Betting Market Analysis for Dubai Duty Free Irish Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 5 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 10/1 | 1.54% | -7.23% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 4.35% | -1.49% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 32/1 | 1.33% | -1.72% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 1.79% | -0.9% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 1.63% | -1.07% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 1.27% | -1.43% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 40/1 | 3.23% | 0.81% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 40/1 | 1.13% | -1.29% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 3.84% | 1.77% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 2.32% | 0.26% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.83% | -0.24% | |
| 12 |
| Aaron Rai | 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.06% ≈ 47/1 | 1.06% | -1% | |
| 13 |
| Joost Luiten | 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.06% ≈ 47/1 | 0.83% | -1.23% | |
| 14 |
| John Catlin | 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.71% ≈ 57/1 | 3.68% | 1.97% | |
| 15 |
| Johannes Veerman | 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.71% ≈ 57/1 | 2.12% | 0.41% | |
| 16 |
| Justin Harding | 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.71% ≈ 57/1 | 1.4% | -0.31% | |
| 17 |
| Jack Senior | 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.71% ≈ 57/1 | 0.97% | -0.74% | |
| 18 |
| Mikko Korhonen | 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.71% ≈ 57/1 | 0.95% | -0.76% | |
| 19 |
| Marcus Kinhult | 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.52% ≈ 65/1 | 0.82% | -0.71% | |
| 20 |
| Calum Hill | 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 1.71% | 0.34% | |
| 21 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 1.47% | 0.09% | |
| 22 |
| Jordan L Smith | 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.38% ≈ 72/1 | 0.57% | -0.81% | |
| 23 |
| Antoine Rozner | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.25% ≈ 79/1 | 1.48% | 0.23% | |
| 24 |
| Sean Crocker | 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.25% ≈ 79/1 | 0.73% | -0.53% | |
| 25 |
| Richie Ramsay | 55 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.25% ≈ 79/1 | 0.46% | -0.79% | |
| 26 |
| Scott Jamieson | 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 1.62% | 0.47% | |
| 27 |
| Jazz Janewattananond | 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.15% ≈ 86/1 | 0.41% | -0.74% | |
| 28 |
| Dean Burmester | 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 95/1 | 1.16% | 0.12% | |
| 29 |
| Clement Sordet | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 95/1 | 0.76% | -0.28% | |
| 30 |
| David Horsey | 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.05% ≈ 95/1 | 0.65% | -0.4% | |
| 31 |
| Minwoo Lee | 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 0.99% ≈ 100/1 | 1.05% | 0.07% | |
| 32 |
| Robert Rock | 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.66% | 0.79% | |
| 33 |
| Steven Brown | 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.37% | 0.51% | |
| 34 |
| Masahiro Kawamura | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.36% | 0.5% | |
| 35 |
| Craig Howie | 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 1.11% | 0.24% | |
| 36 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.98% | 0.11% | |
| 37 |
| Lucas Bjerregaard | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.35% | -0.52% | |
| 38 |
| Adria Arnaus | 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.87% ≈ 114/1 | 0.29% | -0.58% | |
| 39 |
| Marcus Armitage | 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.34% | 0.57% | |
| 40 |
| Nicolas Colsaerts | 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.85% | 0.08% | |
| 41 |
| Wade Ormsby | 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.67% | -0.1% | |
| 42 |
| Julian Suri | 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.33% | -0.44% | |
| 43 |
| Richard Bland | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.86% | 0.17% | |
| 44 |
| Jeff Winther | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.84% | 0.15% | |
| 45 |
| Matthew Southgate | 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.65% | -0.05% | |
| 46 |
| Cormac Sharvin | 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.51% | -0.18% | |
| 47 |
| Soren Kjeldsen | 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.3% | -0.4% | |
| 48 |
| Padraig Harrington | 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.69% ≈ 143/1 | 0.29% | -0.41% | |
| 49 |
| Julien Guerrier | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 0.76% | 0.12% | |
| 50 |
| Robin Sciot-Siegrist | 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 0.41% | -0.22% | |
| 51 |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.63% ≈ 157/1 | 0.29% | -0.35% | |
| 52 |
| Marc Warren | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 1.59% | 1.03% | |
| 53 |
| James Morrison | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 0.93% | 0.37% | |
| 54 |
| Darius Van Driel | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 0.93% | 0.37% | |
| 55 |
| Ashley Chesters | 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 0.86% | 0.3% | |
| 56 |
| Adrian Meronk | 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 0.63% | 0.07% | |
| 57 |
| Aaron Cockerill | 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 179/1 | 0.46% | -0.1% | |
| 58 |
| Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 1.72% | 1.26% | |
| 59 |
| David Coupland | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 1.48% | 1.02% | |
| 60 |
| Rikard Karlberg | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.9% | 0.44% | |
| 61 |
| Ben Stow | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.74% | 0.28% | |
| 62 |
| Damien Perrier | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.39% | -0.07% | |
| 63 |
| Nacho Elvira | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.37% | -0.1% | |
| 64 |
| Alejandro Canizares | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.33% | -0.13% | |
| 65 |
| Jake McLeod | 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.33% | -0.13% | |
| 66 |
| Wu Ashun | 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.46% ≈ 214/1 | 0.32% | -0.14% | |
| 67 |
