Betting Market Analysis for Hero Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 15 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 265/1 5.47% 5.1%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 132/1 5.43% 4.68%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 29/1 3.05% -0.24%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 73/1 2.91% 1.56%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 88/1 2.55% 1.42%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 37/1 2.46% -0.15%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 331/1 2.34% 2.04%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 106/1 2.22% 1.28%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 33/1 2.13% -0.78%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 24/1 2.06% -1.92%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 47/1 2% -0.1%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 106/1 1.81% 0.88%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% β‰ˆ 53/1 1.7% -0.15%
14 NED Joost Luiten 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.05% β‰ˆ 19/1 1.59% -3.45%
15 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 1.51% 1.01%
16 ENG Robert Rock 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% β‰ˆ 66/1 1.47% -0.02%
17 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 1.44% 0.94%
18 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 1.39% 0.96%
19 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 1.31% 0.19%
20 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% β‰ˆ 106/1 1.27% 0.34%
21 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 1.23% 0.1%
22 ENG Graeme Storm 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 1.23% 0.8%
23 ENG Jordan L Smith 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% β‰ˆ 44/1 1.23% -1%
24 ENG Oliver Fisher 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% β‰ˆ 106/1 1.19% 0.25%
25 NED Wil Besseling 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% β‰ˆ 185/1 1.19% 0.65%
26 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% β‰ˆ 106/1 1.12% 0.19%
27 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% β‰ˆ 53/1 1.06% -0.79%
28 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% β‰ˆ 66/1 1.04% -0.44%
29 FIN Mikko Korhonen 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% β‰ˆ 60/1 1.04% -0.61%
30 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 1.03% 0.66%
31 FRA Joel Stalter 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.99% 0.39%
32 BEL Thomas Detry 18 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.98% β‰ˆ 24/1 0.98% -3.01%
33 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.94% 0.19%
34 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 0.94% -0.19%
35 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 0.94% -0.19%
36 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% β‰ˆ 66/1 0.92% -0.56%
37 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 0.91% 0.41%
38 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 0.91% -0.22%
39 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.89% 0.64%
40 ENG Jack Senior 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% β‰ˆ 80/1 0.88% -0.36%
41 USA John Catlin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.87% 0.27%
42 AUS Jason Scrivener 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 0.87% -0.26%
43 ENG Callum Shinkwin 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.86% 0.48%
44 FRA Clement Sordet 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.85% 0.1%
45 ENG Ben Stow 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.79% 0.41%
46 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% β‰ˆ 463/1 0.77% 0.55%
47 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.77% 0.39%
48 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.76% 0.46%
49 SCO Grant Forrest 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.72% 0.12%
50 ENG Ross Fisher 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% β‰ˆ 53/1 0.72% -1.12%
51 FRA Antoine Rozner 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.72% 0.11%
52 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% β‰ˆ 66/1 0.71% -0.78%
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% β‰ˆ 106/1 0.71% -0.23%
54 FRA Robin Roussel 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.7% 0.27%
55 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.66% 0.28%
56 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.63% -0.12%
57 ENG Ashley Chesters 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% β‰ˆ 80/1 0.57% -0.68%
58 ENG James Morrison 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.56% 0.18%
59 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% β‰ˆ 106/1 0.53% -0.41%
60 ENG David Horsey 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.52% -0.23%
61 POL Adrian Meronk 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 0.49% -0.01%
62 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% β‰ˆ 463/1 0.33% 0.12%
63 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% β‰ˆ 1322/1 0.3% 0.23%
64 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% β‰ˆ 529/1 0.3% 0.12%
65 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% β‰ˆ 529/1 0.3% 0.12%
66 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.3% -0.07%
67 IRL Paul Dunne 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.3% -0.3%
68 USA Julian Suri 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.3% -0.44%
69 RSA Louis de Jager 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.3% -0.13%
70 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% β‰ˆ 991/1 0.3% 0.2%
71 ENG Steven Tiley 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.3% 0.15%
72 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.3% 0.15%
73 ENG Ross McGowan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% β‰ˆ 463/1 0.3% 0.09%
74 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.3% -0.07%
75 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.3% 0%
76 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.29% 0.14%
77 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.29% 0.14%
78 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.29% 0.14%
79 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.29% 0.14%
80 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% β‰ˆ 529/1 0.29% 0.1%
81 NED Daan Huizing 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.29% -0.14%
82 ENG Eddie Pepperell 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.91% β‰ˆ 33/1 0.28% -2.63%
83 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.28% 0.13%
84 ENG Marco Penge 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.28% 0.13%
85 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% β‰ˆ 60/1 0.28% -1.37%
86 RSA Bryce Easton 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% β‰ˆ 529/1 0.28% 0.09%
87 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 0.28% -0.23%
88 ENG Richard Bland 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.28% -0.33%
89 ZIM Scott Vincent 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.28% -0.47%
90 ENG David Coupland 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.27% 0.12%
91 ENG Garrick Porteous 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% β‰ˆ 463/1 0.27% 0.05%
92 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.27% 0.02%
93 CAN Aaron Cockerill 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.27% 0.02%
94 SCO David Law 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.27% -0.03%
95 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.27% -0.16%
96 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 0.27% -0.23%
97 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.27% 0.12%
98 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.27% 0.01%
99 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.27% -0.11%
100 ENG David Howell 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.26% 0.11%
101 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.26% 0.11%
102 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% β‰ˆ 661/1 0.26% 0.11%
103 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% β‰ˆ 529/1 0.26% 0.07%
104 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.26% 0.01%
105 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.26% 0.01%
106 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.26% -0.04%
107 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.26% -0.04%
108 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.26% -0.04%
109 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% β‰ˆ 331/1 0.26% -0.04%
110 WAL Jamie Donaldson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% β‰ˆ 298/1 0.26% -0.07%
111 FRA Julien Guerrier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% β‰ˆ 298/1 0.26% -0.07%
112 ENG Laurie Canter 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.26% -0.12%
113 ITA Edoardo Molinari 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.26% -0.17%
114 USA Sihwan Kim 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.26% -0.17%
115 ENG Steven Brown 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% β‰ˆ 232/1 0.26% -0.17%
116 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% β‰ˆ 199/1 0.26% -0.24%
117 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.26% -0.34%
118 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.26% -0.34%
119 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.26% -0.34%
120 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.26% -0.34%
121 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.26% -0.49%
122 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% β‰ˆ 132/1 0.26% -0.49%
123 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% β‰ˆ 88/1 0.26% -0.87%
124 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% β‰ˆ 73/1 0.26% -1.09%
125 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% β‰ˆ 265/1 0.26% -0.12%
126 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% β‰ˆ 165/1 0.26% -0.34%
127 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% β‰ˆ 397/1 0.26% 0.01%
128 ITA Andrea Pavan 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% β‰ˆ 119/1 0.26% -0.57%
129 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 0% 0% β‰ˆ 0/1 0% 0%
130 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% β‰ˆ 0/1 0% 0%
131 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% β‰ˆ 0/1 0% 0%
132 ENG Paul Hendriksen 0% 0% β‰ˆ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 52.5% 22.6%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.8% 24.6%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
4 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 39.2% 26.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 52% 27.2%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 52% 27.2%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.8% 27.9%
8 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 28.6%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 28.6%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 28.6%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 41.6% 29%
12 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 57% 31.3%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 44.2% 31.4%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 31.4%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 31.7%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 36%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 37.3%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 37.3%