Betting Market Analysis for Farmers Insurance Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 9/1 2.95% -6.79%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 4.56% -3.96%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.03% -4.17%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 2.22% -1.79%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 1.85% -1.74%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.59% -1.66%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.97% -0.65%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.66% -0.96%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.17% -1.45%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.71% 0.36%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 2% -0.2%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 3.66% 1.66%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 2.64% 0.98%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 2.21% 0.55%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 1.76% 0.09%
16 AUS Jason Day 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 0.54% -1.12%
17 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 2.52% 1.19%
18 USA Ryan Palmer 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 2.31% 0.97%
19 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 1.98% 0.64%
20 USA Jordan Spieth 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 1.47% 0.14%
21 USA Matthew Wolff 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.01% -0.01%
22 USA Cameron Champ 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1% -0.01%
23 USA Lanto Griffin 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 2.08% 1.12%
24 KOR Byeong Hun An 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 2.07% 1.11%
25 USA Billy Horschel 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 2.04% 1.08%
26 USA Bud Cauley 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 0.94% -0.02%
27 USA Harris English 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.93% 0.09%
28 USA Jason Kokrak 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.82% -0.02%
29 ARG Emiliano Grillo 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.54% -0.31%
30 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.51% -0.34%
31 ITA Francesco Molinari 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.33% -0.51%
32 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.83% 0.16%
33 USA Bubba Watson 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.74% 0.06%
34 SCO Russell Knox 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.54% -0.13%
35 USA Phil Mickelson 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.28% -0.4%
36 USA Lucas Glover 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% ≈ 162/1 0.76% 0.15%
37 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 1.09% 0.55%
38 USA Brendan Steele 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.84% 0.3%
39 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.81% 0.27%
40 USA Talor Gooch 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.41% -0.13%
41 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% ≈ 184/1 0.4% -0.14%
42 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 1.03% 0.58%
43 AUS Matt Jones 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.79% 0.33%
44 USA Pat Perez 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.78% 0.33%
45 USA Cameron Tringale 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.72% 0.27%
46 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.72% 0.27%
47 USA J.B. Holmes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.38% -0.07%
48 USA Nick Watney 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% ≈ 221/1 0.36% -0.09%
49 MEX Carlos Ortiz 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.63% 0.24%
50 AUS Cameron Davis 175 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.6% 0.21%
51 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.54% 0.15%
52 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.34% -0.05%
53 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.6% 0.26%
54 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.6% 0.26%
55 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.43% 0.09%
56 USA Beau Hossler 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.38% 0.04%
57 USA Grayson Murray 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.32% -0.02%
58 USA Kyle Stanley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.29% -0.05%
59 USA Sam Ryder 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.29% -0.05%
60 USA Maverick McNealy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.29% -0.05%
61 USA Jimmy Walker 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.24% -0.1%
62 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.22% -0.11%
63 USA Kevin Tway 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.63% 0.35%
64 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.49% 0.22%
65 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.43% 0.16%
66 USA Max Homa 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.43% 0.16%
67 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.37% 0.1%
68 USA Kevin Streelman 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.34% 0.06%
69 USA Michael Thompson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.33% 0.06%
70 USA Sam Burns 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.27% 0%
71 SCO Martin Laird 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.2% -0.07%
72 USA Austin Cook 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 367/1 0.19% -0.08%
73 USA Bronson Burgoon 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% ≈ 404/1 0.57% 0.33%
74 USA Bo Hoag 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.64% 0.41%
75 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.46% 0.24%
76 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.45% 0.23%
77 USA Harry Higgs 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.43% 0.21%
78 USA Doc Redman 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.42% 0.2%
79 USA D.J. Trahan 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.39% 0.16%
80 USA Chase Seiffert 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.35% 0.12%
81 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.3% 0.07%
82 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.26% 0.03%
83 USA Patton Kizzire 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.26% 0.03%
84 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.25% 0.03%
85 USA Stewart Cink 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.21% -0.02%
86 USA Luke List 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.21% -0.02%
87 USA Bill Haas 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.16% -0.07%
88 USA Charley Hoffman 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.16% -0.07%
89 USA Steve Stricker 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% ≈ 441/1 0.12% -0.11%
90 USA Brandon Wu 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.36% 0.16%
91 USA Peter Malnati 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.33% 0.13%
92 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.29% 0.09%
93 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.28% 0.09%
94 USA Peter Uihlein 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.19% 0%
95 USA Jason Dufner 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.16% -0.03%
96 CHN Zhang Xinjun 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.65% 0.48%
97 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.55% 0.38%
98 USA Ben Martin 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.55% 0.38%
99 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.52% 0.35%
100 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.5% 0.33%
101 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.39% 0.22%
102 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.34% 0.17%
103 USA Scott Harrington 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.31% 0.14%
104 USA Kramer Hickok 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.26% 0.09%
105 USA Robert Streb 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.22% 0.05%
106 USA John Huh 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.21% 0.04%
107 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.16% -0.01%
108 USA Wes Roach 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.16% -0.01%
109 IND Anirban Lahiri 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 588/1 0.12% -0.05%
110 ENG Harry Hall 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 1.71% 1.58%
111 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.67% 0.53%
112 USA Robby Shelton 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.58% 0.45%
113 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.53% 0.39%
114 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.33% 0.19%
115 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.29% 0.15%
116 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.25% 0.11%
117 CAN Roger Sloan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.23% 0.09%
118 USA Scott Brown 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.21% 0.08%
119 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.18% 0.04%
120 USA Doug Ghim 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.17% 0.03%
121 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.16% 0.02%
122 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.14% 0%
123 KOR Seungyul Noh 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.12% -0.02%
124 USA J.J Spaun 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 734/1 0.11% -0.03%
125 USA William Gordon 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.48% 0.37%
126 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.4% 0.29%
127 USA Mark Anderson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.28% 0.17%
128 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.26% 0.14%
129 CAN Michael Gligic 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.24% 0.13%
130 AUS Rhein Gibson 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.22% 0.1%
131 USA Zack Sucher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.21% 0.09%
132 USA Tyler McCumber 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.18% 0.07%
133 USA Trey Mullinax 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 881/1 0.11% -0.01%
134 USA Isaiah Salinda 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1101/1 0.33% 0.24%
135 USA Jim Herman 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1101/1 0.25% 0.16%
136 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1101/1 0.18% 0.09%
137 USA Chris Baker 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1101/1 0.16% 0.07%
138 ENG Benjamin Taylor 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1468/1 0.21% 0.14%
139 USA Vincent Whaley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1468/1 0.21% 0.14%
140 USA Michael Gellerman 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1468/1 0.18% 0.11%
141 AUS John Senden 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1468/1 0.15% 0.08%
142 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1468/1 0.11% 0.04%
143 USA Vince Covello 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2202/1 0.21% 0.17%
144 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2202/1 0.18% 0.14%
145 ARG Nelson Ledesma 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2202/1 0.18% 0.13%
146 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 2936/1 0.26% 0.23%
147 USA Alexander Beach 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 2936/1 0.11% 0.08%
148 USA Michael Block 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% ≈ 2936/1 0.11% 0.07%
149 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 USA Josh Teater 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA Eddie Olson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 THA KK Limbhasut 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 USA Jacob Bergeron 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA Patrick Martin 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 42.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 42.4% 19.4%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.4% 23.2%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.3% 26.2%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 64.2% 27.6%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.7% 31.1%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.8%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 37.3%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 38.7%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 40.9%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 40.9%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.6%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58% 44.3%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 63.9% 46.4%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60.7% 46.7%
15 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 63.5% 49.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 63.6% 49.3%