| Dale Whitnell | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 250/1 | 1.41% | 1.01% | |
| 68 |
| Niklas Lemke | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 250/1 | 0.84% | 0.44% | |
| 69 |
| Martin Leth Simonsen | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 250/1 | 0.56% | 0.16% | |
| 70 |
| Jonathan Caldwell | 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 250/1 | 0.54% | 0.14% | |
| 71 |
| Maverick Antcliff | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.97% | 0.62% | |
| 72 |
| Oliver Fisher | 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.71% | 0.37% | |
| 73 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.43% | 0.08% | |
| 74 |
| Lee Slattery | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.34% | -0.01% | |
| 75 |
| Daan Huizing | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.31% | -0.04% | |
| 76 |
| Francesco Laporta | 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.3% | -0.05% | |
| 77 |
| Stephen Gallacher | 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.3% | -0.05% | |
| 78 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 286/1 | 0.28% | -0.07% | |
| 79 |
| Joel Stalter | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.85% | 0.57% | |
| 80 |
| Oscar Lengden | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.76% | 0.49% | |
| 81 |
| Robin Roussel | 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.7% | 0.42% | |
| 82 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.69% | 0.41% | |
| 83 |
| Andrea Pavan | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.37% | 0.09% | |
| 84 |
| Romain Wattel | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.34% | 0.06% | |
| 85 |
| David Law | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.33% | 0.06% | |
| 86 |
| Scott Hend | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.33% | 0.05% | |
| 87 |
| Haydn Porteous | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.33% | 0.05% | |
| 88 |
| Tyler Koivisto | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.32% | 0.04% | |
| 89 |
| David Drysdale | 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.3% | 0.02% | |
| 90 |
| Toby Tree | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.29% | 0.01% | |
| 91 |
| Yikeun Chang | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 357/1 | 0.29% | 0.01% | |
| 92 |
| Graeme Storm | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 428/1 | 1.17% | 0.93% | |
| 93 |
| Liam Johnston | 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 428/1 | 0.54% | 0.3% | |
| 94 |
| Paul Dunne | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 428/1 | 0.39% | 0.16% | |
| 95 |
| Richard McEvoy | 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.23% ≈ 428/1 | 0.33% | 0.1% | |
| 96 |
| Oliver Farr | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 499/1 | 1.02% | 0.83% | |
| 97 |
| Bernd Ritthammer | 350 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 499/1 | 0.86% | 0.66% | |
| 98 |
| Carlos Pigem | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 499/1 | 0.55% | 0.35% | |
| 99 |
| Garrick Porteous | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 571/1 | 0.44% | 0.26% | |
| 100 |
| Lars Van Meijel | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 571/1 | 0.36% | 0.19% | |
| 101 |
| Benjamin Henry Poke | 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 571/1 | 0.33% | 0.16% | |
| 102 |
| Gaganjeet Bhullar | 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.17% ≈ 571/1 | 0.29% | 0.11% | |
| 103 |
| Mathieu Fenasse | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.6% | 0.46% | |
| 104 |
| Matthew Baldwin | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.37% | 0.23% | |
| 105 |
| Max Schmitt | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.35% | 0.21% | |
| 106 |
| Ross McGowan | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.35% | 0.21% | |
| 107 |
| Gavin Moynihan | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.35% | 0.21% | |
| 108 |
| Daniel Young | 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.31% | 0.17% | |
| 109 |
| Jbe Kruger | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.31% | 0.17% | |
| 110 |
| Colm Moriarty | 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 713/1 | 0.29% | 0.15% | |
| 111 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 856/1 | 0.34% | 0.22% | |
| 112 |
| James Sugrue | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 856/1 | 0.32% | 0.2% | |
| 113 |
| Steven Tiley | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.09% ≈ 1070/1 | 0.29% | 0.2% | |
| 114 |
| Zach Murray | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 | 0.31% | 0.24% | |
| 115 |
| Tom McKibbin | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.07% ≈ 1426/1 | 0.29% | 0.22% | |
| 116 |
| Michael Campbell | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 | 0.42% | 0.37% | |
| 117 |
| David Howell | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 | 0.29% | 0.25% | |
| 118 |
| Damien McGrane | 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.07% | 0.05% ≈ 2139/1 | 0.29% | 0.24% | |
| 119 |
| Mark Power | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 37.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 60.9% | 24.8% |
| 2 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 65.9% | 28.6% |
| 3 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 65.9% | 28.6% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.5% | 28.9% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 71.4% | 32.8% |
| 6 | Betfred | 7 @ 1/5 | 59.5% | 33.6% |
| 7 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.6% | 38.8% |
| 8 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 66.2% | 39.3% |
| 9 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.8% | 40.2% |
| 10 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.8% | 43% |
| 11 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.8% | 43% |
| 12 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| 13 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.5% | 43.2% |
| 14 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.5% | 43.2% |
| 15 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.5% | 43.2% |
| 16 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.5% | 43.2% |
| 17 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 61.1% | 46.9% |
| 18 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 63.6% | 49.2% |