Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 51.3

Total Profit: -48.8

Omega Dubai Desert Classic

24/01/2019 - 27/01/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 9 10% 7.64% 4.78% -2.86% 1
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 6.67% 5.09% 2.49% -2.6% T16
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 16 5.88% 4.49% 1.91% -2.59% T3
4 SWE Henrik Stenson 16 5.88% 4.49% 1.77% -2.72% MC
5 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 16 5.88% 4.49% 1.73% -2.77% MC
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 4.35% 3.32% 1.57% -1.75% T38
7 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 22 4.35% 3.32% 1.16% -2.16% T16
8 BEL Thomas Pieters 29 3.33% 2.55% 1.12% -1.43% T29
9 ENG Ian Poulter 33 2.94% 2.25% 2.22% -0.03% T3 (tied w/4) 9.75 +37.1
10 ENG Tom Lewis 33 2.94% 2.25% 1.93% -0.32% T48 9.75
11 IRL Shane Lowry 33 2.94% 2.25% 1.81% -0.44% T12
12 ENG Matt Wallace 33 2.94% 2.25% 1.66% -0.58% 2
13 CHN Li Haotong 33 2.94% 2.25% 1.48% -0.77% T12
14 NED Joost Luiten 35 2.78% 2.12% 1.09% -1.04% MC
15 ENG Lee Westwood 40 2.44% 1.86% 1.64% -0.22% T7 (tied w/5) 8.08 +7.3
16 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 40 2.44% 1.86% 1.14% -0.72% T7
17 ENG Jordan L Smith 40 2.44% 1.86% 1.09% -0.77% T29
18 KOR Byeong Hun An 45 2.17% 1.66% 1.37% -0.29% T12 7.21
19 GER Martin Kaymer 50 1.96% 1.5% 1.69% 0.19% T24 6.5
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 1.96% 1.5% 0.92% -0.58% MC
21 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 1.79% 1.36% 0.98% -0.38% T20
22 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 60 1.64% 1.25% 1.82% 0.56% T29 5.44
23 AUS Jason Scrivener 70 1.41% 1.08% 1.13% 0.06% T7 (tied w/5) 4.67 +7
24 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 1.23% 0.94% 1.02% 0.08% T38 4.09
25 ENG Ross Fisher 80 1.23% 0.94% 0.87% -0.07% T24 4.09
26 BEL Thomas Detry 80 1.23% 0.94% 0.86% -0.09% T48 4.09
27 NZL Ryan Fox 80 1.23% 0.94% 0.82% -0.13% MC 4.09
28 RSA Richard Sterne 90 1.1% 0.84% 1.8% 0.96% MC 3.65
29 FRA Alexander Levy 90 1.1% 0.84% 0.91% 0.07% MC 3.65
30 USA David Lipsky 90 1.1% 0.84% 0.82% -0.02% MC 3.65
31 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 0.99% 0.76% 1.4% 0.64% MC 3.28
32 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 0.99% 0.76% 1.07% 0.31% T20 3.28
33 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 0.99% 0.76% 0.87% 0.11% MC 3.28
34 RSA Dean Burmester 100 0.99% 0.76% 0.53% -0.23% T48 3.28
35 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.49% -0.2% MC 2.99
36 AUT Matthias Schwab 125 0.79% 0.61% 0.68% 0.07% T64 2.63
37 RSA Erik van Rooyen 125 0.79% 0.61% 0.62% 0.01% MC 2.63
38 ITA Andrea Pavan 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.2% 0.69% MC
39 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.05% 0.55% MC
40 FRA Victor Perez 150 0.66% 0.51% 1% 0.49% T29
41 ENG Aaron Rai 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.37% T29
42 RSA Brandon Stone 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.85% 0.34% MC
43 AUS Lucas Herbert 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.81% 0.3% T7
44 ENG Paul Waring 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.28% T3
45 FRA Romain Langasque 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.72% 0.22% T20
46 ENG Sam Horsfield 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.72% 0.21% MC
47 ENG Chris Paisley 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.12% T56
48 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.61% 0.1% MC
49 USA Sean Crocker 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% MC
50 FRA Victor Dubuisson 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.3% -0.2% T38
51 ESP Jorge Campillo 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% T56
52 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.99% 0.56% T48
53 ESP Adria Arnaus 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.94% 0.51% T29
54 ENG Andrew Johnston 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% T24
55 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.12% MC
56 SCO Stephen Gallacher 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.48% 0.04% T67
57 RSA George Coetzee 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.4% -0.03% T38
58 SWE Marcus Kinhult 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.38% -0.06% MC
59 RSA Ernie Els 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.92% 0.54% T12
60 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.84% 0.46% MC
61 ENG Robert Rock 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.84% 0.46% MC
62 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.7% 0.32% T69
63 MAS Gavin Green 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% MC
64 CHN Wu Ashun 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T38
65 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.55% 0.17% T71
66 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.54% 0.16% T48
67 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% T29
68 RSA Shaun Norris 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.52% 0.14% T61
69 ENG David Horsey 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% MC
70 IRL Paul Dunne 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.07% MC
71 KOR Jeunghun Wang 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.37% -0.01% MC
72 AUS Scott Hend 225 0.44% 0.34% 0.7% 0.36% T48
73 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.39% 55
74 RSA Justin Harding 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.38% T7
75 ITA Renato Paratore 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.25% MC
76 SCO David Drysdale 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.24% MC
77 FIN Mikko Korhonen 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.19% T38
78 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
79 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.15% T38
80 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% T29
81 WAL Bradley Dredge 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.1% T24
82 SCO Richie Ramsay 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.34% 0.03% T56
83 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.85% 0.6% MC
84 SCO Marc Warren 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.64% 0.38% T71
85 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% T64
86 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% T67
87 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.1% MC
88 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
89 FRA Romain Wattel 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.62% 0.4% T16
90 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% T64
91 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% T61
92 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% T3
93 ENG Lee Slattery 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.39% 0.17% MC
94 ENG Callum Shinkwin 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% T56
95 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% MC
96 THA Thongchai Jaidee 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.76% 0.57% 47
97 FIN Kim Koivu 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.6% 0.4% T38
98 SWE Joakim Lagergren 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 0.36% MC
99 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.48% 0.29% T20
100 ENG James Morrison 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
101 RSA Justin Walters 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
102 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
103 FRA Matthieu Pavon 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T24
104 SWE Peter Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
105 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
106 ITA Nino Bertasio 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% 73
107 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.8% 0.64% MC
108 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.65% 0.5% T29
109 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.48% T69
110 ARG Andres Romero 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.36% MC
111 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T56
112 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.24% MC
113 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.19% MC
114 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
115 RSA Jovan Rebula 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
116 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
117 SWE Robert Karlsson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% T38
118 ENG David Howell 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
119 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% MC
120 SCO Colin Montgomerie 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% MC
121 FIN Kalle Samooja 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T16
122 FRA Victor Riu 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
123 IND Rayhan Thomas 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.1% 0% MC
124 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.27% MC
125 SWE Jens Dantorp 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T48
126 SWE Pelle Edberg 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
127 ESP Jose M Olazabal 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.34% 0.31% MC
128 MAR Ahmed Marjane 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.1% 0.07% MC
129 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
130 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.43% 0% MC
131 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 0% 0% 0.31% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...