Betting Market Analysis for Charles Schwab Challenge

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 months ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 2.26% -4.95%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 2.13% -0.64%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 1.97% -4.04%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 1.86% 0.3%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.74% -0.58%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 1.72% -2.08%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 347/1 1.68% 1.39%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.67% -1.1%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 1.63% -0.37%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 92/1 1.58% 0.5%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.57% -0.92%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 209/1 1.52% 1.04%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 209/1 1.48% 1%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 63/1 1.41% -0.15%
15 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.41% 0%
16 ESP Sergio Garcia 60 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.4% 0.22%
17 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 1.39% 1.03%
18 USA Max Homa 80 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 1.35% 0.46%
19 USA Gary Woodland 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 1.35% 0.06%
20 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.26% 0.69%
21 AUS Cameron Smith 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.23% 0.66%
22 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 1.22% -0.07%
23 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.79% ≈ 125/1 1.2% 0.41%
24 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 1.18% 0.47%
25 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.16% 0.68%
26 USA Webb Simpson 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.77% ≈ 35/1 1.16% -1.61%
27 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 66 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.15% 0.08%
28 USA Daniel Berger 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 1.13% 0.05%
29 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.11% 0.63%
30 AUS Cameron Davis 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 1.1% 0.81%
31 USA Phil Mickelson 125 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.09% 0.52%
32 USA Brendon Todd 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 1.08% 0.6%
33 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% ≈ 63/1 1.04% -0.52%
34 USA Talor Gooch 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 1.01% 0.6%
35 USA Kevin Na 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 0.94% -0.35%
36 USA Ryan Moore 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.94% 0.43%
37 USA Lanto Griffin 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.91% 0.5%
38 USA Chez Reavie 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.9% 0.33%
39 AUS Jason Day 55 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.29% ≈ 77/1 0.9% -0.38%
40 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.87% 0.39%
41 USA JT Poston 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.87% 0.39%
42 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.86% 0.38%
43 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.84% 0.43%
44 USA Ryan Palmer 66 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.84% -0.24%
45 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.83% 0.47%
46 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.83% -0.06%
47 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.8% 0.44%
48 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.79% 0.55%
49 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.79% 0.43%
50 NOR Viktor Hovland 60 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.78% -0.4%
51 CAN Corey Conners 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.77% 0.2%
52 ENG Ian Poulter 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.77% 0.26%
53 USA Rickie Fowler 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2% ≈ 49/1 0.77% -1.23%
54 IRL Shane Lowry 70 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.77% -0.25%
55 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.76% 0.4%
56 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.75% 0.47%
57 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.75% 0.4%
58 USA Bud Cauley 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.75% 0.39%
59 MEX Carlos Ortiz 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.75% 0.39%
60 AUS Matt Jones 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.73% 0.44%
61 USA Mark Hubbard 250 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.72% 0.43%
62 USA Jason Kokrak 150 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.72% 0.24%
63 USA Harris English 60 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.7% -0.48%
64 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.69% 0.22%
65 USA Brooks Koepka 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.32% ≈ 42/1 0.68% -1.64%
66 USA Keegan Bradley 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.68% 0.27%
67 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.66% 0.3%
68 USA Billy Horschel 66 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% ≈ 92/1 0.66% -0.42%
69 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.66% 0.3%
70 USA Keith Mitchell 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.65% 0.29%
71 USA Cameron Champ 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.65% 0.33%
72 USA Josh Teater 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.65% 0.5%
73 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.63% 0.06%
74 NZL Danny Lee 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.62% 0.05%
75 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.62% 0.21%
76 USA Maverick McNealy 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.61% 0.1%
77 USA Adam Long 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.6% 0.24%
78 USA Brian Harman 100 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.59% -0.13%
79 USA Jordan Spieth 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.76% ≈ 56/1 0.58% -1.18%
80 KOR Byeong Hun An 80 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 111/1 0.57% -0.32%
81 USA Jimmy Walker 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.57% 0.21%
