Betting Market Analysis for Canary Islands Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 3.1% 2.04%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 134/1 2.91% 2.17%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.79% 0.96%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 2.59% -1.34%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.58% -3.17%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.28% -0.6%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.27% -0.14%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.24% -0.34%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.16% -0.41%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.13% -1.43%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.08% 0.26%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.97% -0.6%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 188/1 1.75% 1.22%
14 CHN Wu Ashun 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 1.71% 0.59%
15 FIN Kalle Samooja 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.88% ≈ 34/1 1.69% -1.19%
16 ESP Pedro Oriol 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 1.6% 0.93%
17 ENG Chris Paisley 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 1.55% 0.08%
18 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 1.53% 1.04%
19 USA Johannes Veerman 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 1.49% 0.02%
20 FIN Sami Valimaki 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.58% ≈ 38/1 1.39% -1.18%
21 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 1.31% 0.19%
22 ENG David Horsey 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 1.3% 0.48%
23 ESP Pep Angles Ros 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 1.25% -0.22%
24 ITA Nino Bertasio 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 81/1 1.2% -0.03%
25 FRA Alexander Levy 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 1.17% 0.35%
26 ENG Laurie Canter 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.88% ≈ 34/1 1.09% -1.79%
27 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.08% 0.03%
28 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 1.03% 0.78%
29 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 1.01% 0.09%
30 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 1% 0.62%
31 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 81/1 0.98% -0.25%
32 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.93% 0.34%
33 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.89% 0.4%
34 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.89% 0.52%
35 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 234/1 0.87% 0.44%
36 SWE Joakim Lagergren 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 0.87% 0.05%
37 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.85% -0.07%
38 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.83% 0.23%
39 GER Bernd Ritthammer 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 234/1 0.81% 0.38%
40 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.79% -0.13%
41 ESP Alejandro Canizares 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.76% -0.29%
42 RSA Louis de Jager 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 81/1 0.76% -0.47%
43 AUS Scott Hend 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 81/1 0.75% -0.47%
44 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.75% 0.38%
45 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.74% 0.53%
46 ESP Adrian Otaegui 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.72% -0.61%
47 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.71% -0.21%
48 ENG Jack Senior 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 0.69% -0.13%
49 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 0.67% -0.79%
50 ENG Garrick Porteous 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.67% -0.01%
51 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.66% -0.08%
52 ENG Dale Whitnell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.65% -0.03%
53 RSA Justin Walters 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.64% -0.28%
54 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.62% 0.33%
55 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.62% 0.44%
56 USA Julian Suri 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.61% 0.11%
57 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.61% -0.13%
58 ENG Paul Waring 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.61% -0.73%
59 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 0.61% -0.51%
60 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.56% 0.49%
61 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.56% -0.03%
62 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.55% -0.04%
63 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 234/1 0.54% 0.11%
64 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 234/1 0.5% 0.08%
65 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.5% 0.12%
66 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.49% -0.85%
67 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.48% -0.01%
68 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.48% 0.11%
69 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 0.48% -0.64%
70 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.47% 0.17%
71 ENG Toby Tree 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.46% 0.09%
72 ENG Matthew Jordan 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 0.46% -0.66%
73 ENG Andrew Johnston 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 81/1 0.45% -0.78%
74 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.44% 0.07%
75 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.43% -0.16%
76 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.42% 0.27%
77 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.4% -0.52%
78 USA Sihwan Kim 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.4% -0.27%
79 ESP Eduard Rousaud 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.4% -0.1%
80 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.39% 0.31%
81 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.37% 0.22%
82 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.37% 0.22%
83 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.37% -0.22%
84 ENG Sam Broadhurst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.37% 0.29%
85 ENG David Coupland 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.36% 0.12%
86 ENG David Howell 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.36% 0.29%
87 ENG Eddie Pepperell 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 0.36% -0.98%
88 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.35% -0.24%
89 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.35% 0.14%
90 IND Shiv Kapur 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.35% 0.1%
91 ENG Thomas Plumb 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.34% 0.27%
92 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.34% 0.27%
93 USA Samuel Del Val 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 0.34% 0.25%
94 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.34% 0.24%
95 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.34% 0.19%
96 ESP Scott Fernandez 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.34% 0.09%
97 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.34% -0.03%
98 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.34% 0.26%
99 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.34% 0.19%
100 USA Berry Henson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.34% 0.09%
101 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.34% 0.09%
102 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% ≈ 301/1 0.34% 0.01%
103 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1338/1 0.34% 0.26%
104 ENG Matt Ford 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.34% -0.03%
105 CZE Ondrej Lieser 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.34% -0.03%
106 ENG Richard Mansell 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.34% -0.4%
107 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.34% 0.24%
108 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.33% 0.15%
109 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.33% 0.04%
110 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.33% 0.04%
111 WAL Rhys Enoch 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 234/1 0.33% -0.09%
112 NIR Tom McKibbin 750 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.33% 0.23%
113 ESP Alvaro Hernandez Cabezuela(Am 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.33% 0.23%
114 ENG Steven Tiley 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.33% 0.23%
115 ESP Carl Suneson 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2007/1 0.31% 0.26%
116 ESP Oscar Sanchez 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.31% 0.21%
117 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 803/1 0.31% 0.19%
118 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.31% 0.16%
119 ESP Carlos Pigem 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 0.3% 0.21%
120 ESP David Borda Antonana 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1003/1 0.3% 0.2%
121 ESP Jacobo Pastor Lopez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.3% 0.15%
122 FRA Gregory Bourdy 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.3% 0.11%
123 ENG Scott Gregory 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.3% 0.11%
124 ARG Alejandro Tosti 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.3% -0.2%
125 USA Paul Peterson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.3% -0.37%
126 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 669/1 0.28% 0.13%
127 ESP Carlos Aguilar 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 USA John Ellis 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
131 ESP Luis Claverie 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42% 26.6%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 31.3%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 31.3%
4 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 48.9% 32.7%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 34%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
9 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.5% 35%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.9% 36.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.4%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 38.2%
13 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52% 38.5%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 39.3%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.5%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.6% 40.9%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 40.9%
18 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 68.6% 41.2%