Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
# | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 14/1 | 3.77% | -2.69% | ||
2 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 14/1 | 2.34% | -4.12% | ||
3 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 3.15% | -2.81% | ||
4 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 18/1 | 3.33% | -1.84% | ||
5 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 24/1 | 3.54% | -0.54% | ||
6 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 2.27% | -1.42% | ||
7 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 2.07% | -1.3% | ||
8 | Daniel Berger | 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.67% ≈ 36/1 | 2.4% | -0.27% | ||
9 | Tyrrell Hatton | 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.67% ≈ 36/1 | 2.29% | -0.39% | ||
10 | Collin Morikawa | 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.67% ≈ 36/1 | 1.88% | -0.79% | ||
11 | Brooks Koepka | 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.67% ≈ 36/1 | 0.94% | -1.73% | ||
12 | Viktor Hovland | 30 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.5% ≈ 39/1 | 3.72% | 1.22% | ||
13 | Dustin Johnson | 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.28% ≈ 43/1 | 2.41% | 0.13% | ||
14 | Hideki Matsuyama | 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.28% ≈ 43/1 | 1.33% | -0.95% | ||
15 | Matthew Fitzpatrick | 35 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.15% ≈ 45/1 | 3.26% | 1.11% | ||
16 | Patrick Reed | 35 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.15% ≈ 45/1 | 2.36% | 0.21% | ||
17 | Tommy Fleetwood | 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.15% ≈ 45/1 | 1.01% | -1.14% | ||
18 | Tony Finau | 35 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.15% ≈ 45/1 | 0.93% | -1.22% | ||
19 | Gary Woodland | 45 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.68% ≈ 58/1 | 2.94% | 1.26% | ||
20 | Billy Horschel | 45 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.68% ≈ 58/1 | 1.41% | -0.27% | ||
21 | Jason Day | 45 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.68% ≈ 58/1 | 1.07% | -0.61% | ||
22 | Jordan Spieth | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.52% ≈ 65/1 | 1.46% | -0.06% | ||
23 | Rickie Fowler | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.52% ≈ 65/1 | 0.55% | -0.97% | ||
24 | Abraham Ancer | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.38% ≈ 71/1 | 2.83% | 1.45% | ||
25 | Marc Leishman | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.79% | 0.64% | ||
26 | Sergio Garcia | 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.41% | 1.09% ≈ 91/1 | 1.72% | 0.63% | ||
27 | Matt Kuchar | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 104/1 | 2.11% | 1.15% | ||
28 | Sungjae Im | 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 104/1 | 1.22% | 0.26% | ||
29 | Ian Poulter | 80 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 104/1 | 1.11% | 0.15% | ||
30 | Matthew Wolff | 80 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 104/1 | 0.77% | -0.19% | ||
31 | Scottie Scheffler | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.87% | 0.02% | ||
32 | Paul Casey | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.6% | -0.25% | ||
33 | Joaquin Niemann | 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.45% | -0.4% | ||
34 | Kevin Na | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.95% | 1.19% | ||
35 | Max Homa | 100 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.22% | 0.45% | ||
36 | Adam Hadwin | 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.17% | 0.41% | ||
37 | Danny Willett | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.96% | 0.19% | ||
38 | Henrik Stenson | 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.12% | -0.65% | ||
39 | Kevin Streelman | 110 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 2.08% | 1.39% | ||
40 | Matt Wallace | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.92% | 0.22% | ||
41 | Corey Conners | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.79% | 0.09% | ||
42 | Bubba Watson | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.68% | -0.02% | ||
43 | Chez Reavie | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 162/1 | 1.21% | 0.59% | ||
44 | Brendon Todd | 125 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 162/1 | 0.9% | 0.29% | ||
45 | Kevin Kisner | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 162/1 | 0.71% | 0.09% | ||
46 | Phil Mickelson | 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 162/1 | 0.57% | -0.05% | ||
47 | Louis Oosthuizen | 125 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 162/1 | 0.49% | -0.12% | ||
48 | Ryan Palmer | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 181/1 | 2.18% | 1.63% | ||
49 | Erik van Rooyen | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 181/1 | 0.72% | 0.17% | ||
50 | Mackenzie Hughes | 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 2.86% | 2.34% | ||
51 | Michael Thompson | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 1.23% | 0.72% | ||
52 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 0.77% | 0.25% | ||
53 | Bernd Wiesberger | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 0.72% | 0.21% | ||
54 | Rafael Cabrera Bello | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 0.58% | 0.07% | ||
55 | Shane Lowry | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 0.47% | -0.05% | ||
56 | Brandt Snedeker | 150 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.51% ≈ 194/1 | 0.35% | -0.17% | ||
57 | JT Poston | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 207/1 | 1.13% | 0.65% | ||
58 | Byeong Hun An | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 207/1 | 0.46% | -0.03% | ||
59 | Cameron Champ | 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 258/1 | 0.47% | 0.08% | ||
60 | Robert MacIntyre | 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 258/1 | 0.4% | 0.02% | ||
61 | Tom Lewis | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 258/1 | 0.34% | -0.05% | ||
62 | Jason Kokrak | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.34% ≈ 291/1 | 0.42% | 0.07% | ||
63 | Cameron Smith | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.34% ≈ 291/1 | 0.22% | -0.12% | ||
64 | Joel Dahmen | 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 323/1 | 2.43% | 2.13% | ||
65 | Matt Jones | 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 323/1 | 0.77% | 0.46% | ||
66 | Keegan Bradley | 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 323/1 | 0.37% | 0.06% | ||
67 | Nick Taylor | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 355/1 | 1.96% | 1.67% | ||
68 | Tyler Duncan | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 387/1 | 0.32% | 0.07% | ||
69 | Graeme McDowell | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 387/1 | 0.31% | 0.05% | ||
70 | Andrew Landry | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 452/1 | 0.5% | 0.28% | ||
71 | Lucas Herbert | 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 452/1 | 0.48% | 0.26% | ||
72 | C.T. Pan | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 452/1 | 0.48% | 0.26% | ||
73 | Li Haotong | 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 452/1 | 0.24% | 0.01% | ||
74 | Victor Perez | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 645/1 | 0.23% | 0.07% | ||
75 | Jazz Janewattananond | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.15% ≈ 645/1 | 0.19% | 0.04% | ||
76 | Shaun Norris | 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 774/1 | 0.65% | 0.52% | ||
77 | Sebastian Soderberg | 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 968/1 | 0.1% | -0.01% | ||
78 | Sunghoon Kang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% |
Overround of best available: 28.9 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.5 %
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
# | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | William Hill | 7 @ 1/5 | 36.1% | 14.1% |
2 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 35.3% | 20.8% |
3 | Bet Victor | 5 @ 1/4 | 37.1% | 22.4% |
4 | Skybet | 7 @ 1/5 | 46.2% | 22.7% |
5 | Sportingbet | 5 @ 1/4 | 38.1% | 23.3% |
6 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 47% | 23.3% |
7 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 47% | 23.3% |
8 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 51.3% | 26.9% |
9 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 42.4% | 27.1% |
10 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 42.4% | 27.1% |
11 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 42.4% | 27.1% |
12 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.8% | 29.2% |
13 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.8% | 29.3% |
14 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 45% | 29.5% |
15 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 44.2% | 31.5% |
16 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.4% | 31.7% |
17 | Unibet | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.5% | 32.7% |
18 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 33.1% |