Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
# | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 13/1 | 3.76% | -3.21% | ||
2 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 15/1 | 3.94% | -2.45% | ||
3 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 3.33% | -2.57% | ||
4 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 1.96% | -3.94% | ||
5 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 24/1 | 2.94% | -1.09% | ||
6 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 3.87% | 0.22% | ||
7 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 3.55% | -0.11% | ||
8 | Patrick Reed | 22 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.33% ≈ 29/1 | 2.71% | -0.63% | ||
9 | Viktor Hovland | 30 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.47% ≈ 39/1 | 2.31% | -0.16% | ||
10 | Hideki Matsuyama | 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.47% ≈ 39/1 | 1.76% | -0.72% | ||
11 | Patrick Cantlay | 30 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.47% ≈ 39/1 | 1.35% | -1.13% | ||
12 | Matthew Wolff | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.26% ≈ 43/1 | 2.84% | 0.59% | ||
13 | Matthew Fitzpatrick | 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.26% ≈ 43/1 | 2.7% | 0.45% | ||
14 | Tony Finau | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.26% ≈ 43/1 | 2.34% | 0.08% | ||
15 | Bubba Watson | 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.26% ≈ 43/1 | 1.53% | -0.73% | ||
16 | Tiger Woods | 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.26% ≈ 43/1 | 0.64% | -1.62% | ||
17 | Daniel Berger | 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.13% ≈ 46/1 | 3.92% | 1.79% | ||
18 | Harris English | 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.13% ≈ 46/1 | 2.87% | 0.74% | ||
19 | Tommy Fleetwood | 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.87% ≈ 52/1 | 2.28% | 0.41% | ||
20 | Joaquin Niemann | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.87% ≈ 52/1 | 1.86% | -0.01% | ||
21 | Scottie Scheffler | 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.46% | -0.2% | ||
22 | Sungjae Im | 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.32% | -0.34% | ||
23 | Jason Kokrak | 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.5% ≈ 65/1 | 3.02% | 1.51% | ||
24 | Russell Henley | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.5% ≈ 65/1 | 1.65% | 0.15% | ||
25 | Abraham Ancer | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.37% ≈ 72/1 | 2.58% | 1.21% | ||
26 | Jason Day | 55 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.37% ≈ 72/1 | 1.21% | -0.16% | ||
27 | Rickie Fowler | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.37% ≈ 72/1 | 0.6% | -0.77% | ||
28 | Cameron Smith | 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.14% ≈ 86/1 | 0.77% | -0.37% | ||
29 | Phil Mickelson | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.14% ≈ 86/1 | 0.5% | -0.65% | ||
30 | Paul Casey | 70 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.08% ≈ 92/1 | 1.17% | 0.09% | ||
31 | Billy Horschel | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.95% ≈ 105/1 | 1.84% | 0.89% | ||
32 | Brendon Todd | 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.84% ≈ 118/1 | 1.03% | 0.19% | ||
33 | Kevin Kisner | 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 1.64% | 0.88% | ||
34 | Brian Harman | 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 1.38% | 0.62% | ||
35 | Kevin Na | 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 1.16% | 0.4% | ||
36 | Justin Rose | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 0.95% | 0.19% | ||
37 | Jordan Spieth | 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 0.79% | 0.03% | ||
38 | Gary Woodland | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.76% ≈ 131/1 | 0.73% | -0.03% | ||
39 | Ryan Palmer | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.69% ≈ 144/1 | 1.85% | 1.16% | ||
40 | Lanto Griffin | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.69% ≈ 144/1 | 1.03% | 0.34% | ||
41 | Corey Conners | 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 163/1 | 0.76% | 0.15% | ||
42 | Talor Gooch | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 163/1 | 0.67% | 0.06% | ||
43 | Matt Kuchar | 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.61% ≈ 163/1 | 0.6% | 0% | ||
44 | Kevin Streelman | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.54% ≈ 183/1 | 1.26% | 0.72% | ||
45 | Cameron Champ | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.54% ≈ 183/1 | 0.6% | 0.06% | ||
46 | Alexander Noren | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 196/1 | 1.91% | 1.4% | ||
47 | Mackenzie Hughes | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 196/1 | 1.37% | 0.86% | ||
48 | Adam Hadwin | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 196/1 | 1.01% | 0.51% | ||
49 | Joel Dahmen | 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 196/1 | 0.91% | 0.4% | ||
50 | Harry Higgs | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.69% | 0.21% | ||
51 | Byeong Hun An | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.5% | 0.03% | ||
52 | Marc Leishman | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 209/1 | 0.4% | -0.08% | ||
53 | Brendan Steele | 175 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 228/1 | 0.74% | 0.3% | ||
54 | Danny Lee | 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 228/1 | 0.64% | 0.21% | ||
55 | Tyler Duncan | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 261/1 | 1.1% | 0.72% | ||
56 | Adam Long | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.38% ≈ 261/1 | 1.01% | 0.63% | ||
57 | Dylan Frittelli | 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 326/1 | 0.89% | 0.58% | ||
58 | Mark Hubbard | 250 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 326/1 | 0.83% | 0.53% | ||
59 | Takumi Kanaya | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 359/1 | 0.11% | -0.16% | ||
60 | Tom Hoge | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 391/1 | 0.54% | 0.29% | ||
61 | Carlos Ortiz | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.25% ≈ 391/1 | 0.34% | 0.08% | ||
62 | Richy Werenski | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 457/1 | 0.91% | 0.69% | ||
63 | Shugo Imahira | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 457/1 | 0.37% | 0.15% | ||
64 | Andrew Landry | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 457/1 | 0.37% | 0.15% | ||
65 | Michael Thompson | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 522/1 | 0.56% | 0.37% | ||
66 | Nick Taylor | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 522/1 | 0.29% | 0.1% | ||
67 | Jazz Janewattananond | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 522/1 | 0.29% | 0.1% | ||
68 | Ryo Ishikawa | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.3% | 0.15% | ||
69 | Chan Kim | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.11% | -0.04% | ||
70 | Satoshi Kodaira | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.11% | -0.04% | ||
71 | Brad Kennedy | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.1% | -0.05% | ||
72 | Mikumu Horikawa | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.1% | -0.05% | ||
73 | Rikuya Hoshino | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 652/1 | 0.1% | -0.05% | ||
74 | Shaun Norris | 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 783/1 | 0.14% | 0.01% | ||
75 | Gunn Charoenkul | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 783/1 | 0.1% | -0.02% | ||
76 | Naoki Sekito | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 978/1 | 0.1% | 0% | ||
77 | Jim Herman | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | |||
78 | Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% |
Overround of best available: 30.1 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.0 %
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
# | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.3% | 19.9% |
2 | Skybet | 7 @ 1/5 | 44.8% | 21.5% |
3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.5% | 22% |
4 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.5% | 22% |
5 | GentingBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 48.4% | 24.5% |
6 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 49.3% | 25.3% |
7 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 41.2% | 26.1% |
8 | William Hill | 7 @ 1/5 | 55.4% | 30.5% |
9 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 43.5% | 30.9% |
10 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 44% | 31.4% |
11 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.1% | 32.4% |
12 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
13 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
14 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
15 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.3% | 32.5% |
16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.4% | 33.6% |
17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 49% | 35.9% |
18 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.5% | 36.4% |