Betting Market Analysis for ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 3.94% -2.45%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 3.92% 1.79%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 3.87% 0.22%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 3.76% -3.21%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 3.55% -0.11%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 3.33% -2.57%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 65/1 3.02% 1.51%
8 USA Webb Simpson 18 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.04% ≈ 24/1 2.94% -1.09%
9 USA Harris English 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.13% ≈ 46/1 2.87% 0.74%
10 USA Matthew Wolff 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 2.84% 0.59%
11 USA Patrick Reed 22 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.33% ≈ 29/1 2.71% -0.63%
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 2.7% 0.45%
13 MEX Abraham Ancer 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 2.58% 1.21%
14 USA Tony Finau 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 2.34% 0.08%
15 NOR Viktor Hovland 30 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.47% ≈ 39/1 2.31% -0.16%
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% ≈ 52/1 2.28% 0.41%
17 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.9% ≈ 16/1 1.96% -3.94%
18 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.91% 1.4%
19 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.87% ≈ 52/1 1.86% -0.01%
20 USA Ryan Palmer 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.85% 1.16%
21 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% ≈ 105/1 1.84% 0.89%
22 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.47% ≈ 39/1 1.76% -0.72%
23 USA Russell Henley 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% ≈ 65/1 1.65% 0.15%
24 USA Kevin Kisner 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 1.64% 0.88%
25 USA Bubba Watson 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 1.53% -0.73%
26 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.46% -0.2%
27 USA Brian Harman 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 1.38% 0.62%
28 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.37% 0.86%
29 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.47% ≈ 39/1 1.35% -1.13%
30 KOR Sungjae Im 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% ≈ 59/1 1.32% -0.34%
31 USA Kevin Streelman 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 183/1 1.26% 0.72%
32 AUS Jason Day 55 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 1.21% -0.16%
33 ENG Paul Casey 70 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.17% 0.09%
34 USA Kevin Na 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 1.16% 0.4%
35 USA Tyler Duncan 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 1.1% 0.72%
36 USA Brendon Todd 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.03% 0.19%
37 USA Lanto Griffin 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.03% 0.34%
38 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 1.01% 0.51%
39 USA Adam Long 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 261/1 1.01% 0.63%
40 ENG Justin Rose 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.95% 0.19%
41 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.91% 0.4%
42 USA Richy Werenski 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 457/1 0.91% 0.69%
43 RSA Dylan Frittelli 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.89% 0.58%
44 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 326/1 0.83% 0.53%
45 USA Jordan Spieth 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.79% 0.03%
46 AUS Cameron Smith 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 0.77% -0.37%
47 CAN Corey Conners 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.76% 0.15%
48 USA Brendan Steele 175 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.74% 0.3%
49 USA Gary Woodland 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.73% -0.03%
50 USA Harry Higgs 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.69% 0.21%
51 USA Talor Gooch 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.67% 0.06%
52 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.64% 0.21%
53 USA Tiger Woods 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 0.64% -1.62%
54 USA Matt Kuchar 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 163/1 0.6% 0%
55 USA Cameron Champ 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 183/1 0.6% 0.06%
56 USA Rickie Fowler 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.37% ≈ 72/1 0.6% -0.77%
57 USA Michael Thompson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 522/1 0.56% 0.37%
58 USA Tom Hoge 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 391/1 0.54% 0.29%
59 KOR Byeong Hun An 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.5% 0.03%
60 USA Phil Mickelson 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 86/1 0.5% -0.65%
61 AUS Marc Leishman 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.4% -0.08%
62 JPN Shugo Imahira 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 457/1 0.37% 0.15%
63 USA Andrew Landry 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 457/1 0.37% 0.15%
64 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 391/1 0.34% 0.08%
65 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.3% 0.15%
66 CAN Nick Taylor 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 522/1 0.29% 0.1%
67 THA Jazz Janewattananond 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 522/1 0.29% 0.1%
68 RSA Shaun Norris 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 783/1 0.14% 0.01%
69 JPN Takumi Kanaya 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 359/1 0.11% -0.16%
70 USA Chan Kim 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.11% -0.04%
71 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.11% -0.04%
72 JPN Naoki Sekito 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 978/1 0.1% 0%
73 THA Gunn Charoenkul 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 783/1 0.1% -0.02%
74 AUS Brad Kennedy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.1% -0.05%
75 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.1% -0.05%
76 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 652/1 0.1% -0.05%
77 USA Jim Herman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
78 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34.3% 19.9%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 44.8% 21.5%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 22%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 45.5% 22%
5 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 48.4% 24.5%
6 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 25.3%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 41.2% 26.1%
8 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 55.4% 30.5%
9 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.5% 30.9%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 44% 31.4%
11 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.1% 32.4%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.5%
13 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.5%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.5%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.5%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 33.6%
17 Betway 6 @ 1/5 49% 35.9%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.4%