Betting Market Analysis for Dubai Duty Free Irish Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 4.33% -1.46%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 3.82% 1.77%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 3.66% 1.96%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 3.22% 0.82%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.31% 0.26%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 58/1 2.11% 0.42%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.82% -0.23%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.78% -0.89%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 216/1 1.71% 1.25%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 72/1 1.7% 0.34%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 115/1 1.65% 0.79%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.62% -1.05%
13 SCO Scott Jamieson 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.61% 0.47%
14 SCO Marc Warren 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 1.58% 1.02%
15 IRL Shane Lowry 7 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 8.69% ≈ 11/1 1.53% -7.16%
16 ENG David Coupland 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 1.48% 1.02%
17 FRA Antoine Rozner 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.24% ≈ 80/1 1.48% 0.23%
18 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 1.46% 0.1%
19 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 1.4% 1.01%
20 RSA Justin Harding 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.39% -0.3%
21 ENG Steven Brown 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.36% 0.51%
22 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.36% 0.5%
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 1.33% 0.57%
24 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.02% ≈ 32/1 1.32% -1.7%
25 SCO Connor Syme 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.67% ≈ 36/1 1.26% -1.42%
26 ENG Graeme Storm 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 1.16% 0.93%
27 RSA Dean Burmester 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.16% 0.12%
28 AUS Lucas Herbert 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% ≈ 41/1 1.12% -1.27%
29 SCO Craig Howie 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 1.1% 0.24%
30 ENG Aaron Rai 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 1.05% -0.99%
31 AUS Minwoo Lee 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 1.05% 0.07%
32 WAL Oliver Farr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 504/1 1.02% 0.82%
33 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.97% 0.11%
34 ENG Jack Senior 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 0.97% -0.73%
35 AUS Maverick Antcliff 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.96% 0.62%
36 FIN Mikko Korhonen 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 0.94% -0.75%
37 ENG James Morrison 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.92% 0.37%
38 NED Darius Van Driel 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.92% 0.37%
39 SWE Rikard Karlberg 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.89% 0.43%
40 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.86% 0.17%
41 GER Bernd Ritthammer 350 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 504/1 0.86% 0.66%
42 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.85% 0.3%
43 FRA Joel Stalter 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.85% 0.57%
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.85% 0.08%
45 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.84% 0.15%
46 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.83% 0.44%
47 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 0.83% -1.22%
48 SWE Marcus Kinhult 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% ≈ 65/1 0.81% -0.7%
49 SWE Oscar Lengden 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.76% 0.48%
50 FRA Clement Sordet 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.76% -0.28%
51 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.75% 0.12%
52 ENG Ben Stow 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.74% 0.28%
53 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% ≈ 80/1 0.72% -0.52%
54 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.71% 0.36%
55 FRA Robin Roussel 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.7% 0.42%
56 SCO Ewen Ferguson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.68% 0.41%
57 AUS Wade Ormsby 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.67% -0.09%
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.64% -0.05%
59 ENG David Horsey 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.64% -0.39%
60 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.62% 0.07%
61 FRA Mathieu Fenasse 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.6% 0.46%
62 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% ≈ 72/1 0.56% -0.8%
63 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.56% 0.16%
64 ESP Carlos Pigem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 504/1 0.55% 0.35%
65 DEN Joachim B Hansen 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.54% -0.32%
66 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% ≈ 252/1 0.53% 0.14%
67 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.53% 0.3%
68 NIR Cormac Sharvin 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.51% -0.18%
69 SCO Richie Ramsay 55 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% ≈ 80/1 0.46% -0.78%
70 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.46% -0.1%
71 ENG Garrick Porteous 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 576/1 0.43% 0.26%
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.43% 0.08%
73 NZL Michael Campbell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2158/1 0.41% 0.37%
74 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.41% -0.21%
75 THA Jazz Janewattananond 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.41% -0.73%
76 FRA Damien Perrier 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.39% -0.07%
77 IRL Paul Dunne 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.39% 0.16%
78 ENG Matthew Baldwin 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.37% 0.23%
79 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.36% 0.09%
80 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.36% -0.1%
81 NED Lars Van Meijel 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 576/1 0.36% 0.19%
82 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.35% 0.21%
83 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.35% 0.21%
84 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.35% 0.21%
85 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.34% -0.51%
86 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.34% 0%
87 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.34% 0.22%
88 FRA Romain Wattel 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.33% 0.06%
89 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 432/1 0.33% 0.1%
90 SCO David Law 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.33% 0.06%
91 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.33% 0.06%
92 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 576/1 0.33% 0.16%
93 USA Julian Suri 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% ≈ 130/1 0.33% -0.43%
94 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.33% 0.05%
95 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.33% -0.13%
96 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.33% -0.13%
97 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% ≈ 216/1 0.32% -0.14%
98 IRL James Sugrue 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 863/1 0.31% 0.2%
99 USA Tyler Koivisto 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.31% 0.04%
100 AUS Zach Murray 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1439/1 0.31% 0.24%
101 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.31% -0.04%
102 SCO Daniel Young 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.31% 0.17%
103 RSA Jbe Kruger 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.31% 0.17%
104 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.3% -0.39%
105 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.3% -0.05%
106 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.29% 0.02%
107 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.29% -0.05%
108 ENG Steven Tiley 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1079/1 0.29% 0.2%
109 ENG David Howell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2158/1 0.29% 0.25%
110 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.29% 0.02%
111 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% ≈ 115/1 0.29% -0.57%
112 IRL Damien McGrane 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2158/1 0.28% 0.24%
113 NIR Tom McKibbin 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1439/1 0.28% 0.22%
114 IRL Colm Moriarty 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 719/1 0.28% 0.15%
115 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 576/1 0.28% 0.11%
116 KOR Yikeun Chang 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% ≈ 360/1 0.28% 0.01%
117 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% ≈ 159/1 0.28% -0.34%
118 IRL Padraig Harrington 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.28% -0.4%
119 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% ≈ 288/1 0.28% -0.07%
120 IRL Mark Power 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 38.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 24.8%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 28.6%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 28.6%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 28.9%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.4% 32.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 59.5% 33.6%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.8%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 66.2% 39.3%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 40.2%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 43%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 43%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 43.1%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 60.5% 43.2%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 60.5% 43.2%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 60.5% 43.2%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 60.5% 43.2%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.1% 46.9%
18 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 63.6% 49.2%