82 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.55% 0.37%
83 USA Kevin Streelman 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.54% 0.18%
84 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.54% 0.18%
85 USA Adam Schenk 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.52% 0.38%
86 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.51% 0.1%
87 SCO Russell Knox 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.49% -0.02%
88 CHI Joaquin Niemann 90 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.79% ≈ 125/1 0.49% -0.31%
89 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.47% 0.23%
90 SVK Rory Sabbatini 140 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.46% -0.05%
91 USA Matthew Wolff 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.45% -0.03%
92 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.44% -0.04%
93 USA Charles Howell III 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.42% 0.06%
94 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.41% 0.17%
95 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.41% 0.26%
96 USA Scott Brown 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.4% 0.25%
97 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.39% 0.11%
98 USA Nick Watney 225 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.39% 0.07%
99 USA Troy Merritt 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.38% 0.14%
100 USA Steve Stricker 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.38% 0.14%
101 AUT Sepp Straka 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.37% 0.19%
102 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.37% -0.11%
103 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.36% 0.01%
104 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.36% -0.05%
105 USA Pat Perez 300 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.32% 0.08%
106 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.32% 0.08%
107 USA Jason Dufner 175 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 243/1 0.31% -0.1%
108 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.31% 0.02%
109 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.31% 0.13%
110 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.31% -0.05%
111 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.3% 0.01%
112 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.3% 0.15%
113 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.27% -0.09%
114 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.24% 0.06%
115 AUS John Senden 1500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2083/1 0.21% 0.16%
116 USA Brian Stuard 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.19% 0.05%
117 USA Jim Herman 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 833/1 0.19% 0.07%
118 USA Doc Redman 400 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.18% 0.01%
119 THA Jazz Janewattananond 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.18% -0.1%
120 ENG Justin Rose 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 0.18% -1.23%
121 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.17% -0.07%
122 USA Bill Haas 400 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.16% -0.02%
123 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 486/1 0.16% -0.05%
124 KOR Siwoo Kim 225 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.16% -0.16%
125 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.15% 0%
126 USA Lucas Glover 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.14% -0.22%
127 USA Jim Furyk 160 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% ≈ 222/1 0.12% -0.33%
128 USA Chris Kirk 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.12% -0.24%
129 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 833/1 0.12% 0%
130 USA Peter Uihlein 350 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 486/1 0.12% -0.09%
131 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 347/1 0.11% -0.17%
132 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1736/1 0.11% 0.06%
133 USA Chad Campbell 600 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 833/1 0.11% -0.01%
134 USA Keith Clearwater 5000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% ≈ 6941/1 0.11% 0.09%
135 USA Olin Browne 2500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3471/1 0.11% 0.08%
136 RSA David Frost 2500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3471/1 0.11% 0.08%
137 USA Tom Lehman 2500 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3471/1 0.11% 0.08%
138 USA Franklin Corpening 1500 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2083/1 0.11% 0.06%
139 USA Scott McCarron 1000 (Skybet: 9 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1389/1 0.11% 0.03%
140 GER Bernhard Langer 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.11% -0.04%
141 USA Doug Ghim 600 (Bet365: 6 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 833/1 0.1% -0.02%
142 USA Patton Kizzire 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 694/1 0.1% -0.04%
143 USA Brian Gay 400 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.1% -0.08%
144 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 KOR Sungjae Im 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 USA Andy Ogletree 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47.5% 14.2%
2 Skybet 9 @ 1/5 63.7% 18.1%
3 Bet365 6 @ 1/4 46.9% 18.3%
4 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 82.8% 23.3%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 63.8% 26.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.1% 27.3%
7 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 61.1% 29.7%
8 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 58.6% 32.8%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 78.1% 38%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 38.2%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 65.9% 39%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.6%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 42.7%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 70.7% 43%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.2%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 46.1%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 66% 51.3%
18 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 110.1% 93.6%
19 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 1395.6% 1316.1%