THE MASTERS 2022 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the THE MASTERS
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
THE MASTERS 2022 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Jon Rahm favourite for the THE MASTERS at 10/1. That is an implied 9.1% before the margin comes out, and 6.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Justin Thomas next in at 12/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 25.4% of the win chance between them, which leaves 74.6% spread across the other 111 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 85 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 2.6%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 7% (11 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth 4.3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
THE MASTERS 2022 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jon Rahm
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 6.8% | 27th |
| 2 |
Justin Thomas
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8th |
| 3 |
Cameron Smith
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3rd |
| 4 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1st |
| 5 |
Dustin Johnson
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.0% | 12th |
| 6 |
Rory McIlroy
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2nd |
| 7 |
Brooks Koepka
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 60th |
| 8 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 39th |
| 9 |
Viktor Hovland
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 27th |
| 10 |
Collin Morikawa
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5th |
| 11 |
Jordan Spieth
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 59th |
| 12 |
Xander Schauffele
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 65th |
| 13 |
Sam Burns
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 53rd |
| 14 |
Will Zalatoris
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 6th |
| 15 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 14th |
| 16 |
Louis Oosthuizen
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | - |
| 17 |
Daniel Berger
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 50th |
| 18 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 14th |
| 19 |
Bryson DeChambeau
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 82nd |
| 20 |
Adam Scott
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 48th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the THE MASTERS 2022 finished
Scottie Scheffler won the THE MASTERS, having started the week at 16/1 - an implied 5.9% chance. The favourite, Jon Rahm, finished 27th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
|
20/1 | 4.8% |
| 3 |
Shane Lowry
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 3 |
Cameron Smith
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 5 |
Collin Morikawa
|
20/1 | 4.8% |
| 6 |
Corey Conners
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 6 |
Will Zalatoris
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
| 8 |
Justin Thomas
|
12/1 | 7.7% |
| 8 |
Sungjae Im
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 10 |
Charl Schwartzel
|
949/1 | 0.1% |
| 10 |
Cameron Champ
|
417/1 | 0.2% |
Our model's numbers for the THE MASTERS
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 11 @ 1/5 | 68.5% | 7% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 8 @ 1/5 | 40.1% | 7.6% |
| 3 | Betfred | 8 @ 1/5 | 44.1% | 10.5% |
| 4 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.5% | 12.7% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 10 @ 1/5 | 65.7% | 13% |
| 6 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 13.6% | 13.6% |
| 7 | Betfair Sportsbook | 10 @ 1/5 | 67.9% | 15.3% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 53.4% | 17.6% |
| 9 | 888Sport | 8 @ 1/5 | 54.6% | 18.4% |
| 10 | Coral | 10 @ 1/5 | 75.8% | 18.4% |
| 11 | Betway | 8 @ 1/5 | 56% | 19.7% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 7 @ 1/5 | 47.2% | 21.1% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.7% | 22.7% |
| 14 | QuinnBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 51% | 24.3% |
| 15 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.8% | 24.6% |
| 16 | Parimatch | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.8% | 24.6% |
THE MASTERS 2022 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the THE MASTERS 2022?
Jon Rahm was the outright favourite at 10/1, which is an implied chance of 9.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.8% after. Justin Thomas was next in the market at 12/1.
Who won the THE MASTERS 2022?
Scottie Scheffler won the THE MASTERS 2022, starting the week at 16/1.
When was the THE MASTERS 2022 played?
The THE MASTERS started on Thursday 7 April 2022 and finished on Sunday 10 April 2022. It is a Majors event.
How big was the THE MASTERS field?
136 players were in the field, 116 of them priced by the bookmakers. 85 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the THE MASTERS?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 2.6%, against 7% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get THE MASTERS betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its THE MASTERS picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
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