Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 223.9

Total Profit: +123.9

BMW International Open

20/06/2019 - 23/06/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Sergio Garcia 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.73% 3.06% -2.68% MC
2 ENG Matt Wallace 12 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.73% 2.88% -2.86% T3
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 14 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.97% 2.65% -2.32% 2
4 GER Martin Kaymer 16 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.38% 2.98% -1.41% T16
5 NED Joost Luiten 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 1.7% -1.54% MC
6 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 1.89% -0.98% T3
7 BEL Thomas Detry 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 0.62% -2.25% MC
8 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 1.42% -1.15% T3
9 USA Julian Suri 28 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.57% 0.7% -1.87% MC
10 RSA Erik van Rooyen 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 1.74% -0.45% T16
11 SWE Alexander Noren 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 1.63% -0.56% T26
12 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 0.89% -1.31% T16
13 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 1.66% -0.41% 67
14 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 1.48% -0.59% T10
15 ENG Lee Westwood 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.38% -0.43% T10
16 ENG Ross Fisher 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.99% -0.83% MC
17 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.62% 1.38% -0.24% MC 7.12
18 USA David Lipsky 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.41% -0.05% T26 6.42
19 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.13% -0.33% MC 6.42
20 SCO Robert MacIntyre 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.09% -0.37% T49
21 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 1.08% -0.25% MC 5.85
22 ENG Chris Paisley 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 1.01% -0.32% MC 5.85
23 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.97% -0.36% MC
24 ENG Oliver Wilson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 1.03% -0.19% T26 5.37
25 ENG Andy Sullivan 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.66% -0.45% T26
26 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 1.37% 0.45% MC 4.04
27 ITA Guido Migliozzi 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.98% 0.06% MC 4.04
28 ENG Tom Lewis 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.98% 0.06% MC 4.04
29 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.92% 0% T60 4.04
30 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.88% -0.04% MC 4.04
31 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.69% -0.23% MC 4.04
32 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.63% -0.29% T3 (tied w/7) 4.04 +18.2
33 USA Sean Crocker 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.52% -0.4% MC
34 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.84% 0.1% MC 3.24
35 USA Kurt Kitayama 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.76% 0.02% T21 3.24
36 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.68% -0.06% T37 3.24
37 ITA Andrea Pavan 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.65% -0.09% 1 3.24 +205.7
38 AUS Lucas Herbert 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.56% -0.18% T49 3.24
39 ENG Andrew Johnston 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.55% -0.12% T34 2.95
40 RSA George Coetzee 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.81% 0.22% MC 2.6
41 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% T26 2.6
42 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.58% -0.01% T34 2.6
43 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.06% T37 2.6
44 ESP Adria Arnaus 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.51% -0.08% MC 2.6
45 ENG David Horsey 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.46% -0.13% T26 2.6
46 THA Thongchai Jaidee 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.71% 0.18% MC
47 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.96% 0.47% T37
48 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.83% 0.34% T3
49 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.63% 0.13% MC
50 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
51 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.02% T44
52 ENG Sam Horsfield 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T21
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.75% 0.28% MC
54 RSA Haydn Porteous 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.57% 0.11% T26
55 ITA Renato Paratore 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.39% -0.07% 68
56 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.32% -0.14% T21
57 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% T62
58 WAL Bradley Dredge 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% MC
59 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% MC
60 ARG Andres Romero 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T49
61 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% MC
62 ITA Edoardo Molinari 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.88% 0.55% T3
63 RSA Justin Walters 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% MC
64 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.77% 0.47% T44
65 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.52% 0.23% T53
66 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
67 ENG James Morrison 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.17% MC
68 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
69 NIR Michael Hoey 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
70 CHN Wu Ashun 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T37
71 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% MC
72 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.1% T62
73 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.32% 0.03% MC
74 FRA Matthieu Pavon 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% T10
75 ENG Lee Slattery 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% MC
76 SCO David Law 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.72% 0.47% T37
77 SWE Anton Karlsson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.62% 0.37% T53
78 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.29% MC
79 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
80 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.43% 0.18% 66
81 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% T53
82 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% T21
83 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T60
84 FIN Kalle Samooja 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% MC
85 ENG Jack Singh Brar 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
86 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.76% 0.55% MC
87 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.63% 0.42% T3
88 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
89 NED Darius Van Driel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% T62
90 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T14
91 USA Paul Peterson 350 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% T49
92 AUS Dimi Papadatos 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
93 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
94 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% T53
95 USA Sihwan Kim 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.4% 0.18% T21
96 ENG Callum Shinkwin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% T10
97 IRL Gavin Moynihan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% MC
98 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.67% 0.48% MC
99 WAL Jamie Donaldson 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.52% 0.34% MC
100 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.25% MC
101 NOR Espen Kofstad 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T26
102 ENG Jack Senior 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
103 GER Sebastian Heisele 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% MC
104 CRC Luis Gagne 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% T62
105 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.82% 0.68% MC
106 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.68% 0.53% MC
107 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.66% 0.52% T16
108 USA John Catlin 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.61% 0.46% T44
109 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
110 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.36% MC
111 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% T44
112 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
113 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
114 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
115 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
116 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
117 KOR Jinho Choi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
118 ENG Matthew Nixon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.21% MC
119 AUS Sam Brazel 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
120 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
121 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T44
122 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
123 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
124 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
125 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T37
126 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
127 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
128 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T34
129 AUS Adam Bland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.67% 0.55% 43
130 ARG Rafael Echenique 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
131 AUS Brett Rumford 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
132 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
133 ENG Tom Murray 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
134 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
135 GER Dominic Foos 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% T53
136 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.25% WD
137 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.25% MC
138 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% MC
139 AUS Deyen Lawson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
140 GER Florian Fritsch 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
141 GER Bernd Ritthammer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
142 SWE Per Langfors 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% MC
143 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.13% MC
144 GER Philipp Mejow 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
145 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
146 SUI Joel Girrbach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% T53
147 GER Martin Keskari 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
148 GER Michael Hirmer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
149 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% T14
150 ENG Scott Gregory 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
151 ESP Jose M Olazabal 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.37% 0.34% MC
152 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.94% 0% MC
153 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T53
154 SWE Rikard Karlberg 0% 0% 0.64% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...