Betting Market Analysis for The American Express

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 2.37% -2.33%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 3.3% -0.86%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.51% -1.65%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.23% -1.48%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 3.25% -0.12%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 2.53% -0.83%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 1.57% -1.5%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.58% -0.14%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 2.44% 0.17%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 2.19% 0.22%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.79% -0.17%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 57/1 0.76% -0.96%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.73% 0.19%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 71/1 1.08% -0.3%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 71/1 0.7% -0.68%
16 USA Lanto Griffin 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 78/1 1.26% 0%
17 USA Brian Harman 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% ≈ 78/1 1.19% -0.07%
18 USA Aaron Wise 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.36% 0.2%
19 USA Zach Johnson 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.27% 0.11%
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.06% -0.1%
21 USA Patton Kizzire 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 0.82% -0.34%
22 USA Adam Long 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 2.08% 1.02%
23 USA Talor Gooch 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.8% -0.25%
24 USA Phil Mickelson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.54% -0.51%
25 USA Ryan Moore 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.5% -0.55%
26 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.37% -0.68%
27 USA Charles Howell III 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 1.12% 0.12%
28 USA Charley Hoffman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 1.08% 0.09%
29 USA Chris Kirk 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.96% -0.03%
30 RSA Erik van Rooyen 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.74% -0.25%
31 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.67% -0.32%
32 AUT Sepp Straka 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.66% -0.34%
33 AUS Cameron Davis 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% ≈ 100/1 0.63% -0.36%
34 USA Cameron Tringale 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.41% 0.54%
35 USA Brendan Steele 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.76% -0.11%
36 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.76% -0.11%
37 USA Doc Redman 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.75% -0.12%
38 USA Joel Dahmen 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.73% -0.14%
39 USA Lucas Glover 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.57% -0.31%
40 SWE Alexander Noren 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 1.56% 0.78%
41 USA Kevin Streelman 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.62% -0.15%
42 USA Peter Malnati 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 1.16% 0.47%
43 USA James Hahn 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.9% 0.2%
44 USA John Huh 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.75% 0.05%
45 USA Tom Hoge 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.69% -0.01%
46 AUS Matt Jones 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.66% -0.04%
47 USA JT Poston 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.54% -0.16%
48 USA Wyndham Clark 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.99% 0.35%
49 USA Maverick McNealy 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.79% 0.16%
50 SCO Russell Knox 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% ≈ 156/1 0.42% -0.21%
51 USA Michael Thompson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 1.06% 0.5%
52 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.72% 0.16%
53 USA Hudson Swafford 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.71% 0.15%
54 USA Chez Reavie 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.54% -0.02%
55 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.5% -0.06%
56 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.49% -0.07%
57 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.38% -0.18%
58 USA Max Homa 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.36% -0.2%
59 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 1.35% 0.88%
60 USA Andrew Landry 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.85% 0.38%
61 RSA Charl Schwartzel 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.66% 0.2%
62 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.52% 0.05%
63 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.43% -0.04%
64 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.39% -0.08%
65 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.36% -0.11%
66 USA Luke List 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% ≈ 213/1 0.2% -0.27%
67 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.84% 0.44%
68 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.8% 0.4%
69 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.56% 0.16%
70 USA Austin Cook 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.47% 0.07%
71 TPE C.T. Pan 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.47% 0.07%
72 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.46% 0.06%
73 USA Vaughn Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.29% -0.11%
74 SWE Henrik Norlander 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 248/1 0.21% -0.19%
75 USA Denny McCarthy 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.73% 0.38%
76 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.53% 0.18%
77 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.5% 0.14%
78 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.45% 0.1%
79 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.43% 0.08%
80 USA Pat Perez 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.42% 0.07%
81 USA Brandt Snedeker 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.34% -0.01%
82 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.31% -0.04%
83 USA Jim Herman 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.84% 0.56%
84 COL Camilo Villegas 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.79% 0.51%
85 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.66% 0.38%
86 USA Doug Ghim 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.55% 0.27%
87 USA Steve Stricker 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.53% 0.25%
88 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.53% 0.25%
89 USA Brice Garnett 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.42% 0.14%
90 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.38% 0.1%
91 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.27% -0.02%
92 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.26% -0.02%
93 USA Ben Martin 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.12% -0.16%
94 ENG Harry Hall 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 355/1 0.11% -0.17%
95 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.63% 0.4%
96 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.47% 0.23%
97 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.46% 0.23%
98 USA Akshay Bhatia 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.42% 0.19%
99 USA Bo Hoag 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.38% 0.14%
100 USA Beau Hossler 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.35% 0.12%
101 USA John Augenstein 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.35% 0.11%
102 USA Jason Dufner 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.27% 0.04%
103 CHN Zhang Xinjun 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.24% 0.01%
104 USA William Gordon 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 425/1 0.21% -0.02%
105 USA Brian Gay 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.62% 0.42%
106 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.56% 0.36%
107 USA Ryan Armour 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.54% 0.34%
108 USA Hank Lebioda 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.38% 0.18%
109 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 496/1 0.14% -0.07%
110 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.41% 0.24%
111 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.4% 0.22%
112 CAN David Hearn 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.25% 0.08%
113 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.19% 0.01%
114 USA Nick Watney 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.18% 0%
115 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.17% -0.01%
116 USA Jamie Lovemark 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.14% -0.04%
117 USA Chase Seiffert 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 567/1 0.14% -0.04%
118 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.51% 0.37%
119 USA Rob Oppenheim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.4% 0.26%
120 USA Chris Baker 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.33% 0.19%
121 USA Scott Brown 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.31% 0.16%
122 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.27% 0.13%
123 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.27% 0.13%
124 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.26% 0.12%
125 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.25% 0.11%
126 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.22% 0.08%
127 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.22% 0.08%
128 USA Bill Haas 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.2% 0.06%
129 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.19% 0.05%
130 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.18% 0.04%
131 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.16% 0.02%
132 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.16% 0.02%
133 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.15% 0.01%
134 USA Sam Ryder 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.15% 0.01%
135 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.12% -0.02%
136 USA Josh Teater 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.11% -0.03%
137 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 709/1 0.11% -0.03%
138 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 850/1 0.15% 0.03%
139 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1063/1 0.35% 0.26%
140 ARG Nelson Ledesma 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1063/1 0.29% 0.19%
141 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1063/1 0.17% 0.07%
142 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1063/1 0.13% 0.04%
143 AUS Rhein Gibson 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1417/1 0.19% 0.12%
144 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1417/1 0.17% 0.1%
145 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1417/1 0.15% 0.07%
146 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1417/1 0.14% 0.07%
147 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1417/1 0.14% 0.06%
148 USA Michael Gellerman 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1771/1 0.17% 0.11%
149 AUS John Senden 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1771/1 0.12% 0.07%
150 USA Bo Van Pelt 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2125/1 0.15% 0.1%
151 USA Michael Block 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2833/1 0.11% 0.08%
152 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2833/1 0.1% 0.06%
153 USA Matt Every 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA Steve Jones 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 66.4% 29%
2 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 56.9% 31.3%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 70.1% 32%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 75.1% 35.9%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 75.1% 35.9%
6 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 73.5% 36.1%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 76% 36.5%
8 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.9%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58.4% 41.2%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58.4% 41.2%
11 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 41.3%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58% 44%
13 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 62.1% 44.7%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 63% 45.4%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 75.1% 46.8%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 66.8% 52.1%
17 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 72.7% 54.1%
18 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 72.7% 54.1%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 74.2% 59%