Betting Market Analysis for NEDBANK GOLF CHALLENGE HOSTED BY GARY PLAYER

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 10/1 4.72% -4.23%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 5.06% -0.32%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 4.12% -1.25%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.91% -1.47%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 4.11% -0.13%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 3.27% -0.24%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 3.41% 0.31%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.74% -0.36%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.03% -1.06%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 5.37% 2.59%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.81% -0.97%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 0.89% -1.89%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2.06% -0.31%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.41% -0.96%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.38% -0.99%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 2.16% 0.19%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.85% -0.11%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.73% -0.23%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 3.87% 2.29%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 1.57% -0.01%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 1.25% -0.33%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 0.78% -0.8%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 0.47% -1.11%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 68/1 2.07% 0.63%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 1.93% 0.61%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 75/1 1.07% -0.25%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 82/1 1.47% 0.27%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 82/1 1.18% -0.02%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 82/1 0.81% -0.39%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 87/1 0.92% -0.22%
31 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 1.74% 0.74%
32 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 1.7% 0.71%
33 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 1.64% 0.65%
34 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 0.93% -0.07%
35 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 0.85% -0.14%
36 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 112/1 1.46% 0.57%
37 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 112/1 0.79% -0.09%
38 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 112/1 0.67% -0.22%
39 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1.28% 0.49%
40 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1.18% 0.38%
41 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 1.04% 0.25%
42 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 0.99% 0.2%
43 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 0.83% 0.03%
44 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 124/1 0.61% -0.19%
45 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 137/1 0.93% 0.21%
46 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 155/1 1.06% 0.42%
47 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 155/1 0.9% 0.26%
48 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 186/1 1.26% 0.72%
49 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 186/1 0.86% 0.32%
50 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 186/1 0.74% 0.21%
51 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 217/1 1.18% 0.72%
52 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 217/1 1.14% 0.68%
53 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 217/1 0.59% 0.13%
54 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 248/1 2.27% 1.87%
55 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 248/1 0.51% 0.11%
56 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 310/1 0.9% 0.58%
57 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 310/1 0.26% -0.06%
58 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 372/1 0.38% 0.12%
59 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 372/1 0.32% 0.05%
60 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 435/1 0.6% 0.37%
61 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 497/1 0.94% 0.74%
62 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 43.4% 20.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 20.8%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 35.7% 21.2%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 45.6% 22.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 48% 24.2%
6 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 37.5% 25.4%
7 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 25.5%
8 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 25.5%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.5%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.8%
11 Coral 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.8%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 28.3%
13 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.8%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.8% 30.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 33%