Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 287.0

Total Profit: +186.9

Mayakoba Golf Classic

08/11/2018 - 11/11/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Rickie Fowler 8 11.11% 8.13% 4.45% -3.67% T16
2 USA Tony Finau 14 6.67% 4.88% 3.87% -1.01% T16
3 USA Jordan Spieth 16 5.88% 4.3% 1.88% -2.42% MC
4 USA Gary Woodland 18 5.26% 3.85% 2.76% -1.09% T41
5 ARG Emiliano Grillo 20 4.76% 3.48% 1.97% -1.51% 15
6 USA Billy Horschel 28 3.45% 2.52% 2.82% 0.3% T21 11.41
7 USA Aaron Wise 28 3.45% 2.52% 1.59% -0.93% T10
8 MEX Abraham Ancer 30 3.23% 2.36% 1.82% -0.54% T21
9 KOR Siwoo Kim 30 3.23% 2.36% 1.25% -1.11% T26
10 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 2.44% 1.78% 1.28% -0.51% T60
11 USA Beau Hossler 40 2.44% 1.78% 1.01% -0.78% MC
12 USA Luke List 40 2.44% 1.78% 0.79% -0.99% MC
13 USA Cameron Champ 40 2.44% 1.78% 0.74% -1.05% T10
14 USA Zach Johnson 45 2.17% 1.59% 1.82% 0.23% MC 7.2
15 USA Ryan Moore 45 2.17% 1.59% 1.32% -0.27% MC
16 USA Scott Piercy 45 2.17% 1.59% 1.19% -0.4% T6
17 TPE C.T. Pan 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.65% 0.22% T16 6.49
18 USA Chez Reavie 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.4% -0.04% T26 6.49
19 USA Sam Ryder 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.19% -0.24% 54
20 CAN Adam Hadwin 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.05% -0.38% T10
21 USA Charles Howell III 50 1.96% 1.43% 1% -0.44% MC
22 USA Pat Perez 55 1.79% 1.31% 1.18% -0.12% T6
23 USA J.B. Holmes 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.33% 0.13% T48 5.43
24 USA Matt Kuchar 60 1.64% 1.2% 1.17% -0.02% 1 5.43 +200.9
25 KOR Sungjae Im 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.59% -0.61% MC
26 USA Kevin Kisner 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.36% 0.27% MC 4.94
27 USA J.J Spaun 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.02% -0.07% T3
28 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.75% -0.34% MC
29 USA Denny McCarthy 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.56% -0.53% T41
30 AUS Cameron Davis 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.53% -0.56% T48
31 USA Kevin Chappell 75 1.32% 0.96% 0.94% -0.03% T41 4.36
32 USA Charley Hoffman 80 1.23% 0.9% 1.52% 0.62% MC 4.09
33 USA Bill Haas 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.84% -0.06% T60 4.09
34 SCO Martin Laird 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.81% -0.1% MC
35 USA Harold Varner III 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.98% 0.18% T6 (tied w/4) 3.64 +17.3
36 USA Russell Henley 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.97% 0.16% T29 3.64
37 NZL Danny Lee 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.85% 0.04% 2 3.64 +34.6
38 USA Sam Burns 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.52% -0.28% MC
39 USA Brian Harman 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.25% 0.53% T68 3.28
40 USA Chris Kirk 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.15% 0.42% T48 3.28
41 USA Keith Mitchell 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.1% 0.38% T65 3.28
42 USA Jamie Lovemark 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.73% 0.01% T41 3.28
43 USA Anders Albertson 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.48% -0.25% T55
44 USA Patton Kizzire 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.38% -0.34% T55
45 NIR Graeme McDowell 110 0.9% 0.66% 0.98% 0.33% MC 2.99
46 USA Ryan Armour 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.85% 0.27% T21 2.63
47 USA Robert Streb 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.18% MC 2.63
48 USA Hudson Swafford 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.69% 0.11% T55 2.63
49 USA Kevin Streelman 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% MC 2.63
50 USA Richy Werenski 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.52% -0.06% T3 (tied w/2) 2.63 +34.2
51 USA Peter Malnati 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.51% -0.07% MC
52 USA Adam Schenk 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.43% -0.15% T48
53 USA Bud Cauley 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.38% -0.2% T29
54 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.94% 0.46% T38
55 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.77% 0.29% T55
56 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.55% 0.07% T10
57 USA Shawn Stefani 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% MC
58 USA Brandon Harkins 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% T65
59 CAN Nick Taylor 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.54% 0.05% MC
60 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.43% -0.06% MC
61 USA Kramer Hickok 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.32% -0.17% T29
62 USA Jim Furyk 160 0.62% 0.45% 0.73% 0.28% T6
63 USA Joel Dahmen 175 0.57% 0.42% 1.29% 0.88% T41
64 USA Brian Gay 175 0.57% 0.42% 1.21% 0.8% T41
65 CAN Corey Conners 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.97% 0.56% MC
66 USA Andrew Landry 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.71% 0.3% MC
67 USA James Hahn 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.68% 0.26% T29
68 USA Brice Garnett 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.65% 0.23% 5
69 USA Ryan Blaum 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% MC
70 MEX Carlos Ortiz 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.59% 0.17% MC
71 USA Harris English 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.52% 0.11% T68
72 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.97% 0.6% MC
73 USA Jason Dufner 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.78% 0.42% T21
74 GER Alex Cejka 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.68% 0.31% MC
75 USA JT Poston 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.62% 0.25% T21
76 KOR Meenwhee Kim 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% T10
77 USA Sam Saunders 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.14% WD
78 AUS Matt Jones 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% 71
79 AUS Curtis Luck 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.02% MC
80 USA Vaughn Taylor 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.72% 0.39% T26
81 USA Brian Stuard 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.93% 0.64% MC
82 USA Alex Prugh 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% MC
83 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
84 USA Kelly Kraft 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% T38
85 KOR Sangmoon Bae 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
86 USA Mackenzie Hughes 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% MC
87 IRL Seamus Power 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
88 USA Tom Hoge 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
89 USA Chris Stroud 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% WD
90 GER Stephan Jaeger 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.02% T16
91 USA Seth Reeves 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% T29
92 USA Scott Brown 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% T68
93 USA John Huh 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.15% MC
94 COL Sebastian Munoz 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.1% 64
95 ARG Fabian Gomez 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.29% MC
96 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% T29
97 USA Grayson Murray 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% WD
98 CAN Adam Svensson 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.23% 0.02% MC
99 USA Wesley Bryan 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.69% 0.51% MC
100 USA D.A. Points 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.28% MC
101 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T55
102 USA Steve Marino 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.19% T29
103 MEX Roberto Diaz 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% MC
104 USA Chase Wright 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% 63
105 CAN Roger Sloan 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.06% MC
106 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.72% 0.57% T65
107 USA Tyler Duncan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.36% T38
108 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T48
109 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.18% MC
110 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
111 USA Jim Herman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
112 USA Josh Teater 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T48
113 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T60
114 MEX Oscar Fraustro 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% T41
115 MEX Sebastian Vazquez 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% MC
116 USA Scott Langley 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.5% 0.38% T29
117 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% T29
118 USA Kevin Stadler 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% MC
119 USA John Chin 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
120 USA Kyle Jones 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
121 USA Martin Trainer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
122 MEX Armando Favela 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% T16
123 NOR Viktor Hovland 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
124 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
125 USA Wyndham Clark 0% 0% 0.25% 0% MC
126 USA Norman Xiong 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...