Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 28.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 249.6

Total Profit: +149.4

Porsche European Open

03/06/2021 - 06/06/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Paul Casey 6 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.87% 4.83% -6.04% 6
2 MEX Abraham Ancer 8 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.45% 4.48% -3.97% MC
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.47% 2.01% -2.46% T40
4 AUT Matthias Schwab 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.62% 2.1% -1.52% T45
5 AUS Jason Scrivener 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 4.62% 2.38% T55 9.35
6 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 1.45% -0.79% T29
7 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.29% -0.56% MC
8 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.11% -0.74% T11
9 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 0.73% -1.12% T40
10 SCO Calum Hill 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.58% -0.07% T29 6.92
11 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 1.15% -0.51% T11
12 POL Adrian Meronk 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 0.97% -0.69% T45
13 USA Kurt Kitayama 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 2% 0.51% T25 6.24
14 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.51% 0.02% T55 6.24
15 RSA Justin Harding 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.37% -0.12% T45 6.24
16 NZL Ryan Fox 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.23% -0.26% T11 6.24
17 FIN Sami Valimaki 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.1% -0.39% MC
18 SWE Alexander Bjork 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 0.98% -0.51% T29
19 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 0.86% -0.64% T2
20 SWE Henrik Stenson 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.82% -0.67% MC
21 RSA Danie van Tonder 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.75% -0.74% MC
22 FIN Kalle Samooja 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.56% 0.2% T18 5.68
23 ESP Adria Arnaus 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.76% 0.62% MC 4.75
24 THA Jazz Janewattananond 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.61% -0.52% MC
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.21% 0.27% T7 (tied w/4) 3.93 +8.4
26 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.88% -0.06% MC 3.93
27 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.72% -0.22% 1 3.93 +200.4
28 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.64% -0.3% T29
29 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.82% -0.02% MC 3.5
30 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.65% -0.19% MC 3.5
31 ESP Adrian Otaegui 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.35% -0.48% T58
32 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.79% 1.04% T18 3.15
33 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.81% 0.06% T45 3.15
34 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.68% -0.08% T45 3.15
35 AUS Minwoo Lee 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.43% -0.32% MC
36 FRA Julien Guerrier 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.39% -0.36% MC
37 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.13% 0.52% WD 2.53
38 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.11% 0.5% MC 2.53
39 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.75% 0.15% T18 2.53
40 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.73% 0.13% T2 (tied w/4) 2.53 +40.8
41 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.62% 0.01% T18 2.53
42 ENG David Horsey 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.55% -0.06% T25 2.53
43 USA Julian Suri 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.53% -0.07% MC 2.53
44 SCO Richie Ramsay 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% T25 2.53
45 ENG Chris Paisley 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.99% 0.45% WD
46 USA Sean Crocker 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.68% 0.14% T11
47 CHN Wu Ashun 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.65% 0.11% T45
48 AUS Maverick Antcliff 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.03% 0.53% T11
49 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.99% 0.49% MC
50 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.92% 0.42% WD
51 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% WD
52 FRA Romain Langasque 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.67% 0.16% MC
53 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.65% 0.15% T11
54 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% T11
55 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% T40
56 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.5% -0.01% T2
57 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 1.2% 0.73% MC
58 NZL Josh Geary 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 1.08% 0.61% T60
59 SCO Scott Jamieson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.97% 0.49% T18
60 USA Johannes Veerman 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.66% 0.18% T58
61 IND Shubhankar Sharma 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.47% 0.44% -0.03% MC
62 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.75% 0.32% T40
63 GER Sebastian Heisele 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.45% 0.01% T29
64 ENG Callum Shinkwin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.41% -0.03% WD
65 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% MC
66 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
67 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% T60
68 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.02% MC
69 ENG Richard Mansell 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.33% -0.05% MC
70 ESP Jorge Campillo 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.14% T25
71 USA Paul Peterson 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.23% -0.15% T52
72 AUS Scott Hend 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% MC
73 FRA Benjamin Hebert 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.4% 0.07% T7
74 ESP Alejandro Canizares 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.39% 0.05% MC
75 ENG Jack Senior 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.33% 0% T18
76 ENG Ashley Chesters 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% T18
77 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.78% 0.48% T60
78 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% MC
79 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.19% MC
80 USA Sihwan Kim 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% MC
81 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% MC
82 MAS Gavin Green 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.36% 0.06% MC
83 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T2
84 ENG Garrick Porteous 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.6% 0.32% MC
85 RSA Zander Lombard 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
86 ESP Pep Angles Ros 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.35% 0.08% MC
87 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.54% 0.29% T40
88 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T55
89 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% WD
90 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.89% 0.67% MC
91 IRL Niall Kearney 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.58% 0.37% MC
92 ITA Francesco Laporta 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
93 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.47% 0.25% 65
94 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.43% 0.21% MC
95 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.14% MC
96 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
97 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% MC
98 GER Matthias Schmid 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0.01% MC
99 NIR Cormac Sharvin 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% 63
100 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% MC
101 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
102 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
103 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
104 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T52
105 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% 64
106 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
107 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
108 GER Marcel Schneider 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T7
109 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T45
110 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T29
111 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% WD
112 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
113 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
114 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T7
115 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
116 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
117 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.11% 66
118 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.1% T29
119 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
120 CZE Ondrej Lieser 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
121 AUS Jarryd Felton 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
122 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
123 GER Florian Fritsch 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
124 KOR Yikeun Chang 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.6% 0.48% T52
125 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.23% T29
126 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 600 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T29
127 FRA Joel Stalter 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
128 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
129 GER Nick Bachem 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
130 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
131 FRA Robin Roussel 750 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
132 FRA Adrien Saddier 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
133 FRA Gregory Havret 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
134 ENG Matt Ford 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% WD
135 GER Moritz Lampert 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
136 GER Benedict Staben 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
137 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.28% MC
138 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.28% MC
139 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
140 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
141 SWE Peter Hanson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
143 GER Michael Hirmer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
144 GER Georg Schultes 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
145 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
146 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
147 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 AUT Julian Kunzenbacher 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 POR Tomas Guimaraes Bessa 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 GER Marc Hammer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 GER Jannik De Bruyn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 28.6%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 28.8%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.4% 34.7%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.4% 34.7%
5 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.9%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51.9% 38.6%
7 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.6% 39.3%
8 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
9 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 41.9%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 59.3% 42.2%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 59.6% 42.6%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 59.6% 42.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 59.6% 42.6%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 59.6% 42.6%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 56.7% 43%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 58.5% 44.6%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 45.1%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 72.8% 57.7%