA Brendon Todd 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T18
117 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
118 USA Chris Thompson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.13% MC
119 USA Alex Prugh 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.13% T31
120 CAN Adam Svensson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.13% MC
121 USA Josh Teater 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
122 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
123 USA Chase Wright 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.11% T38
124 USA Tom Hoge 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T65
125 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
126 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
127 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T31
128 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.07% MC
129 USA Derek Fathauer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
130 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.04% T50
131 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.03% MC
132 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T54
133 USA Jim Knous 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.02% T13
134 USA Kyle Jones 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
135 USA Joey Garber 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.01% MC
136 USA Jim Herman 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T60
138 USA Colt Knost 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% T38
139 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 750 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
140 USA Tom Lovelady 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.15% MC
141 USA Wes Roach 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T70
142 MEX Carlos Ortiz 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.41% MC
143 AUS Mathew Goggin 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
144 USA Will Mackenzie 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.24% MC
145 USA Chad Collins 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
146 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
147 USA Doc Redman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% T18
148 USA John Chin 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
149 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
150 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
151 SWE Freddie Jacobson 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
152 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...