Betting Market Analysis for English CHAMPIONSHIP

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 190/1 3.27% 2.75%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 3.06% 0.01%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 2.74% -0.7%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.62% -1.55%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.57% -1.2%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 126/1 2.57% 1.78%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 316/1 2.47% 2.16%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 379/1 2.26% 2%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.13% -3.96%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 2.13% -0.07%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 2.12% -0.08%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 2.05% -0.15%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 139/1 2% 1.28%
14 ENG Oliver Fisher 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 1.97% 1.26%
15 MAS Gavin Green 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.73% ≈ 36/1 1.95% -0.78%
16 WAL Oliver Farr 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 1.95% 1.42%
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.76% 0.71%
18 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 1.59% 1.28%
19 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 1.52% 1.13%
20 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 1.5% 0.87%
21 SWE Oscar Lengden 160 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 1.47% 0.98%
22 ENG Andy Sullivan 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.77% ≈ 26/1 1.45% -2.32%
23 SWE Niklas Lemke 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 1.44% 0.95%
24 FIN Kalle Samooja 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.44% 0.02%
25 ENG Marcus Armitage 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 1.44% 0.72%
26 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 1.43% 0.65%
27 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 1.41% 0.96%
28 SCO Scott Jamieson 45 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.72% ≈ 57/1 1.35% -0.37%
29 ENG Aaron Rai 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% ≈ 51/1 1.29% -0.64%
30 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.18% -0.01%
31 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.16% -0.03%
32 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 1.11% 0.72%
33 ENG Jordan L Smith 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 63/1 1.11% -0.44%
34 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 50 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 63/1 1.1% -0.45%
35 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 1.05% 0.82%
36 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 1.04% 0.41%
37 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 1.03% 0.71%
38 ENG Graeme Storm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.99% 0.77%
39 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 0.89% 0.11%
40 ENG Ross Fisher 35 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.2% ≈ 44/1 0.87% -1.33%
41 FRA Robin Roussel 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.83% 0.44%
42 ENG Jack Singh Brar 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.82% -0.16%
43 POL Adrian Meronk 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.81% 0.36%
44 ENG Ben Stow 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.72% 0.09%
45 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.71% -0.27%
46 ENG Laurie Canter 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% ≈ 177/1 0.62% 0.06%
47 ENG Matthew Jordan 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.59% -0.71%
48 ENG David Horsey 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.58% -0.29%
49 ENG Ashley Chesters 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.58% -0.83%
50 ENG Callum Shinkwin 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.55% -0.32%
51 ENG James Morrison 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.54% 0.27%
52 AUS Jason Scrivener 75 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 0.51% -0.53%
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 0.51% -0.28%
54 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.48% -0.39%
55 SWE Joel Sjoholm 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.48% 0.16%
56 FRA Joel Stalter 125 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.47% -0.16%
57 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.46% 0.14%
58 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.46% -0.52%
59 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% ≈ 63/1 0.46% -1.1%
60 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.44% 0.05%
61 SWE Rikard Karlberg 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% ≈ 158/1 0.44% -0.19%
62 ENG David Coupland 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.42% 0.11%
63 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.42% -0.1%
64 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.42% -0.1%
65 USA Sean Crocker 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.42% -0.45%
66 ENG Richard Bland 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.41% -0.46%
67 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% ≈ 101/1 0.31% -0.67%
68 RSA Bryce Easton 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.3% 0.15%
69 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.3% -0.09%
70 ENG Lee Slattery 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.3% -0.15%
71 NZL Michael Campbell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 947/1 0.3% 0.19%
72 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.3% 0.14%
73 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.3% 0.07%
74 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.3% 0.04%
75 IRL Paul Dunne 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.3% -0.15%
76 USA Julian Suri 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.3% -0.23%
77 AUS Scott Hend 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.29% 0.07%
78 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.29% -0.1%
79 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.29% 0.13%
80 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.12% ≈ 89/1 0.29% -0.83%
81 ITA Francesco Laporta 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 284/1 0.29% -0.06%
82 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.28% -0.03%
83 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 505/1 0.28% 0.08%
84 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 800 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% ≈ 1010/1 0.27% 0.18%
85 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.12%
86 ENG Steven Tiley 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.12%
87 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.12%
88 ENG Matthew Baldwin 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.27% 0.05%
89 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.27% -0.91%
90 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.11%
91 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.11%
92 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.27% -0.12%
93 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.27% 0.11%
94 FRA Damien Perrier 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.27% 0%
95 ENG David Howell 800 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% ≈ 1010/1 0.26% 0.17%
96 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.26% 0.11%
97 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.26% 0.11%
98 CAN Aaron Cockerill 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.26% 0.11%
99 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 505/1 0.26% 0.07%
100 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 505/1 0.26% 0.07%
101 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.26% 0.04%
102 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.26% 0.04%
103 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% ≈ 442/1 0.26% 0.04%
104 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.26% 0%
105 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.26% 0%
106 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.26% 0%
107 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.26% -0.05%
108 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.26% -0.13%
109 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.26% -0.13%
110 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.26% -0.19%
111 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.26% -0.19%
112 RSA Dean Burmester 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 202/1 0.26% -0.23%
113 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.26% -0.26%
114 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.26% -0.45%
115 DEN Joachim B Hansen 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 0.26% -0.52%
116 AUS Minwoo Lee 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 0.26% -0.52%
117 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.26% -0.92%
118 ENG James Ruebotham 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2525/1 0.26% 0.22%
119 SCO Daniel Young 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.26% 0.1%
120 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.26% 0.1%
121 FRA Romain Wattel 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.26% 0%
122 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.26% -0.02%
123 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.26% -0.26%
124 RSA JC Ritchie 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 126/1 0.26% -0.52%
125 RSA Wilco Nienaber 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 379/1 0.25% -0.01%
126 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 253/1 0.24% -0.15%
127 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 631/1 0.24% 0.09%
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% ≈ 505/1 0.24% 0.05%
129 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% ≈ 316/1 0.24% -0.07%
130 ZIM Scott Vincent 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.23% -0.29%
131 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
132 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 50.7% 21.2%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.1% 22.2%
3 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41.7% 26.3%
4 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 27.1%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.6%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 52.5% 27.6%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 27.9%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.8% 28.3%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.4% 28.7%
10 Betway 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30%
11 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.2%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 45% 32.1%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 59% 33.1%
14 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.9%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 613.2% 562.5%