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A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

12 Sep 2019 to 15 Sep 2019 Tour PGA Tour Prize fund $7,500,000 Field 156 Odds updated 11 Sep 2019

See what we tipped for the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

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A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 at a glance

Favourite
12/1Bryson DeChambeau
Favourite's chance
5.8%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
21.2%combined win chance
Field
156147 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
29.2%vs 20.6% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
115players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Bryson DeChambeau favourite for the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 5.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Viktor Hovland next in at 14/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 21.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 78.8% spread across the other 142 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 115 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 29.2%, or 6.6% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Boyle Sports at 20.6% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -8.6 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 12/1 7.7% 5.8% 88th
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 14/1 6.7% 5.1% 10th
3 USA Jason Kokrak 16/1 5.9% 4.5% 82nd
4 AUS Marc Leishman 25/1 3.8% 2.9% -
5 CHI Joaquin Niemann 25/1 3.8% 2.9% 1st
6 USA Bubba Watson 28/1 3.4% 2.6% 47th
7 KOR Byeong Hun An 30/1 3.2% 2.4% 47th
8 USA Russell Henley 33/1 2.9% 2.2% 57th
9 USA Scott Piercy 35/1 2.8% 2.1% 19th
10 USA Keegan Bradley 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 24th
11 USA Scottie Scheffler 40/1 2.4% 1.9% 7th
12 USA Kevin Na 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 14th
13 USA Brian Harman 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 3rd
14 AUS Cameron Smith 50/1 2.0% 1.5% 24th
15 USA Harold Varner III 55/1 1.8% 1.4% 19th
16 USA Robert Streb 60/1 1.6% 1.2% 66th
17 USA Kevin Streelman 66/1 1.5% 1.1% 79th
18 SCO Russell Knox 66/1 1.5% 1.1% 113th
19 SCO Martin Laird 66/1 1.5% 1.1% 47th
20 ENG Tom Lewis 66/1 1.5% 1.1% 85th

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 finished

Joaquin Niemann won the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier, having started the week at 25/1 - an implied 3.8% chance. The favourite, Bryson DeChambeau, finished 88th.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 CHI Joaquin Niemann 25/1 3.8%
2 USA Tom Hoge 160/1 0.6%
3 USA Harris English 150/1 0.7%
3 USA Brian Harman 50/1 2.0%
3 USA Nate Lashley 150/1 0.7%
3 USA Richy Werenski 200/1 0.5%
7 COL Sebastian Munoz - -
7 USA Robby Shelton 300/1 0.3%
7 USA Scottie Scheffler 40/1 2.4%
10 AUS Matt Jones 100/1 1.0%
10 USA Mark Hubbard 250/1 0.4%
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 14/1 6.7%

Our model's numbers for the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your £1 trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 12 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.84% ≈ 16/1 2.62% -3.21% Free
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 14 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.06% ≈ 19/1 2.32% -2.73% Free
3 USA Jason Kokrak 16 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.46% ≈ 21/1 3.78% -0.69% Free
4 AUS Marc Leishman 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% ≈ 33/1 🔒
5 CHI Joaquin Niemann 25 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% ≈ 33/1 🔒
6 USA Bubba Watson 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.62% ≈ 37/1 🔒
7 KOR Byeong Hun An 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
8 USA Russell Henley 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% ≈ 44/1 🔒
9 USA Scott Piercy 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.11% ≈ 46/1 🔒
10 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 🔒
11 USA Scottie Scheffler 40 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% ≈ 53/1 🔒
12 USA Kevin Na 50 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 🔒
13 USA Brian Harman 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 🔒
14 AUS Cameron Smith 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% ≈ 66/1 🔒
15 USA Harold Varner III 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% ≈ 73/1 🔒
16 USA Robert Streb 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% ≈ 79/1 🔒
17 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 🔒
18 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 🔒
19 SCO Martin Laird 66 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 🔒
20 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% ≈ 87/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 136 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
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Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 55.9% 20.6%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 24%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 49.4% 25%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 25.9%
5 Marathon Bet 6 @ 1/4 58.2% 27.2%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.4% 28%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 28.1%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.7% 29%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 31%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 31.7%
11 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32%
12 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 32.4%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.4%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.4%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.4%
16 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.4%
17 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 54.2% 37.4%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 40.2%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 43.3%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%

A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019?

Bryson DeChambeau was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.8% after. Viktor Hovland was next in the market at 14/1.

Who won the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019?

Joaquin Niemann won the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019, starting the week at 25/1.

When was the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier 2019 played?

The A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier started on Thursday 12 September 2019 and finished on Sunday 15 September 2019. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier field?

156 players were in the field, 147 of them priced by the bookmakers. 115 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 29.2%, against 20.6% at Boyle Sports, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. A 30-day trial costs £1.

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A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock for £1 →