ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Jon Rahm favourite for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD at 10/1. That is an implied 9.1% before the margin comes out, and 7.0% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Xander Schauffele next in at 11/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 29.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 70.8% spread across the other 71 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 44 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 30.1%, or 11.0% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 19.9% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -10.1 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jon Rahm
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2nd |
| 2 |
Xander Schauffele
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 6.4% | 17th |
| 3 |
Rory McIlroy
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.9% | 17th |
| 4 |
Justin Thomas
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2nd |
| 5 |
Webb Simpson
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.0% | 17th |
| 6 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.7% | 28th |
| 7 |
Collin Morikawa
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.7% | 50th |
| 8 |
Patrick Reed
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 14th |
| 9 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 28th |
| 10 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1st |
| 11 |
Viktor Hovland
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 47th |
| 12 |
Bubba Watson
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4th |
| 13 |
Tiger Woods
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 72nd |
| 14 |
Tony Finau
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 11th |
| 15 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 26th |
| 16 |
Matthew Wolff
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 50th |
| 17 |
Harris English
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 28th |
| 18 |
Daniel Berger
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 17th |
| 19 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 57th |
| 20 |
Joaquin Niemann
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 17th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 finished
Patrick Cantlay won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD, having started the week at 30/1 - an implied 3.2% chance. The favourite, Jon Rahm, finished 2nd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
30/1 | 3.2% |
| 2 |
Justin Thomas
|
12/1 | 7.7% |
| 2 |
Jon Rahm
|
10/1 | 9.1% |
| 4 |
Bubba Watson
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 4 |
Ryan Palmer
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 4 |
Russell Henley
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 4 |
Cameron Smith
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 8 |
Joel Dahmen
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 8 |
Corey Conners
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 8 |
Cameron Champ
|
140/1 | 0.7% |
Our model's numbers for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.3% | 19.9% |
| 2 | Skybet | 7 @ 1/5 | 44.8% | 21.5% |
| 3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.5% | 22% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.5% | 22% |
| 5 | GentingBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 48.4% | 24.5% |
| 6 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 25.3% |
| 7 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.2% | 26.1% |
| 8 | William Hill | 7 @ 1/5 | 55.4% | 30.5% |
| 9 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 43.5% | 30.9% |
| 10 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 44% | 31.4% |
| 11 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.1% | 32.4% |
| 12 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
| 13 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
| 14 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
| 15 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
| 16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.4% | 33.6% |
| 17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 49% | 35.9% |
| 18 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.5% | 36.4% |
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020?
Jon Rahm was the outright favourite at 10/1, which is an implied chance of 9.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.0% after. Xander Schauffele was next in the market at 11/1.
Who won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020?
Patrick Cantlay won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020, starting the week at 30/1.
When was the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD 2020 played?
The ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD started on Thursday 22 October 2020 and finished on Sunday 25 October 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD field?
78 players were in the field, 76 of them priced by the bookmakers. 44 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 30.1%, against 19.9% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.
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